My NFL numbers, without sucking my own dick too much, are as good as anyone's I know this year. You can go through my threads and see my record, it's for sure pretty solid. I've done a reasonable job of staying away from the fringe games that for the most part have been 50-50 or worse most weeks. Dallas was one the other day.
The numbers guys are real high on Dallas WITH ROMO playing. Without him, obviously they are not. But with him in, I was against Dallas and got it crammed up my ass when he beat Miami on the road. I had to make a decent adjustment on them going up so that's why the game was around a pick. Many people have not been that impressed with Carolina. After 9 weeks, they had allowed only like nine fewer points than Philly's defense on the year, and have no name playmakers on offense outside of the quarterback. Schedule won't help because they don't play anyone good really from here on out (elite-level), so if you like them, you'll continue to get good value on them even if they stay undefeated. In the playoffs, be prepared to see them laying very low numbers at home.