I am heavily involved in the playoffs this year as I am seeing things well.
Some of you might know I am a Detroit Lions fan. So, this could be quite exhilarating or start a 'winter of discontent'.
Futures that I have left, posted these in various spots since February of last year...
Rams +3300
Lions +1200
Lions +1150
Lions +1200 (again)
Vikings +2800
Steelers +4000
Cashed my only regular season prop which was Jayden over 3150.5 passing yards. That helps to cover some of the futures.
I lost the Bengals future.
My big regret is not having a Philly ticket. I discussed grabbing 1600/1800 all spring into the summer and decided to wait. The uneven start honestly took my thoughts away from them and then they just exploded. Can they control their emotions? They are the team I fear the most in the NFC --at least we'll have them on our turf if seeding holds true to form.
Chargers @ Texans
The traditional start of the playoffs is down in Texas. We all talked of Houston being overvalued coming into the season. Credit to them for reaching that 10-win mark -- but this team doesn't seem as formidable as last year's team was trending towards. Injuries have hurt and Stroud has regressed (soph slump?). They face a Chargers team that is a year ahead of schedule in my book. Did I expect them to improve? Absolutely. You hire one of the football coaches in the land and that is bound to happen. They have definitely maxed out their talent this year.
I do understand the Chargers are not giant beaters. The good thing here is they do not need to be.
LA has a few advantages here
QB1
HC
Minter with a week to gameplan for Stroud
Homefield will play a part but this is a game I taking the more fundamentally strong team that should be prepared well. I bet this right away on Sunday Night as posted in the IN-game.
No spreads for 3 or under in the NFL anymore. I rarely do pregame bets as is, maybe eighteen a year.
ML the Chargers!
Steelers @ Ravens
Big rivalry receives a Saturday night showcase in the playoffs!
Pitt won the first game 18-16 and Baltimore took their home game 34-17.
Let's face a few facts first:
The Steelers have come undone to end the year. They have lost their last 4 games coming. The last win was an uneven performance versus the Browns. Granted, they played some great ball in the middle of the season but regression hit. Pickens injury didn't help but moreso Russ is looking like late career Russ again.
Lamar in the cold is an issue. We have to account for that these next 3 weeks as they play a possible slate of home, @ Buffalo and @ Kansas City.
Zay was ruled OUT.
The Ravens need to lean on the running game here and let the Steelers make the mistakes. I can see this being an interesting game and have no idea who wins ATS. I am comfortable in the Ravens winning this game outright and they are in a ML parlay.
LET DERRICK HENRY COOK!
Donks @ Bills
This is the time and this is the place for the Buffalo Bills to finally make that run to the Super Bowl. They will receive two home games to start and that is a big plus. The Broncos are a great story this year and I couldn't be happier for Bo Nix. He's a cool cat and he's been better than anyone expected.
This game though is a daunting task for the Denver squad. They just do not match up defensively.
Denver played just 3 games versus playoff opponents that are not in their division. They feasted on a schedule no doubt.
I see Buffalo having their way offensively right from the start. This is a no-brainer game for a ML parlay here and as we get closer to the game I'll have some ideas on points props and player props...
Packers @ Eagles
This is how the season started for these teams and one will end their season in disappointing fashion Sunday evening. Philadelphia played as well as anybody post-September and is the #2 seed for a reason. They are a legit contender to win it all. The Packers are very talented but I feel they are a step below the rest of the pack.
Face it, Green Bay couldn't beat elite teams this year.
They were 0-5 versus Detroit, Philly and Minnesota.
Philadelphia can be a team in turmoil but they just find ways to win. The defense is very good and they can RUN the ball. You can't ask for much more.
My initial reaction here was the # was a bit low. That has moved a bit. I had this closer to 6, to be honest. I'll be on the live betting platform for this game Sunday afternoon.
Redskins @ Buccaneers
Welcome back to the playoffs Washington. Now things get real though.
We have some early season data here as Tampa pummeled this Skins team 37-20 back in September. Baker and Bucky cooked that day while Jayden was still learning on the job a bit.
I know Daniels can be a one-man show. I know this Skins team is a darling around the forums/internet. I like them, they are fun. They are not going to the NFC Championship game as a few around here had them on pace for back a few months ago. The defense isn't there yet.
Tampa can beat anyone on any given day. They can also struggle with average teams. A real enigma. They've beaten the top 2 seeds this year.
My issue is Washington is probably the worst 12-win team in my lifetime. I think they are a 9-10-win team and are building into a future problem in the NFC. I just can't get by that schedule!
They have ONE win versus a playoff team. That comes with an asterisk as QB1 was out very early in that game. They still needed a drop from a guy that doesn't drop passes and a dramatic GW drive afterward.
I do lean TB moneyline here and I think I'll be on TT's of some kind, if not pregame then Live market. I see 26.5 full game and I like being under that key # of 27 for sure.
Vikings @ Rams (neutral)
The initial line of Rams +3 was bet down for obvious reasons. That number was off. Of course none of that matters now with the venue change.
I am not going to use a Thursday Night game earlier this year to narrate my thoughts here. Remember, most teams lose the week after playing Detroit. Add in only 3 days rest and that was a perfect game to bet the Rams, like many of us did.
Pressure will be the name of the game here. Which QB receives the better protection is the team that wins on Monday night.
Very undecided here right now.
BETS SO FAR
LA Chargers ML -165 1.65 to win 1.00
Baltimore and Buffalo ML Parlay 2.5 to win 1.18
Some of you might know I am a Detroit Lions fan. So, this could be quite exhilarating or start a 'winter of discontent'.
Futures that I have left, posted these in various spots since February of last year...
Rams +3300
Lions +1200
Lions +1150
Lions +1200 (again)
Vikings +2800
Steelers +4000
Cashed my only regular season prop which was Jayden over 3150.5 passing yards. That helps to cover some of the futures.
I lost the Bengals future.
My big regret is not having a Philly ticket. I discussed grabbing 1600/1800 all spring into the summer and decided to wait. The uneven start honestly took my thoughts away from them and then they just exploded. Can they control their emotions? They are the team I fear the most in the NFC --at least we'll have them on our turf if seeding holds true to form.
Chargers @ Texans
The traditional start of the playoffs is down in Texas. We all talked of Houston being overvalued coming into the season. Credit to them for reaching that 10-win mark -- but this team doesn't seem as formidable as last year's team was trending towards. Injuries have hurt and Stroud has regressed (soph slump?). They face a Chargers team that is a year ahead of schedule in my book. Did I expect them to improve? Absolutely. You hire one of the football coaches in the land and that is bound to happen. They have definitely maxed out their talent this year.
I do understand the Chargers are not giant beaters. The good thing here is they do not need to be.
LA has a few advantages here
QB1
HC
Minter with a week to gameplan for Stroud
Homefield will play a part but this is a game I taking the more fundamentally strong team that should be prepared well. I bet this right away on Sunday Night as posted in the IN-game.
No spreads for 3 or under in the NFL anymore. I rarely do pregame bets as is, maybe eighteen a year.
ML the Chargers!
Steelers @ Ravens
Big rivalry receives a Saturday night showcase in the playoffs!
Pitt won the first game 18-16 and Baltimore took their home game 34-17.
Let's face a few facts first:
The Steelers have come undone to end the year. They have lost their last 4 games coming. The last win was an uneven performance versus the Browns. Granted, they played some great ball in the middle of the season but regression hit. Pickens injury didn't help but moreso Russ is looking like late career Russ again.
Lamar in the cold is an issue. We have to account for that these next 3 weeks as they play a possible slate of home, @ Buffalo and @ Kansas City.
Zay was ruled OUT.
The Ravens need to lean on the running game here and let the Steelers make the mistakes. I can see this being an interesting game and have no idea who wins ATS. I am comfortable in the Ravens winning this game outright and they are in a ML parlay.
LET DERRICK HENRY COOK!
Donks @ Bills
This is the time and this is the place for the Buffalo Bills to finally make that run to the Super Bowl. They will receive two home games to start and that is a big plus. The Broncos are a great story this year and I couldn't be happier for Bo Nix. He's a cool cat and he's been better than anyone expected.
This game though is a daunting task for the Denver squad. They just do not match up defensively.
Denver played just 3 games versus playoff opponents that are not in their division. They feasted on a schedule no doubt.
I see Buffalo having their way offensively right from the start. This is a no-brainer game for a ML parlay here and as we get closer to the game I'll have some ideas on points props and player props...
Packers @ Eagles
This is how the season started for these teams and one will end their season in disappointing fashion Sunday evening. Philadelphia played as well as anybody post-September and is the #2 seed for a reason. They are a legit contender to win it all. The Packers are very talented but I feel they are a step below the rest of the pack.
Face it, Green Bay couldn't beat elite teams this year.
They were 0-5 versus Detroit, Philly and Minnesota.
Philadelphia can be a team in turmoil but they just find ways to win. The defense is very good and they can RUN the ball. You can't ask for much more.
My initial reaction here was the # was a bit low. That has moved a bit. I had this closer to 6, to be honest. I'll be on the live betting platform for this game Sunday afternoon.
Redskins @ Buccaneers
Welcome back to the playoffs Washington. Now things get real though.
We have some early season data here as Tampa pummeled this Skins team 37-20 back in September. Baker and Bucky cooked that day while Jayden was still learning on the job a bit.
I know Daniels can be a one-man show. I know this Skins team is a darling around the forums/internet. I like them, they are fun. They are not going to the NFC Championship game as a few around here had them on pace for back a few months ago. The defense isn't there yet.
Tampa can beat anyone on any given day. They can also struggle with average teams. A real enigma. They've beaten the top 2 seeds this year.
My issue is Washington is probably the worst 12-win team in my lifetime. I think they are a 9-10-win team and are building into a future problem in the NFC. I just can't get by that schedule!
They have ONE win versus a playoff team. That comes with an asterisk as QB1 was out very early in that game. They still needed a drop from a guy that doesn't drop passes and a dramatic GW drive afterward.
I do lean TB moneyline here and I think I'll be on TT's of some kind, if not pregame then Live market. I see 26.5 full game and I like being under that key # of 27 for sure.
Vikings @ Rams (neutral)
The initial line of Rams +3 was bet down for obvious reasons. That number was off. Of course none of that matters now with the venue change.
I am not going to use a Thursday Night game earlier this year to narrate my thoughts here. Remember, most teams lose the week after playing Detroit. Add in only 3 days rest and that was a perfect game to bet the Rams, like many of us did.
Pressure will be the name of the game here. Which QB receives the better protection is the team that wins on Monday night.
Very undecided here right now.
BETS SO FAR
LA Chargers ML -165 1.65 to win 1.00
Baltimore and Buffalo ML Parlay 2.5 to win 1.18
