Rochclone Week Three NCAAF

rochclone

Pretty much a regular
Will update complete this evening.
In a nutshell Week Two was a disaster. Took a ton of dogs with presumed value and most of them failed miserably to deliver. A couple of tough beats but that's life. Survived with about a 22 Unit loss which means probably down 16 units or so for the year. Once again complete update to come later.

Thursday Game:

A different Cincy team this year in the sense that they are much more committed to the run after the change from Kiel to Hayden Moore. I think Moore is a nice player and Cincy looked okay against UT-Martin and the score was convincing against Purdue. However, that game was considerably closer than the score indicates as Cincy was +5 in turnover margin . Houston blanked Lamar last week by simply running the ball drown their throats. They showed the ability to move the ball in the air with Ward against Oklahoma. That will be a necessity tonight as well as I expect Cincy to load the box and force the Cougs to beat them throw the air. I think the major difference is Ward (provided he is healthy) and this Cougar defense which I think is really....really good. Cincy isn't running the ball tonight. OU couldn't run the ball with Mixon and Perinne...Cincy isn't running it with Green and Boone. The defense forces Cincy to be one-dimensional and the Cougs win by 2+ TDs.


Prediction: Houston 33 Cincy 17

Houston -7.5 (3.0 Units)
Cincy TT Under 29.0 (1.4 Units)
 
Season Win Totals:

Idaho Over 4.5 Wins (1.05 Units to win 1.00 Units)
New Mexico Over 7.0 Wins (2.00 Units to win 2.50 Units)
Cincy Over 7.5 Wins (2.84 Units to win 2.40 Units)
San Diego State Over 9.5 Wins (4.86 Units to win 3.40 Units)
Iowa State Over 3.5 Wins (5.40 Units to win 4.00 Units)

Week Zero 2-0-0 (+3.80 Units)
Week One 51-41-3 (+2.60 Units)
Week Two 34-38-2 (-17.51 Units)

YTD: 87-79-5 (-11.11 Units) (-$277.75)


0.2 Units (Season Record 13-8-0)


0.4 Units (Season Record 9-8-0)

0.6 Units (Season Record 9-6-1)

0.8 Units (Season Record 5-5-1)


1.0 Units (Season Record 5-3-1)


1.2 Units (Season Record 2-4-0)

1.4 Units (SR 4-5-0)
Cincy TT Under 29.0 W

1.6 Units (Season Record 4-5-0)


1.8 Units (Season Record 2-5-0)


2.0 Units (Season Record 2-5-0)

2.2 Units (Season Record 1-3-0)

2.4 Units (Season Record 3-2-0)


2.6 Units (Season Record 5-4-1)


2.8 Units (Season Record 3-4-0)

3.0 Units (Season Record 18-14-1)
Houston -7.5 Won
 
Friday & Sat Plays (will post 7:00 p.m. and crossovers throughout the day tomorrow)

0.2 Unit Plays
Akron +17.5
Idaho +27.0
ECU +2.5
UCF +10.0
Texas Tech -10.5
Duke +3.5

0.4 Unit Plays
Ohio +27.5
Kansas +21.0
UCONN -4.0
Oklahoma State -4.0
Charlotte +2.0

0.6 Unit Plays
Temple +8.0
Kansas State -25.0
Mississippi State +13.5
UTEP +4.0

0.8 Unit Plays
Arkansas State +9.5
North Texas +35.5
BYU +3.0
 
1.0 Unit Plays
Louisville +1.0
Wisconsin -35.5
Auburn -3.5

1.2 Unit Plays
Iowa State +24.5
New Mexico State +21.0

1.4 Unit Plays
New Mexico +6.5
W. Michigan -3.5
Georgia Southern -25.5

1.6 Unit Plays
Boston College +6.0

1.8 Unit Plays
Arizona State -21.5
UMASS +1.0
NC State -24.0

2.0 Unit Plays
Vanderbilt +6.5
Arkansas -30.5
 
2.2 Unit Plays
Navy -5.5
Southern Miss -10.5

2.4 Unit Plays
Miami (Fl) -3.5
Michigan State +7.0
Missouri +6.0

2.6 Unit Plays
Middle Tenn State -6.5
UNLV +12.5


2.8 Unit Plays
Toledo -20.5


3.0 Unit Plays
Baylor -32.0
Baylor TT Over 49.5
San Diego State -10.5
Colorado +19.0
Nebraska -3.0
Alabama -10.5
WKU -17.0
USF -14.0
South Alabama +2.5
Oklahoma +1.0
 
South Carolina State +53.5 (0.2 Units)
Ball State -13.5 (0.2 Units)
Kent State -12.5 (0.2 Units)
Tulsa -25.0 (0.4 Units)
North Dakota State +14.5 (1.4 Units)
 
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