Shuffle off to BUFFALO for another must win/ DEGEN Thursday-Monday smorgasbord $$$

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Pretty much a regular
What's up Family ???

Been a wild week of chasing on tilt ( something I have not done since the late 90's) ..Thankfully the results were extremely positive ( will post the screen shots below) , was willing to risk pooping away a bunch of the HS football profits ..


Anyways...


Buffalo Bills are playing another must win game (sort of ) , appears they're catching the Cowboys in a great spot after their biggest win of the season over the Eagles. First Bills home game in a month ..

Excited to see the college football bowl season kickoff.




I'll update post #1 tomorrow...




BEST OF HEALTH,HAPPINESS, WEALTH,BLESSINGS, and LUCK TO ALL
 
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Thursday Night Degen Action

Easton Stick Over 18.5 Rushing Yards
$115/100

Easton Stick TD score +540
$50

Zamir White TD score +160
$50
 
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Thursday Night Harness

Woodbine Mohawk is my favorite track in the Galaxy...LOVE the 20 cent pick 5's

Starts in about 50 minutes

20 cent pick 5

Ticket A
Race 6. 2,3,4,6,7,8,9. First 2 legs look wide open, hoping for a bomber .
Race 7. 1,3,4,7,8,10
Race 8. 7,8
Race 9. 5. Should be worth the single
Race 10. 2,7,10
Cost $50.30


Ticket B
Race 6. 2,3,4,7,8,9
Race 7. 1,3,4,7,8,10
Race 8. 7,8
Race 9. 7,8
Race 10. 2
Cost $28.80
 
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Thursday Night Harness

Woodbine Mohawk is my favorite track in the Galaxy...LOVE the 20 cent pick 5's

Starts in about 50 minutes

20 cent pick 5

Ticket A
Race 6. 2,3,4,6,7,8,9. First 2 legs look wide open, hoping for a bomber .
Race 7. 1,3,4,7,8,10
Race 8. 7,8
Race 9. 5. Should be worth the single
Race 10. 2,7,10
Cost $50.30


Ticket B
Race 6. 2,3,4,7,8,9
Race 7. 1,3,4,7,8,10
Race 8. 7,8
Race 9. 7,8
Race 10. 2
Cost $28.80


Hmm. Fantastic start through 2 legs ...Beat the 3/5 chalk in the first leg with a horse $32 ...

Thinking of a little pick 3 hedge starting here in race 8 ...Probably a waste of time , but the degen in me will bite...
Pissed that they're betting the 6 here with a few minutes to post...Thought the 7 would be a mega chalk ...

Anways

$1 pick 3
6
5,7,8
2,7,10
Cost $9

40 cent pick 3
2,5
5,7,8
2,7,10
Cost $7.20


Another dookie night at the track $1 super chalk hedge paid $14.05

Lost $81.25 ...
 
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College football

Trying to keep bets today between $50-150 ...Don't have any confidence in today's action. So many players in the portal and who knows if many of these kids want to win or if they're just partying this week with their buddies ..

Georgia Southern -1.5. $50

Jacksonville St -2.5. $100

UCLA -5. $125

CAL ML +138. $70
 
Woodbine thoroughbred late pick 5 goes off in about 10 minutes....

20 cent

Ticket A
Race 6. 6,3,5,1,10,13,9
Race 7. 3. Could go off at 1/5
Race 8. 2,1. Don't see anyone outside these two chalks
Race 9. 1,5,3
Race 10. 1,6,5,9,12,8,3,11. A bomber here could make for a really nice payout.

Cost $67.20


Ticket B
Race 6. 6,3,5,1,10,13,9
Race 7. 9. Probably better off just betting $28 on this horse to win as a hedge , but if it does win and this Ticket caches it could be huge .
Race 8. 2,1
Race 9. 1,5
Race 10. 1,6,5,9,12
Cost $28
 
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Cheap hedge at Woodbine

40 cent pick 4
Race 7. 2
Race 8. 2,1
Race 9. 1,5,3
Race 10. 1,6,5,9,12,8,3,11
Cost $9.60


Alive for some nice payoffs with the bombers 13,11 ...

I'll take anything back thou lol
 

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Woodbine Mohawk late pick 5 looks juicy tonight ...First and last legs looks wife open , nice looking single in the small 6 horse field in the 3rd leg ..


20 cent

Ticket A

Race 6. 5,7,8,1,6,2. Trying to be the chalk ( whoever that end up being )

Race 7. 2,4,3. Might be able to leave the 3 off but this driver burns me when I do .

Race 8. 4. Might go off at 1/3 mega chalk

Race 9. 4,1,6. The 4 looks like a possible single as well but I'll go deeper here hoping for a little better pay off.

Race 10. 3,7,8,6,4. Hopefully this is deep enough !

Cost $54




Ticket B
5,7,8,1,6,2
2,4,3
4
2
3,7,8,6
Cost $14.40



Ticket B
5,7,8,1,6,2
2,4,3
2
4
3,7,8,6
Cost 14.40
 
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UFC


I know nothing about this sport or any of these fighters , but my 12 yr old is amped to watch his first UFC event ( wasn't allowed to the this point ) .
He's been doing his homework all day to pick who he thinks will win ...Go figure chalk across the board lol ..

Parlay +410
$125/$512.50
Mitchell
Pimblett
Rahkmanov
Pantoja
Edwards
 
This is a creative play, I like it.

Bills solid situation spot tomorrow.

What's deal with secondary injuries?.


Sorry , missed your post Brother
Appreciate you stopping by

Looks like a solid spot for the BILLS as well ..Should be a little rain , dampness and some wind. Not sure if Rayne Dakota Prescott will like that combined with the Mafia going bananas...The stadium crew often plays tricks with the doors when wind is a factor , the wind will really swirl when they want to frustrate the opposing qb ..Marino and O Brien mentioned this several times in the 80's/early 90's ...

..My only concern is Head Ref Craig Wrolstad, as Dak is 9-0 with him in control ...


Secondary should be fine ..Micah Hyde has been dealing with this neck injury for 3+ seasons now , they might be better in this spot without him ..


Best of luck Brother
Sweep your Sunday slate .
 
Lost $473 on non Posted screen shots since Monday...Including a brutal $88O swing on a 3 team parlay...
Have a few more screen shot nice winners to post, didn't want anyone to think I was bullshitting about it being a great week.

Since Monday not including today I'm up $3440 ...Sports investing is tough sledding thou , been a roller coaster the last few years once the HS football season ends.

Really love a few bets tomorrow. Not sure if I can stop myself from firing a grand+ on each ....
 
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Woodbine Mohawk late pick 5 looks juicy tonight ...First and last legs looks wife open , nice looking single in the small 6 horse field in the 3rd leg ..


20 cent

Ticket A

Race 6. 5,7,8,1,6,2. Trying to be the chalk ( whoever that end up being )

Race 7. 2,4,3. Might be able to leave the 3 off but this driver burns me when I do .

Race 8. 4. Might go off at 1/3 mega chalk

Race 9. 4,1,6. The 4 looks like a possible single as well but I'll go deeper here hoping for a little better pay off.

Race 10. 3,7,8,6,4. Hopefully this is deep enough !

Cost $54




Ticket B
5,7,8,1,6,2
2,4,3
4
2
3,7,8,6
Cost $14.40



Ticket B
5,7,8,1,6,2
2,4,3
2
4
3,7,8,6
Cost 14.40



What a chalk fest through 4 legs ...
As expected possible
payouts are trash
 

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Woodbine Mohawk late pick 5 looks juicy tonight ...First and last legs looks wife open , nice looking single in the small 6 horse field in the 3rd leg ..


20 cent

Ticket A

Race 6. 5,7,8,1,6,2. Trying to be the chalk ( whoever that end up being )

Race 7. 2,4,3. Might be able to leave the 3 off but this driver burns me when I do .

Race 8. 4. Might go off at 1/3 mega chalk

Race 9. 4,1,6. The 4 looks like a possible single as well but I'll go deeper here hoping for a little better pay off.

Race 10. 3,7,8,6,4. Hopefully this is deep enough !

Cost $54




Ticket B
5,7,8,1,6,2
2,4,3
4
2
3,7,8,6
Cost $14.40



Ticket B
5,7,8,1,6,2
2,4,3
2
4
3,7,8,6
Cost 14.40



Spent 82.80

Paid 13.02


Lost $69.78
 
If you not playing cook ov 21.5 rec yards I think ya crazy! We have plenty of evidence Brady intends on using him, I’d expect maybe a few screens to slow down the Dallas pass rush plus the times dalkas gets quick penetration and cook the safety valve. Every week that passes this should become second nature to Allen!!
 
UFC


I know nothing about this sport or any of these fighters , but my 12 yr old is amped to watch his first UFC event ( wasn't allowed to the this point ) .
He's been doing his homework all day to pick who he thinks will win ...Go figure chalk across the board lol ..

Parlay +410
$125/$512.50
Mitchell
Pimblett
Rahkmanov
Pantoja
Edwards


-$125 ...
We hit on a Pantoja Edwards parlay boost for $160 but that doesn't count here
 
College football

Trying to keep bets today between $50-150 ...Don't have any confidence in today's action. So many players in the portal and who knows if many of these kids want to win or if they're just partying this week with their buddies ..

Georgia Southern -1.5. $50

Jacksonville St -2.5. $100

UCLA -5. $125

CAL ML +138. $70


2-2. +$100

Just throwing darts ( blindly after getting spun around 97 times )
 
Adding


FALCONS -2.5. -118
2 UNITS
$472/400

For what it's worth my numbers have -5.39 here ..What does Carolina have to play for ?
 
Adding

NEW JERSEY JETS OVER 13.5 +105
3.5 Units
$700/735
Maybe Wilson has learned the Rodgers flick on the ball??
Could be a bad spot for the Fins , scared for Tua with the center out for the rest of the season with some tough games remaining..
Tempted to make this a grand , but it's the Jets after all
 
Adding

NEW JERSEY JETS OVER 13.5 +105
3.5 Units
$700/735
Maybe Wilson has learned the Rodgers flick on the ball??
Could be a bad spot for the Fins , scared for Tua with the center out for the rest of the season with some tough games remaining..
Tempted to make this a grand , but it's the Jets after all

I think jets win but I prob just take the points. Assuming cheetah out or not himself that means sauce can check waddle, I expect Wilson can have a solid game here:, Conklin a matchup problem and another prop i love ov 27.5 rec yards! Not sure how it go between garrett Wilson and Ramsey? Even if hill plays I don’t see a hobbled version of him smoking Sauce! If Wilson and get open on Ramsey jets win. If Garrett Wilson can just draw the attention I think jets have other guys who can make plays., no chance do I see this being a dd game
 
If you not playing cook ov 21.5 rec yards I think ya crazy! We have plenty of evidence Brady intends on using him, I’d expect maybe a few screens to slow down the Dallas pass rush plus the times dalkas gets quick penetration and cook the safety valve. Every week that passes this should become second nature to Allen!!


Absolutely..
I ran my ass to casino in light speed when it opened at 18.5 , it jumped to 20.5 in the first hour ...20.5 is a $600 play for me ..It's 22.5 at most of the online sites I use now ..
 
Absolutely..
I ran my ass to casino in light speed when it opened at 18.5 , it jumped to 20.5 in the first hour ...20.5 is a $600 play for me ..It's 22.5 at most of the online sites I use now ..

Damn, I had no clue it opened 18.5!! I don’t worry much bout nfl prop openers compared to ncaa for several reasons. Mostly cause I don’t spend nearly the time w nfl, mostly just a night before thing for me, lol. It prob burn me now but those 3 yards don’t mean Jack to me, lol., He will be lined up around the top pass catching backs by end of year (high 20s). Until then immense value imo. Every week allem gets more comfy getting it out to him quick for positive yards, you know Dallas will get plenty of early pressure so this a no brainer once again.
 
Damn, I had no clue it opened 18.5!! I don’t worry much bout nfl prop openers compared to ncaa for several reasons. Mostly cause I don’t spend nearly the time w nfl, mostly just a night before thing for me, lol. It prob burn me now but those 3 yards don’t mean Jack to me, lol., He will be lined up around the top pass catching backs by end of year (high 20s). Until then immense value imo. Every week allem gets more comfy getting it out to him quick for positive yards, you know Dallas will get plenty of early pressure so this a no brainer once again.


Dorsey drove me nuts , he completely took the backs and safety valves out of Allen's reads imo ...Under Daboll the Backs and close to the line TE was one of the first reads , or at least it appeared that way ...

Agree with all your assements and predictions.
 
James Cook over 20.5 rec yards
3 units
$660/600

Should be used early and often not only as a safety valve but in routes down field ..
 
Isiah Likely over 3.5 catches +108
2.5 units ($500)
Very happy to get this at plus money..Likely could be the type of te in this offense that wins an owner his fantasy league ..
 
Keaton Mitchell TD +200
$200

KEATON MITCHELL 2 TD. +1200
$42

MITCHELL OVER 44.5 RUSH
$250

MITCHELL OVER 9.5 REC Y
$150
 
NFL
Sunday +$126. Please punch me in the face 1,000 times if I ever try to bet on a Jersey Jets team total over ..

Week 15 to date +$1,616 on Posted plays above
 
Adding

WESTERN KENTUCKY +4.5
$125
I'll take the points with the 17th best passing team in the country ( or whatever the "stats" say )

I’m assuming wku have a lot of guys not playing? Pretty much only explanation for moves like this. Opened at pk and now +6.5, plus I don’t see any qb props for wku. Not saying it matters, just saying it appears they gonna have a new trigger man leading the passing attack. No clue if he a downgrade or just different?
 
NFL
Sunday +$126. Please punch me in the face 1,000 times if I ever try to bet on a Jersey Jets team total over ..

Week 15 to date +$1,616 on Posted plays above

If it makes you feel any better I played Zach Wilson ov 176.5 pass yards! That was hilariously embarrassing but not so funny I had a bunch tied up on Conklin ov 24.5 rec. i can’t even fathom how a team can be so poorly coached and apparently care so little they muster a grand total of 4 fucking yards in the 1st half!! Miami d ain’t all that good even!!
 
I’m assuming wku have a lot of guys not playing? Pretty much only explanation for moves like this. Opened at pk and now +6.5, plus I don’t see any qb props for wku. Not saying it matters, just saying it appears they gonna have a new trigger man leading the passing attack. No clue if he a downgrade or just different?

Clearly should have waited..This was a wake up early and just bet on information. Ya read a week ago....lol

I strongly hate this new era of college football...Hopefully next years playoff sort of changes my mind..
 
Clearly should have waited..This was a wake up early and just bet on information. Ya read a week ago....lol

I strongly hate this new era of college football...Hopefully next years playoff sort of changes my mind..

It is a bitch, used to be by this point I had pages of notes and leans with bunch of plays already made on the upcoming bowls, this year I all but stopped even looking at the matchups! Outside just a few games I’ve read ppl discussing that interesting enough to have peaked my interest I don’t even know who the hell playing who, didn’t even bother playing in the free confidence pool ctg does let alone play in a pay one I always used to, those were always so much fun too, now they basically no different than playing a scratch off ticket!!

Last year was least amount of early work I ever had done (til this year!) and I still managed a pretty sick record w mostly props, problem was a large amount of ones I missed it wasn’t even being wrong bout the game script or even position but just flat out wrong bout which guy played! Nothing is more frustrating than watching a running back go for 200 when you played who you thought was gonna be that teams rb! That guy ends up getting 4-5 snaps just to make sure the play counts!! Lol. I think draft kings punk asses even set me up a few times as they often had number for one guy and not the other which basically helped me decide I was likely on the correct guy!!! Actually just tipped my hat to them on a few, the way I often laugh at then bust their head for awful lines they really stunted on me w couple of those!! Gonna have to be more careful when speculating on a replacement for a transfer portal or draft departure sitting out. Just sucks when you know you have a great matchup with a soft number but not sure which fucking kid gonna get the call, it don’t matter how much reading, researching, press conf watching you do, it just like the 1st week of the year, these Mfers will lie!!!!


Playoffs will def help this problem it just creates the unfortunate side effect of ruining thanksgiving week and the conf tourney week.
 
It is a bitch, used to be by this point I had pages of notes and leans with bunch of plays already made on the upcoming bowls, this year I all but stopped even looking at the matchups! Outside just a few games I’ve read ppl discussing that interesting enough to have peaked my interest I don’t even know who the hell playing who, didn’t even bother playing in the free confidence pool ctg does let alone play in a pay one I always used to, those were always so much fun too, now they basically no different than playing a scratch off ticket!!

Last year was least amount of early work I ever had done (til this year!) and I still managed a pretty sick record w mostly props, problem was a large amount of ones I missed it wasn’t even being wrong bout the game script or even position but just flat out wrong bout which guy played! Nothing is more frustrating than watching a running back go for 200 when you played who you thought was gonna be that teams rb! That guy ends up getting 4-5 snaps just to make sure the play counts!! Lol. I think draft kings punk asses even set me up a few times as they often had number for one guy and not the other which basically helped me decide I was likely on the correct guy!!! Actually just tipped my hat to them on a few, the way I often laugh at then bust their head for awful lines they really stunted on me w couple of those!! Gonna have to be more careful when speculating on a replacement for a transfer portal or draft departure sitting out. Just sucks when you know you have a great matchup with a soft number but not sure which fucking kid gonna get the call, it don’t matter how much reading, researching, press conf watching you do, it just like the 1st week of the year, these Mfers will lie!!!!


Playoffs will def help this problem it just creates the unfortunate side effect of ruining thanksgiving week and the conf tourney week.


Playoffs seem like a cool idea, but as you mention they really lessen Thanksgiving weekend and the Conference championships ..

Why even bother playing strong opponents out of Conference ??

Miss the days of hammering the opening Bowl lines without much worry of 10 players per side leaving before kickoff ...
 
Woodbine Mohawk

Solid looking 11 race slate tonight

Race 1

60 cent Tri
2,8
2,3,4,5,6,8,9,10
7
Cost 8.40

40 cent Super
2,8
2,4,8
All
7
$8
 
Woodbine Mohawk

60 cent pick 3
Race 2. 1,2,6,7,9,10
Race 3. 1
Race 4. 4,6,10
Cost 10.80

20 cent pick 3
Race 2. 1,2,6,7,9,10
Race 3. 7
Race 4. 4,6,10
Cost $3.60
 
Playoffs seem like a cool idea, but as you mention they really lessen Thanksgiving weekend and the Conference championships ..

Why even bother playing strong opponents out of Conference ??

Miss the days of hammering the opening Bowl lines without much worry of 10 players per side leaving before kickoff ...

I guess it could actually encourage teams to play a tougher non conf early in the year, a loss isn’t gonna keep them out the top 12, the way it been there was basically no incentive to play anyone out of conf, that why I’m glad they let bama in, had they left bsma out it woulda screamed they shoulda played another little sisters of the poor and stayed unbeaten rather than take that L to texas. Only thing Is these damn conf are getting so overcrowded not gonna be room for much out of conf anyways. The conf champ games basically being killed by the shear amount of teams joining the power 4, so many teams won’t be playing each other going forward we won’t know who the best damn team is anyways, lol. Last few weeks be anticlimactic for the top teams but the attention will just shift to the teams in the 8-15 spots, of course few years from now we will be hearing how teams 13 and 14 got cheated which will lead to the obvious expanding to a 16 team playoff! Lol. Think I’m playing? Every year we get ppl arguing over the poor 68th team who got cheated out of the hoops tourney and every year they talk more bout that becoming a 100 teams!! Lol
 
Woodbine mohawk

Rough start tonight, thankfully it's been peanuts lost to this point .

Race 4

40 cent pick 4
Race 4. 4,5,6,10
Race 5. 1,2,6,7,9
Race 6. 6,9,10
Race 7. 4
Cost $22

20 cent pick 4
Race 4. 4,5,6,10
Race 5. 1,6,7
Race 6. 6,9,10
Race 7. 5
Cost $7.20
 
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