twinkie13
In transit, arriving late.
Yea they broke SEC records. Messy St. In BR.
SEC Week 4 Discussion
- Thread starter gps_3
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twinkie13
In transit, arriving late.
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
Mississippi State gets to face a one dimensional offense as well.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I was kinda starting to lean under, gotta figure lsu defense will have something to prove after last year.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Messy st defense looked really good to me against ncst
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
The Miss St D performance vs NC St has me at a crossroads on two games.
Is the NC St O somewhat easy to matchup against and stop (and applying that to the Clemson game)?
Or is the Miss St D pretty good? Look what they did to Memphis. Memphis does have frosh QB, but their run game is very G5 strong. Guess it doesn't take an awesome P5 D to slow a great G5 run game, but I respect Miss St D from what they did vs Memphis (and applying that to the LSU game).
LSU hasn't run the ball on anyone this year. Doubt it starts now. Maybe Johnson can just go off all game?
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I was so disappointed in ncst performance in starksville. Last few years I have raved about their play calling and creativity on offense, didnt see any of that against messy. I suppose credit messy d but neither those 2 ncst rb’s I like got enough touches imo. Only 8 carries a piece and very limited opportunities in the passing game. It’s not like the game was ever way out of hand to abandoned them.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
How bad is it when only the ISU game is one I look more forward to than UTSA/Memphis this week? Looking forward to aTm/Hogs of course but I love that game, line is set right and lucky to get the over in early me thinks.
Such an interesting game
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
Memphis scored 2 non-offensive TDs and were awful on 3rd down. But that was against SEC D so maybe it isn't all that surprising they got held to 246 and 4.6ypp.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Not at all. As mentioned I think the messy st d might actually be pretty good. Then I saw Memphis hung 31 and had to look closer. Seems like messy d did a number on the offense for most part.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
I got o65 and see it's jumped up a bit, just looking forward to it
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
So, can Miss State limited LSU passing game - because everyone has limited the LSU run game, so only one thing to worry about right?
Not sure what defensive unit is better in that one.
I do personally like the motivation and revenge angle for Tiger D to atone for that national embarrassment from last year. Is that enough though?
Not sure what defensive unit is better in that one.
I do personally like the motivation and revenge angle for Tiger D to atone for that national embarrassment from last year. Is that enough though?
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
LT 10 points off turnovers, can't remember where on the field they got those - edit one was a pick-six. Miss St lost 4 turnovers in that one
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Now that you mention I do recall that being talked bout a lot during the ncst game.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Yea, they took opening kick to house against ncst I think.
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
yes that was the one, the other wasn't a TD, but a 70 yard return in the comeback vs LaTech
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Thing with Messy is I don't see an identity at all. It's like they're playing on the fly
We all know what Leach is about, we all know what SEC is about and it's like they've mixed oil and water there
Exactly why Lane is >>>>> the pirate. He actually knows what he needs to do, Leach seems lost
We all know what Leach is about, we all know what SEC is about and it's like they've mixed oil and water there
Exactly why Lane is >>>>> the pirate. He actually knows what he needs to do, Leach seems lost
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Yeah and that's basically the opposite of the Leach philosophy. I can't make two cents of any of it
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
That looks like a situation where I would watch a half and maybe do the opposite in the 2nd H if it is a good number. If they come out and put up a good amount of points...can they keep that up, will there be adjustments to make the 2nd H lower scoring? Or if they come out and can't score, if the 2nd H Over is reasonable relative to the original total, maybe I consider that for same reasons, adjustments, familiarity with what they are trying to do. Many times what happens in the 1st H doesn't happen in the 2nd H. I love finding unexpectedly lower scoring games at HT and then coming in an buying the over in the 2nd H at a discount. I like do the same with favorites who have unexpectedly not produced. I call it favorites on sale. Doesn't always work though. It's like just when your gut tells you the favorite sucks and they're in for a fight, they come out and have an awesome 2nd H...Packers Monday (trailed by 3 -6.5 were favored by 11.5), Browns Sunday (tied -5 were favored by 12), Ohio State Saturday (led by 7 -10 were favored by 25), UNC Saturday (trailed by 4 -6.5 were favored by 8). Doesn't always work, like Oklahoma wouldn've have worked. Same thing as betting live, I don't bet live, I just do halves. I do it more with sides, but works with totals too. Works with dogs who are down bigger too, if you believe in them, even if it looks ugly, bet them again. Just can't be afraid of losing more than you really wanted. Sometimes I'll win the dog 2nd H wager and it offsets a full game dog loss.
twinkie13
In transit, arriving late.
They finally played Mr Ohio in Kiner. He looks to be decent. Not saying they run wild, but
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
What is up with the Bradford kid, who came back from OU? He is eligible or no?
twinkie13
In transit, arriving late.
Not yet. And Emery still fighting his situation
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I hear ya, often times I’m not patient enough so end up on a over that cooked by half, usually fire again at half and more than not get my initial loss back. Lol.
I would think with way lsu got torched last year in this game it be more likely their defense is good early on. Gotta believe there now plenty of film for them to see the error in their ways how they defended leach last year which if I recall correctly was like the 1st game? Of course I’m not super high on lsu coaching staff so maybe not?
twinkie13
In transit, arriving late.
Emery just got cleared to play apparently
Grovehard
Pretty much a regular
Is anybody in the world on A&M? I was down on Arkansas entering the season, and they've made me look stupid so far. If Arkansas can run it on A&M, then I'll tip my hat, give my bankroll some relief, and stop fading them.....but I don't think that's likely. I'm not exactly eager to back the Ags with their QB/OL situation at this number so I might just wait on line movement or a live bet.
gps_3
Head of Alabama Department of Decision-Making
He going to take the rest of the year off?
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
I have ML parlay with Toledo on TAm
twinkie13
In transit, arriving late.
It’s being debated as we speak. He has a foot injury that sites and LSU are saying isn’t bad.
We got a few guys saying maybe out for the year(speculation), but his track record I can maybe agree with you at 1st blush and that was my thought as well…..
