Saturday not liking how I'm doing Discussion

[GWarner27]

Locked in from the open:
New York (AL) ML (+120) @ Boston

interests from the open:
Chw -105
rangers -101
tb o8.5
tigers o9
atl -118
pit o7.5
mia +118/u7

 

[GWarner27]

Also looking at Rockies +171 & o9

 

[Play2win]

hang in there GW...you'll be ok...i'll bet on it :cheers:

 

[Play2win]

SARATOGA 8/17

Very good day of racing both at Saratoga and at Arlington and some very wide open races present an opportunity to maybe be correct in a race or two and profit for the day.

R1: #3,6,7 will all take money and could win but i'll go with #10 Fantastic Eyes - last race is a throw out, it was at 1m this is 5.5f and it was a yielding course, this firm and two races back made up ground vs speed wire to wire winner, three races back was 2nd beaten by 1 length to Frosty Bay, who has since came back to win another NY bred stallion race. I'll be making WIN bets on #10.

R2: Impossible race, 2yo's and mainly 1sters...likely use #1,2,3,4,6,7,8 to kick off early Pk 4.

R3: Using both Levine horses, that are both going turf to dirt...#3 and #6...who is dropping in for a tag. Possible win bet on #3 at decent price but #3,6 in Pk 4's.

R4: #6 Sliver and Onions is facing winners for the first time but did beat a solid msw field last time and has improved in Beyer's in all three of his starts...i'm against both Pletcher horses in here, #3 and #6...#2 could be live for Rudy at a price.

R5: #1,3,9,10,11 are the contenders...#3 live at huge price...#11 interesting because of conditions of race which read...3 yo and up that have not won a race on turf since 2/17 and #11 Livingston Street last won on turf on 2/17, so just slips into condition of race by the day...Johnny V jumps on live shipper who comes into this race off loss to Saintly Love, who has now won 6 in a row. #9 hot trainer and off claim and #10 also hot trainer who has popped at a price during meet in turf races and will be a price in here, has back races that put him in mix.

R6: I really like #2 Iron Power, who had tough trip in last...#3 has four best figs over this course, tough trip off layoff 3 back...mixed feelings on #12, but is coming into this race off two troubled trips.

R7: my top two are #5 Lawyer Jim, race over course running wide vs good field, has faced Jonrah (ran in West Point) in two of last three races...#6 Gold Megillah - was claimed three back by meets leading owner Ken Ramsey for trainer Mike Maker, who is having a solid meet ( 0 for in dirt races though, this turf) and has moved up big time off claim since adding blinkers...layoff after two solid efforts and has been working very sharp, I think layoff means they sharpened up to win at this meet...#3 and #11 are horses i'll use underneath...may look further into #8, off two tough trips.

R8: I like #6 Royal Blessing best in here and possibly one of my better plays on the card... comes into this race after facing my horse I scored w/ opening day and just missed on Weds, Hardest Core...two back beat Adirondack Dancer and Jonrah...both very good...#2 Ampersand figures and the price is #9 Lead Singer - maybe needed race and got that over course off layoff, two back was in very productive Alw race...North Slope, Mills, Stormy Len are all very good, three back on yielding...so throw out and was vs Draw Two and Stormy Len.

R9: #4 Twilight Eclipse is 2 for 2 going 1 1/2 miles on turf, including world record 3/23 @ Gulfstream...4 for 6 on firm turf...#5 Nutello is a French shipper that will be a decent price and 2012 form put him in mix, owners brought him here because the colt didn't like the soft and heavy courses...wants firm and shows as all best races over firm and good soft...which isn't soft or hvy...closer to firm...likely turned over to Pletcher after race as these owners have many horses with him...#8 Optimizer is my sleeper...three back was winner, tough trip vs wire winner then battled w/ Point of Entry...not sure about last race, maybe needed that one after a couple of tough efforts, every right to improve here...at least for a piece considering 3-2-1-0 over Spa turf. Against #10 Boisterous - short price, 1 for 8 firm.

R10: Really like how #6 Fiftyshadesofhay has run in last two since adding blinkers...Baffert shipping to win, Johnny V jumps on...ships well winning graded stakes at three tracks...should get nice stalking trip on outside...#4 obv and will be used on smaller pk 4's...main play is #6...live longshot could be #2, at least to be 2nd to #6...lol.

R11: 11,12,5,4...defensively use 9 in pk 4's...more thoughts on this race later...

R12: 1,2,3,4,6,10 more thoughts or sort it out later...

 

[Kevy]

hang in there GW...you'll be ok...i'll bet on it :cheers:

+1

GWarner is solid and a great poster and this daily discussion thread is the best of its kind at any site.

:cheers:

 

[smo1a]

Seems square. nyy/bos under 8.5 seems a great play. Both pitchers under machines, both good day splits, and even Adrian Johnson been calling a lot of unders and has just over 64% strike calls. early forcast calls for light wind in from left.

Draw backs, yanks bats hot, both teams historically decent against each pitcher. Played it for 1 unit, worth the investment imo.

 

[number2]

like nyy over again......riding the hot bats n the over streak.....nyy now 4 straight over after 3.5 months of longest over streak topping at 2......

soriano n cano 11 game hitting streak.....

totally different team now compare to before....

think sportsnut said something about 4 pm starts at fenway favors overs.......

 

[cogenman]

Kershaw has only given up more then 2 earned runs once in his last nine games. Facing a weak hitting Philly team I'm thinking about taking the Dodgers on the RL.

At the same time after a decent start to the season, Kendrick is regressing. Kendrick also faced the Dodgers on June 30th and they hit him pretty well. 10 hits and 4 runs in 6 innings of pitching.

 

[tuck321]

Sp [TABLE="class: linesTbl"]
<tbody>[TR="class: linesHeader"]
[TD="colspan: 8"][h=4]MLB Baseball - Sat 8/17[/h][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesColumns"]
[TD="colspan: 4"]Game[/TD]
[TD]Handicap[/TD]
[TD]Money Line[/TD]
[TD]Total[/TD]
[TD]More[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Sat 8/17[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]901[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]St. Louis Cardinals
J. Kelly[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-137[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD]01:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]902[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Chicago Cubs
T. Wood[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+126[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Sat 8/17[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]903[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]San Francisco Giants
M. Cain[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-1.5 +127[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-132[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 7 +102[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD]04:10 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]904[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Miami Marlins
H. Alvarez[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+1.5 -138[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+122[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 7 -113[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Sat 8/17[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]905[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Arizona Diamondbacks
T. Cahill[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+1.5 -152[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+146[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 7.5 -105[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD]01:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]906[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Pittsburgh Pirates
J. Locke[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-1.5 +140[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-159[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 7.5 -105[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Sat 8/17[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]907[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Los Angeles Dodgers
C. Kershaw[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-1.5 -119[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-192[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 7.5 +109[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD]04:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]908[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Philadelphia Phillies
K. Kendrick[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+1.5 +110[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+176[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 7.5 -120[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Sat 8/17[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]909[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Cincinnati Reds
M. Latos[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-1.5 +123[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-141[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 8 +102[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD]04:10 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]910[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Milwaukee Brewers
Y. Gallardo[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+1.5 -133[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+130[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 8 -113[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Sat 8/17[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]911[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Washington Nationals
S. Strasburg[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+1.5 -214[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+103[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 7 +112[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD]04:10 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]912[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Atlanta Braves
M. Minor[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-1.5 +196[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-111[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 7 -124[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Sat 8/17[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]913[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]New York Mets
J. Mejia[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+1.5 -185[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+121[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 7.5 +111[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD]05:40 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]914[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]San Diego Padres
E. Volquez[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-1.5 +170[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-131[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 7.5 -123[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Sat 8/17[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]915[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]New York Yankees
H. Kuroda[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+1.5 -171[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+121[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 8.5 +101[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD]01:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]916[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Boston Red Sox
J. Lackey[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-1.5 +157[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-131[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 8.5 -111[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Sat 8/17[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]917[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Kansas City Royals
W. Davis[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+1.5 -108[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+191[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 9 +106[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD]04:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]918[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Detroit Tigers
D. Fister[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-1.5 +100[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-209[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 9 -117[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Sat 8/17[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]919[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Toronto Blue Jays
J. Happ[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+1.5 -154[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+134[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 8.5 -123[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD]04:10 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]920[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Tampa Bay Rays
R. Hernandez[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-1.5 +142[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-145[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 8.5 +111[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Sat 8/17[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]921[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Chicago White Sox
C. Sale[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-1.5 +138[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-119[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 7 +101[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD]04:10 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]922[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Minnesota Twins
A. Albers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+1.5 -150[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+110[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 7 -111[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Sat 8/17[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]923[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Seattle Mariners
F. Hernandez[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+1.5 -199[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-102[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 8 -116[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD]05:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]924[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Texas Rangers
M. Perez[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-1.5 +182[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-106[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 8 +105[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Sat 8/17[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]925[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Houston Astros
D. Keuchel[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+1.5 -109[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+196[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 8.5 +111[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD]06:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]926[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]LAA Angels
G. Richards[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-1.5 +101[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-214[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 8.5 -122[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Sat 8/17[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]927[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Cleveland Indians
U. Jimenez[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+1.5 -165[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+127[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 8 -105[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD]06:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]928[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Oakland Athletics
D. Straily[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-1.5 +152[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-138[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 8 -105[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Sat 8/17[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]929[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Colorado Rockies
C. Bettis[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+1.5 -118[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+172[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 9 -105[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD]04:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]930[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Baltimore Orioles
B. Norris[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-1.5 +109[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-187[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 9 -105[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]


reads should always be put up

 

[nbafan88]

New manager effect?

 

[C-MAN]

What is the psychological effect on Happ returning to the scene of his injury? He has not been very good since his return. TB is streaky and they may be getting hot. TB good vs LHP and have opportunity to advance in the standings with NYY/Bos playing each other. I am really liking TB here.

 

[C-MAN]

Wouldn't new manager effect have applied last night?

 

[C-MAN]

Happ is also off 116 pitches - the most he has thrown in a game since 2011.

 

[RandomBettor]

TOR/TB O8.5 definitely a possibility for me today...

 

[GWarner27]

hang in there GW...you'll be ok...i'll bet on it :cheers:

Killin me man, not sure what to do to change it up

 

[tuck321]

MLB Baseball Betting Trends for Saturday, August 17, 2013
National League
St. Louis at Chicago Cubs, 4:05 ET FOX
Kelly: Under is 6-2 in Kelly's career road starts
Wood: Cubs 6-17 SU since start of 2012 second half when Wood starts at home

San Francisco at Miami, 7:10 ET
Cain: Giants 9-2 SU over past year when Cain starts a road night game
Alvarez: Under is 3-1 in Alvarez's starts with the Marlins

Arizona at Pittsburgh, 4:05 ET FOX
Cahill: Diamondbacks 2-7 SU in Cahill's last nine road starts
Locke: Under is 11-4-1 in Locke's career home starts

Schule's Saturday *GRIM REAPER* B-L-O-W-O-U-T!
Schule's not looking to sweat out the result in a closely contested game here, this one is fixing to be a BLOWOUT OF EPIC PROPORTIONS! Yesterday he delivered a MASSIVE WINNER with the Rays. You can expect a similar result from the ____ here today. If you like the sounds of an EASY WINNER click here to fill in the blank
Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET MLB
Kershaw: Dodgers 6-2 SU last eight road starts for Kershaw
Kendrick: Over is 10-2 in Kendrick's 2013 home starts

Cincinnati at Milwaukee, 7:10 ET
Latos: Under is 4-1-1 in Latos' last six road starts
Gallardo: Brewers 2-6 SU in Gallardo's last eight home starts

Washington at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
Strasburg: Nationals 3-7 SU when Strasburg starts on the road in 2013
Minor: Braves 12-4 SU in Minor's last 16 home starts

Fargo's 10* NFLX SUPREME ANNIHILATOR (34-23 SIDES)
Matt is on a BLAZING 34-23 (60%) ATS NFLX Side Play run which includes a PERFECT 2-0 (100%) so far this season! Typically we reserve Supreme Annihilators for favorites but Matt has uncovered an underdog on Saturday that he expects to win going away! This MAMMOTH winner is backed by a SENSATIONAL 42-18 ATS (70%) Power Situation!
New York Mets at San Diego Padres, 8:40 ET
Mejia: Mets 1-5 SU in Mejia's career road starts
Volquez: Under is 4-1 in Volquez's last five starts at Petco Park

American League
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox, 4:05 ET FOX
Kuroda: Under is 11-2 in Kuroda's 2013 road starts
Lackey: Under is 9-3-1 in Lackey's home starts in 2013

Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers, 7:08 ET MLB
Davis: Under is 4-0-2 in Davis' last six road starts
Fister: Tigers are 23-8 SU when Fister starts at Comerica Park

Toronto at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
Happ: Blue Jays 3-13 SU last 16 games versus Tampa Bay on the road
Hernandez: Under is 4-1 in Hernandez's last five home starts

Hollywood Sports' 25* PRESEASON TOTAL OF THE YEAR!
Frank Sawyer's Hollywood Sports knows JUST WHAT TO LOOK FOR in the NFL preseason as he has been $$ IN THE BANK with a SENSATIONAL 11-4 (79%) with his ELITE NFLx Game of the Year situations! Now it spots an IDEAL O/U OPPORTUNITY that DEMANDS NFLx Preseason Total of the Year status. DON'T MISS IT!
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota, 7:10 ET
Sale: Under is 12-3-1 in Sale's last 16 starts
Albers: Twins 5-3 last eight home games

Seattle at Texas, 8:05 ET
Hernandez: Under is 10-4 in last 14 road starts for Hernandez versus Texas
Perez: Under is 12-3 in Rangers' last 15 home games

Houston at Los Angeles Angels, 9:05 ET
Keuchel: Astros 2-5 SU in Keuchel's last seven starts
Richards: Over is 5-1 in Richards last six home starts

Cleveland at Oakland, 9:05 ET
Jimenez: Indians 0-3 SU in Jimenez's last three road starts
Straily: Under is 5-1 in Straily's last six home starts

Interleague
Colorado at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Bettis: Under is 5-2 in Rockies' last seven road games
Norris: Orioles 3-0 SU in Norris' starts

 

[tuck321]

May have internet problems today. BOL

 

[GWarner27]

Seems square. nyy/bos under 8.5 seems a great play. Both pitchers under machines, both good day splits, and even Adrian Johnson been calling a lot of unders and has just over 64% strike calls. early forcast calls for light wind in from left.

Draw backs, yanks bats hot, both teams historically decent against each pitcher. Played it for 1 unit, worth the investment imo.

Im on the yanks and Adrian Johnson is an over guy FYI expect regression to overs

 

[GWarner27]

+1

GWarner is solid and a great poster and this daily discussion thread is the best of its kind at any site.

:cheers:

fuck yeah kevy, more depressed about this than anything in life right now it's crazy

Just keep swimming boys

 

[austinhous]

Happ is also off 116 pitches - the most he has thrown in a game since 2011.

Since 2011, Happ's team is 9-28 SU with an opponent average of 5.3 runs scored after he throws at least 100 pitches in the previous game. This year his team is 0-3 SU with an opponent average of 5.0 runs scored after he throws at least 100 pitches in the previous game.

 

[Gaius.T]

Killin me man, not sure what to do to change it up

Take a few days off. Clears the head. Come back with a vengeance.

 

[C-MAN]

Prices in Balt and Det seem pretty ridiculous to me, especially in Balt where the O's have no closer or set-up man. I respect Bud so Col game and 2H for me.

 

[byrd430]

Don't normally post these but got a ton of leans for today:

Pitts
Yanks
Yanks-Sox Under 8.5
StL-Cubbies Over 8
Braves-Nats Under 7
Braves
Rays-Jays Over 8.5
Twins-Sox Under 7
Giants
Giants-Fish Over 7
Rangers-M's Under 8
Rangers
Mets
Halos-Stros Over 8
A's

 

[C-MAN]

Trevor Cahill appears to be a mess right now. Like Pit and over

 

[Timh]

Im on the yanks and Adrian Johnson is an over guy FYI expect regression to overs

Not lately or for this year. He is one of the more low whip umpires this year 1.24 and is certainly on an under run right now.

Umpire	G	W/L	Avg	Pit	Str.	B	Str.%	SO	BB	K/BB	HR	O/U
Adrian Johnson	24	14-10	7.83	280	179	101	64.1	14.8	6.0	2.49	1.83	9-15

<tbody>
</tbody>

[h=3]Last 10 Games[/h]

Date	Home - Road	Home Starter	Road Starter	Line	Result	O/U
08/12/13	CHC 0 - CIN 2	T. Wood	M. Latos	128/7.5	Road	U
08/08/13	SF 4 - MIL 1	T. Lincecum	D. Hand	-172/7	Home	U
07/26/13	OAK 6 - LAA 4	B. Colon	J. Williams	-162/8	Home	O
07/23/13	SEA 4 - CLE 3	E. Ramirez	Z. McAllister	-109/8.5	Home	U
07/19/13	COL 1 - CHC 3	J. De La Rosa	J. Samardzija	-150/9.5	Road	U
07/11/13	BAL 3 - TEX 1	M. Gonzalez	R. Wolf	-145/9.5	Home	U
07/07/13	STL 3 - MIA 2	L. Lynn	J. Fernandez	-163/7	Home	U
07/02/13	CIN 3 - SF 0	H. Bailey	T. Lincecum	-176/8.5	Home	U
06/28/13	ATL 3 - ARI 0	J. Teheran	R. Delgado	-167/8	Home	U
06/23/13	PHI 0 - NYM 8	J. Lannan	M. Harvey	121/7.5	Road	O

<tbody>
</tbody>

 

[C-MAN]

The Pirates lost the last game Locke pitched. Locke has been in this situation 9 times this season and has given up a total of 13 earned runs in 52.2 innings pitched...not bad. Pirates are 7-2 SU in those games

 

[Gyno]

Prices in Balt and Det seem pretty ridiculous to me, especially in Balt where the O's have no closer or set-up man. I respect Bud so Col game and 2H for me.

Colorado is so bad on the road its not even funny..

 

[byrd430]

Colorado is so bad on the road its not even funny..

Agreed. 1-9 on their last road trip, so they've already matched that total. 4-12 in interleague games this season. 0-7 as a road dog in this price range as well. All terrible numbers.

 

[xyzky]

fuck yeah kevy, more depressed about this than anything in life right now it's crazy

Just keep swimming boys

2 weeks bro, keep your head up...u have to

 

[C-MAN]

True about Colorado, but in defense of that road trip they played 7 games against the two best teams in the NL (sans maybe LA) and much of the trip (have to check but think all 3 games against the Mets) was without Cargo. Still a weak road team no doubt, but 6-1 L7 and playing a team struggling with no nobody to pitch late innings.

 

[tuck321]

Ni idea why they pitched Bud in relief on the 14th but do not see it helping him.

 

[C-MAN]

Road team is 9-1 SU in L10 meetings between Hou and LAA. Hou swept a 4-game series in LA earlier this season. Both teams are 3-7 L10. LAA is overpriced here.

 

[DwightS]

definitely missing some of the detailed insights of nut and rex...love those guys!

 

[tuck321]

Early lean to Cleveland
Ubaldo is playing off 2 losses and has never lost 3 in a row.
Oakland at home in game 2 is 9-8 .

 

[austinhous]

Early lean to Cleveland
Ubaldo is playing off 2 losses and has never lost 3 in a row.
Oakland at home in game 2 is 9-8 .

Oakland is 10-9 in game two at home this season, tuck. Also, the Indians went 0-6 in Ubaldo starts last season between 8/14 and 9/11.

 

[tuck321]

Sorry, half asleep right now. Still looking

 

[tuck321]

All over Cleveland and possibly team total
Straily is on 4 days rest
[TABLE="class: sortable stats_table"]
<colgroup><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col></colgroup><thead>[TR]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc, align: center"]I[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc, align: left"]Split[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]W[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]L[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip hide_non_quals, align: center"]<nobr>W-L%</nobr>[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc hide_non_quals, align: center"]ERA[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]G[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]GS[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]GF[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]CG[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]SHO[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]SV[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]IP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]H[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]R[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]ER[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]HR[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]BB[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]IBB[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]SO[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]HBP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]BK[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]WP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]BF[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc hide_non_quals, align: center"]WHIP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip hide_non_quals, align: center"]SO/9[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip hide_non_quals, align: center"]SO/BB[/TH]
[/TR]
</thead><tbody>[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]4 Days,GS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"].200[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.11[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]45.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]51[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]35[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]31[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]21[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]37[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]210[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.577[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.76[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]5 Days,GS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.000[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.95[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]32.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]18[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]122[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.835[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.25[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]6+ Days,GS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"].500[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.68[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]29.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]27[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]30[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]118[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.091[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.00[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

 

[tuck321]

Did first half as well as game for obvious reasons