STEPONADUCK 2025 Regular Season Wins/ Futures Discussion

2025 NCAA FB Futures Portfolio Updated 6/2/25
Utah to win the B12 +1400 0.5 to win 7.0u
Fresno State to win the MWC +900 .37 to win 3.33u
Middle Tennessee State to win CUSA +2500 .231u to win 6.00u
Virginia to win ACC 200/1 .05u to win 10u
Tulsa to win AAC 300/1 .05u to win 15u
Buffalo to win MAC 7.5/1 1.33u to win 9.8u
Lotto: JMU +400 + Buffalo +800 + Boise St -125 80/1. .33u to win 26u
Lotto: JMU +400 + Buffalo +750 + Utah +700 318/1 .1 u to win 31.8u


Regular Season Wins Card:
Nevada under 4.5 -155 (DK)
Bowling Green under 6.5 -115 (DK)
South Alabama under 7.5 -145 (CZR)
Florida Atlantic under 4.5 +103 (FD + CZR 50/50)
Hawaii under 6.5 -140 (DK)
Tulane under 8.5 +110 (MGM)

NCAA Weekly Wagers:
Week 0:
Fresno State +14.5 (FD)

Week 1:
Utah -1.5 -115 (b365)
ECU +14 (CZR)
Northwestern +7.5 (FD)
 
2025 NCAA FB Futures Portfolio Updated 6/4/25
Utah to win the B12 +1400 0.5 to win 7.0u
Fresno State to win the MWC +900 .37 to win 3.33u
Middle Tennessee State to win CUSA +2500 .231u to win 6.00u
Virginia to win ACC 200/1 .05u to win 10u
Tulsa to win AAC 300/1 .05u to win 15u
Buffalo to win MAC 7.5/1 1.33u to win 9.8u
Lotto: JMU +400 + Buffalo +800 + Boise St -125 80/1. .33u to win 26u
Lotto: JMU +400 + Buffalo +750 + Utah +700 318/1 .1 u to win 31.8u


Regular Season Wins Card:
Nevada under 4.5 -155 (DK)
Bowling Green under 6.5 -115 (DK)
South Alabama under 7.5 -145 (CZR)
Florida Atlantic under 4.5 +103 (FD + CZR 50/50)
Hawaii under 6.5 -140 (DK)
Tulane under 8.5 +110 (MGM)
Washington State under 5.5 -104 (FD)

NCAA Weekly Wagers:
Week 0:
Fresno State +14.5 (FD)

Week 1:
Utah -1.5 -115 (b365)
ECU +14 (CZR)
Northwestern +7.5 (FD)
 
2025 NCAA FB Futures Portfolio Updated 6/8/25
Utah to win the B12 +1400 0.5 to win 7.0u
Fresno State to win the MWC +900 .37 to win 3.33u
Middle Tennessee State to win CUSA +2500 .231u to win 6.00u
Virginia to win ACC 200/1 .05u to win 10u
Tulsa to win AAC 300/1 .05u to win 15u
Buffalo to win MAC 7.5/1 1.33u to win 9.8u
Lotto: JMU +400 + Buffalo +800 + Boise St -125 80/1. .33u to win 26u
Lotto: JMU +400 + Buffalo +750 + Utah +700 318/1 .1 u to win 31.8u


Regular Season Wins Card:
Nevada under 4.5 -155 (DK)
Bowling Green under 6.5 -115 (DK)
South Alabama under 7.5 -145 (CZR)
Florida Atlantic under 4.5 +103 (FD + CZR 50/50)
Hawaii under 6.5 -140 (DK)
Tulane under 8.5 +110 (MGM)
Washington State under 5.5 -104 (FD)
Akron under 4.5 -115 (MGM)
New Mexico State under 4.5 +120 (DK)

NCAA Weekly Wagers:
Week 0:
Fresno State +14.5 (FD)

Week 1:
Utah -1.5 -115 (b365)
ECU +14 (CZR)
Northwestern +7.5 (FD)
 
steponaduck said:
2025 NCAA FB Futures Portfolio Updated 6/8/25
Utah to win the B12 +1400 0.5 to win 7.0u
Fresno State to win the MWC +900 .37 to win 3.33u
Middle Tennessee State to win CUSA +2500 .231u to win 6.00u
Virginia to win ACC 200/1 .05u to win 10u
Tulsa to win AAC 300/1 .05u to win 15u
Buffalo to win MAC 7.5/1 1.33u to win 9.8u
Lotto: JMU +400 + Buffalo +800 + Boise St -125 80/1. .33u to win 26u
Lotto: JMU +400 + Buffalo +750 + Utah +700 318/1 .1 u to win 31.8u


Regular Season Wins Card:
Nevada under 4.5 -155 (DK)
Bowling Green under 6.5 -115 (DK)
South Alabama under 7.5 -145 (CZR)
Florida Atlantic under 4.5 +103 (FD + CZR 50/50)
Hawaii under 6.5 -140 (DK)
Tulane under 8.5 +110 (MGM)
Washington State under 5.5 -104 (FD)
Akron under 4.5 -115 (MGM)
New Mexico State under 4.5 +120 (DK)

NCAA Weekly Wagers:
Week 0:
Fresno State +14.5 (FD)

Week 1:
Utah -1.5 -115 (b365)
ECU +14 (CZR)
Northwestern +7.5 (FD)
Click to expand...


Blind tailing on so many based on all the years of respect for your mega respected work !!

Love seeing your futures on my hometown Bulls , can't wait for their season to start
 
DOUBLEUP4LIFE said:
Blind tailing on so many based on all the years of respect for your mega respected work !!

Love seeing your futures on my hometown Bulls , can't wait for their season to start
Click to expand...
Very kind words brother.

Feel like the U AT Buffalo will have their hand in what happens in the whacky MAC this season

Should win their first 6 in league play before hosting the last two. Like the QB, OL should be just fine. While losing Dolac is significant most everyone else comes back defensively…just a solid shored up team with consistency expected throughout the various units. BULLS!!
 
2025 NCAA FB Futures Portfolio Updated 6/14/25
Utah to win the B12 +1400 0.5 to win 7.0u
Fresno State to win the MWC +900 .37 to win 3.33u
Middle Tennessee State to win CUSA +2500 .231u to win 6.00u
Virginia to win ACC 200/1 .05u to win 10u
Tulsa to win AAC 300/1 .05u to win 15u
Buffalo to win MAC 7.5/1 1.33u to win 9.98u
UTSA to win AAC +750 1.33u to win 9.98u
Lotto: JMU +400 + Buffalo +800 + Boise St -125 80/1. .33u to win 26u
Lotto: JMU +400 + Buffalo +750 + Utah +700 318/1 .1 u to win 31.8u

Conference RR Lotto: 5's, 4's, 3's
1. UTSA 2. Liberty 3. Buffalo 4. JMU 5. Fresno State 6. Utah


Regular Season Wins Card:
Nevada under 4.5 -155 (DK)
Bowling Green under 6.5 -115 (DK)
South Alabama under 7.5 -145 (CZR)
Florida Atlantic under 4.5 +103 (FD + CZR 50/50)
Hawaii under 6.5 -140 (DK)
Tulane under 8.5 +110 (MGM)
Washington State under 5.5 -104 (FD)
Akron under 4.5 -115 (MGM)
New Mexico State under 4.5 +120 (DK)
California under 5.5 +120 (MGM)
Marshall under 5.5 -110 (B365)

NCAA Weekly Wagers:
Week 0:
Fresno State +14.5 (FD)

Week 1:
Utah -1.5 -115 (b365)
ECU +14 (CZR)
Northwestern +7.5 (FD) + NW +7 (CZR) ADDED 1/2 unit here.
Michigan -34.5 (CZR)
Buffalo +18.5 (CZR)
 
2025 NCAA FB Futures Portfolio Updated 6/14/25
Utah to win the B12 +1400 0.5 to win 7.0u
Fresno State to win the MWC +900 .37 to win 3.33u
Middle Tennessee State to win CUSA +2500 .231u to win 6.00u
Virginia to win ACC 200/1 .05u to win 10u
Tulsa to win AAC 300/1 .05u to win 15u
Buffalo to win MAC 7.5/1 1.33u to win 9.98u
UTSA to win AAC +750 1.33u to win 9.98u
Lotto: JMU +400 + Buffalo +800 + Boise St -125 80/1. .33u to win 26u
Lotto: JMU +400 + Buffalo +750 + Utah +700 318/1 .1 u to win 31.8u

Conference RR Lotto: 5's, 4's, 3's
1. UTSA 2. Liberty 3. Buffalo 4. JMU 5. Fresno State 6. Utah


Regular Season Wins Card:
Nevada under 4.5 -155 (DK)
Bowling Green under 6.5 -115 (DK)
South Alabama under 7.5 -145 (CZR)
Florida Atlantic under 4.5 +103 (FD + CZR 50/50)
Hawaii under 6.5 -140 (DK)
Tulane under 8.5 +110 (MGM)
Washington State under 5.5 -104 (FD)
Akron under 4.5 -115 (MGM)
New Mexico State under 4.5 +120 (DK)
California under 5.5 +120 (MGM)
Marshall under 5.5 -110 (B365)
Colorado under 6.5 -140 (B365)

NCAA Weekly Wagers:
Week 0:
Fresno State +14.5 (FD)

Week 1:
Utah -1.5 -115 (b365)
ECU +14 (CZR)
Northwestern +7.5 (FD) + NW +7 (CZR) ADDED 1/2 unit here.
Michigan -34.5 (CZR)
Buffalo +18.5 (CZR)
 
2025 NCAA FB Futures Portfolio Updated 6/19/25
Utah to win the B12 +1400 0.5 to win 7.0u
Fresno State to win the MWC +900 .37 to win 3.33u
Middle Tennessee State to win CUSA +2500 .231u to win 6.00u
Virginia to win ACC 200/1 .05u to win 10u
Tulsa to win AAC 300/1 .05u to win 15u
Buffalo to win MAC 7.5/1 1.33u to win 9.98u
UTSA to win AAC +750 1.33u to win 9.98u
Lotto: JMU +400 + Buffalo +800 + Boise St -125 80/1. .33u to win 26u
Lotto: JMU +400 + Buffalo +750 + Utah +700 318/1 .1 u to win 31.8u

Conference RR Lotto: 5's, 4's, 3's
1. UTSA 2. Liberty 3. Buffalo 4. JMU 5. Fresno State 6. Utah

Regular Season Wins Card:
Nevada under 4.5 -155 (DK)
Bowling Green under 6.5 -115 (DK)
South Alabama under 7.5 -145 (CZR)
Florida Atlantic under 4.5 +103 (FD + CZR 50/50)
Hawaii under 6.5 -140 (DK)
Tulane under 8.5 +110 (MGM)
Washington State under 5.5 -104 (FD)
Akron under 4.5 -115 (MGM)
New Mexico State under 4.5 +120 (DK)
California under 5.5 +120 (MGM)
Marshall under 5.5 -110 (B365)
Colorado under 6.5 -140 (B365)

NCAA Weekly Wagers:
Week 0:
Fresno State +14.5 (FD)

Week 1:
Utah -1.5 -115 (b365)
ECU +14 (CZR)
Northwestern +7.5 (FD) + NW +7 (CZR) ADDED 1/2 unit here.
Michigan -34.5 (CZR)
Buffalo +18.5 (CZR)
GOY: UGA -6.5 vs Tennessee (wk 3)
GOY: Washington -10.5 vs Wazzu (wk 4)
 
DOES ANYONE ELSE have any additional teams they want me to cover or go over? Happy to continue the offseason discussion on the college leagues.
 
2025 NCAA FB Futures Portfolio Updated 6/26/25
Utah to win the B12 +1400 0.5 to win 7.0u
Fresno State to win the MWC +900 .37 to win 3.33u
Middle Tennessee State to win CUSA +2500 .231u to win 6.00u
Virginia to win ACC 200/1 .05u to win 10u
Tulsa to win AAC 300/1 .05u to win 15u
Buffalo to win MAC 7.5/1 1.33u to win 9.98u
UTSA to win AAC +750 1.33u to win 9.98u
Lotto: JMU +400 + Buffalo +800 + Boise St -125 80/1. .33u to win 26u
Lotto: JMU +400 + Buffalo +750 + Utah +700 318/1 .1 u to win 31.8u

Conference RR Lotto: 5's, 4's, 3's
1. UTSA 2. Liberty 3. Buffalo 4. JMU 5. Fresno State 6. Utah

Regular Season Wins Card:
Nevada under 4.5 -155 (DK)
Bowling Green under 6.5 -115 (DK)
South Alabama under 7.5 -145 (CZR)
Florida Atlantic under 4.5 +103 (FD + CZR 50/50)
Hawaii under 6.5 -140 (DK)
Tulane under 8.5 +110 (MGM)
Washington State under 5.5 -104 (FD)
Akron under 4.5 -115 (MGM)
New Mexico State under 4.5 +120 (DK)
California under 5.5 +120 (MGM)
Marshall under 5.5 -110 (B365)
Colorado under 6.5 -140 (B365)
Jacksonville State under 6.5 -140 (DK)
Arkansas State under 5.5 -155 (CZR)
San Diego State over 4.5 -105 (DK)

NCAA Weekly Wagers:
Week 0:
Fresno State +14.5 (FD)

Week 1:
Utah -1.5 -115 (b365)
ECU +14 (CZR)
Northwestern +7.5 (FD) + NW +7 (CZR) ADDED 1/2 unit here.
Michigan -34.5 (CZR)
Buffalo +18.5 (CZR)
GOY: UGA -6.5 vs Tennessee (wk 3)
GOY: Washington -10.5 vs Wazzu (wk 4)
 
B.A.R. said:
Talk to me about a team that's being highly discussed this off-season...

Illinois.
Click to expand...
I think there is a chance Texas Tech takes some time to get it together, despite all of the talent that they infused onto their roster during portal season. Just have a feeling similar to Texas STATE, who did something similar, that it just might not work out on the road in hostile environments when they gotta have it.

Would expect the ACC to be a tad more wide open than the betting menu suggests. GT is a live player in that league this season, I believe.

Kinda just feel like maybe the Big 3 in the B10 (Ohio State, Oregon, Penn State) are a smidge worse than last season, and there could be a scenario with three games left in the season where a team like Iowa, Nebraska, Illinois could conceivably "control" their own destiny to slip into the game...could see any of those three being good enough to have a case at the playoff if 4 B10 squads get in again.

It just seems like Alabama is going to have it all together this season in Year 2 for Kalen. I could see this team making some real noise offensively with the coaching additions along with personnel returning. The D looks really ready to go and the coordinator additions were complete home runs in my opinion.

Arkansas @ Memphis might be the stinkiest spot in the country this year. woof. you layin it there?
 
steponaduck said:
I think there is a chance Texas Tech takes some time to get it together, despite all of the talent that they infused onto their roster during portal season. Just have a feeling similar to Texas STATE, who did something similar, that it just might not work out on the road in hostile environments when they gotta have it.

Would expect the ACC to be a tad more wide open than the betting menu suggests. GT is a live player in that league this season, I believe.

Kinda just feel like maybe the Big 3 in the B10 (Ohio State, Oregon, Penn State) are a smidge worse than last season, and there could be a scenario with three games left in the season where a team like Iowa, Nebraska, Illinois could conceivably "control" their own destiny to slip into the game...could see any of those three being good enough to have a case at the playoff if 4 B10 squads get in again.

It just seems like Alabama is going to have it all together this season in Year 2 for Kalen. I could see this team making some real noise offensively with the coaching additions along with personnel returning. The D looks really ready to go and the coordinator additions were complete home runs in my opinion.

Arkansas @ Memphis might be the stinkiest spot in the country this year. woof. you layin it there?
Click to expand...
Regarding the comment about the Big Ten --

With the Illinois schedule, I see them being in that position where perhaps they can slip into that B1G 'Ship game, as you mentioned. That's part of my cap on Illinois to win the conference at +6000

GT, with Mr King, is certainly one of the darlings of CTG in 2024 and I expect even better things this year.

So true on that Arky and Memphis game. The only thing missing from that situational wet dream is this game isn't a Thursday night standalone! As a situational handicapper at heart that does get the juices flowing!
 
DOUBLEUP4LIFE said:
Son just opened a Bowman pack with an Altlmyer autograph.. Hope he has a big year now lol ...

Interested to see Steponaduck's thoughts 🤔
Click to expand...
I mean...the d looks really ready to go for the Fighting Illini. very very strong in the front 7.

Leaning on the run game with that bruiser back Feagin (6'3" 250!!!) and Aiden Laughery should really open up the PA pass game and I would expect the completion percentage and YPP to increase. The Tight end should have a productive year, and overall this offense should be able to move it on just about anyone barring injury.

Massive exhale spot at purdue where we should all fade Illinois no matter how much we like this bunch this season. @ Washington will also not be easy but they are off a bye week which should help.

Hosting USC, and Ohio State will be good measuring sticks for where this team is at, as will a roady early at Duke.

I dont care if this team is laying 44.5 in week 1, they could (should) (woulda shoulda coulda) hang 70 on OVC bottom feeder Western Illinois. Could be really ugly early...
 
B.A.R. said:
Regarding the comment about the Big Ten --

With the Illinois schedule, I see them being in that position where perhaps they can slip into that B1G 'Ship game, as you mentioned. That's part of my cap on Illinois to win the conference at +6000

GT, with Mr King, is certainly one of the darlings of CTG in 2024 and I expect even better things this year.

So true on that Arky and Memphis game. The only thing missing from that situational wet dream is this game isn't a Thursday night standalone! As a situational handicapper at heart that does get the juices flowing!
Click to expand...
You are essentially getting 60/1 that they beat Ohio State and whoever they face in the Conf. Champ. game, but what SHOULD it be? 23/1? good value there in that play, and still will have a couple outs if desired. I really dont have interest in layin more than 14 late in the year as they could just be in "survive and advance" mode and the weather (cold/wind) could inhibit the offense after Nov1 as is par for the course. If that run game is humming late in the year this team could bout with Penn State or Oregon in Indy and would have the potential inside track against OSU after an Oct. 11th date at home.

Secretly hoping we get a sloppy, sleep walker performance against purdue (maybe the boilers are catching 26.5 or so?) and maybe an OSU blasting of minnesota on Oct 4th so we can be catching north of 14.5 when this proud bunch hosts the buckeyes.
 
"Refreshing the post" so to speak...pertaining to San Diego State. My thoughts early would have taken under at 6.5. I thought the RSW would be 5.5 which I think is a fair number. we have a number posted at 4.5 juiced under, but I can totally see offensive turn around in year two for Sean Lewis. Re-analyzing the schedule this group is very capable of plucking off Wazzu or Cal and the road trip to NIU is certainly winnable. The first two conference games hosting CSU and @ Nevada provide opportunities for wins. Very fortunate to host wyoming, as you do not want to play in laradise in November...woof. @ Hawaii is winnable and this bunch should be locked in on making a bowl game at this point in the season. Boise and Jose will be tough, but Jose is not out of the question as a home spot where they could be in that game late. I see 9 winnable games and this group could be favored in 6-7. With a win total this low, an improving team, and a group that will have plenty of shots on goal, this group should have plenty of chances to rack up the wins. The defense looks ready to go with 10 starters back on D and a much more improved secondary. Special teams operation and coverage units are shored up okay. We should see a massive uptick in quarterback play this year, which was such a crutch for this team last season. You have come to know and love me as a regular season win "UNDER" bettor, but this number appears too low, and so for the first time in 2025, I am playing OVER a win total. SDSU over 4.5 -105, DK.


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I want to ask a question about week 1 Huskers vs Bearcats.

I don’t see this on your list. Are you pondering anything here. I know NU is improving but last years 7-6. Dylan Raiola is good but still young. Anything about Cincy’s defense? Cindy finished horribly in 2024 and I feel like that is why a terrible historical Huskers road team is favored here.

The data loves Cincy, so I’m curious if you’re feeling anything in this matchup. Thanks.

Fun fact Before Cincy turned South in the final 5 weeks the Bearcats were -5 at home to the playoff bound ASU squad. Cincy Won and covered 24-14.
 
spottie2935 said:
I want to ask a question about week 1 Huskers vs Bearcats.

I don’t see this on your list. Are you pondering anything here. I know NU is improving but last years 7-6. Dylan Raiola is good but still young. Anything about Cincy’s defense? Cindy finished horribly in 2024 and I feel like that is why a terrible historical Huskers road team is favored here.

The data loves Cincy, so I’m curious if you’re feeling anything in this matchup. Thanks.

Fun fact Before Cincy turned South in the final 5 weeks the Bearcats were -5 at home to the playoff bound ASU squad. Cincy Won and covered 24-14.
Click to expand...
game is neutral in KC but certainly would expect more NEB fans in the seats. feels like our friend Bridge covered it pretty well over there across the street. I dont have much else to add on this one. not on my radar, but I would want +7 to play cincinnatta. Would expect a solid showing but a 31-21 type game would not surprise me either. Kinda time now for Nebraska to take that next step as a program, or recognize that they never will.
 
steponaduck said:
game is neutral in KC but certainly would expect more NEB fans in the seats. feels like our friend Bridge covered it pretty well over there across the street. I dont have much else to add on this one. not on my radar, but I would want +7 to play cincinnatta. Would expect a solid showing but a 31-21 type game would not surprise me either. Kinda time now for Nebraska to take that next step as a program, or recognize that they never will.
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Thanks I bet Cincy based upon I have not seen Nebraska be so credible to lay -7 if they elevate that’s fine I’ll re-evaluate. Until then
 
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