BringInTheLefty
Pretty much a regular
it became an ALL racePretty sure and I think any scratch is replaced with the post time favorite.
it became an ALL racePretty sure and I think any scratch is replaced with the post time favorite.
YES only race 2 off today and no rain in the forecastLefty do you know for certain r10 will be on the turf? Never really sure if they state it before racing starts or if it's more wait and see. Concern is if there's any question it seems like the final race is the quickest to go.
yeah,shitDamn you had that race nailed. If the 12 is a head less you probably crushed it for $20k
my saver pk3 I left the 6 offRosario is a turf sprint God. He gets the game.
Sorry to correct you but the first bet is race 2.‘Toga Day 13:
+$4,697
best bets: 12-6-1-1
best bet winning prices:
$12.60
$9.50
$9.30
$9.20
$9.00
$5.60
race 1:
1-America’s Guest $60W
$20 exacta: 1/4,6,7,8
$10 exacta: 4,6,7,8/1
$10 exacta box: 1-7-8
$3 triple: 1,8/1,4,6,7,8/1,4,5,6,7,8,10
($96)
race 6:
5-Blissful $200W **best bet**
$40 exacta: 5/3,6
$20 exacta: 5/1
$20 exacta: 3,6/5
$10 triple: 5/3,6/1,2,3,6,9
$5 triple: 3,6/5/1,2,3,6,9
$4 triple: 1,5/1,5/2,3,6,9
$40DD: 5/1,2,5
$20PK3:
6th: 5
7th: 1,2,5
8th: 4
race 10:
5-Shawdyshawdyshawdy $60W
$20 exacta: 5/1,10,12
$10 exacta: 1,10,12/5
$4 triple: 1,5/1,5,10,12/1,3,5,7,10,12
let’s have ourselves a day…
you’re 100% correctSorry to correct you but the first bet is race 2.
really great analysis from youLefty, in Race 6, what goes into your evaluation of first time starters? When I use Brisnet I look at a few things:
1) Sire, Dam Sire and Trainer 1st time win percentages: when those 3 numbers total over 40 I'm very interested, between 30-40 I'm somewhat interested
2) On turf, a similar calc with Turf %s for the sire & dam sire plus the trainer's debut turf percentage. Again over 40 is strong, 30-40 is OK.
3) A bullet work listed: 4 furlongs is good, 5 furlongs is great
4) For sprints I look for the most recent gate drill: sub 12 seconds per furlong is strong, 12-12.25 seconds per furlongs is OK
This being a route race on turf, the workout speeds are probably not all that important.
Naturally in a maiden race like the 6th, I need to look at how the horses that have run previously performed. Usually they need to have an effort within a few points of the race par to have me interested, unless they have a noteworthy trainer and an excuse in the last race.
So based on my criteria I can see why the 1 & 4 are out of your top 2, and I agree the 3,5,6 & 7 are all reasonable contenders. But what puts the #6 on top? Is it the higher morning line price?
She's as hot as a non-exotic chick can look. Never thought I'd be down with a ghost but she does the trick.Best Bets back on the rails, nice! Let's get as hot as Akacia!
She's made Maggie Wolfendale raise her game too.She's as hot as a non-exotic chick can look. Never thought I'd be down with a ghost but she does the trick.
To be a fly on the wall when Maggie got told they were hiring a pageant queen to be her cohort lolShe's made Maggie Wolfendale raise her game too.
Did they say it's off? Didn't hear that if so.Are you cancelling all the R7 bets?
BIG BIG DAY !!!!!Boom! Never in doubt
NEVER HEDGENo chance I'd bet against Art Collector here but if he gets beat please let it be Joel. Tough to not have anything on Chad/Irad here, probably worth a saver bet.
Can't remember the last time I hedged in any sport. Could middle by taking 1 to place.NEVER HEDGE
balls to the wall or nothing
:cheers3:NEVER HEDGE
balls to the wall or nothing
VERY big day:cheers3:
I put them all in with either TwinSpires or XpressbetsWhen you put these wagers in do you break them up into several wagers to avoid the IRS BS?
I use xpressbet and it's not tough to write off gambling winnings. Was just curious if you break them up like I do to avoid the hassle of it all.I put them all in with either TwinSpires or Xpressbets
with new tax laws I don’t get crushed as bad