Sunday 12/30/12 NBA discussion thread

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[TD="colspan: 8"][h=4]NBA BASKETBALL BASKETBALL - SUN 12/30[/h][/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #000032, colspan: 4, align: center"]GAME[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]HANDICAP[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MONEY LINE[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]TOTAL POINTS[/TD]
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[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Sun 12/30[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]801[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Milwaukee Bucks [/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+2.5 2.000[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 192 1.952[/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]04:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]802[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Detroit Pistons[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-2.5 1.909[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 192 1.952[/TD]
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[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Sun 12/30[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]803[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]San Antonio Spurs[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-5.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 208.5 2.000[/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]04:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]804[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Dallas Mavericks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+5.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 208.5 1.909[/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Sun 12/30[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]807[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Utah Jazz[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+9.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 195.5 1.952[/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]06:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]808[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Los Angeles Clippers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-9.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 195.5 1.952[/TD]
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[divol]

Dallas looks interesting...

 

[divol]

Under in Sac town

 

[divol]

Childress was waived by the Nets. Maybe Lakers will sign him?
He can be a good fit. He played a season with Nash, he is a decent defender and I believe he can do some damage.

 

[Indiana]

Agree with you on the Mavs. ML is also a consideration here.

 

[tuck321]

Interesting post

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 2,967

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Sunday

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ATS: 71-54-4 (+18.8)
OU: 50-45-1 (+0.3)
ML dogs: 1-5 (-3.65)



The Spurs are really good, and they are rolling right now. I don’t see the Mavericks standing in their path today. After the Spurs have beat a team by 30+ in the same season, they are 9-1 SU (+14.7 ppg) in their last 10, and as a road favorite after beating a team by 15+ in the same season, they are 8-1 SU. After a home win, as an away favorite the Spurs are 6-1 SU (+13.3 ppg) in their last 7. After a game in which they scored 10 points or more than expected, they are 10-3 SU (+9.2 ppg). They are 16-3 SU (+6.8 ppg) and 13-6 ATS as a road favorite with at least a day of rest when the line is between 5 and 7. When playing an isolated road game as a favorite and having a game on deck tomorrow, the Spurs are 9-1 SU (+13.2 ppg). After a game in which they pulled down 5 or less offensive rebounds, the Spurs are 8-1 SU (+16.4 ppg) and 9-0 ATS.

Favorites this year in southwest division matchups are 11-1 SU (+9.1 ppg). Since the 2005 season, away favorites coming off a divisional game that are playing another divisional game are 78-24 SU (+7.0) and 67-35 ATS. In the last 14 they are 13-1 SU (+11.1 ppg) and 12-2 ATS. Road favorites that beat a team by 20+ in the same season are 15-1 SU (+10.8 ppg) and 14-2 ATS in the last 16.

The Mavericks are just not that good right now. Until Dirk resumes his full strength, they are going to struggle. As a home dog, they are 4-14 SU and ATS in their last 20. When they are playing as a home dog before a road game, they are 1-6 SU (-8.6 ppg). While it may mean nothing, home dogs are 0-9 SU (-10.4 ppg) after playing against the Nuggets. Perhaps they were doused in too much green from the Colorado goodness...

Dominique Jones: “People say we’re so close. I don’t think we’re close to being a good team. I think we got a lot of work to do.”

Doing work is good, but trying to become a good team against a dominant one is tough. The Spurs are one of the best teams in the league because they have a great coach, great veteran leadership, outstanding starters, and a deep bench. The Mavericks are struggling defensively. They allowed one of the worst three point shooting teams in the league (Denver) to shoot 12/28 from beyond the arc. The Thunder shot 10/25 and the Spurs 20/30 in the game before that. The numbers highlight Dallas's inability to defend the perimeter. San Antonio gets 25.4% of their points from long range, and they shoot 39.1% (fourth in league). This is part of the reason they are so difficult to defend, because they also thrive in points in the paint. Unless Dallas has discovered some magical defensive formula in the last day, this game could be a struggle for them again. The Spurs dropped 20 three pointers on the Mavericks last game, and shot lights out. While that is super impressive and not to be expected again today, the Mavericks shot right around their averages for the season, and they still lost by 38.

Danilo Gallinari, Denver’s 6-10 forward who poured in 39 points and hit seven 3-pointers, many of them uncontested, said: “I got to thank the defense they prepared on me for leaving me open for the 3.”

While I don’t put much stock in referee assignments, the Mavericks probably won’t have any home court favoritism from this crew:

Sean Corbin: home team 8-15 ATS (home dog 2-6 ATS)
Ed Malloy: home team 8-14 ATS (home dog 2-5 ATS)
Scott Twardoski: home team 8-7-1 ATS (home dog 2-4 ATS)

The Mavericks are 1-8 SU (-11.4) in their last 9 when facing the Spurs as a dog.


Spurs -5.5


Good luck...
__________________

 

[Retburj13]

DALLAS -- San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich clearly understands why his team was able to totally mopped the AT&T Center floor with the Dallas Mavericks last Sunday.
The Spurs led that game at one point in the seocnd half by an amazing 46 points before settling for a 129-91 victory.
"That was Dirk (Nowitzki’s) first night back, everybody was discombobulated, trying to get their rhythm back and figure out how to play with each other again.
"That takes time for that to gel, but every game they're going to get better and better and better.''
Popovich doesn't expect the score to be lopsided when the Mavs and Spurs face each other at 6:30 tonight at American Airlines Center.
"We've been on the other end of that,'' Popovich said. "It won’t be like that tonight.
"It’ll be a very competitive game.''

 

[tuck321]

Interesting post

Back-to-back games against Texas rivals for the Spurs. Dallas on a bad streak but as I said in one of my previous posts, they tend to play better after blowout losses. They are now 7-1 ATS this season after a loss of 14 or more (15-4 ATS since last season). The home team won all 5 meetings in this series since last season, the Mavs are 8-5 at home this season (only 4-13 on the road) and San Antonio lost last 4 on the road. Using some of the winnings from Saturday and buying half point here. Dallas +6​

 

[nbafan88]

Sorry couldn't post this before

Dallas Mavericks +6


Underdogs of less than 14 pts, in same season revenge situation, lost
previous matchup by more than 35 as big dogs of more than 9 points
and lost previous game played by more than 11---->>> covered last 15
games and won straight up last 9 as underdogs. Rivalry time with
revenge and home cooking.