Saturday October 7th Thoughts
NCAAF
Auburn -14 -120 (3x)
Over 28-108 Auburn (1.5x)
I just see ARK skating by me by the skin of there teeth. They snuck out of Vandy witha point win thanks to a late missed 48yd FG but Mustain played well. Then vs Bama they couldnt hold a lead and won in OT thanks to a missed or blocked XP. Mustain could not move the offense at all in the 2nd Half. He finished 7 of 22 for 97 yards...now he travels to Auburn!
Again you would suspect that the ARK offense struggles against a top tier defense. While Auburn with Irons had no problem running on ARK last season and USC did hang 50 on them. The Bama QB played well against them as well. Florida being on deck is concerning but the fcat they struggled vs South Carolina hopefully puts emphasis on this matchup.
Penn State -2.5 -110 (4x)
Unde 21.5 -108 (2x)
Even when Minnesota was the superior progran they struggled vs the Nittany Lion defense. Winning 20-14 in 2003 and 16-7 at home in 2004. Last year Penn State whipped them. While Morrelli is unproven on the road he isnt facing a solid defense as Michigan shredded them for 500+ yards and should have put up more then 28. Tony Hunt played well last week and ran all over Minny last year.
The Penn State defense is coming together and becoming a unit that is similiar to last seasons IMO.
Miami -18 -104 (4x)
Over 43 -105 (1.5x)
Miami over 30.5 -113 (2x)
North Carolina cannot stop the run and that will always open the passing game. They have allowed on average over 200yds per game on the ground...James is a little nicked up but I read Moss might return..
I generally think the Miami offense looked much better then the 14-13 final. They drove up the field on there opening drive going 80 yards and scored. Next drive they moved it 30 or 40 yards
but were picked and it seemed they were lost till half. After halftime they put apprx 250 yards of offense on 4 drives. They had the ball nearly the entire 4th quarter but had zero points. They missed a short FG and ran the clock out the final 5 minutes....127yards and 0 points! Clemson , Furman and VaTech all put up 35.
Indiana +8.5 -110 (5x) ML +290(1x)
Under 45 -105 (1.5x)
My points got deleted...As handicappers we are taught not to pay to much attention to last week. Michigan State clearly did not show up vs Illinois after CHOKING versus Notre Dame. There is no question in my mind thats all that happened there.
While you could argue that maybe the Hoeppner situation took away from Indiana's play. I think alot of saw a Wisky team grow up abit versus Michigan the previous week and this was carry over.
Both teams inconsistent on offense . Just remember 2 weeks ago Illy caught 21 at home vs Iowa now they are a TD favorite to a team who was only +10 at home vs Wisky. Expecting a low scroing game.....
Under 41 -105 Western Michigan & Ohio (2.5x)
Two solid defenses with offenses that are unproven. Ohio has always been tough defensively at home and should keep WMU to under 20 points here. Ohio has not had an offense under Solich yet....WMU held down Virginia and Toledo.
Wake Forest +17 -110 (4x)
To me this is FSU & NCST all over again...its always a tight game. Clemson lost Stovall and Merriweather also appears unavailable. Wake has been solid on defense and I give them credit for winning @ UConn and @ Miss even though those programs are down. The Clemson offense didnt lokk as solid at FSU or BC this season and there defense didnt appear to be an elit e unit.
Syracuse +7.5 -120 (4x) ML +248(.75x)
I cant believe in Pitt yet. They had one quality team in Mich State and were blown out and run all over. Enter Syracuse new found weapon the running game. I cant take anything from winning @ Cincy early beating teams like Virginia and Toledo w/o its QB at home. The Cuse always are tough in the DOME and I expect the same again. Thinking over though....
Purdue +11 -105 (2x)
The Iowa offense has struggled this season and Purdue can throw the ball and make plays in the passing game. Just think Purdue can keep it a game all afternoon.
This is just the NOON starts. I had two leans over Kansas and Over Pitt.
NCAAF
Auburn -14 -120 (3x)
Over 28-108 Auburn (1.5x)
I just see ARK skating by me by the skin of there teeth. They snuck out of Vandy witha point win thanks to a late missed 48yd FG but Mustain played well. Then vs Bama they couldnt hold a lead and won in OT thanks to a missed or blocked XP. Mustain could not move the offense at all in the 2nd Half. He finished 7 of 22 for 97 yards...now he travels to Auburn!
Again you would suspect that the ARK offense struggles against a top tier defense. While Auburn with Irons had no problem running on ARK last season and USC did hang 50 on them. The Bama QB played well against them as well. Florida being on deck is concerning but the fcat they struggled vs South Carolina hopefully puts emphasis on this matchup.
Penn State -2.5 -110 (4x)
Unde 21.5 -108 (2x)
Even when Minnesota was the superior progran they struggled vs the Nittany Lion defense. Winning 20-14 in 2003 and 16-7 at home in 2004. Last year Penn State whipped them. While Morrelli is unproven on the road he isnt facing a solid defense as Michigan shredded them for 500+ yards and should have put up more then 28. Tony Hunt played well last week and ran all over Minny last year.
The Penn State defense is coming together and becoming a unit that is similiar to last seasons IMO.
Miami -18 -104 (4x)
Over 43 -105 (1.5x)
Miami over 30.5 -113 (2x)
North Carolina cannot stop the run and that will always open the passing game. They have allowed on average over 200yds per game on the ground...James is a little nicked up but I read Moss might return..
I generally think the Miami offense looked much better then the 14-13 final. They drove up the field on there opening drive going 80 yards and scored. Next drive they moved it 30 or 40 yards
but were picked and it seemed they were lost till half. After halftime they put apprx 250 yards of offense on 4 drives. They had the ball nearly the entire 4th quarter but had zero points. They missed a short FG and ran the clock out the final 5 minutes....127yards and 0 points! Clemson , Furman and VaTech all put up 35.
Indiana +8.5 -110 (5x) ML +290(1x)
Under 45 -105 (1.5x)
My points got deleted...As handicappers we are taught not to pay to much attention to last week. Michigan State clearly did not show up vs Illinois after CHOKING versus Notre Dame. There is no question in my mind thats all that happened there.
While you could argue that maybe the Hoeppner situation took away from Indiana's play. I think alot of saw a Wisky team grow up abit versus Michigan the previous week and this was carry over.
Both teams inconsistent on offense . Just remember 2 weeks ago Illy caught 21 at home vs Iowa now they are a TD favorite to a team who was only +10 at home vs Wisky. Expecting a low scroing game.....
Under 41 -105 Western Michigan & Ohio (2.5x)
Two solid defenses with offenses that are unproven. Ohio has always been tough defensively at home and should keep WMU to under 20 points here. Ohio has not had an offense under Solich yet....WMU held down Virginia and Toledo.
Wake Forest +17 -110 (4x)
To me this is FSU & NCST all over again...its always a tight game. Clemson lost Stovall and Merriweather also appears unavailable. Wake has been solid on defense and I give them credit for winning @ UConn and @ Miss even though those programs are down. The Clemson offense didnt lokk as solid at FSU or BC this season and there defense didnt appear to be an elit e unit.
Syracuse +7.5 -120 (4x) ML +248(.75x)
I cant believe in Pitt yet. They had one quality team in Mich State and were blown out and run all over. Enter Syracuse new found weapon the running game. I cant take anything from winning @ Cincy early beating teams like Virginia and Toledo w/o its QB at home. The Cuse always are tough in the DOME and I expect the same again. Thinking over though....
Purdue +11 -105 (2x)
The Iowa offense has struggled this season and Purdue can throw the ball and make plays in the passing game. Just think Purdue can keep it a game all afternoon.
This is just the NOON starts. I had two leans over Kansas and Over Pitt.
laying Stanford SportsNut...Gl on your plays:cheers:
