November

mrpickem

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
[59-57 +0.6u]
SEPT- 33-28 +4.23
OCT - 26-29 -3.63

Missed Thursday night total, but still a cunt hair ahead on the year. let's go
  • 451 Houston Texans/Jacksonville Jaguars Over 46½ -105
  • 452 Jacksonville Jaguars -1 -105
  • 454 Buffalo Bills -10½ -107
  • 453 Washington Redskins/Buffalo Bills Under 37 -105
  • 467 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5 -107
  • 469 Cleveland Browns -4 -104
May be a slack day for me as not many spots worth a play. GLTA

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the rest
  • 455 Tennessee Titans/Carolina Panthers Under 43 -109
  • 457 Chicago Bears +5 -103
  • 462 Miami Dolphins +3½ -110
  • 463 Indianapolis Colts +108
  • 466 Oakland Raiders -145
  • 472 Los Angeles Chargers +4 -105
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  • 473 New England Patriots -3 -108
  • 473 New England Patriots/Baltimore Ravens Under 44½ -105
Not sure why Pats not getting more respect.
Since last DEC they are 13-0 SU / 10-3 ATS / 3-9-1 on total
Since 2012 in prime time...65.7% ATS
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Hit Thursday game, leggo

Sunday:
  • 251 Kansas City Chiefs/Tennessee Titans Over 48½ -109
  • 252 Tennessee Titans +6 -105
  • 253 Buffalo Bills +130
  • 253 Buffalo Bills/Cleveland Browns Under 42 -105
  • 261 Baltimore Ravens/Cincinnati Bengals Under 44 -105
  • 263 Carolina Panthers/Green Bay Packers Over 48 -106
  • 264 Green Bay Packers -4½ -105
  • 265 Detroit Lions +6½ +100
  • 265 Detroit Lions/Chicago Bears Under 38 -105
of note:
Home team 13-1 ATS last 10 days
Road dogs coming off a loss are 65% ATS this year
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GL Today mrp.
Like the Det play.
This ain't last years Chicago team.
That's for damn sure!
:shake:
 
[72-72 -2.45u]
5-7 last week

Thursday...
  • 309 Pittsburgh Steelers +3 -110
  • 309 Pittsburgh Steelers/Cleveland Browns Under 41½ -106
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The NFL has announced that Hue Jackson will lead the drills during Colin Kaepernick’s Saturday workout. Former NFL coach Joe Philbin also will be present. Only the best for Colin :rofl:

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[73-73 -2.51u]
  • 451 Dallas Cowboys/Detroit Lions Over 46½ -105
  • 455 Atlanta Falcons/Carolina Panthers Over 48½ -108
  • 457 Jacksonville Jaguars +125
  • 459 Denver Broncos/Minnesota Vikings Under 40 -103
  • 460 Minnesota Vikings -10 -102 (2u)
  • 461 New York Jets +122
  • 463 Buffalo Bills -7 +104
  • 465 Houston Texans/Baltimore Ravens Under 51½ -105
  • 467 Arizona Cardinals/San Francisco 49ers Under 44 -109
  • 469 New England Patriots -4½ -101
  • 475 Kansas City Chiefs/Los Angeles Chargers Under 52½ -108
Solid 72% angle since 2000, won and covered 6 straight. Vikes today.
View attachment 44234

Here's another I have trouble buying into. Teams that have had less that 28 minutes time of possession in each of last 3 games actually are 70-49 59% ATS over last 7 years. I'm guessing maybe line gets overcompensated by that time. Closer to 50% this year and Cards qualify today. I wont be on it personally but I'm watching
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5-5 early but lost 2u play :mad:

Gonna add...
  • 473 Chicago Bears 1st Half +3 -105
  • 473 Chicago Bears/Los Angeles Rams Under 40 -105
 
Meh day yesterday 5-7, taking bolts tonight and still have the under leftover from yesterday
  • 476 Los Angeles Chargers +6 -107
  • 475 Kansas City Chiefs/Los Angeles Chargers Under 52½ -108
This shit is complicated...

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Sunday:
  • 251 Miami Dolphins/Cleveland Browns Under 45½ -102
  • 255 Pittsburgh Steelers/Cincinnati Bengals Under 37½ -108
  • 257 New York Giants +6½ -108
  • 259 Oakland Raiders/New York Jets Over 45 -108
  • 261 Carolina Panthers/New Orleans Saints Under 46½ -108
  • 263 Tampa Bay Buccaneers/Atlanta Falcons Over 51½ -108
  • 266 Washington Redskins +4 -102
  • 268 Tennessee Titans -4 -101
  • 270 New England Patriots -5½ -105
  • 271 Green Bay Packers +3½ -118
  • 273 Seattle Seahawks +108
Waiting on better lines hopefullyh on DEN, DEN U, CLE
  • TEN -4 - TEN look considerably better with Tannehill, their pass offense went from bottom 2 to top 12. Also, the Titans are facing yet another shitty run defense in the Jaguars who are ranked 4th from the bottom in allowed rush YPG and 1st in average rushing yards per play (5.3). Jags keep putting themselves in a hole and because of this they are unable to utilize one of the best RBs in the league in Fournette - the Jaguars lost both of their last 2 by more than 20 and Fournette averaged just over 30 yards on 9.5 carries in those games. Foles did come back and while he can move the ball, he didn't look good at all in the redzone.
  • NYG +6½ - Giants look considerably better on the road than they do at home, but the main angle here is fading da bears - their offense is completely inept and their defense will still allow around 20. Saquon has been underperforming, but the wideouts for the Giants have gotten better as the season went on and Jones has done a better job overall. This game can, however go to shit based on the turnover potential Jones has - if he doesn't blow it I like NY keeping if very close.
  • PIT +6½ - Backing Cincy is the equivalent of begging to be backstabbed. They appear to be the worst home team in the NFL with the lone home game that they kept within single digits being a 23-26 loss to AZ. Finley looked like ass at Oakland, still they somehow covered, yet we are talking about 1 TD here and I have hope that Pitts D can get this one over the line. Still on fence here.
  • DEN +4 and under 37½ - This line is straight up suspect. The Broncos have won or remained within 4 points in 6 of their last 7 and Buffalo has one of the worst schedules in the league. Both teams are defensive powerhouses - each of em ranks top 5 in allowed YPG and also top 5 in allowed passing YPG. However, for the last few weeks I've seen the Broncos playstyle generate points in a specific manner - large chunk plays. The Broncos have been able to get loose and generate 30-40 yard plays multiple times a game across RBs and WRs. Even field goals can be enough to get a win with the 4 points.
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View attachment 44315

If Nick Foles is so great, why has he never played more than 11 games in a season despite having just one injury that cost him significant time before this year?

Why was he traded to the Rams for Sam “Fucking” Bradford?

Why was he benched by the Rams in favor of Case “Fucking” Keenum?

Why was he just a back up in KC to Alex “Fucking” Smith?

Why was he benched in favor of Wentz after he won the superb owl?

Why were the Jags the only team willing to make him their starting QB?



Why is he 0-2 as a starter for the Jags? And why have the Jags been outscored by a total of 20-50 when Foles has been in the game?

Why are the Jags, the same franchise that drafted, started and paid big money to Blake Bortles and drafted a punter instead of Russell Wilson, right about Foles and every other team is wrong?

:crying2::crying2::crying2:
 
mrpickem said:
View attachment 44315

If Nick Foles is so great, why has he never played more than 11 games in a season despite having just one injury that cost him significant time before this year?

Why was he traded to the Rams for Sam “Fucking” Bradford?

Why was he benched by the Rams in favor of Case “Fucking” Keenum?

Why was he just a back up in KC to Alex “Fucking” Smith?

Why was he benched in favor of Wentz after he won the superb owl?

Why were the Jags the only team willing to make him their starting QB?



Why is he 0-2 as a starter for the Jags? And why have the Jags been outscored by a total of 20-50 when Foles has been in the game?

Why are the Jags, the same franchise that drafted, started and paid big money to Blake Bortles and drafted a punter instead of Russell Wilson, right about Foles and every other team is wrong?

:crying2::crying2::crying2:
Click to expand...
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the rest...
  • 253 Denver Broncos +4 -108
  • 253 Denver Broncos/Buffalo Bills Under 37½ -109
  • 261 Carolina Panthers +10 -105
  • 271 Green Bay Packers +3½ -114
  • 271 Green Bay Packers/San Francisco 49ers Over 48 -105
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Monday
  • 275 Baltimore Ravens -3½ +110 (.5u)
  • 275 Baltimore Ravens/Los Angeles Rams Over 47 -105
The play is the over for me, I'm tossing a half unit on the Ravens for entertainment. I did like them at 3...3.5 is tough

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