SEC Week 4 Discussion

gps_3

Head of Alabama Department of Decision-Making
Starting to get a feel on who some of these teams are. Should be an interesting week
 
Arkansas -7.5 @ Memphis
Tenn -39.5 vs UAB
AU +6.5 @ Oklahoma
Ole Miss -12.5 vs Tulane
Miss St -22 vs N. Illinois
S Carolina +13.5 @ Mizzou
Florida +7.5 @ Miami (FL)
Vandy -26.5 vs Georgia St
Texas -41.5 vs Sam Houston
LSU (NL) vs SE Louisiana
 
The losses in the Texas Offensive line and the WR completely incapable of getting open (and ball might not get to them if they are) is a really big problem moving forward even if Manning rights his ship. Easiest Texas schedule I can remember in the last 20 years or so ... so they do have time to maybe get right and make a playoff push but they are not looking so good.

Their box score (Other than final score) was better against Ohio State than it was against UTEP.
 
Sellers is a go per Gameday. I was already on them because I don't trust Mizzou. Glad I got the 13 now that it's down to 10.

As we all know, I'm notoriously bad at picking AU games, both against them and on them, so tread lightly. I don't think this is a particularly good situation for them. I'm not sold on all the OU hype, but I feel pretty confident that their OU will make Jackson Arnold pass downfield to beat them, and that's something he hasn't done to this point, and even with those receivers, I'm not sure this is the week they figure out a downfield passing game. I think Mateer will be able to pass the ball pretty effectively against the weak AU pass defense, though his propensity to put the ball in harm's way is a little concerning.

Chambliss is starting for Ole Miss. I'll defer to @twinkie13 when it comes to Tulane, but that's where I lean

Over or nothing in Memphis?

Kinda like Vandy to crush Ga St in a revenge spot

I don't have any real reason, but I feel like Florida plays Miami really close tonight. I admittedly haven't seen much of Miami other than highlights, but Florida and Napier have their backs against the wall and this feels like a desperate team playing against one of the darlings of the nation in the early season. I'm sure there will be multiple instances of in game coaching malpractice on both sides, so give me the points
 
I haven’t seen enough of Ole Miss to have a legit feel here. This is a big ask for G5 school after the schedule they’ve had.
I don’t have a great feel for this one honestly…gun to head I’d probably play the points but I could see Lane covering too.

Sidebar I’m in Mississippi, and I guess I’m driving to Hollywood or Golden Nugget…can’t get on my FD account. Will they let my 12 year old in?
 
I could see LSU with another sleepwalk game,
I can’t see Kelly taking it out on the little neighbor next door. Les and O didn’t if recall right
 
I haven’t seen enough of Ole Miss to have a legit feel here. This is a big ask for G5 school after the schedule they’ve had.
I don’t have a great feel for this one honestly…gun to head I’d probably play the points but I could see Lane covering too.

Sidebar I’m in Mississippi, and I guess I’m driving to Hollywood or Golden Nugget…can’t get on my FD account. Will they let my 12 year old in?
Don’t know for certain but I think they will let kids in with parents.

Ole Miss with a backup QB and LSU on deck. They just need to win. I don’t know how motivated Kiffin will be to cover. I like Under 61 but I liked Under against Arkansas too.
 
I could see LSU with another sleepwalk game,
I can’t see Kelly taking it out on the little neighbor next door. Les and O didn’t if recall right
Very little benefit for LSU to do anything other than come out with a vanilla game plan and get an easy win. I'm sure they'd like to get the offense some momentum heading into the Ole Miss game, but don't really want to put too much on tape. Defense should make it very difficult for SELA to do much of anything, so I can see LSU getting a few score lead and shutting it all down
 
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