This may seem somewhat out there, but here it is.
The first 5 winners this primetime season have all scored 1st. Only 3 times in the last 6 years of primetime games (the extent of my tracking records) has there been a run of more than 6 straight primetime games where the 1st scorer went onto win. In other words, its a regular occurrence that 1st scoring teams lose, which has yet to happen this season (obviously).
With live betting, its also obvious that the team who goes down on the scoreboard first, have their odds rise. So, with the willingness to openly chase this streak*, my intention is to wait on live betting, and back the team thats scored against first.
The longest such runs of 1st scoring teams winning is
8 games - once
7 games - twice
6 games - twice
5 games - 4 times (not incl. the present run)
interestingly, a single season is responsible for the only instances of these streaks going beyond 6 games - the 2002 season, which as a whole had only 7 1st scoring losers out of 35 games: the lowest number for any season in my records, in other words, a statistical aberration (the last 2 seasons, by way of comparison, have had 12 & 17 instances of 1st scoring teams losing).
So, while some may look at my intention and think,
but hey, what happens if this present streak not only matches the previous *best* (which is obviously "possible", since its already happened) but breaks that mark - you'd be setting yourself up having to chase 4 or more losses
I'd simply observe that outside of that one statistically exceptional season, 5 other seasons havent delivered a run of more than 6 games of 1st scoring sides winning. IMO I'm looking at chasing a single loss, maybe 2 at most. And the beauty of this particular chase (especially if a TD is the first score) is the odds I'll be getting for this chase, will hardly be negligible.
