October 2015

[hugh613]

MTD: 161-130-33, +9.64

Sunday:

10/25/2015 0:00 AM Japan Soccer 4854 Mito Hollyhock (JPN-2)/V-Varen Nagasaki (JPN-2)* Under 2 -130
10/25/2015 2:00 AM Australia Soccer 2451 Central Coast Mariners (AUS-A)/Melbourne City (AUS-A)* Over 2½ -140
10/25/2015 3:00 AM China Soccer 3416 Guizhou Renhe (CHN-CSL)/Shijiazhuang Yongchang (CHN-CSL)* Over 2½ -113
10/25/2015 3:00 AM China Soccer 3419 Shandong Luneng (CHN-CSL)/Guangzhou Evergrande (CHN-CSL)* Over 2½,3 -136
10/25/2015 3:00 AM China Soccer 3422 Shanghai East Asia (CHN-CSL)/Changchun Yatai (CHN-CSL)* Over 2½,3 -132

10/25/2015 3:00 AM Korea Soccer 5154 Jeonbuk (KOR-KLC)/Seoul (KOR-KLC)* Over 2½ +117
10/25/2015 6:30 AM Turkey Soccer 3501 Alanyaspor (TUR-1)/Boluspor (TUR-1)* Over 2½ +103
10/25/2015 7:30 AM Holland Soccer 601 Den Haag (HOL-E)/Cambuur (HOL-E)* Over 2½,3 -116
10/25/2015 8:00 AM Norway Soccer 2901 Sandnes Ulf (NOR-1)/Sogndal (NOR-1)* Over 3 +107
10/25/2015 8:00 AM Norway Soccer 2915 Levanger (NOR-1)/Follo (NOR-1)* Over 2½,3 -132

*Little confused as to what time these games are actually starting (the futbol24 clock doesn't seem to jive with the 5Dimes time stamps). Hopefully wake up to some winners...

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 165-134-33, +9.16

Adding:

10/25/2015 8:00 AM Norway Soccer 2901 Sandnes Ulf (NOR-1)/Sogndal (NOR-1)* Over 3 +107
10/25/2015 8:00 AM Norway Soccer 2915 Levanger (NOR-1)/Follo (NOR-1)* Over 2½,3 -132

10/25/2015 10:00 AM Italy Soccer 204 Frosinone (ITA-A)/Udinese (ITA-A)* Over 2½ -118
10/25/2015 10:00 AM Italy Soccer 210 Atalanta (ITA-A)/Juventus (ITA-A)* Over 2½ -104
10/25/2015 10:00 AM Sweden Soccer 1301 Helsingborg (SWE-A)/Sundsvall (SWE-A)* Over 3 -128
10/25/2015 10:00 AM Sweden Soccer 1304 Malmo (SWE-A)/Hammarby (SWE-A)* Over 2½ -144
10/25/2015 10:00 AM Belgium Soccer 2221 Lierse (BEL-2)/KSK Heist (BEL-2)* Over 2½,3 -138

10/25/2015 10:00 AM Belgium Soccer 2224 Cercle Brugge (BEL-2)/Excelsior Virton (BEL-2)* Over 2½,3 +111
10/25/2015 10:05 AM England Soccer 104 Tottenham (ENG-P)/Bournemouth (ENG-P)* Over 2½ +100
10/25/2015 10:05 AM England Soccer 107 Manchester City (ENG-P)/Manchester Utd (ENG-P)* Over 2½ -108
10/25/2015 10:30 AM Germany Soccer 402 Borussia Dortmund (GER-1)* -2 -110 vs Augsburg (GER-1)
10/25/2015 10:30 AM Norway Soccer 1001 Molde (NOR-T)/Aalesund (NOR-T)* Over 3 -119

10/25/2015 10:30 AM Belarus Soccer 2207 Naftan Novopolock (BLR)/BATE Borisov (BLR)* Over 2½ -127
10/25/2015 11:00 AM Czech Rep Soccer 2471 Viktoria Plzen (CZE-G)/FC Brno (CZE-G)* Over 2½ -141
10/25/2015 11:00 AM Portugal Soccer 3044 Oliveirense (POR-2)/FC Porto II (POR-2)* Over 2½ -132
10/25/2015 11:00 AM Scotland Soccer 3101 Dundee Utd (SCO-P)/Celtic (SCO-P)* Over 3,3½ -130
10/25/2015 11:00 AM Switzerland Soccer 3307 Young Boys (SWI-S)/Basel (SWI-S)* Over 3 -113

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

10/25/2015 10:05 AM Halftime Soccer 107 Manchester City (ENG-P)/Manchester Utd (ENG-P)* Over ½ -260 for Game
*I know, I know, but it would be different if Man U had actually tried to score in the 1H. That will change in the 2H...

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

10/25/2015 11:45 AM Holland Soccer 610 AZ Alkmaar (HOL-E)/Feyenoord (HOL-E)* Over 3 -113
10/25/2015 11:45 AM Holland Soccer 610 AZ Alkmaar (HOL-E)/Feyenoord (HOL-E)* Over 1,1½ -115 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
10/25/2015 12:00 PM Turkey Soccer 1404 Galatasaray (TUR-S)/Fenerbahce (TUR-S)* Over 2½ -116

10/25/2015 12:00 PM Cyprus Soccer 2454 AEK Larnaca (CYP-1)/Ethnikos Achna (CYP-1)* Over 2½,3 -109
10/25/2015 12:00 PM Serbia Soccer 3124 Partizan Belgrade (SRB)/Mladost Lucani (SRB)* Over 2½ +121
10/25/2015 12:30 PM Sweden Soccer 1310 Elfsborg (SWE-A)/Hacken (SWE-A)* Over 3 -112
10/25/2015 12:30 PM Ecuador Soccer 2521 Mushuc Runa (ECU)/LDU Quito (ECU)* Over 2½ -131

*This is shaping up to be a potential disaster of a morning...

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

10/25/2015 1:00 PM Italy Soccer 216 AS Roma (ITA-A)/Fiorentina (ITA-A)* Over 2½ -117
10/25/2015 1:00 PM Belgium Soccer 804 Standard Liege (BEL)/Charleroi (BEL)* Over 2½ -103
10/25/2015 1:00 PM Norway Soccer 1004 Sandefjord (NOR-T)/Odd Grenland (NOR-T)* Over 3,3½ -127
10/25/2015 1:00 PM Norway Soccer 1007 Rosenborg (NOR-T)/Stromsgodset (NOR-T)* Over 3 -115
10/25/2015 1:00 PM Norway Soccer 1010 Lillestrom (NOR-T)/Bodo/Glimt (NOR-T)* Over 2½,3 -123

10/25/2015 1:00 PM Czech Rep Soccer 2477 Bohemians 1905 (CZE-G)/Sparta Prague (CZE-G)* Over 3,3½ -111
10/25/2015 1:00 PM Poland Soccer 3004 Lech Poznan (POL-E)/Legia Warsaw (POL-E)* Over 2½ -106
10/25/2015 1:15 PM Spain Soccer 307 Eibar (ESP-P)/Barcelona (ESP-P)* Over 3½ -115
10/25/2015 1:15 PM Spain Soccer 308 Barcelona (ESP-P)* -1 -125 vs Eibar (ESP-P) for 1st Half
10/25/2015 1:15 PM Spain Soccer 307 Eibar (ESP-P)/Barcelona (ESP-P)* Over 1½ -108 for 1st Half

*You know it's a rough day when the usually reliable suspects like Plzen and Young Boys can't get it done for you...

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

10/25/2015 1:45 PM Egypt Soccer 2560 Ghazl El Mahallah (EGY)/Al Ahly (EGY)* Over 2½ +109
10/25/2015 2:00 PM Croatia Soccer 2434 RNK Split (CRO-1)/NK Zagreb (CRO-1)* Over 2,2½ -101
10/25/2015 2:30 PM Israel Soccer 2721 Hapoel Tel Aviv (ISR)/Hapoel Beer Sheva (ISR)* Over 2½ -105

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

10/25/2015 3:00 PM International Soccer 1761 Syria U17 (World Cup)/France U17 (World Cup)* Over 3½ -159
10/25/2015 3:00 PM International Soccer 1764 New Zealand U17 (World Cup)/Paraguay U17 (World Cup)* Over 3,3½ -128
10/25/2015 3:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 2248 Sports Boys Warnes (BOL)/Petrolero Yacuiba (BOL)* Over 2½,3 +102
10/25/2015 3:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 2251 Universitario SFX (BOL)/Ciclon (BOL)* Over 3 -128
10/25/2015 3:15 PM Portugal Soccer 1210 Sporting Braga (POR)/FC Porto (POR)* Over 2½ -106

*Pretty sure I'm going to go big on the PSG total. Just want to see lineups first...

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 184-149-40, +9.27

Adding:

10/25/2015 2:30 PM Israel Soccer 2721 Hapoel Tel Aviv (ISR)/Hapoel Beer Sheva (ISR)* Over 2½ -105

10/25/2015 3:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 2248 Sports Boys Warnes (BOL)/Petrolero Yacuiba (BOL)* Over 2½,3 +102
10/25/2015 3:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 2251 Universitario SFX (BOL)/Ciclon (BOL)* Over 3 -128
10/25/2015 3:00 PM International Soccer 1761 Syria U17 (World Cup)/France U17 (World Cup)* Over 3½ -159
10/25/2015 3:00 PM International Soccer 1764 New Zealand U17 (World Cup)/Paraguay U17 (World Cup)* Over 3,3½ -128
10/25/2015 3:15 PM Portugal Soccer 1210 Sporting Braga (POR)/FC Porto (POR)* Over 2½ -106

10/25/2015 4:00 PM France Soccer 510 St. Etienne (FRA-1)/PSG (FRA-1)* Over 2½ -137 *2 UNITS*

*Just 2 Units. No need to drag others down with me in case it ends in a scoreless draw (obviously don't think it will, but goal #3 keeps eluding me today, so...)

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

10/25/2015 5:00 PM Chile Soccer 2324 Palestino (CHI)/Universidad Catolica (CHI)* Over 3 -124 *2 UNITS*
10/25/2015 5:00 PM Paraguay Soccer 2944 Guarani (PAR)/Libertad (PAR)* Over 2½ -111 *2 UNITS*
10/25/2015 5:15 PM Bolivia Soccer 2257 The Strongest (BOL)/Blooming (BOL)* Over 2½,3 -123 *2 UNITS*
10/25/2015 5:30 PM Brazil Soccer 1516 Ponte Preta SP (BRA-A)/Atletico MG (BRA-A)* Over 2½ -122 *2 UNITS*
*Was going to bet MLS, but meh... Too many games still mean something in term of the playoffs, so kind of hard to handicap properly. As far as these games, worst case should be a split, then we'll decide on how big to go on the Leon game.

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

10/25/2015 7:00 PM Mexico Soccer 1604 Leon (MEX)/Puebla (MEX)* Over 2½ -125 *2 UNITS*
10/25/2015 7:00 PM USA MLS Soccer 1710 New York RB (USA-MLS)/Chicago Fire (USA-MLS)* Over 3 -128 *2 UNITS*
10/25/2015 7:00 PM Paraguay Soccer 2947 Sol de America (PAR)/Olimpia Asuncion (PAR)* Over 2½ -119 *2 UNITS*
*I know what I said about betting MLS, but this is pretty much the only meaningless game on the schedule. Plus, NYRB are fielding what looks to be a regular XI, both teams are on big time over runs, and the series trends over, so hopefully Chicago just says tactics be damned and try and put on an entertaining game for the home fans.

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

10/25/2015 7:00 PM Halftime Soccer 1604 Leon (MEX)/Puebla (MEX)* Over 2½ +120 for Game *2 UNITS*
*This would mark the first time since April that two straight Leon games have gone under. Just my luck...

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 190-157-42, +5.85

Monday:

10/26/2015 6:00 AM Japan Soccer 1401 Giravanz Kitakyushu (JPN-2)/Zweigen Kanazawa (JPN-2)* Under 2,2½ -126
10/26/2015 2:00 PM Denmark Soccer 201 Odense BK (DEN)/Randers (DEN)* Over 2,2½ -138
10/26/2015 2:00 PM Sweden Soccer 301 Orebro (SWE-A)/Atvidabergs FF (SWE-A)* Over 2½ -144
10/26/2015 2:05 PM Sweden Soccer 307 IFK Goteborg (SWE-A)/AIK Stockholm (SWE-A)* Over 2½ -110
10/26/2015 3:30 PM Spain Soccer 52 Athletic Bilbao (ESP-P)* -1 -110 vs Sporting Gijon (ESP-P)

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 193-159-43, +6.90

Adding:

10/26/2015 7:30 PM Chile Soccer 801 Univ De Concepcion (CHI)/Audax Italiano (CHI)* Over 2½,3 -122 *2 UNITS*
*Over is 8-0 the L8 H2H, 8-0 the L8 H2H at Audax, 11-3 all time H2H at Audax, and 19-9 all time H2H. On a side note, in the past few months when I've taken the occasional under, I've had a) a game go over within the first 15 minutes, b) a game go over after a scoreless first half, c) a game go over after only one goal in the first half, d) a game go over after being scoreless the first 75 minutes and e) a game go over thanks to a stoppage time goal. In other words, things that just about never happen when I take the over...

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 194-159-44, +7.90

Tuesday:

10/27/2015 2:00 PM Austria Soccer 510 Ried (AUT-Cup)/Red Bull Salzburg (AUT-Cup)* Over 3½ -120
10/27/2015 3:00 PM Holland Soccer 1669 Den Bosch (HOL-CUP)/Almere City (HOL-CUP)* Over 3 -114
10/27/2015 3:30 PM Germany Soccer 472 Bayern Munchen (GER-Cup)/Wolfsburg (GER-Cup)* Over 3 -112
10/27/2015 3:30 PM Belgium Soccer 704 Westerlo (BEL)/Mouscron Peruwelz (BEL)* Over 2½ -120
10/27/2015 3:30 PM Belgium Soccer 707 AA Gent (BEL)/Lokeren (BEL)* Over 2½ -111

*Ried's been pretty dismal offensively this season but a) RB Salzburg over's are pretty much auto plays, and b) 12 of the last 13 H2H have hit 3 goals or more (including 13 of the last 16 at Ried). All 10 of Almere City's Jupiler League games this season have hit 3 goals or more, and 8 of the 10 have hit 4 goals or more (the one cup match during that span also hit 3 goals). Den Bosch, not quite as good, so this could be the game where it comes undone but, at the same time, when you run into a streak like this think you just keep betting it until the wheels come off. Bayern/Wolfsburg another auto play, although Wolfsburg certainly not scoring at the rate they were last season (guess they miss De Bruyne), and Bayern on the road always a bit of a crap shoot. Still, better safe than sorry. Westerlo's been the top over team in Jupiler League so far this season at 9-3 (Mouscron 8-4), and they're both 11-1 OV 1.5, so this one should have a better than above average shot at hitting. And Gent's on a run of 8 straight overs, so might as well hop on and see if they can get number nine.

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 198-159-45, +11.90

Adding:

10/27/2015 9:00 PM Peru Soccer 2260 Ayacucho FC (PER)/Alianza Lima (PER)* Over 2½,3 -135
*Not sure I've ever seen a 2½,3 in Peru before, and not sure I totally trust it either, but the fact remains a) 14 of Ayacucho's last 15 games have gone over and b) the over is 16-5 the last 21 H2H, including 8-2 at Alianza Lima. The only reason I say I don't totally trust it is that I'm not wholly convinced Ayacucho's going to be able to score (usually a pretty big consideration when handicapping overs, for me at least), but for a league that typically has 2,2.5 lines and/or 2.5 juiced under, this is a pretty big deal.

Hopefully 5Dimes puts up a line for the Leon game soon, otherwise I'm going to have make a deposit at Pinnacle (did a whole big writeup, and it's not even on the board, SMH)

 

[dylanphan]

Hopefully 5Dimes puts up a line for the Leon game soon, otherwise I'm going to have make a deposit at Pinnacle (did a whole big writeup, and it's not even on the board, SMH)

mañana amigo

 

[hugh613]

mañana amigo

I knew the Backstreet Boys video I posted in Post #97 would bring back dylan!

:USA:

 

[hugh613]

Leon's twitter account says tomorrow at 9:15. As for the chase we're on now, Leon's gone 2 straight unders. Three straight unders hasn't happened since a three game span from January 17th to January 31st of this year, and hadn't happened prior to that since March 26 to April 5 of 2014 (which incidentally, was the tail end of a four game under streak). On the plus side, the over's 5-1 H2H between Leon and Atlas; the negative side, the Atlas offense has been in the tank since early September. Obviously still going to take the over, but might not be that easy (especially given that it's a cup game, and the fact they meet again in Liga MX action on Saturday).

 

[hugh613]

Wednesday:

10/28/2015 4:30 AM Australia Soccer 3401 Melbourne Victory (AUS-FFA Cup)/Hume City (AUS-FFA Cup)* Over 3½,4 -127
10/28/2015 2:00 PM Germany Soccer 601 Bayer Leverkusen (GER-Cup)* -1½,-2 +100 vs Viktoria Koln (GER-Cup)
10/28/2015 3:45 PM Italy Soccer 354 Palermo (ITA-A)/Napoli (ITA-A)* Over 2½ -160
10/28/2015 3:45 PM Italy Soccer 372 Fiorentina (ITA-A)/Verona (ITA-A)* Over 2,2½ -139
10/28/2015 4:00 PM France Soccer 660 Troyes (FRA-LigueCup)/Lille (FRA-LigueCup)* Under 2½ -142
*Looks like I was right to be skeptical about Peru... Anyways, a lot of juice, but figure I'm in a position of strength right now, so I can afford to take some chances.

 

[~Utah]

:shake:

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 198-161-45, +9.28

Adding:

10/28/2015 2:00 PM Germany Soccer 601 Bayer Leverkusen (GER-Cup)* -1½,-2 +100 vs Viktoria Koln (GER-Cup)
10/28/2015 3:45 PM Italy Soccer 354 Palermo (ITA-A)/Napoli (ITA-A)* Over 2½ -160
10/28/2015 3:45 PM Italy Soccer 372 Fiorentina (ITA-A)/Verona (ITA-A)* Over 2,2½ -139
10/28/2015 4:00 PM France Soccer 660 Troyes (FRA-LigueCup)/Lille (FRA-LigueCup)* Under 2½ -142

10/28/2015 3:30 PM Belgium Soccer 401 Mechelen (BEL)/Standard Liege (BEL)* Over 2½,3 -119
10/28/2015 3:30 PM Belgium Soccer 404 OH Leuven (BEL)/FC Brugge (BEL)* Over 3,3½ -119
10/28/2015 3:30 PM Germany Soccer 616 Eintracht Braunschweig (GER-Cup)* -1½ +100 vs Reutlingen (GER-Cup)
10/28/2015 3:30 PM Germany Soccer 619 Borussia Monchengladbach (GER-Cup)/Schalke 04 (GER-Cup)* Over 2½ -123
10/28/2015 4:00 PM England Soccer 269 Middlesbrough (ENG-Cup)/Manchester Utd (ENG-Cup)* Over 2½ -122

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 201-167-46, +3.73

Adding:

10/28/2015 8:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 901 Ciclon (BOL)/The Strongest (BOL)* Over 3,3½ -116
10/28/2015 8:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 902 The Strongest (BOL)* -1½,-2 -119 vs Ciclon (BOL)
10/28/2015 8:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 904 Blooming (BOL)/Real Potosi (BOL)* Over 2½ -127
10/28/2015 8:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 907 Nacional Potosi (BOL)/Jorge Wilstermann (BOL)* Over 2½,3 -115
10/28/2015 8:00 PM Bolivia Soccer 910 Petrolero Yacuiba (BOL)/Universitario SFX (BOL)* Over 2½ -127

*Not a stoppage time goal in sight but, on the bright side, my under between Lille and Troyes (who'd managed to score a grand total of 11 goals between them through 11 rounds of Ligue 1 action) managed to go over. Some days, I wonder why I even bother... Anyways, more or less just blind betting all the Bolivian games tonight while we wait for the Club Leon match...

 

[hugh613]

MTD: 204-169-47, +4.96

Adding:

10/28/2015 11:15 PM Mexico Soccer 2607 Atlas (MEX-Copa)/Leon (MEX-Copa)* Over 2½ -121 *5 UNITS*
*Consult previous page for explanation...