Playoffs in the FCS

2024 First Round
Home Teams: 5-3 straight up, 1-7 ATS
Home Favorites: 4-1 straight up, 0-5 ATS
Home Dogs: 1-2 straight up, 1-2 ATS (ACU +2.5 beat NAU)

2023 First Round
Home Teams: 6-2 straight up, 5-3 ATS
Home Favorites: 6-2 straight up, 5-3 ATS
Home dogs: N/A

2022 First Round
Home Teams: 7-1 straight up, 5-3 ATS *UNH won at home as pick'em*
Home Favorites: 5-1 straight up, 3-3 ATS
Home Dogs: 1-0 straight up, 1-0 ATS (SLU+4 beat Idaho)

2021 First Round
Home Teams: 6-2 straight up, 5-3 ATS
Home Favorites: 6-2 straight up, 5-3 ATS
Home Dogs: N/A

Last 4 years First Round
Home Teams 24-8 straight up (75%), 16-16 ATS (50%)
Home Favorites: 21-6 straight up (77.8%), 13-14 ATS (48%)
Home Dogs: 2-2 straight up (50%), 2-2 ATS (50%)
 
Rhode Island Open -16.5 Now -17.5

Harvard Open -2.5 Now -2.5

Southeastern La Open -4.5 Now -3

South Dakota Open -10.5 Now -18.5

Abilene Christian Open -6.5 Now -10.5

South Dakota State Open -9.5 Now -12.5

YSU Open -2.5 Now -3.5

Tenn Tech Open -2.5 Now -2.5

Grambling Open -14.5 Now -13.5
 
carolinablue said:
South Dakota now 17.5…feel good about my 11.5 as it reminds me of those crazy line jumps from the “old days”
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i agree with you, but with the limits so low, and such limited interest at this time in FCS (college hoops, NFL, etc going on) 4-5 bets made are what moved this.

i wish people would have waited so everyone would have released 11.5 but now when all the other books open up, they will all be -18.5.

hard in the FCS world when they cut our limits at the knees. 125 bucks is all they would let me bet on it.
 
steponaduck said:
i agree with you, but with the limits so low, and such limited interest at this time in FCS (college hoops, NFL, etc going on) 4-5 bets made are what moved this.

i wish people would have waited so everyone would have released 11.5 but now when all the other books open up, they will all be -18.5.

hard in the FCS world when they cut our limits at the knees. 125 bucks is all they would let me bet on it.
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I agree in principle but no way to coordinate because if one doesn’t hit the early line, another will. Would be easy if it was only us in the mix. Ideal would be for BM to release earlier but no incentive for them to do so because there isn’t enough volume being lost to FD between when FD releases and Saturday morning when BM makes an appearance.
 
twinkie13 said:
I saw -290 at FD this AM for Nd State. It was so interesting to me. By the lines, the parity seems way less when they get to this stage vs FBS, right?
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"It's the widest gap between the best & 2nd-best odds that I can recall"

That is from Sam Herder, you may know the name if you've come across FCS social media. There are a few people who do an excellent job in FCS, but Sam is kind of the godfather I'll call it in terms of establishing and reporting on FCS related news. So that is his take on the current championship odds.

Timothy Rosario is a newer name in FCS media but he is my favorite in terms of how he looks and thinks about things. He did an extensive look-back 30 years of FCS National Title history to see how many legitimate teams were real title contenders each year. His findings:

"The average number of true title contenders per season has decreased dramatically over the past 30 seasons. From 1995-2010, there was an average of 5.5 true national title contenders each season. Since 2011, that number has dropped to 2.3 if we exclude the shortened 2021 spring season."

Full story if you wanted it:

www.si.com

How Many FCS Football Programs Are True National Title Contenders In 2025?

Which teams are true contenders for the FCS national championship in 2025?
www.si.com www.si.com

Parity exists in the FCS just like any other sport, but at the very top...there are maybe up to what? 8 FBS teams, the top brands, that if things go right any given year they have the coaching staff, the roster and the budget to make a run. There definitely are not that many teams in FCS. However, if you step back from those elite FCS teams at the very top, the parity that exists between the next tier is really good, they just aren't going to compete for the national title vs those 2.3 on average elite teams.
 
s--k said:
"It's the widest gap between the best & 2nd-best odds that I can recall"

That is from Sam Herder, you may know the name if you've come across FCS social media. There are a few people who do an excellent job in FCS, but Sam is kind of the godfather I'll call it in terms of establishing and reporting on FCS related news. So that is his take on the current championship odds.

Timothy Rosario is a newer name in FCS media but he is my favorite in terms of how he looks and thinks about things. He did an extensive look-back 30 years of FCS National Title history to see how many legitimate teams were real title contenders each year. His findings:

"The average number of true title contenders per season has decreased dramatically over the past 30 seasons. From 1995-2010, there was an average of 5.5 true national title contenders each season. Since 2011, that number has dropped to 2.3 if we exclude the shortened 2021 spring season."

Full story if you wanted it:

www.si.com

How Many FCS Football Programs Are True National Title Contenders In 2025?

Which teams are true contenders for the FCS national championship in 2025?
www.si.com www.si.com

Parity exists in the FCS just like any other sport, but at the very top...there are maybe up to what? 8 FBS teams, the top brands, that if things go right any given year they have the coaching staff, the roster and the budget to make a run. There definitely are not that many teams in FCS. However, if you step back from those elite FCS teams at the very top, the parity that exists between the next tier is really good, they just aren't going to compete for the national title vs those 2.3 on average elite teams.
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Thanks for the info. I would be considered more a casual in here than than you all especially line making….I wouldn’t have guessed that but those points make sense
 
s--k said:
I'm having a medical thing done today. Should be fine if all goes well. Probably will interfere with the opening line release and whatever condition I'm in. If anesthesia has worn off and that I'll probably be back later.
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Glad you are OK. BTW, waking up from anesthesia and immediately checking if FCS lines are up or not, is straight up awesome.
 
Brookings South Dakota. As of now looks like most of the snow is going to be Friday and into Saturday and then the end of it is during the game.

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BOL put out their lines first among the offshores at some point today. Nobody else. US books have them out.

YSU been taking some action as well as North Dakota. South Dakota continues to climb, 21.5 at one domestic book.
 
s--k said:
2024 First Round
Home Teams: 5-3 straight up, 1-7 ATS
Home Favorites: 4-1 straight up, 0-5 ATS
Home Dogs: 1-2 straight up, 1-2 ATS (ACU +2.5 beat NAU)

2023 First Round
Home Teams: 6-2 straight up, 5-3 ATS
Home Favorites: 6-2 straight up, 5-3 ATS
Home dogs: N/A

2022 First Round
Home Teams: 7-1 straight up, 5-3 ATS *UNH won at home as pick'em*
Home Favorites: 5-1 straight up, 3-3 ATS
Home Dogs: 1-0 straight up, 1-0 ATS (SLU+4 beat Idaho)

2021 First Round
Home Teams: 6-2 straight up, 5-3 ATS
Home Favorites: 6-2 straight up, 5-3 ATS
Home Dogs: N/A

Last 4 years First Round
Home Teams 24-8 straight up (75%), 16-16 ATS (50%)
Home Favorites: 21-6 straight up (77.8%), 13-14 ATS (48%)
Home Dogs: 2-2 straight up (50%), 2-2 ATS (50%)
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2024 Second Round

Home Teams: 8-0 straight up, 3-5 ATS (dog covers Tarleton+17.5, Mont+23, Nova+10, URI+8, ACU+21)
Home Favorites: 8-0 straight up, 3-5 ATS
Home Dogs: NA

2023 Second Round
Home Teams: 7-1 straight up, 6-2 ATS (dog covers SIU+5, NDSU+3)
Home Favorites: 7-1 straight up, 6-2 ATS (NDSU+3 won at MSU)
Home dogs: NA

2022 Second Round
Home Teams: 8-0 straight up, 5-3 ATS (dog covers Furman+9.5, SLU+7, Richmond+15)
Home Favorites: 8-0 straight up, 5-3 ATS
Home Dogs: NA

2021 Second Round
Home Teams: 7-1 straight up, 6-2 ATS (Sac State lost at home to SDSU - dog covers Holy Cross+13.5, UIW+12.5)
Home Favorites: 6-0 straight up, 4-2 ATS
Home Dogs: 1-1 straight up, 2-0 ATS (ETSU+3 beat Kennesaw 32-31 & Sac State +7 lost to SDSU 24-19)

Last 4 years Second Round
Home Teams: 30-2 straight up (93.7%), ATS 20-12 (62.5%)
Home Favorites: 29-1 straight up (96.6%), 18-12 ATS (60%)
Home Dogs: 1-1 straight up (50%), 2-0 ATS (100%)



2024 Quarterfinals
Home Teams: 4-0 straight up, 4-0 ATS
Home Favorites: 4-0 straight up, 4-0 ATS
Home Dogs: NA

2023 Quarterfinals
Home Teams: 2-2 straight up, 0-4 ATS (SDSU & Montana won, no cover – Idaho lost as home fav, USD lost as home dog)
Home Favorites: 2-1 straight up, 0-3 ATS (Idaho -4.5 lost at home to Albany 22-30)
Home dogs: 0-1 straight up & ATS (NDSU-6 at USD won 45-17)

2022 Quarterfinals
Home Teams: 3-1 straight up,2-2 ATS (NDSU-19.5 won no cover vs Samford – Sac St-6 lost straight up home vs UIW)
Home Favorites: 3-1 straight up, 2-2 ATS
Home Dogs: NA

2021 Quarterfinals
Home Teams: 2-2 straight up, 1-3 ATS (JMU won covered, NDSU won, no cover)
Home Favorites: 2-1 straight up, 1-2 ATS (Sam Houston-9.5 lost at home to Montana State)
Home Dogs: 0-1 straight up, 0-1 ATS (Villanova+7 lost at home to SDSU by 14)

Last 4 years Quarterfinals
Home Teams: 11-5 straight up (68.7%), 7-9 ATS (43.7%)
Home Favorites: 11-3 straight up (78.5%), 7-7 ATS (50%)
Home Dogs: 0-2 straight up (0%), 0-2 ATS (0%)
 
Lines are up at BM

Slight variance vs FD with Harvard, URI and FAMU all at a point less than FD but nothing significant
 
I am liking SLU to win. Illinois State is just one of those teams, not very good. Vs 5 teams with winning records their O avg just 293.6 and 22.8ppg - two games scoring 35 - 21 pts gift wrapped vs SDSU and did score 35 on YSU's increasingly suspect D, but also limited to just 7 last week home vs SIU, 21 at USD and 16 home vs NDSU. And that Redbird D is bad. The strength of schedule argument is in play with Illinois State facing much better opposition, so we haven't seen SLU play much quality. SLU O has gone MIA at times recently, but they should find some success vs Illinois St D. I'm not real supportive of their inclusion in the playoffs based on the resume, but now that this is the matchup, I find myself leaning towards them.
 
I've been checking UND message board. Nobody seems to know if Flemming is playing or not. They do get a key piece of their run game back with Ziebarth. I just can not trust their offense and even if Tenn Tech has a soft schedule, I think their D should matchup well here. My favorite pick in that game was and remains the Under.
 
MyBookie isn't doing FCS playoffs? They are the only book I see with no games offered
 
CPA-hole said:
I was just going to ask. I see the HBCU games. So no playoffs then?
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MGM doesn't have FCS playoffs yet. They always do, but are late. Maybe MB just late? It would be strange for them to skip the FCS like they did the Dll playoffs. They had FCS playoffs last year I know for a fact because I bet games there.
 
s--k said:
I am liking SLU to win. Illinois State is just one of those teams, not very good. Vs 5 teams with winning records their O avg just 293.6 and 22.8ppg - two games scoring 35 - 21 pts gift wrapped vs SDSU and did score 35 on YSU's increasingly suspect D, but also limited to just 7 last week home vs SIU, 21 at USD and 16 home vs NDSU. And that Redbird D is bad. The strength of schedule argument is in play with Illinois State facing much better opposition, so we haven't seen SLU play much quality. SLU O has gone MIA at times recently, but they should find some success vs Illinois St D. I'm not real supportive of their inclusion in the playoffs based on the resume, but now that this is the matchup, I find myself leaning towards them.
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I am leaning SLU and also Harvard but haven't pulled the trigger on either as of yet as I like my first four but not in love with either of these two.
 
I took Harvard ML at open thinking they would take money and then I would come back on Villanova at 3.5 or 4 or 4.5, but that never happened. I was trying to talk myself into genuinely liking something there, but I really don't.
 
MGM lines up so MB is the last one if they decide to put them up "we usually have them in 30 minutes". We know more about when their FCS lines are typically available then people who work there
 
Think MB just gave us the ol sausage in the tailpipe trick with the FCS playoffs today. Smh.
 
The small number of people playing FCS with them are probably winning more than they like so they just decide to pull the plug. Good to have a variety of options, but still always sucks to lose one.
 
s--k said:
The small number of people playing FCS with them are probably winning more than they like so they just decide to pull the plug. Good to have a variety of options, but still always sucks to lose one.
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But yet, they put up the Southern and MVS games. Smh. I get it they weren't gonna but up d2 playoff lines, but don't lie to us and say the FCS games will be up in "30 mins" when you never had any intention of putting them up.
 
Just got home so about to settle in and watch the rest of the action. Surprised at Nova and Drake scores at first glance, but that’s without seeing any action today.
 
In Sweet 16, I lean N Dakota State big as I’m not sure Illinois State will be able to stay within 3 TDs. Other initial leans include UCD, Lehigh, Tarleton, SFA, Mercer MLs if <200, Montana -13.5 or less, Montana -6.5 or less
 
Illinois State still sucks, Southeastern Louisiana just sucks significantly more. Southland, outside of SFA, that conference is terrible.

The YSU meltdown, that was epic. Legendary for Yale. YSU's D - I know the O didn't do anything 2H - it was a repeat of the Northern Iowa game to a T except this time YSU was playing a quality team and couldn't get out of the spiral. So glad I didn't go to that game and witness that D. But yeah, as a fan of football I too am 100% happy for Yale. I don't feel bad for Youngstown or Brungard at all, they got what they deserved and so did Yale.
 
s--k said:
Illinois State still sucks, Southeastern Louisiana just sucks significantly more. Southland, outside of SFA, that conference is terrible.

The YSU meltdown, that was epic. Legendary for Yale. YSU's D - I know the O didn't do anything 2H - it was a repeat of the Northern Iowa game to a T except this time YSU was playing a quality team and couldn't get out of the spiral. So glad I didn't go to that game and witness that D. But yeah, as a fan of football I too am 100% happy for Yale. I don't feel bad for Youngstown or Brungard at all, they got what they deserved and so did Yale.
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100%! Even though I lost money, this was one of those situations where Yale fully earned it so I can’t be as angry as I normally would be as Youngstown deserved to lose.
 
I just withdrew 75% of my funds from FD so will be focused on finding the top 3 value plays next round. I also expect to withdraw most of my cash from BM as I’m not a huge fan of betting goal games so would rather bank my cash and live to fight another day.
 
I lost 3 bets on YSU which mattered and won 1 on Yale which was rather insignificant. It's not ucommon for me to have bets on both sides as a way to hit both if it falls right. This won't be a good day unless Southern wins straight up. Sub-50% on about 50 bets total and I need Southern to save my ass!

Books only offered YSU-Yale and Harvard-Villanova Live options. No 1:00 games were live. I did not appreciate the final Villanova TD with the backups as I had several mid-upper 50s Under bets.

Yeah the CCSU-Rhode Island 2H was bad. 24-7 HT good guys and then kind of like last year, they just hung on from there.

Was a bad day for 10 point teasers.... URI-9.5 won by 8, Lamar-ACU Und 57 hit 58, SLU+7.5, lost by a lot but looked good on paper! 1-3 on teasers. I know I shouldn't do them but it is so fun selecting them so I enjoy that.
 
Valley beats FAMU 2 years in a row. Unreal. FAMU going to have a head coach vacancy tomorrow. Colzie can't go 0-for-2 in both games vs Valley! MVSU has won 3 games the last 2 years - TWO have been vs FAMU!
 
s--k said:
Valley beats FAMU 2 years in a row. Unreal. FAMU going to have a head coach vacancy tomorrow. Colzie can't go 0-for-2 in both games vs Valley! MVSU has won 3 games the last 2 years - TWO have been vs FAMU!
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Glad I didnt take FAMU as I was about 99% there
 
Saturday, November 29, 2025

MATCHUPresultpassing leaderrushing leaderreceiving leader
Yale @ Youngstown StateYALE 43, YSU 42Beau Brungard317Josh Pitsenberger209Lucius Anderson138
Harvard @ VillanovaVILL 52, HARV 7Pat McQuaide193Isaiah Ragland152Braden Reed61
Central Connecticut @ Rhode IslandURI 27, CCSU 19Devin Farrell365Brendon Barrow36Michael Trovarelli106
Lamar @ Abilene ChristianACU 38, LAM 20Stone Earle308Jordon Vaughn96Javon Gipson164
Illinois State @ SE LouisianaILST 21, SELA 3Tommy Rittenhouse146Victor Dawson72Daniel Sobkowicz89
North Dakota @ Tennessee TechUND 31, TNTC 6Kekoa Visperas278Gaven Ziebarth66Deng Deng73
New Hampshire @ South Dakota StateSDST 41, UNH 3Chase Mason230Denzell Gibson101Grahm Goering75
Drake @ South DakotaSDAK 38, DRKE 17Aidan Bouman261L.J. Phillips Jr.132Larenzo Fenner115
Southern @ GramblingSOU 28, GRAM 27Hayden Benoit221Barry Remo100Andrerw Frazier70
Florida A&M @ Mississippi Valley StateMVSU 35, FAMU 31Brandon Nunez331Thad Franklin Jr.101Mekhi Norris140


Saturday, December 6, 2025

MATCHUPTIMELocation / Weather
Villanova @ Lehigh12:00 PMGoodman Stadium, Bethlehem, PA
South Dakota @ Mercer12:00 PMFive Star Stadium, Macon, GA
Illinois State @ North Dakota State1:00 PMFargodome, Fargo, ND
Abilene Christian @ Stephen F. Austin1:00 PMHomer Bryce Stadium, Nacogdoches, TX
North Dakota @ Tarleton State1:00 PMTarleton Memorial Stadium, Stephenville, TX
Prairie View A&M @ Jackson State2:00 PMMississippi Veterans Memorial Stadium, Jackson, MS
Yale @ Montana State2:00 PMBobcat Stadium (MT), Bozeman, MT
South Dakota State @ Montana2:00 PMWashington-Grizzly Stadium, Missoula, MT
Rhode Island @ UC Davis10:00 PMUC Davis Health Stadium, Davis, CA
 
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