Play2win's NFL 2012

Play2win

Play2win

Mod by Monday Morning
+3.65u Week #10 at proboards, records at base camp but should be about +8u season


Week #11

11/18

MIA +3 (-130) 0.65/0.5u

Reggie Bush OVER 85.5 rush + rec yds (-125) 1/0.8u

live MIA +9.5 (-105) 0.525/0.5u

WAS -1.5 2.2/2u

TB +1.5 2.2/2u

N.O. -3 (-120) 0.6/0.5u

ST JOE'S (Cbb 11/17)/N.O. ML 0.5/0.76u

N.O./DEN/BALT ML 1/1.91u

PIT +3 (+100) hedge/mid 0.5/0.5u

DET ML +130 0.5/0.65u
 
Last edited:
Cincy, Wash, GB, NyG, N.O. and Den are all teams that i think will improve and are improving as season goes forward
 
actually think Den is a live sleeper to win AFC, was high on Cincy to start season so dont wanna get off em now with Bal D not getting any better imo, esp run D and Pit still a ? imo. AFC not too strong, still dont like NE. Hou still best AFC imo. NFC is wide open and much better confer this season imo. NyG great coach, usually improve 2H season (esp after bye), dont like GB D, seems as if they give up too many big plays and pts but seems they can overcome that and are contenders, been against Atl since day 1, SF was in my pre season Super Bowl (Vs Hou) but has ?'s still not a huge believer in A Smith, but he just has to manage game if D plays like capable of playing, Bears obv contender but not for me, do love and respect their D though. Saints are the hot team, D still has holes but improved since Vilma's return and O is lethal. Sea has been my favorite ATS team all season.
 
Play2win said:
+3.65u Week #10 at proboards, records at base camp but should be about +8u season


Week #11

11/18

MIA +3 (-130) 0.65/0.5u

Reggie Bush OVER 85.5 rush + rec yds (-125) 1/0.8u

live MIA +9.5 (-105) 0.525/0.5u

WAS -1.5 2.2/2u

TB +1.5 2.2/2u

N.O. -3 (-120) 0.6/0.5u

ST JOE'S (Cbb 11/17)/N.O. ML 0.5/0.76u

N.O./DEN/BALT ML 1/1.91u

DET ML +130 0.5/0.65u
Click to expand...
add

PIT +3 (+100) hedge/mid 0.5/0.5u
 
if i have this right:


If BALT wins by more then 3 pts +3.76u week NFL

If BALT wins by 3 pts then +4.26u week NFL

If BALT wins by 1 or 2 pts then +4.76u week NFL

If PIT wins then +1.85u week NFL
 
Week #10: +3.65u
Week #11: +4.26u
Season: around +12u or better


11/22

HOU -3 (-115) 0.575/0.5u
HOU -3 (+100) 0.5/0.5u
WASH +4.5 1.1/1u
MINN (Cbb)/WASH (Nfl) ML 0.25/1.4u

11/25

SD +1 (+100) 0.5/0.5u
MIN +7 (-125) 0.625/0.5u
NYG -1.5 0.55/0.5u
ND (Cfb)/CLE ml 0.5/1.06u
ND (Cfb)/TB ml 0.5/1u
ND (Cfb)/N.O. ml 0.5/1.06u
ND (Cfb)/SD ml 0.5/1u
ND (Cfb)/NYG ml 0.5/0.8u
 
Last edited:
Hit the Texans as well.

Any thoughts on tonight? If that line gets to 3, I will have a hard time not playing SF.

BOL, as always.
 
some Week #12 spots im looking at:


Minn: off bye
Chi: short week

Pit: just played Balt, @ Balt on deck, Batch starting

Balt: just played @ Pit, 2nd road in a row, travel west w/ hm vs Pit on deck

Sea and Tenn, both road favs off bye, that trend is 26-4 ATS

Jax: road team has covered all 10 Jags games this season

Ind: Luck way better TD/INT ratio hm then rd

Cin: improved imo but cant overlook 4-13 ATS favs of 3+ pts L6 years

SF: short week
N.O.: home and hot

GB: revenge, back 2 back road games
NyG: off bye

Car: wonder how they react to blowing lead vs TB, Cam can shine on MNF, D puts pressure on opposing QB's
Phi: train wreck, can not protect QB

Den: McGahee (MCL) out 6-8 weeks
 
Last edited:
The Detroit Lions have not won OR covered as a home underdog on Thanksgiving since 2003 (won 22-14 +6.5 vs. Green Bay Packers)
 
Play2win said:
The Detroit Lions have not won OR covered as a home underdog on Thanksgiving since 2003 (won 22-14 +6.5 vs. Green Bay Packers)
Click to expand...


Damn...wish I wud have read this before i placed my wager. I vaguely knew, but decided not to look it up. I actually bought .5 and took Lions

Always like to read your posts...good to be back
 
Play2win said:
Week #10: +3.65u
Week #11: +4.26u
Season: around +12u or better


11/22

HOU -3 (-115) 0.575/0.5u
HOU -3 (+100) 0.5/0.5u
WASH +4.5 1.1/1u

11/25

SD +1 (+100) 0.5/0.5u
NYG -1.5 0.55/0.5u
Click to expand...
posting 1/2 of this play in Cbb and 1/2 in NFL;

MINN (Cbb)/WASH (Nfl) ML 0.25/1.4u
 
Play2win said:
Week #10: +3.65u
Week #11: +4.26u
Season: around +12u or better


11/22

HOU -3 (-115) 0.575/0.5u
HOU -3 (+100) 0.5/0.5u
WASH +4.5 1.1/1u
MINN (Cbb)/WASH (Nfl) ML 0.25/1.4u

11/25

SD +1 (+100) 0.5/0.5u
NYG -1.5 0.55/0.5u
Click to expand...
add

MIN +7 (-125) 0.625/0.5u
 
Play2win said:
Week #10: +3.65u
Week #11: +4.26u
Season: around +12u or better


11/22

HOU -3 (-115) 0.575/0.5u
HOU -3 (+100) 0.5/0.5u
WASH +4.5 1.1/1u
MINN (Cbb)/WASH (Nfl) ML 0.25/1.4u

11/25

SD +1 (+100) 0.5/0.5u
MIN +7 (-125) 0.625/0.5u
NYG -1.5 0.55/0.5u
Click to expand...
add:

ND (Cfb)/CLE ml 0.5/1.06u
ND (Cfb)/TB ml 0.5/1u
ND (Cfb)/N.O. ml 0.5/1.06u
ND (Cfb)/SD ml 0.5/1u
ND (Cfb)/NYG ml 0.5/0.8u


 
Week #10: +3.65u
Week #11: +4.26u
Season: around +12u or better


11/22

HOU -3 (-115) 0.575/0.5u
HOU -3 (+100) 0.5/0.5u
WASH +4.5 1.1/1u
MINN (Cbb)/WASH (Nfl) ML 0.25/1.4u

11/25

MIN +7 (-125) 0.625/0.5u
ND (Cfb)/CLE ml 0.5/1.06u
ND (Cfb)/TB ml 0.5/1u
TB pk 0.55/0.5u
ND (Cfb)/WHO DAT ml 0.5/1.06u
WHO DAT ml (+100) 0.5/0.5u
SD +1 (+100) 0.5/0.5u
ND (Cfb)/SD ml 0.5/1u
NYG -1.5 0.55/0.5u
ND (Cfb)/NYG ml 0.5/0.8u
KC +10.5 (-115) 0.575/0.5u
TENN TT OVER 24 (-120) 0.6/0.5u
 
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I cashed that ND last night as well. also had two team parlay jax st -400/duke -110 300 to win 400
 
Looks like we are on opposite side in Giants and Chargers games......and I can easily see your side in both ( makes me want to buy out and just watch)

Great win by ND and i was on it as well both @ -6 and -4.

Best today
 
bones said:
Looks like we are on opposite side in Giants and Chargers games......and I can easily see your side in both ( makes me want to buy out and just watch)

Great win by ND and i was on it as well both @ -6 and -4.

Best today
Click to expand...
maybe we split those 2 and sweep the rest, GL today Bones
 
Play2win said:
Week #10: +3.65u
Week #11: +4.26u
Season: around +12u or better


11/22

HOU -3 (-115) 0.575/0.5u
HOU -3 (+100) 0.5/0.5u
WASH +4.5 1.1/1u
MINN (Cbb)/WASH (Nfl) ML 0.25/1.4u

11/25

SD +1 (+100) 0.5/0.5u
MIN +7 (-125) 0.625/0.5u
NYG -1.5 0.55/0.5u
ND (Cfb)/CLE ml 0.5/1.06u
ND (Cfb)/TB ml 0.5/1u
ND (Cfb)/N.O. ml 0.5/1.06u
ND (Cfb)/SD ml 0.5/1u
ND (Cfb)/NYG ml 0.5/0.8u
Click to expand...
add

KC +10.5 (-115) 0.575/0.5u
TENN TT OVER 24 (-120) 0.6/0.5u



a few guys i respect alot on Kc and home dogs of 8 or more points are 22-2 ATS last 3 seasons.

Tenn has averaged 24.5 pts per game last 8 games but more importantly Jags have allowed 24 or more points in 9 of 10 games this season.
 
Play2win said:
Week #10: +3.65u
Week #11: +4.26u
Season: around +12u or better


11/22

HOU -3 (-115) 0.575/0.5u
HOU -3 (+100) 0.5/0.5u
WASH +4.5 1.1/1u
MINN (Cbb)/WASH (Nfl) ML 0.25/1.4u

11/25

MIN +7 (-125) 0.625/0.5u
ND (Cfb)/CLE ml 0.5/1.06u
ND (Cfb)/TB ml 0.5/1u
TB pk 0.55/0.5u
ND (Cfb)/WHO DAT ml 0.5/1.06u
WHO DAT ml (+100) 0.5/0.5u
SD +1 (+100) 0.5/0.5u
ND (Cfb)/SD ml 0.5/1u
NYG -1.5 0.55/0.5u
ND (Cfb)/NYG ml 0.5/0.8u
KC +10.5 (-115) 0.575/0.5u
TENN TT OVER 24 (-120) 0.6/0.5u
Click to expand...
should do it, GL today fellas
 
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