PLAYOFFS ── ⋆⋅⚾⋅⋆ ──

[mrpickem]

2024 MLB PLAYOFFS​

Record [0-0]

TUESDAY​

• 6/7.92 Tigers +132
• 4/3.81 Astros u6½ -105
• 3/4.35 Royals +145
• 3/1.82 Royals +1½ -165
• 4/5.16 METS +129
• 6/5.45 Brewers u7½ -110

 

[2daBank]

Tough to pass Skubal up getting that kind of plus money, even if I’m not sure where the hell tigers runs come from!! lol

 

[The Farm]

Love that monster action on my tigers. The price was too tempting to not play. BOL today

 

[mrpickem]

adding...

• 4/2.31 Padres -173
• 6.80/4 Padres (Series) -175

 

[mrpickem]

2024 Playoffs​

TUESDAY
6/7.92 Tigers +132
4/3.81 Astros u6½ -105
3/4.35 Royals +145
3/1.82 Royals +1½ -165
4/5.16 METS +129
6/5.45 Brewers u7½ -110
4/2.31 Padres -173

pending

6.80/4 Padres (Series) -175​

2024 [6-1 +19.37u]️
LAST [6-1 +19.37u]️

WEDNESDAY​

• 4/3.64 Astros u7½ -110
• 6/5.45 Orioles u7½ -110
• 3/5.01 Mets -1½ +167
• 4/3.67 Mets o7½ -110
• 3/3.51 Braves +117
• 3/1.54 Braves +1½ -195
• 4/3.33 Padres u7 -120

randoms...

HOME CHALK OF -155 OR LESS ON 5-20 IN PLAYOFFS L7 YEARS, DOG HAS RETURNED +68.5% ROI (includes losing last 14)​

​

MODEL PLAYS: na​

 

[mrpickem]

WEDNESDAY
6.80/4 Padres (Series) -175
4/3.64 Astros u7½ -110
6/5.45 Orioles u7½ -110
3/5.01 Mets -1½ +167
4/3.67 Mets o7½ -110
3/3.51 Braves +117
3/1.54 Braves +1½ -195
4/3.33 Padres u7 -120

THURSDAY​

• 1.77/2 METS +113

No real value today, so I'm just taking a shot with the dog since MIL only 2-9 in Playoffs last 5 years, plus Quintana has pitched much better over last 7 starts. That and I just need action!

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 31-18 63.3% FOR +35.3% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (34-15 ON RL FOR +15.9%)​

MODEL PLAYS: na​

 

[mrpickem]

THURSDAY
1.77/2 Mets +113

Playoffs​

2024 [12-4 +29.67u]️
LAST [1-0 +2.00u]️

SATURDAY​

• 3/1.78 Phillies -169
• 8/14.48 Royals +181
• 7/8.40 Padres +120
• 3/3.00 Dodgers u7½ +100
• 3.60/3 Guardians (Series) -120
• 3/1.66 Phillies (Series) -181
• 4/5.00 Padres (Series) +125

randoms...

• ROAD TEAMS 32-18 64% FOR +36.6% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (35-15 ON RL FOR +16.7%)
• PLAYOFF TOTAL UNDER 9 HAVE CASHED UNDER 60% 2020-24 (49-33-2) FOR +14% ROI
• MODEL PLAYS: *KC *SD
• Wacha has dominated NYY even though not this year, KC the hot team with a better pen and much better D, Yankees may start off cold and take a bit to get flowing. +180 is ridiculous value IMHO, I'm pounding it!

 

[mrpickem]

Really surprised Mendoza is starting Senga in game 1 after he hasn't pitched in 10 weeks. Probably going to be a bullpen game for NY as I can't imagine Senga goes over 3-4 inn

 

[mrpickem]

SATURDAY
3/1.78 Phillies -169
8/14.48 Royals +181
7/8.40 Padres +120
3/3.00 Dodgers u7½ +100

Playoffs​

2024 [12-8 +8.67u]️
LAST [0-4 -21.00u]️

3.60/3 Guardians (Series) -120
3/1.66 Phillies (Series) -181
4/5.00 Padres (Series) +125

SUNDAY​

• 4/2.90 Phillies -138
• 3/2.73 Phillies u8½ -110
• 3/2.73 Padres o8 -110

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 33-21 61.1% FOR +31.4% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (37-17 ON RL FOR +13.4%)​

PLAYOFF TOTAL UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED UNDER 57.5% 2020-24 (49-35-3) FOR +11.3% ROI​

MODEL PLAYS: na​

 

[mrpickem]

SUNDAY
4/2.90 Phillies -138
3/2.73 Phillies u8½ -110
3/2.73 Padres o8 -110

2024 [14-9 +11.3u]️
LAST [2-1 +2.63u]️

3.60/3 Guardians (Series) -120​

3/1.66 Phillies (Series) -181​

4/5.00 Padres (Series) +125​

MONDAY​

• 5/4.92 Tigers -122
• 4/6.00 Tigers -1½ +150
• 6/5.77 GUARDIANS u6 -104
• 6/8.22 Royals +137
• 2/1.21 Royals +1½ -165
• 3/3.15 Royals o7½ +105

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 33-21 61.1% FOR +31.4% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (37-17 ON RL FOR +13.4%)​

PLAYOFF TOTAL UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED UNDER 57.5% 2020-24 (49-35-3) FOR +11.3% ROI​

MODEL PLAYS: DET KC​

​

 

[mrpickem]

MONDAY
5/4.92 Tigers -122
4/6.00 Tigers -1½ +150
6/5.77 GUARDIANS u6 -104
6/8.22 Royals +137
2/1.21 Royals +1½ -165
3/3.15 Royals o7½ +105

3.60/3 Guardians (Series) -120​

3/1.66 Phillies (Series) -181​

4/5.00 Padres (Series) +125​

TUESDAY​

• 3/4.80 Phillies -1½ +160
• 5/4.55 Phillies o7 -110
• 5/3.45 Padres -145

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 36-22 62.1% FOR +33.3% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (41-17 ON RL FOR +17.3%)​

PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED UNDER 58.4% 2020-24 (51-35-3) FOR +13% ROI​

MODEL PLAYS: SD​

 

[mrpickem]

 

[mrpickem]

TUESDAY
3/4.80 Phillies -1½ +160
5/4.55 Phillies o7 -110
5/3.45 Padres -145

Playoffs Record
2024 [21-11 +39.42u]️
LAST [2-1 +5.00u]️

3.60/3 Guardians (Series) -120​

3/1.66 Phillies (Series) -181​

4/5.00 Padres (Series) +125​

WEDNESDAY​

• 4/3.74 Phillies -107
• 2/3.20 Phillies -1½ +160
• 3/3.00 PHILLIES o7½ +100
• 3/2.86 Tigers u7 -105
• 6/6.24 Royals +104

randoms...

UNDERS 17-4-1 81% FOR +53% ROI L60 DAYS IN DETROIT​

ROAD TEAMS 36-24 60% FOR +28.9% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (42-18 ON RL FOR +16.9%)​

PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED UNDER 58% 2020-24 (51-37-3) FOR +10.6% ROI​

MODEL PLAYS: PHI KC​

Doyers going with a bullpen game today with no serviceable starter available.



I think maybe BD made a little mistake on futures today...hadda test them with SD +5000

 

[mrpickem]

adding...

• 5/3.94 Padres -127

 

[mrpickem]

WEDNESDAY
4/3.74 Phillies -107
2/3.20 Phillies -1½ +160
3/3.00 PHILLIES o7½ +100
3/2.86 Tigers u7 -105
6/6.24 Royals +104
5/3.94 Padres -127
3/1.66 Phillies (Series) -181

LAST [1-6 -20.14u]️

THURSDAY
2/1.74 Guardians -115
2/3.00 Guardians -1½ +150
3/3.15 Tigers u6½ +105
3/3.00 Royals u7½ +100

Playoffs
2024 [24-19 +19.02u]️
LAST [2-2 -0.26u]️

Did a post for yesterday but somehow never hit submit. Yesterday I was 2-2 with a small loss, but Wednesday was a shit-show!

FRIDAY​

• 3/3.81 Padres +127
• 3/2.50 Padres o7½ -120

3.60/3 Guardians (Series) -120
4/5.00 Padres (Series) +125

randoms...

• ROAD TEAMS 40-26 59.4% FOR +28.8% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (43-21 ON RL FOR +12.9%)
• PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED TO THE UNDER 57.8% 2020-24 (52-38-3) FOR +10.3% ROI
• MODEL PLAYS: NA

LAST 7 STARTS


VS OPPONENT

 

[mrpickem]

FRIDAY
3/3.81 Padres +127
3/2.50 Padres o7½ -120
4/5.00 Padres (Series) +125

Playoffs
2024 [24-22 +9.02u]️
LAST [0-3 -10.0u]️

3.60/3 Guardians (Series) -120​

SATURDAY​

• 5/4.46 Tigers -112
• 3/2.61 Guardians u6 -115

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 40-27 59.4% FOR +27% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (44-23 ON RL FOR +11%)​

PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED TO THE UNDER 57.9% (73-53-5) FOR +10.6% ROI OVER L7 YEARS​

MODEL PLAYS: DET​

...and this from a decimated Doyer staff, maybe LA is just too much for the comp :/

 

[mrpickem]

SATURDAY
5/4.46 Tigers -112
3/2.61 Guardians u6 -115
3.60/3 Guardians (Series) -120




SUNDAY
1.50/1 Dodgers -150

No real play or value today, so I just dropped a minimal play on gut.

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 40-28 58.8% FOR +24.9% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (44-24 ON RL FOR +10%)​

PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED TO THE UNDER 57.5% (73-54-5) FOR +9.7% ROI OVER L7 YEARS​

MODEL PLAYS: LAD​

 

[mrpickem]

SUNDAY
1.50/1 Dodgers -150

Playoffs
2024 [26-24 +5.02u]️
LAST [1-0 +1.0u]️

MONDAY​

• 3/4.20 Mets +140
• 3/2.57 METS o8 -117
• 3/2.61 Yankees u7½ -115

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 40-29 58% FOR +23.2% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (44-25 ON RL FOR +8.4%)​

PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED TO THE UNDER 57.5% (73-54-5) FOR +9.7% ROI OVER L7 YEARS​

MODEL PLAYS: NYM​

 

[mrpickem]

MONDAY
3/4.20 Mets +140
3/2.57 METS o8 -117
3/2.61 Yankees u7½ -115

TUESDAY​

• 3/4.44 Guardians +148
• 3/2.73 Yankees u7 -110

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 40-29 58% FOR +23.2% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (45-26 ON RL FOR +7.7%)​

PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED TO THE UNDER 57.5% (74-54-5) FOR +10.3% ROI OVER L7 YEARS​

MODEL PLAYS: CLE​

 

[mrpickem]

TUESDAY
3/4.44 Guardians +148
3/2.73 Yankees u7 -110

Playoffs
2024 [29-26 +8.4u]️
LAST [0-2 -6.0u]️

WEDNESDAY​

• 7/7.28 Mets +104
• 3/5.49 METS -1½ +183
• 3/3.15 Mets u7½ +105

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 41-31 58% FOR +21.3% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (45-27 ON RL FOR +6.2%)​

PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED TO THE UNDER 57.5% (74-55-5) FOR +9.4% ROI OVER L7 YEARS​

MODEL PLAYS: *NYM​

​

 

[mrpickem]

WEDNESDAY
7/7.28 Mets +104
3/5.49 METS -1½ +183
3/3.15 Mets u7½ +105

Playoffs
2024 [29-29 -4.6u]️
LAST [0-3 -13.0u]️

​

THURSDAY​

• 2.06/2 Yankees -103
• 3/2.82 Guardians u7 -106

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 42-31 57.5% FOR +22.3% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (46-27 ON RL FOR +7.5%)​

PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED TO THE UNDER 56.9% (74-56-5) FOR +8.7% ROI OVER L7 YEARS​

MODEL PLAYS:​

​

​

 

[mrpickem]

THURSDAY
2.06/2 Yankees -103
3/2.82 Guardians u7 -106

FRIDAY​

• 3/2.26 Dodgers -133
• 3/2.97 Dodgers o7½ -101
• 3/2.63 Yankees -114
• 3/2.61 Yankees o7½ -115

So I've hit another rough patch to say the least, nothing really makes sense to me at this point. 'Dazed and Confused'

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 43-32 57.3% FOR +21.4% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (47-28 ON RL FOR +7.5%)​

PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED TO THE UNDER 56.1% (74-58-5) FOR +7.7% ROI OVER L7 YEARS​

MODEL PLAYS: na​

 

[mrpickem]

FRIDAY
3/2.26 Dodgers -133
3/2.97 Dodgers o7½ -101
3/2.63 Yankees -114
3/2.61 Yankees o7½ -115

Playoffs
2024 [32-32 -4.45u]️
LAST [3-1 +5.21u]️

SATURDAY​

• 4/3.57 Yankees -112
• 2/3.00 Yankees -1½ +150
• 4/4.20 Yankees o7½ +105

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 44-33 57.1% FOR +20.4% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (48-29 ON RL FOR +7.9%)​

PLAYOFF TOTALS 20-14-2 THIS YEAR FOR +13.7% ROI ON OVER​

MODEL PLAYS: na​

 

[mrpickem]

SATURDAY
4/3.57 Yankees -112
2/3.00 Yankees -1½ +150
4/4.20 Yankees o7½ +105

Playoffs
2024 [34-33 -1.88u]️
LAST [2-1 +2.57u]️

​

SUNDAY​

• 4/3.64 Mets o8 -110

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 45-33 57.7% FOR +21.3% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (49-29 ON RL FOR +8.9%)​

PLAYOFF TOTALS 20-15-2 57.1% THIS YEAR FOR +10.2% ROI ON OVER​

MODEL PLAYS: na​

 

[mrpickem]

Well we made it...the last series of the 2024 season with the 2 biggest markets both represented. Hard to believe the last time they met in the WS, 1981; Fernando-Mania was in full force and the series averaged 40 million viewers per game. This year, the MLB execs will be stoked if they can draw 20M per game. Baseball has certainly fallen off in the last quarter-century. Should be a great series anyway with the 3 best hitters in the game. Judge and Ohtani get most of the press, but Soto may be the best of them all, and with his free agency looming...a great showing will help him break the bank!

SUNDAY
4/3.64 Mets o8 -110

Playoffs
2024 [35-33 +1.76u]️
LAST [1-0 +3.64u]️

FRIDAY​

• 4/3.42 Dodgers -117
• 4/3.64 Yankees o8½ -110

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 45-34 57% FOR +19.9% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (49-30 ON RL FOR +7.6%)​

PLAYOFF TOTALS 21-15-2 58.3% THIS YEAR FOR +12.4% ROI ON OVER​

MODEL PLAYS: LAD​

​

​

I like NYY in the series, but since I like doyers tonight, I'll wait to get better series price tomorrow. +120 just isn't that appealing...value-wise

 

[mrpickem]

FRIDAY
4/3.42 Dodgers -117
4/3.64 Yankees o8½ -110


Playoffs or since Oct 1

Since Sept 1

SATURDAY​

• 3/3.87 Yankees +129
• 3/2.61 Yankees o8½ -115
• 3/6.54 Yankees (Series) +218

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 45-35 56.2% FOR +18.5% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (49-31 ON RL FOR +5.9%)​

PLAYOFF TOTALS 21-15-3 58.3% THIS YEAR FOR +12.1% ROI ON OVER​

SINCE ALLSTAR BREAK IN ALL GAMES AT DODGER STADIUM:​

LAD 29-12 70.7% SU FOR +12.1% ROI​

LAD 24-17 58.5% RL FOR +32.6% ROI ​

LAD 24-13-4 64.9% OVER TOTAL FOR +21.9% ROI​

MODEL PLAYS: na​

 

[mrpickem]

SATURDAY
3/3.87 Yankees +129
3/2.61 Yankees o8½ -115

Playoffs
2024 [37-35 +2.82u]️
LAST [0-2 -6.00u]️

3/6.54 Yankees (Series) +218​

MONDAY​

3/2.21 Yankees -136
3/3.00 Yankees u8½ +100

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 45-36 55.6% FOR +17.1% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (49-32 ON RL FOR +4.5%)​

PLAYOFF TOTALS 21-16-3 56.8% THIS YEAR FOR +9.2% ROI ON OVER​

LAD 4-11 AS DOG THIS YEAR (1-2 IN PLAYOFFS)​

MODEL PLAYS: na​

​

Buehler is 0-1 w/6.00 ERA in a 2 postseason starts. He allowed 6 runs in 5 innings in G3 vs Pads and allowed 3 hits in 4 inn of an 8-0 win over NYM in G3 of the NLCS on Oct16. Once again, he rolls out for a Game 3. He has pitched twice in the World Series('18 vs BOS & '20 vs TB) going 13 inn while allowing only 5H, 1BB and 1ER with 17Ks and a 0.69 ERA. But arguably he was a much better pitcher then...still he has the experience.​

Schmidt has thrown 9.1 inn in 2 starts allowing 9H, 3BB, 4ER with 6Ks and 3.86 ERA in 2 playoff starts this year(KC, CLE).​

 

[C-MAN]

GL tonight. Must win for NYY but I’m leaning towards the over with these two pitchers in this ballpark.

 

[mrpickem]

MONDAY
3/2.21 Yankees -136
3/3.00 Yankees u8½ +100

Playoffs
2024 [38-36 +2.82u]️
LAST [1-1 +0.00u]️

3/6.54 Yankees (Series) +218​

TUESDAY​

• 3/3.90 Dodgers +130

​

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 46-36 56.1% FOR +18.3% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (50-32 ON RL FOR +5.2%)​

PLAYOFF TOTALS 21-17-3 55.3% THIS YEAR FOR +6.5% ROI ON OVER​

LAD 5-11 AS DOG THIS YEAR (2-2 IN PLAYOFFS)​

MODEL PLAYS: na​

 

[mrpickem]

TUESDAY
3/3.90 Dodgers +130

Playoffs
2024 [38-37 -0.18u]️
LAST [0-1 -3.00u]️

3/6.54 Yankees (Series) +218​

WEDNESDAY​

• 4/5.40 Dodgers +135
• 3/2.73 Dodgers o8 -110

randoms...

ROAD TEAMS 46-37 55.4% FOR +17% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (50-33 ON RL FOR +3.8%)​

PLAYOFF TOTALS 22-17-3 56.4% THIS YEAR FOR +8.6% ROI ON OVER​

LAD 5-12 AS DOG THIS YEAR (2-3 IN PLAYOFFS)​

MODEL PLAYS: na​

 

[mrpickem]

Well that's a wrap, Dodgers are the World Champs, thanks at least partially to blundering Yankees and clueless manager.


WEDNESDAY
4/5.40 Dodgers +135
3/2.73 Dodgers o8 -110
3/6.54 Yankees (Series) +218

Playoffs
2024 [40-38 +4.95u]️
LAST [2-1 +5.13u]️

My season was not good, but I did manage to show profit in each of the last 3 months (AUG-OCT) after digging the biggest hole in the 11-week stretch from May 10th to Aug 1st. Still, I love baseball betting above all others...even after my 2nd straight disastrous season, and I can't wait to get back on track in 5 months.