Plays

Toronto_Mike

Scent of a Woman
Posting it here, primarily looking at EPL and Serie A and a bit of La Liga as there are some very very good trends in that league from years past.
Unit scale 1-10

Few for now:

EPL
Swansea ML @ 3.94 (3u)
Swansea +0.5 @ 1.87 (5u)

Italy Super Cup
Juve/Lazio o2.5 @ 2.09 (5u)

Will add accordingly
 
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1-2 -2.55

Lazio/Juve over was easy hit. Utd showed they are still in it to win it. Been hitting lots of in game plays but here are full game wagers I like.

Who will advance to next round? Lyon vs Real Sociedad?
Lyon @ 1.833 (5u)

CL Qualifiers
Lyon ML @ 2.04 (3u)
PSV ML @ 2.82 (3u)

Viktoria Plzen -1.25 @ 1.94 (2u)
Fenebahce/Arsenal u2.5 @ 2.04 (2u)
 
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Good stuff man - still underestimating United I see lol

Like Dynamo Zagreb tomorrow but haven't finished researching yet

Best of luck this season
 
Premier League:
Aston Villa o0.5 goals @ 1.70 (5u)

Spain Super Cup:
Barcelona o1.75 goals @ 1.82 (5u)
Will Leo Messi score? Yes @ 1.68 (5u)


UEFA Champs League Qualifiers:
Austria Wien +0.5 @ 2.30 (2u)
 
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Premier League:
Aston Villa o0.5 goals @ 1.70 (5u)

Spain Super Cup:
Barcelona o1.75 goals @ 1.82 (5u)
Will Leo Messi score? Yes @ 1.68 (5u)

UEFA Champs League Qualifiers:
Austria Wien +0.5 @ 2.30 (2u)



Great job on the Villa over .5 Winner Winner Chicken Dinner :cheers:
 
thanks eva, but the barca plays were a disaster, very disappointing.
Austria Wien saves me a bit

Concacaf Champs League
Heredia Juguares ML @ 4.05 (1u)
Real Esteli ML @ 3.59 (1u)
 
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5-8 -10.52u

Good thing that underdog hit yesterday. Barca game was definitely a big fuck up.

UEFA Cup Qualifiers:
Baumit Jablonec/Real Betis o3 @ 2.2 (2u)
Kuban Krasandor/Feyenoord o2.5 @ 2.13 (2u)
Atromitos/AZ Alkmaar o2.5 @ 2.05 (3u)
Elfsborg/Nordsjaelland o2.5 @ 2.00 (10u)
Stuttgart ML @ 2.06 (5u)
Zulte Waregem ML @ 2.30 (3u)

FC Pasching +1.5 @ 2.20 (3u)
Apollon Limassol ML @ 5.66 (1u)
 
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Barclays Premier League
Aston Villa ML @ 4.40 (1u)
Aston Villa +0.5 @ 2.08 (3u)
Aston Villa o1 goal @ 1.92 (5u)

France Ligue 1
Valenciennes/Marseille o2.5 @ 2.18 (3u)

Italian Serie A
Juventus/Sampdoria o2.5 @ 1.95 (3u)
AC Milan ML @ 1.82 (3u)
Udinese/Lazio o2.5 @ 2.05 (3u)
Torino ML @ 2.08 (5u)


Spain La Liga
Real Sociedad ML @ 2.5 (3u)
Levante ML @ 3.56 (1u)
Atl Madrid -1.5 @ 1.95 (3u)
 
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Premier League:
Arsenal/Spurs o3 @ 2.3 (5u)

Serie A:
Fiorentina ML @ 2.20 (3u)
Atalanta/Torino o2.25 @ 1.97 (5u)
Catania/Inter o2.5 @ 1.97 (5u)
Bologna/Sampdoria u2 @ 2.28 (2u)

La Liga:
Real Sociedad/Atl Madrid Draw @ 3.4 (1u)
Real Betis/Espanyol o2.5 @ 1.91 (5u)
Sevilla/Malaga u2.5 @ 1.97 (2u)
 
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Serie A:
Hellas Verona ML @ 2.19 (3u)
Fiorentina/Cagliari o3 @ 2.24 (5u)
Inter/Juventus u2.5 @ 1.92 (3u)
Livorno ML @ 2.59 (5u)
Chievo +0.5 @ 2.33 (3u)

Premier League:
Aston Villa ML @ 2.12 (3u)
Stoke City +0.5 @ 2.34 (3u)
Sunderland/Arsenal o2.5 @ 1.90 (5u)


MLS:
Chicago Fire ML @ 2.12 (3u)
Portland Timbers ML @ 2.15 (3u)
LA Galaxy ML @ 2.01 (5u)
Colorado Rapids/FC Dallas o2.5 @ 2.06 (3u)

La Liga:
Malaga ML @ 1.94 (5u)
Villarreal +1 @ 1.84 (3u)
Barcelona -2.5 @ 2.02 (3u)
Atl Madrid/Almeria o3 @ 1.92 (3u)
 
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Serie A:
Parma/Roma o2.5 @ 1.90 (3u)
Inter Milan ML @ 1.83 (5u) (Early line for this weekend)

La Liga:
Almeria/Levante o2.5 @ 2.07 (3u) (Early line)

Premier League:
Swansea/Liverpool Draw @ 3.39 (1u)
 
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good day today, got the draw and the overs. I'm eyeballing a trend from La Liga this weekend, the early Sunday games, the underdog has had a massive win or cover percentage.
 
good day today, got the draw and the overs. I'm eyeballing a trend from La Liga this weekend, the early Sunday games, the underdog has had a massive win or cover percentage.


Any Champions League Plays? My Olympiacos is playing the mighty PSG in Athens,,,,,,,,,,,, Y I K E S ! ! !
 
UEFA Champs League:
Juventus/Copenhagen u2.5 @ 2.06 (3u)
Bayern/CSKA Moscow u3.5 @ 1.96 (3u)

Total Goals Tuesday u24 @ 1.79 (3u)

Wednesday:
Arsenal ML @ 2.55 (1u)
Atl Madrid/Zenit o3 @ 2.4 (3u)
Atl Madrid/Zenit both teams to score? Yes @ 1.94 (3u)
AC Milan/Celtic u2.5 @ 1.9 (3u)

Napoli/Dortmund o3 @ 2.42 (5u)
Steaua Bucuresti o0.5 goals @ 1.84 (5u)
Ajax +2.5 @ 1.91 (2u)


Prop:
Will Bayer Leverkusen advance from Group Stages? Yes @ 2.37 (3u)
Will Benfica win Group C? Yes @ 3.09 (1u)

Europa League:
Valencia/Swansea o2.5 @ 1.93 (2u)
Standard Liege/Esbjerg o3 @ 2.42 (2u)
Standard Liege/Esbjerg o2.5 @ 2.01 (3u)
Fiorentina -1.5 @ 1.95 (7u)
PSV -1.25 @ 1.91 (5u)
Slovan Liberec +0.5 @ 2.26 (3u)
Slovan Liberec ML @ 5.25 (1u)
Sheriff Tirsapol ML @ 3.31 (1u)

Red Bull Salzburg/Elfsborg o3 @ 2.20 (5u)
Tottenham -2.5 @ 2.00 (3u)


adding more plays
 
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La Liga: (Sunday morning)
Granada +0.75 @ 1.99 (5u)
Granada +0.5 @ 2.2 (3u)

Granada ML @ 5.16 (1u)

I will play the underdogs on the Sunday 6am EST games. They were absolutely magical through out last season so once I get ML available I will play it as well. Mind you this is a trend play, will it continue? Not too sure but will keep an eye on this.

Update:
added ML and +0.5
 
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adding:

Serie A:
Cagliari ML @ 2.17 (7u)
Chievo/Udinese Draw @ 3.24 (1u)

Roma/Lazio o2.5 @ 1.89 (5u)
 
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aside from Levante, lol

I saw Sunday mornings going over as a trend last year, and from ingame standpoint (o2, o1.5).

you dipped into Europa, :cheers:
 
aside from Levante, lol

I saw Sunday mornings going over as a trend last year, and from ingame standpoint (o2, o1.5).

you dipped into Europa, :cheers:

yah definitely saw a lot of it

Sunday 6:00am EST games went 22-11 for the road team to cover, majority intact all of them were underdogs. Last ten games of the season the trend went 9-1 of underdogs winning or drawing at least. So I will try my luck here add to the fact Real Betis are playing a Europa league game.
 
as for Europa i have mixed feelings, there are lots of underdogs that have potential. The Russian teams usually do well but not the ones that are in this tourney. Anzhi are in a crisis and are ripe for the taking. Kuban are in a tough spot at St Gallen who disposed of another Russian team. Rubin Kazan I like but not this match, price too short for Europa.

I played Viola and PSV a bit heavier because I know that they can score and that seems to be the main issue with Europa League play. The teams that have the fire power will always go through because a lot of these teams have no clue how to play possession football as like the top clubs so thus you need to have fire power. Unlike the CL where if you have quality defence and possession football you can progress even with a shit offence. In Europa other way I think, Viola are playing a really piss poor Pacos team that were destroyed in the CL qualifiers by Zenit. I expect Viola to just dominate from the get go and when big. PSV line is interesting, they are of CL calibre, probably annoyed that they see Ajax in CL and they are playing in Mickey Mouse league. However they are playing a very anti football Bulgarian team at home and are only -1.25? I'm sure they can handle a victory at least.

I'm going to be a bit more careful with Europa this year but I will pay more attention to it because the public usually gets burned in this competition. I have to be more stingy with the prices and not bite the bullet too quick. If I see there is no value yet the wager probably has a high percentage of hitting I won't just succumb to it. THe price has to be right in order for long term success.
 
adding:

UEFA Youth League:
Bayer Leverkusen ML @ 3.40 (1u)
Shakhtar Donestk ML @ 2.25 (5u)


Youth league there are some good bets available, some teams have a set Youth program and domestic leagues while others are just pretty much Academy developments. Both Shakhtar and Bayer youth teams play in a competitive season long league and both have very very solid programs.
Took the risk at Bayer because Man Utd Youth teams are u21s not u19s.
Shakhtar do play u21s however, Real Sociedad's youth team doesn't have any set programs.
 
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disappointed with the outcomes here, in game wagers helped ease the loss with Benfica o2.5 @ 2.2 and Shakhtar -0.25 @ 2.82 when they were down 3-1.
Leverkusen had every chance to win that game even with a man up they lost 4-3.
Shakhtar drew first blood but Real Sociedad came back quickly
 
another solid day, I got greedy adding Steaua and Ajax. Would of liked to have seen another goal in Naples but a push at that price, fair enough. I got the prices I want and it's been working out pretty well.
 
Europa prices are going in our favor just except the Standard Liege total, I may have to consider playing o2.5

I'm going to take these CL prices earlier. these games are for Oct 1 and 2

UEFA Champs League (Oct 1 and 2)
CSKA Moscow/Viktori Plzen o2.5 @ 1.92 (3u)
Bayer Leverkusen ML @ 1.9 (3u)
Zenit St Petersburg -1.5 @ 1.92 (7u)
Arsenal/Napoli o3 @ 2.31 (3u)
Shakhtar/Man Utd o2.5 @ 1.94 (5u)
Juventus -1.5 @ 1.84 (5u)
 
positive day in Europa which is always hard to do.

6-3-1 +25.32

Will take this midweek, hopefully extend it to the weekend.
 
Serie B:
Spezia/Palermo o2.5 @ 2.05 (1u)
Pescara/Bari o2.5 @ 1.92 (1u)
Brescia/Crotone o2.5 @ 2.08 (3u)
Siena/Ternana o2.5 @ 2.13 (5u)
 
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Serie A:
Parma/Roma o2.5 @ 1.90 (3u)
Inter Milan ML @ 1.83 (5u) (Early line for this weekend)

La Liga:
Almeria/Levante o2.5 @ 2.07 (3u) (Early line)

Premier League:
Swansea/Liverpool Draw @ 3.39 (1u)

going to up my inter milan ML

Inter Milan ML @ 1.82 (2u)

making it a 7 unit play
 
La Liga: (Sunday morning)
Granada +0.75 @ 1.99 (5u)
Granada +0.5 @ 2.2 (3u)

Granada ML @ 5.16 (1u)

I will play the underdogs on the Sunday 6am EST games. They were absolutely magical through out last season so once I get ML available I will play it as well. Mind you this is a trend play, will it continue? Not too sure but will keep an eye on this.

Update:
added ML and +0.5

Trend continues, love it
 
La Liga:
Celta Vigo/Villarreal o3 @ 2.42 (3u)
Celta Vigo/Villarreal o2.5 @ 1.85 (5u)


Serie A:
Napoli 0 @ 2.28 (3u)
Napoli ML @ 3.18 (1u)
 
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Napoli saved me, great result for that team. Playing very very good football, the prices are right for this team so will have to see how the books react.

England League Cup
Tottenham ML @ 2.19 (5u)
Sunderland/Peterborough o3 @ 1.92 (5u)
Chelsea -1.5 @ 1.92 (3u)
Watford ML @ 2.48 (3u)

I feel that my Villans have to pass on this one, we do not have the depth like Spurs do and with Benteke being rested due to an injury there goes our most opposing threat at goal. Manager Paul Lambert has made it clear that the Prem League is top priority so he will definitely be shuffling a bit, Gabby and Luna are likely to be rested. Only reason why I'm not going any higher is because Spurs could also dick around since this is the lesser of the cups, but their squad has depth even on the 3rd string. I don't think Villa's attack can pose a threat to the Spurs, the only real advantage that Villa may have is the hunger of the players that are given opportunities. Lambert generally uses the same line up for Prem games and rarely rotates but with the injury list growing he's got smarten up as his prized assets will take a beating.

As for Sunderland/Peterborough over...Di Canio sacked brings a new lease of life, Peterborough has been an over machine for years now, they love to attack but are absolutely crap at the back. There needs to be some positivity for the Black Cats and a home game vs an inferior opponent should start them off.

Chelsea need to get some momentum going and Mourinho generally rotates well for Cup games. They have the quality just like the Spurs to field a very strong 2nd team.
 
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La Liga
Malaga -1 @ 2.23 (3u)
Malaga/Almeria o3 @ 2.14 (3u)
Villarreal/Espanyol o2.5 @ 2.06 (5u)

Serie A
Chievo/Juventus u2.5 @ 2.00 (3u)

Serie B
Empoli/Siena o2.5 @ 1.92 (5u)
Bari +0.25 @ 1.92 (5u)
Bari ML @ 3.33 (1u)
Crotone -0.25 @ 2.04 (3u)
Crotone ML @ 2.42 (1u)
Avellino +0.5 @ 2.11 (3u
)
 
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