PLAYOFFS ── ⋆⋅⚾⋅⋆ ──

mrpickem

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss

2024 MLB PLAYOFFS​

Record [0-0]

TUESDAY​

  • 6/7.92 Tigers +132
  • 4/3.81 Astros u6½ -105
  • 3/4.35 Royals +145
  • 3/1.82 Royals +1½ -165
  • 4/5.16 METS +129
  • 6/5.45 Brewers u7½ -110

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Tough to pass Skubal up getting that kind of plus money, even if I’m not sure where the hell tigers runs come from!! lol
 

2024 Playoffs​

TUESDAY
✅6/7.92 Tigers +132
✅4/3.81 Astros u6½ -105
✅3/4.35 Royals +145
✅3/1.82 Royals +1½ -165
✅4/5.16 METS +129
❌6/5.45 Brewers u7½ -110
✅4/2.31 Padres -173

pending
6.80/4 Padres (Series) -175​

2024 [6-1 +19.37u]️
LAST [6-1 +19.37u]️

WEDNESDAY​

  • 4/3.64 Astros u7½ -110
  • 6/5.45 Orioles u7½ -110
  • 3/5.01 Mets -1½ +167
  • 4/3.67 Mets o7½ -110
  • 3/3.51 Braves +117
  • 3/1.54 Braves +1½ -195
  • 4/3.33 Padres u7 -120

randoms...
HOME CHALK OF -155 OR LESS ON 5-20 IN PLAYOFFS L7 YEARS, DOG HAS RETURNED +68.5% ROI (includes losing last 14)​
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MODEL PLAYS: na​

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WEDNESDAY
✅6.80/4 Padres (Series) -175
✅4/3.64 Astros u7½ -110
✅6/5.45 Orioles u7½ -110
❌3/5.01 Mets -1½ +167
✅4/3.67 Mets o7½ -110
❌3/3.51 Braves +117
✅3/1.54 Braves +1½ -195
❌4/3.33 Padres u7 -120

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THURSDAY​

  • 1.77/2 METS +113
No real value today, so I'm just taking a shot with the dog since MIL only 2-9 in Playoffs last 5 years, plus Quintana has pitched much better over last 7 starts. That and I just need action! 🤣🤣

randoms...
ROAD TEAMS 31-18 63.3% FOR +35.3% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (34-15 ON RL FOR +15.9%)​
MODEL PLAYS: na​

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THURSDAY
✅1.77/2 Mets +113

Playoffs​

2024 [12-4 +29.67u]️
LAST [1-0 +2.00u]️

SATURDAY​

  • 3/1.78 Phillies -169
  • 8/14.48 Royals +181
  • 7/8.40 Padres +120
  • 3/3.00 Dodgers u7½ +100
  • 3.60/3 Guardians (Series) -120
  • 3/1.66 Phillies (Series) -181
  • 4/5.00 Padres (Series) +125

randoms...
  • ROAD TEAMS 32-18 64% FOR +36.6% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (35-15 ON RL FOR +16.7%)
  • PLAYOFF TOTAL UNDER 9 HAVE CASHED UNDER 60% 2020-24 (49-33-2) FOR +14% ROI
  • MODEL PLAYS: *KC *SD
  • Wacha has dominated NYY even though not this year, KC the hot team with a better pen and much better D, Yankees may start off cold and take a bit to get flowing. +180 is ridiculous value IMHO, I'm pounding it! 💥

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Really surprised Mendoza is starting Senga in game 1 after he hasn't pitched in 10 weeks. Probably going to be a bullpen game for NY as I can't imagine Senga goes over 3-4 inn
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SATURDAY
❌3/1.78 Phillies -169
❌8/14.48 Royals +181
❌7/8.40 Padres +120
❌3/3.00 Dodgers u7½ +100

Playoffs​

2024 [12-8 +8.67u]️
LAST [0-4 -21.00u]️

3.60/3 Guardians (Series) -120
3/1.66 Phillies (Series) -181
4/5.00 Padres (Series) +125

SUNDAY​

  • 4/2.90 Phillies -138
  • 3/2.73 Phillies u8½ -110
  • 3/2.73 Padres o8 -110
randoms...
ROAD TEAMS 33-21 61.1% FOR +31.4% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (37-17 ON RL FOR +13.4%)​
PLAYOFF TOTAL UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED UNDER 57.5% 2020-24 (49-35-3) FOR +11.3% ROI​
MODEL PLAYS: na​

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SUNDAY
✅4/2.90 Phillies -138
❌3/2.73 Phillies u8½ -110
✅3/2.73 Padres o8 -110

2024 [14-9 +11.3u]️
LAST [2-1 +2.63u]️

3.60/3 Guardians (Series) -120​
3/1.66 Phillies (Series) -181​
4/5.00 Padres (Series) +125​

MONDAY​

  • 5/4.92 Tigers -122
  • 4/6.00 Tigers -1½ +150
  • 6/5.77 GUARDIANS u6 -104
  • 6/8.22 Royals +137
  • 2/1.21 Royals +1½ -165
  • 3/3.15 Royals o7½ +105

randoms...
ROAD TEAMS 33-21 61.1% FOR +31.4% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (37-17 ON RL FOR +13.4%)​
PLAYOFF TOTAL UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED UNDER 57.5% 2020-24 (49-35-3) FOR +11.3% ROI​
MODEL PLAYS: DET KC​

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MONDAY
✅5/4.92 Tigers -122
✅4/6.00 Tigers -1½ +150
✅6/5.77 GUARDIANS u6 -104
✅6/8.22 Royals +137
✅2/1.21 Royals +1½ -165
❌3/3.15 Royals o7½ +105

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3.60/3 Guardians (Series) -120​
3/1.66 Phillies (Series) -181​
4/5.00 Padres (Series) +125​

TUESDAY​

  • 3/4.80 Phillies -1½ +160
  • 5/4.55 Phillies o7 -110
  • 5/3.45 Padres -145
2020SANDIEGOPADRESALTERNATESLEEVE-ES-10203.jpg

randoms...
ROAD TEAMS 36-22 62.1% FOR +33.3% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (41-17 ON RL FOR +17.3%)​
PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED UNDER 58.4% 2020-24 (51-35-3) FOR +13% ROI​
MODEL PLAYS: SD​

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TUESDAY
❌3/4.80 Phillies -1½ +160
✅5/4.55 Phillies o7 -110
✅5/3.45 Padres -145

Playoffs Record
2024 [21-11 +39.42u]️
LAST [2-1 +5.00u]️

3.60/3 Guardians (Series) -120​
3/1.66 Phillies (Series) -181​
4/5.00 Padres (Series) +125​

WEDNESDAY​

  • 4/3.74 Phillies -107
  • 2/3.20 Phillies -1½ +160
  • 3/3.00 PHILLIES o7½ +100
  • 3/2.86 Tigers u7 -105
  • 6/6.24 Royals +104

randoms...
UNDERS 17-4-1 81% FOR +53% ROI L60 DAYS IN DETROIT​
ROAD TEAMS 36-24 60% FOR +28.9% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (42-18 ON RL FOR +16.9%)​
PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED UNDER 58% 2020-24 (51-37-3) FOR +10.6% ROI​
MODEL PLAYS: PHI KC​

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Doyers going with a bullpen game today with no serviceable starter available.
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I think maybe BD made a little mistake on futures today...hadda test them with SD +5000 😂🤣😂🤣

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WEDNESDAY
❌4/3.74 Phillies -1071728641563544.jpeg
❌2/3.20 Phillies -1½ +160
❌3/3.00 PHILLIES o7½ +100
✅3/2.86 Tigers u7 -105
❌6/6.24 Royals +104
❌5/3.94 Padres -127
❌3/1.66 Phillies (Series) -181

LAST [1-6 -20.14u]️

THURSDAY
✅2/1.74 Guardians -115
❌2/3.00 Guardians -1½ +150
❌3/3.15 Tigers u6½ +105
✅3/3.00 Royals u7½ +100

Playoffs
2024 [24-19 +19.02u]️
LAST [2-2 -0.26u]️

Did a post for yesterday but somehow never hit submit. Yesterday I was 2-2 with a small loss, but Wednesday was a shit-show!

FRIDAY​

  • 3/3.81 Padres +127
  • 3/2.50 Padres o7½ -120

3.60/3 Guardians (Series) -120
4/5.00 Padres (Series) +125

randoms...
  • ROAD TEAMS 40-26 59.4% FOR +28.8% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (43-21 ON RL FOR +12.9%)
  • PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED TO THE UNDER 57.8% 2020-24 (52-38-3) FOR +10.3% ROI
  • MODEL PLAYS: NA
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LAST 7 STARTS
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VS OPPONENT
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FRIDAY
❌3/3.81 Padres +127
❌3/2.50 Padres o7½ -120
❌4/5.00 Padres (Series) +125

Playoffs
2024 [24-22 +9.02u]️
LAST [0-3 -10.0u]️

3.60/3 Guardians (Series) -120​

SATURDAY​

  • 5/4.46 Tigers -112
  • 3/2.61 Guardians u6 -115

randoms...
ROAD TEAMS 40-27 59.4% FOR +27% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (44-23 ON RL FOR +11%)​
PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED TO THE UNDER 57.9% (73-53-5) FOR +10.6% ROI OVER L7 YEARS​
MODEL PLAYS: DET​

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...and this from a decimated Doyer staff, maybe LA is just too much for the comp :/

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SATURDAY
❌5/4.46 Tigers -112
❌3/2.61 Guardians u6 -115
✅3.60/3 Guardians (Series) -120

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SUNDAY
1.50/1 Dodgers -150

No real play or value today, so I just dropped a minimal play on gut.

randoms...
ROAD TEAMS 40-28 58.8% FOR +24.9% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (44-24 ON RL FOR +10%)​
PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED TO THE UNDER 57.5% (73-54-5) FOR +9.7% ROI OVER L7 YEARS​
MODEL PLAYS: LAD​

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SUNDAY
✅1.50/1 Dodgers -150

Playoffs
2024 [26-24 +5.02u]️
LAST [1-0 +1.0u]️

MONDAY​

  • 3/4.20 Mets +140
  • 3/2.57 METS o8 -117
  • 3/2.61 Yankees u7½ -115

randoms...
ROAD TEAMS 40-29 58% FOR +23.2% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (44-25 ON RL FOR +8.4%)​
PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED TO THE UNDER 57.5% (73-54-5) FOR +9.7% ROI OVER L7 YEARS​
MODEL PLAYS: NYM​

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MONDAY
✅3/4.20 Mets +140
✅3/2.57 METS o8 -117
✅3/2.61 Yankees u7½ -115

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TUESDAY​

  • 3/4.44 Guardians +148
  • 3/2.73 Yankees u7 -110

randoms...
ROAD TEAMS 40-29 58% FOR +23.2% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (45-26 ON RL FOR +7.7%)​
PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED TO THE UNDER 57.5% (74-54-5) FOR +10.3% ROI OVER L7 YEARS​
MODEL PLAYS: CLE​

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TUESDAY
❌3/4.44 Guardians +148
❌3/2.73 Yankees u7 -110

Playoffs
2024 [29-26 +8.4u]️
LAST [0-2 -6.0u]️

WEDNESDAY​

  • 7/7.28 Mets +104
  • 3/5.49 METS -1½ +183
  • 3/3.15 Mets u7½ +105
randoms...
ROAD TEAMS 41-31 58% FOR +21.3% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (45-27 ON RL FOR +6.2%)​
PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED TO THE UNDER 57.5% (74-55-5) FOR +9.4% ROI OVER L7 YEARS​
MODEL PLAYS: *NYM​
1729077801728.jpeg​
 
WEDNESDAY
❌7/7.28 Mets +104
❌3/5.49 METS -1½ +183
❌3/3.15 Mets u7½ +105

Playoffs
2024 [29-29 -4.6u]️
LAST [0-3 -13.0u]️

​

THURSDAY​

  • 2.06/2 Yankees -103
  • 3/2.82 Guardians u7 -106
randoms...
ROAD TEAMS 42-31 57.5% FOR +22.3% ROI IN PLAYOFFS 2023-24 (46-27 ON RL FOR +7.5%)​
PLAYOFF TOTALS UNDER 8 HAVE CASHED TO THE UNDER 56.9% (74-56-5) FOR +8.7% ROI OVER L7 YEARS​
MODEL PLAYS:​
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