these fuckers make it such a pain in the ass,, only maybe half the player props were posted this morning (which pretty normal), so i have to make my 1st trip to cash my tickets and cherry pick the guys i want that out, then i have to wait for all the others to drop and go back in the afternoon. you might ask why i dont just wait but it pretty simple, quite often these numbers mover so if i wait to bet the ones that already posted until they all out im liable to lose a number or at the very least have to pay even more juice! fuck that!! so anyways here what i got on the guys who posted already:
keying on the pels Alexander-walker ov1.5 -160 and MEM Dillon brooks ov1.5 -145 as a 2 team parlay and as parlay partners for a few others with juice.. both guys are shooting 7-8 treys a game, that exactly what i want to play over 1.5. i cant imagine we gonna get too many cracks at Brooks at 1.5 as he just back from injury and joined the starting lineup last game, he has a great matchup vs houston and he has come out the gates on fire. alexander-walker has consistently shot more than 7 per game, his percentage hasnt been great but is doesnt need to be with this kind of volume! he has hit at least 2 in 11 of 14 games and been a steady player on my roster of guys! brooks a career 35% shooter who takes close to 6 a game, with this matchup and him coming out the gates hot im willing to play him even with a tad less volume.
another guy who has consistently been making my roster is Killian Hayes for detriot, he only asked to make 1 a game to cash but unfortunately his price has went from getting him close to ev, up to -150, to now he was at -205 which higher than i like to go but he pretty much a free win on a parlay imo so i used him in a 3 teamer w the guys mentioned above and with another guy ill get to im a minute for a decent payout. i been playing him daily ever since Cuningham has come back as they been playing a lot of minutes on the court together and Cunningham gets guys open looks Hayes isnt the best shooter but he been taking a solid 3-4 a game and we just need him to hit 1!! once again dont expect him to stay at this number for many more games so despite the juice get him at ov .5 while the getting good cause once he hits 1.5 he wont be playable!!
Porzingas ov1.5 -120.. this number really surprised me as thought i would have to pay more juice on him., while he was out i played Hardaway jr a lot but since back Kristaps been cutting into his volume, Porzingis hasnt even been shooting close to his career percentages yet but the volume gonna be here to hit 2 and it appeared to me his shot been coming around last few games. He should get some looks against nugs on a b2b and against a center that rather not roam out to the line on d.
2 value plays that dont need to be parlayed..
Cunningham ov1.5 ev.. he hasnt shot well yet but he taking 7-8 a game and think the shot will come, up against a kings team who does not defend the point well ill take my chances he will get 2 to drop.. (holy shit, i just looked and see he all way up to -160 now? my bad but im not gonna post them till after i get home from playing! loL)
Kuzma ov2.5 ev..his avg shots a game a tad low for a guy id normally play at 2.5 only avg 6.8 a game (like my 2.5 guys to average well over 8), that said Kuzma been stroking it lately and that encourages a lot of guys to take more, case in point the last 3 games he has took 8, 9, 10, now he gets a matchup with a pels team who does not defend the wings very well so i like his chances to continue firing and knocking down a pretty high clip!!
well there you guys have it,, shared all my work with ya'll for the guys who were out this morning.. i dunno if ill be able to come back and post the next slate or not, ill try to at least say who im playing if not give any explanation why as my time could be limited.. gl everyone and let the 3s rain down!!
