Rexy's Week 15 Niffel...

CollegeKingRex

CollegeKingRex

CTG Regular
One play for now, Jets -2 medium to big 2.5 units.

Line gonna go up, go now.

I'll explain it later, and also have a few thoughts on tonight's game.
 
I would love to hear your thoughts on the Jets. I thought the lines makers were high when they made NYJ -1 on the road. I jumped & now see 3. Tenn sucks but I'll pay to see hem lose to the Jets. I need to learn to be patient on the dogs, they have all moved against me this week.
 
Raidaz - sorry i missed the Thursday night play. I actually got some dog once it hit six. There were people I respected on the favorite or i would have went for more. I love Fisher but to give the best coach in the league a touchdown with that defense, playing for a playoff bid and with Rams off two shutouts against turds, I figured the overvalue was in full force, and it was.

I thought Locker was Tenny's best bet at QB but he was awful last week. Full prep this week i don't think will help. Jets are still playing hard and except for that neutral site turd they laid a few weeks ago in Detroit, they've been in most games with chances to win. Tennessee coaches and front office will all be back next year, so tanking could come into play. Meanwhile, most Jets will be jettisoned (front office and players that are FA to be), so they're looking to impress SOMEONE with good efforts this month). I could never lay a FG or more with a losing team, but I got a good number so that's why I went when I did.

A couple of others

Atlanta +3 flat I got earlier today, would take up to +3 -115, which is widely available. Medium 2u play. Sure, Jones out for ATL, but the wrong team is favored here. Pittsburgh's efforts have been schizo most of the year, and i have been on the wrong side of plenty of times going against them, but I have them rated lwoer than most. Atlanta offense showed signs of life Monday and should be able to churn out plenty of points, plus while Pitt has a few potent weapons, this is a pretty good downgrade from the monsters they saw Monday. Suckers all over the OVER (Pitt 6-1 OV last 7, Atl 4-1 OV at home this year)... but I like the Falcons better.

GB/Buff UNDER 50 med 2u. Would go UN 49 as well for the same. Bills getting it done with defense, and playing at home will want to avoid a track meet at all costs. GB is a bit banged up on both sides, and while they certainly want to win, this is the least important game on their schedule. Lean Bills outright but missed price (wanted 6 or ML equivalent close to it) so passing the side, but see the game being in the low 20s at the most.

GL fellas... i'll be around for halves and on and off the next 80 minutes to answer any questions...

:shake:
 
there is sharp on every game. i don't have time to go through them all one by one. ask a question on a game you want to know about please, and try to do the same thing in the future.
 
I like Minnesota at this level. Squares all over Detroit which helps.

Bridgewater been at it long enough now that i think he can do enough against this defense to keep them in it. He was serviceable last week if not great, but they found a way to win. That guy is a winner and has been since his days in HS in south Florida. Detroit with bigger fish to fry coming up with two more division games, but I can't get over how bad they've been in December in the past. Now they want to lay two possessions today to a defense that will get after a struggling offense? Minny or nothing for me.
 
i like Miami, and will be betting them at halftime if things stay as is; they are pummeling NE up front. Very bad luck to be down like this.
 
2H Atlanta +1/2 medium 2u


Same deal as Monday... Atlanta losing, get ball first, how can they be a dog again? I realize Pitt played better, butttt.....
 
anyone know chipper kelly record SU and ATS off a loss at Philly?

I want to bet them at -3 flat or maybe -115; sharp $ is on dallas.

Help appreciated in the next half hour

:shake:
 
I dont know the exact record but i read, and i quote " they haven’t lost consecutive games since Week 7 and 8 last year. They’re 16-5 since.

Each time they’ve lost this season, the Eagles rebounded with two straight wins. They’re averaging 36 points per game following a loss."

Hope that helps...
 
[TABLE="class: data, width: 660"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: datahead"]Date[/TD]
[TD="class: datahead, width: 24%, bgcolor: #9FAFBD"]Vs[/TD]
[TD="class: datahead, width: 13%, bgcolor: #9FAFBD"]Score[/TD]
[TD="class: datahead, width: 13%, bgcolor: #9FAFBD"]Week[/TD]
[TD="class: datahead, width: 14%, bgcolor: #9FAFBD"]PHI Line[/TD]
[TD="class: datahead, width: 10%, bgcolor: #9FAFBD"]O/U[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 12/07/14[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Seattle[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L 14-24[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 14[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L 1[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]U 48[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Thursday 11/27/14[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]@ Dallas[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 33-10[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 3[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]U 56[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 11/23/14[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Tennessee[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 43-24[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 12[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W -11[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]O 49[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 11/16/14[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]@ Green Bay[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L 20-53[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 11[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L 4.5[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]O 55[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Monday 11/10/14[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Carolina[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 45-21[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 10[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W -7[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]O 48.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 11/02/14[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]@ Houston[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 31-21[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 9[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W -1.5[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]O 48.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 10/26/14[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]@ Arizona[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L 20-24[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 8[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L 1[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]U 48.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacellc, bgcolor: #FFFFFF, colspan: 6, align: center"]BYE[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday Night 10/12/14[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]N.Y. Giants[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 27-0[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 6[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W -1[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]U 50.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 10/05/14[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]St. Louis[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 34-28[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 5[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W -3.5[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]O 48[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 09/28/14[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]@ San Francisco[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L 21-26[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 4[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L 3.5[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]U 49.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 09/21/14[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Washington[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 37-34[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 3[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L -4[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]O 50.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Monday 09/15/14[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]@ Indianapolis[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 30-27[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 2[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 3[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]O 53.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 09/07/14[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Jacksonville[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 34-17[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 1[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W -10[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]O 49

[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
2013
[h=3]Playoffs[/h][TABLE="class: data, width: 660"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: datahead"]Date[/TD]
[TD="class: datahead, width: 24%, bgcolor: #9FAFBD"]Vs[/TD]
[TD="class: datahead, width: 13%, bgcolor: #9FAFBD"]Score[/TD]
[TD="class: datahead, width: 13%, bgcolor: #9FAFBD"]Week[/TD]
[TD="class: datahead, width: 14%, bgcolor: #9FAFBD"]PHI Line[/TD]
[TD="class: datahead, width: 10%, bgcolor: #9FAFBD"]O/U[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Saturday 01/04/14[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]New Orleans[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L 24-26[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Wildcard[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L -3[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]U 54.5[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
[h=3]Regular Season[/h][TABLE="class: data, width: 660"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: datahead"]Date[/TD]
[TD="class: datahead, width: 24%, bgcolor: #9FAFBD"]Vs[/TD]
[TD="class: datahead, width: 13%, bgcolor: #9FAFBD"]Score[/TD]
[TD="class: datahead, width: 13%, bgcolor: #9FAFBD"]Week[/TD]
[TD="class: datahead, width: 14%, bgcolor: #9FAFBD"]PHI Line[/TD]
[TD="class: datahead, width: 10%, bgcolor: #9FAFBD"]O/U[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday Night 12/29/13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]@ Dallas[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 24-22[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 17[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L -7.5[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]U 54[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday Night 12/22/13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Chicago[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 54-11[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 16[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W -2.5[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]O 53.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 12/15/13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]@ Minnesota[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L 30-48[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 15[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L -6.5[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]O 53[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 12/08/13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Detroit[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 34-20[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 14[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W -2.5[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]O 51[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 12/01/13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Arizona[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 24-21[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L -3.5[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]U 48[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacellc, bgcolor: #FFFFFF, colspan: 6, align: center"]BYE[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 11/17/13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Washington[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 24-16[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 11[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W -4.5[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]U 54.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 11/10/13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]@ Green Bay[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 27-13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 10[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W -1[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]U 47[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 11/03/13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]@ Oakland[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 49-20[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 9[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 1[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]O 45.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 10/27/13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]N.Y. Giants[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L 7-15[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 8[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L -5.5[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]U 49[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 10/20/13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Dallas[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L 3-17[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 7[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L -3[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]U 55[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 10/13/13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]@ Tampa Bay[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 31-20[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 6[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W -2.5[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]O 44.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 10/06/13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]@ N.Y. Giants[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 36-21[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 5[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W -1[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]O 53.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 09/29/13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]@ Denver[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L 20-52[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 4[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L 10.5[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]O 57.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Thursday 09/19/13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Kansas City[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L 16-26[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 3[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L -3[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]U 50[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Sunday 09/15/13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]San Diego[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L 30-33[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 2[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]L -7.5[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]O 51[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Monday 09/09/13[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]@ Washington[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 33-27[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]Week 1[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]W 4[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]O 52

[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
guy in Vegas got me Philly -3 -115 for a medium 2u play. I would recommend only small at -3 worse juice or -3.5 plus money if you can find. If you want to sell points for small, i have no problem with that. Could fall near the number, but with a total in the 50's, the value lies in selling, not buying...

GL...
 
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