Here we go:
New Orleans @ Golden State
Hornets are still short the "trio" and face a GS team off 3 days rest that has taken a series of tough beats at home while now also dropping 4 straight. The Warriors are talent trying to become a team. It will take time for them to develop consistency especially playing Nelson's Fun and Gun offense. Richardson is listed as Doubtful but have not looked into his status recently.
New Orleans is just 1-6 SU past 7 and lost by twenty last nite in Sea. After 2 solid efforts they were flat. Has to be what the doctor ordered for GS IMO...NO is 1-3 SU and ATS on the road recently. They are 1-3 ATS on back to backs and you look at this team and its thin. It will also be iths 3rd road game in 4 nites and you know GS is pushing the tempo all nite. Simply put NO cannot score with GS...while it might seem crazy you would hope GS concentrates some on defense and I would lean towards an Under play here
<LI class=more>Hornets are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. Western Conference. <LI class=more>Hornets are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home <LI class=more>Hornets are 6-20-2 ATS iHornets are 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS loss.<LI class=more>Hornets are 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS loss.
<LI class=more>Play : Warriors -7.5 -106 (try to get -7)
Denver @ Dallas
While it flies under the radar the fact that Stackhouse is Questionable is huge IMO. Dallas doesnt get much bench scoring to begin with and w/o him your left with only George and Croshere for offense.
Looks like Dallas started this season slow and underperformed , then won a bunch of games thus overperforming and now struggling some again ubderperforming. With Denver being 6-2 SU & ATS you have to like the points in what usually plays out as a tight game....Playing back to back oustide of the end of theer 1st road trip has not been an issue.
Just gonna rid last nites DEN momentum....despite a so called bounce back spot and the 211 total seems to high....
Play: Denver +8 -110 & ML +330
Minny @ Chi
Playing back to back should only slightily benefit Chi since they were home and are probably deeper off the bench. To me yesterday was the spot they became overvalued. Simply put with Minny away struggles to be 8 pt dogs a nite after Tor caught 9 and covered or a week after the bottomfeeders of the East came through as 7 pt dogs just doesnt seem to be logical...
Minny is 6-2 ATS as a road dog and have played well enough @ places liek Dallas and Houston to cash....to me the Wolves continue to get no respect cause there is nothing SEXY about them outside of KG...most peopleprobably couldnt name therest of the T Wolves.....
With how Minny plays away the UNDER looks like the play as well...Since the opener Minny has struggled to crack 180 in road tilts
Play : Wolves +8 -110 & ML +330
LAC @ Memphis
This is one of the games you ask why get involved. I think at the end of the day though LAC might actually present value.....
Simply put Grizz are shorthanded they didnt have Swift or Roberts last nite which is something that would have talked me out of a huge play on Mmephis since they are already depleted...
Memphis is shorthanded and 0-6 SU in Bto B's while LAC is growing desperate to just win one away.... Unfortunately Memphis has not been kind to LA though and it something I wil revisist later
Indiana@ Cle
In a home dominanted series with revenge and rest on the mind for Cle you have to like the home team. The line might look high but I am sure revenge is built in , rest and O'Neals absence...taking it from 5.5 where it should be to 8..
Indy had that long trip and just had to battle back versus lowly Portland in the 2nd H without a key player....that has to be draining....
Home team is 8-2 SU and last meeting in Cle the Cavs won by 30.....Hughes has praticed will he play????
Play : Cavs -8 -110
Boston @ NJN
I have to get some help understanding this line.......last week celts outplay NJ for 3 quarters and fade late when NJ was DESPERATE for a WIN. They were about 3 pt favs now they travel to the Meadowlands and catch 8???? Let me say this To Good to be True here could be the understatement of the century...
I just dont get this line these are teams are basically even probably NJ -1 on a neutral court is the Suns game doing this ?? NJ is 2-8 SU and 1-9 ATS!!! Boston has not played well in NJ in recent years but they only fell by two last season and 3 last meeting they are 4-0ATS on Bto B's....to NJ 3-7-1 ATS on 1 day rest where they have dropped the cash the past 5....so it seems an under is in order??
<LI class=more>Nets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games. <LI class=more>Nets are 5-17-2 ATS in their last 24 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Play Boston +8 -110 (XLarge) & ML +290
Milw @ NYK
I am not crazy about the Milwaukee team but I also cant see why I would not take the points here.....simple logic tells me if NYK is -2 at home to Mem and Milw was just -5ish how can NY be -2.5 at hove vs Milw.....?? So lean towards fading NY as chalk....
This game should see alot of scoring....Bucks allowed a ton of points on recent road trip and we know they find ways to score it....Redd could be deadly if NY doesnt start defending the three ball..NY offense has played better and should put 100+ in what should be a close game...
Leans Over 207 -110 & Milw +2.5
Philly @ Orlando
Despite the 2nd H meltdown I still believe Philly is better w/o AI . They just ran into the smoking hot Arenas and Co....shit happens...
Philly can score but doesnt play much defense even the slow tempoed magic should see a score similiar to the 1st meeting. Right now in games involving Philly there is mostly guesswork but ORL like Ind seems sluggish since they returned from there West Coast trip...
<LI class=morehot>76ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. <LI class=more>76ers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a double-digit loss at home.<LI class=more>Magic are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite.<LI class=more>Underdog is 19-6 ATS in the last 25 meetings. <LI class=morecool>Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Leans : Philly +11 and ov 187
Houston @ Was
You have Houston playing 4th in 5 nites and favored away!!!
Like I said before yesterdays game The rockets simply are not as good away. They blew out a Bobcat team w/o Knight which is there leader. They had a day off basically while Wiz battle Philly for awhile....
I do not believe Hou should be favored here...had Wiz -1.5 actually..
The Wiz have won 5 of 6 and are 7-2 at home...the rockets are not a good zero days rest squad...
-Rockets are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
<LI class=more>Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. <LI class=morecool>Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. <LI class=morecool>Rockets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.<LI class=morecool>Wizards are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 0 days rest.
Play : Wiz +107 ML or +1 if u prefer..
New Orleans @ Golden State
Hornets are still short the "trio" and face a GS team off 3 days rest that has taken a series of tough beats at home while now also dropping 4 straight. The Warriors are talent trying to become a team. It will take time for them to develop consistency especially playing Nelson's Fun and Gun offense. Richardson is listed as Doubtful but have not looked into his status recently.
New Orleans is just 1-6 SU past 7 and lost by twenty last nite in Sea. After 2 solid efforts they were flat. Has to be what the doctor ordered for GS IMO...NO is 1-3 SU and ATS on the road recently. They are 1-3 ATS on back to backs and you look at this team and its thin. It will also be iths 3rd road game in 4 nites and you know GS is pushing the tempo all nite. Simply put NO cannot score with GS...while it might seem crazy you would hope GS concentrates some on defense and I would lean towards an Under play here
<LI class=more>Hornets are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. Western Conference. <LI class=more>Hornets are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home <LI class=more>Hornets are 6-20-2 ATS iHornets are 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS loss.<LI class=more>Hornets are 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS loss.
<LI class=more>Play : Warriors -7.5 -106 (try to get -7)
Denver @ Dallas
While it flies under the radar the fact that Stackhouse is Questionable is huge IMO. Dallas doesnt get much bench scoring to begin with and w/o him your left with only George and Croshere for offense.
Looks like Dallas started this season slow and underperformed , then won a bunch of games thus overperforming and now struggling some again ubderperforming. With Denver being 6-2 SU & ATS you have to like the points in what usually plays out as a tight game....Playing back to back oustide of the end of theer 1st road trip has not been an issue.
Just gonna rid last nites DEN momentum....despite a so called bounce back spot and the 211 total seems to high....
Play: Denver +8 -110 & ML +330
Minny @ Chi
Playing back to back should only slightily benefit Chi since they were home and are probably deeper off the bench. To me yesterday was the spot they became overvalued. Simply put with Minny away struggles to be 8 pt dogs a nite after Tor caught 9 and covered or a week after the bottomfeeders of the East came through as 7 pt dogs just doesnt seem to be logical...
Minny is 6-2 ATS as a road dog and have played well enough @ places liek Dallas and Houston to cash....to me the Wolves continue to get no respect cause there is nothing SEXY about them outside of KG...most peopleprobably couldnt name therest of the T Wolves.....
With how Minny plays away the UNDER looks like the play as well...Since the opener Minny has struggled to crack 180 in road tilts
Play : Wolves +8 -110 & ML +330
LAC @ Memphis
This is one of the games you ask why get involved. I think at the end of the day though LAC might actually present value.....
Simply put Grizz are shorthanded they didnt have Swift or Roberts last nite which is something that would have talked me out of a huge play on Mmephis since they are already depleted...
Memphis is shorthanded and 0-6 SU in Bto B's while LAC is growing desperate to just win one away.... Unfortunately Memphis has not been kind to LA though and it something I wil revisist later
Indiana@ Cle
In a home dominanted series with revenge and rest on the mind for Cle you have to like the home team. The line might look high but I am sure revenge is built in , rest and O'Neals absence...taking it from 5.5 where it should be to 8..
Indy had that long trip and just had to battle back versus lowly Portland in the 2nd H without a key player....that has to be draining....
Home team is 8-2 SU and last meeting in Cle the Cavs won by 30.....Hughes has praticed will he play????
Play : Cavs -8 -110
Boston @ NJN
I have to get some help understanding this line.......last week celts outplay NJ for 3 quarters and fade late when NJ was DESPERATE for a WIN. They were about 3 pt favs now they travel to the Meadowlands and catch 8???? Let me say this To Good to be True here could be the understatement of the century...
I just dont get this line these are teams are basically even probably NJ -1 on a neutral court is the Suns game doing this ?? NJ is 2-8 SU and 1-9 ATS!!! Boston has not played well in NJ in recent years but they only fell by two last season and 3 last meeting they are 4-0ATS on Bto B's....to NJ 3-7-1 ATS on 1 day rest where they have dropped the cash the past 5....so it seems an under is in order??
<LI class=more>Nets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games. <LI class=more>Nets are 5-17-2 ATS in their last 24 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Play Boston +8 -110 (XLarge) & ML +290
Milw @ NYK
I am not crazy about the Milwaukee team but I also cant see why I would not take the points here.....simple logic tells me if NYK is -2 at home to Mem and Milw was just -5ish how can NY be -2.5 at hove vs Milw.....?? So lean towards fading NY as chalk....
This game should see alot of scoring....Bucks allowed a ton of points on recent road trip and we know they find ways to score it....Redd could be deadly if NY doesnt start defending the three ball..NY offense has played better and should put 100+ in what should be a close game...
Leans Over 207 -110 & Milw +2.5
Philly @ Orlando
Despite the 2nd H meltdown I still believe Philly is better w/o AI . They just ran into the smoking hot Arenas and Co....shit happens...
Philly can score but doesnt play much defense even the slow tempoed magic should see a score similiar to the 1st meeting. Right now in games involving Philly there is mostly guesswork but ORL like Ind seems sluggish since they returned from there West Coast trip...
<LI class=morehot>76ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. <LI class=more>76ers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a double-digit loss at home.<LI class=more>Magic are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite.<LI class=more>Underdog is 19-6 ATS in the last 25 meetings. <LI class=morecool>Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Leans : Philly +11 and ov 187
Houston @ Was
You have Houston playing 4th in 5 nites and favored away!!!
Like I said before yesterdays game The rockets simply are not as good away. They blew out a Bobcat team w/o Knight which is there leader. They had a day off basically while Wiz battle Philly for awhile....
I do not believe Hou should be favored here...had Wiz -1.5 actually..
The Wiz have won 5 of 6 and are 7-2 at home...the rockets are not a good zero days rest squad...
-Rockets are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
<LI class=more>Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. <LI class=morecool>Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. <LI class=morecool>Rockets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.<LI class=morecool>Wizards are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 0 days rest.
Play : Wiz +107 ML or +1 if u prefer..
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