SEC Week 8

Really Interesting stat on TNR this morning: under Saban from 2014 - 2023, Bama gave up one TD drive of 16+ plays. Thus far in '24 it has given up three of them.
It's wild. Our YPP numbers are actually really pretty good, it's just that everyone seems to be able to get 3-5 yards when they need it, whether it's 3rd or 4th down. There is some concern in the building with the defensive scheme and the lack of toughness from some of the players. Too many arm tackles, bad technique and going for the strip instead of just getting the ball carrier down. Guess we'll see if any changes are made and if it's not too late
 
Ags coming off a good performance, the cowbells always give them trouble, LSU on deck.
now is not the time to stubb your toe.
 
Any concerns at this point regarding GA secondary? Their pass D seems to be going in the wrong direction allowing 11.3 YPA to Bama, 7.4 to Auburn and 8.3 to Miss St. Phil had them ranked as #3 secondary pre-season. I did not see any of Miss St. game but was surprised that Miss St. was able to move the ball through the air effectively.

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Any concerns at this point regarding GA secondary? Their pass D seems to be going in the wrong direction allowing 11.3 YPA to Bama, 7.4 to Auburn and 8.3 to Miss St. Phil had them ranked as #3 secondary pre-season. I did not see any of Miss St. game but was surprised that Miss St. was able to move the ball through the air effectively.

View attachment 89497
That unit is not good.
 
It's wild. Our YPP numbers are actually really pretty good, it's just that everyone seems to be able to get 3-5 yards when they need it, whether it's 3rd or 4th down. There is some concern in the building with the defensive scheme and the lack of toughness from some of the players. Too many arm tackles, bad technique and going for the strip instead of just getting the ball carrier down. Guess we'll see if any changes are made and if it's not too late
Thing is it seems like NFL defenses are promoting strip tackling more now than ever so it's hard to blame college guys for tackling in that way if they want to play at the next level.
 
they're getting paid
they aren't going to hurt/commit themselves

Look at the pros
ceedee gets the contract, can't catch
dak get the contract, can't throw(never could so there's that)

this was football
 
broke mcpherson's jaw. five frogs carried out on stretchers
it doesn't have to be that extreme, but that's football
 
Any concerns at this point regarding GA secondary? Their pass D seems to be going in the wrong direction allowing 11.3 YPA to Bama, 7.4 to Auburn and 8.3 to Miss St. Phil had them ranked as #3 secondary pre-season. I did not see any of Miss St. game but was surprised that Miss St. was able to move the ball through the air effectively.
Lost in all the media self felatio on the apparent Alabama downfall is the fact that UGA looks nothing like the team they’ve been for the last 3-4 years either
 
I think Texas is very good this year, possibly the best team in the country. But let's not act like they've played some murderer's row to this point

I like Horns to win this weekend. I think there's a loss somewhere with Vandy, SC, Kentucky or Arkansas, and then there's A&M which is a tossup.

So still sticking to two losses possibly. Obviously hope I'm wrong.
 
I like Horns to win this weekend. I think there's a loss somewhere with Vandy, SC, Kentucky or Arkansas, and then there's A&M which is a tossup.

So still sticking to two losses possibly. Obviously hope I'm wrong.

This is a good test this week.

I'd say 2 losses should be a disappointment to be honest.
 
I like Horns to win this weekend. I think there's a loss somewhere with Vandy, SC, Kentucky or Arkansas, and then there's A&M which is a tossup.

So still sticking to two losses possibly. Obviously hope I'm wrong.
Ags secondary is slow.
They did show good closing speed vs mizzou but maybe cook hung the ball up a bit.
 
This is a good test this week.

I'd say 2 losses should be a disappointment to be honest.

I still think there are some growing pains in store relating to immersion in the new league. The week 8 - 11 grind in this conference is going to be different than that in the Big 12, obviously.

Depth is very, very good on the team so that's going to help.
 
I like Horns to win this weekend. I think there's a loss somewhere with Vandy, SC, Kentucky or Arkansas, and then there's A&M which is a tossup.

So still sticking to two losses possibly. Obviously hope I'm wrong.
My initial lean is that Texas can do enough on both sides of the ball to make this really tough on UGA, who hasn't looked great this year outside a couple of second halves against Clemson and Alabama. A slow start against Texas would likely be too much to come back from. But unlike most seasons, UGA has already been exposed to like talent, not only once but twice. I feel like in years past that they struggle the first time they can't just out-talent a team, but the next time they play much better. And we haven't seen UGA in a must-win regular season game in quite a while. I still think I like Texas, but I'm going to let it marinate a while
 
I still think there are some growing pains in store relating to immersion in the new league. The week 8 - 11 grind in this conference is going to be different than that in the Big 12, obviously.

Depth is very, very good on the team so that's going to help.
This
 

It's gotten lost in the shuffle with the RB emergence of Wisner and Blue's play but the Baxter (and Christian Clark) season-ending losses, 6 days apart in summer camp, were considered very significant at the time. Sarkisian has a stack of players and he just plugged in other guys to compensate for this without really skipping a beat at that position. We've already talked about the WR #s.
 
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Tenn/Bama Under 1st H under (should be 28ish) is worth a look. Tennessee hasn't scored in the 1st H the last 2 games....Bama secondary is their weakness, but Nico can't exploit it. The Vols defense is solid, and Milroe gonna have to work for points. Deep balls to RW aren't gonna work every week. I see some fgs and a couple turnovers early....
 
I said a few weeks ago to friends. LSU will beat Ole Miss and lose to Arkansas

Thought it would be at 11AM.

Is green healthy? If he playing I like arky, without him not so sure. Been super impressed with some the schemes arky dc coming up with, he better figure out a way to get more pressure this week or lsu qb will pick them apart.
 
Feel like bama is gonna roast the Vols, bama can stop the run and that Vols qb ain’t it. Whenever Milroe has time his WRs will be hitting their heads on the goal post!
 
AU +6.5/51.5 @ Mizzou
South Carolina +3/40.5 @ OU
Alabama -2.5/55.5 @ Tennessee
aTm -15/55.5 @ Miss St
LSU +3/54.5 @ Arkansas
Vandy -26.5/58.5 vs Ball State
UGA +3.5/56.5 @ Texas
UK +2/42.5 @ Florida
SEC has seen some big ML Dog winners past few weeks but looks to me that trend is over.
 
Is green healthy? If he playing I like arky, without him not so sure. Been super impressed with some the schemes arky dc coming up with, he better figure out a way to get more pressure this week or lsu qb will pick them apart.
Pressure on LSU could prove difficult with good pass blocking off line 21/2 sack ratio. Nussmeier good at getting the ball out quickly and game mgt with his reads.
 
Is green healthy? If he playing I like arky, without him not so sure. Been super impressed with some the schemes arky dc coming up with, he better figure out a way to get more pressure this week or lsu qb will pick them apart.
I’ve heard he isn’t exactly 100 percent but yea, big game changer for Arky
 
...State is playing pretty well right now all things considered.

Already hit Auburn/Mizzou O 51.5.
Grove would be interested in your thoughts on Aub/Mo over. I see maybe a lower tempo game here, though Aub very TO prone which could help the scoring. Aub does seem to occasionally hit some chunk plays in the passing game and I was surprised their YPA is 9.6 on the season. Mo has been good at limiting opposition plays (58) avg.
 
Grove would be interested in your thoughts on Aub/Mo over. I see maybe a lower tempo game here, though Aub very TO prone which could help the scoring. Aub does seem to occasionally hit some chunk plays in the passing game and I was surprised their YPA is 9.6 on the season. Mo has been good at limiting opposition plays (58) avg.
AU is kinda weird because they actually move the ball pretty well. They just consistently throw up on themselves with a backbreaking turnover(s). If they ever played a clean game, they are probably a top 20ish team. I kind of think they win straight up this weekend.
 
AU is kinda weird because they actually move the ball pretty well. They just consistently throw up on themselves with a backbreaking turnover(s). If they ever played a clean game, they are probably a top 20ish team. I kind of think they win straight up this weekend.
Agree. Not a Mizzou believer at all
 
AU is kinda weird because they actually move the ball pretty well. They just consistently throw up on themselves with a backbreaking turnover(s). If they ever played a clean game, they are probably a top 20ish team. I kind of think they win straight up this weekend.
@Timh Basically this. Auburn’s problem isn’t moving the ball, it’s holding on to it. I keep thinking there’s some positive turnover regression coming for them but it’s certainly possible that Thorne just keeps throwing it to the wrong team.

I think that Freeze will have things schemed up here off the bye and I trust Drink to get Mizzou on track offensively after a horrible showing in their last SEC outing. I think Auburn finally plays a relatively clean game offensively and Mizzou will be forced to keep up. There should be enough pace for both teams to get in to the high 20’s.
 
@Timh Basically this. Auburn’s problem isn’t moving the ball, it’s holding on to it. I keep thinking there’s some positive turnover regression coming for them but it’s certainly possible that Thorne just keeps throwing it to the wrong team.

I think that Freeze will have things schemed up here off the bye and I trust Drink to get Mizzou on track offensively after a horrible showing in their last SEC outing. I think Auburn finally plays a relatively clean game offensively and Mizzou will be forced to keep up. There should be enough pace for both teams to get in to the high 20’s.
AU is -11 in turnover margin this season, with 15 total TOs. That is so bad. It shouldn't be sustainable, but you never know. I have seen some stats on Hugh Freeze teams and turnovers, so it may be a feature and not a bug of their offense
 
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