November 2016

MTD: 44-25-5, +11.01

Adding:

11/19/2016 8:06 PM Mexico Soccer 513 America de Mexico (MEX)/Pachuca (MEX)* Over 2½ -133

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Thanks dylan.
 
MTD: 45-25-5, +12.01

Sunday:

11/20/2016 1:00 AM Australia Soccer 9001 Central Coast Mariners (AUS-A)/Newcastle Jets (AUS-A)* Over 2½ -139

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MTD: 45-26-5, +10.62

Adding:

11/20/2016 11:15 AM Ecuador Soccer 2651 Universidad Catolica Quito (ECU)/El Nacional (ECU)* Over 2½ -121
11/20/2016 11:30 AM Russia Soccer 408 Zenit St Petersburg (RUS-P)* -1½ -105 vs Krylya Sovetov (RUS-P)
11/20/2016 1:00 PM Mexico Soccer 601 Santos Laguna (MEX)/Toluca (MEX)* Over 2½ -124

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Adding:

11/20/2016 4:00 PM Chile Soccer 2107 Palestino (CHI)/Audax Italiano (CHI)* Over 2½ -131
11/20/2016 4:00 PM Peru Soccer 3607 UTC Cajamarca (PER)/Universitario De Deportes (PER)* Over 2½ -129
11/20/2016 4:30 PM Argentina Soccer 510 Rosario Central (ARG)/CA Boca Juniors (ARG)* Over ½,1 -138 for 1st Half

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Thanks Babushka.
 
Adding:

11/20/2016 6:10 PM Paraguay Soccer 3504 Guarani (PAR)/Nacional Asuncion (PAR)* Over 2½ -147

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MTD: 51-28-5, +13.86

Monday:

11/21/2016 1:00 AM Women Intl Soccer 6004 France U20 W (World Cup)* -2 -135 vs New Zealand U20 W (World Cup)
11/21/2016 11:00 AM Russia Soccer 252 Terek Grozny (RUS-P)* -1 -103 vs Tom Tomsk (RUS-P)
11/21/2016 11:00 AM Turkey Soccer 301 Caykur Rizespor (TUR-S)/Istanbul Basaksehir (TUR-S)* Over 2½ -126

*Kind of stumbled to the finish line there, but a good weekend nevertheless. And remind me not to bet the freakin' A-League anymore - getting a little tired of waking up to the same old 1-1 scoreline over and over again.

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MTD: 52-29-6, +13.83

Adding:

11/21/2016 2:00 PM Holland Soccer 1304 Ajax II (HOL-2)/Utrecht U23 (HOL-2)* Over 3,3½ -114
11/21/2016 2:45 PM Spain Soccer 151 Osasuna (ESP-P)* Over ½ -145 vs Leganes (ESP-P)
11/21/2016 3:30 PM Peru Soccer 1551 San Martin (PER)/Comerciantes Unidos (PER)* Over 2½ -134

*Freaking Terek can beat Zenit and Rubin Kazan at home, but can't beat a Tom Tomsk side that came in 0-1-6 and -11 on the road this season... And just a note on that Spanish total: Osasuna's scored in 6 of its last 7 overall, and all 5 of its road games so far, and in much tougher venues like the Bernabeu, San Mames and Madrigal. Either this finishes a scoreless draw or Osasuna pot at least one

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MTD: 54-30-6, +14.38

Adding:

11/21/2016 7:15 PM Argentina Soccer 354 San Martin de San Juan (ARG)/Patronato Parana (ARG)* Over ½,1 -125 for 1st Half

*San Martin's 4-1 O/U 0.5 1H on the road (7-2 Overall), Patronato's 3-1 O/U 0.5 1H at home (5-4 Overall). Not a slam dunk by any stretch of the imagination, but it's the only game left on the board, and I have no real interest in capping tomorrow's games... yet.

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Thanks kj and STEED.
 
MTD: 55-30-6, +15.38

Tuesday:

11/22/2016 2:45 PM European Cup Soccer 121 Legia Warsaw (UCL)/Borussia Dortmund (UCL)* Over 1½ -123 for 1st Half
11/22/2016 2:45 PM European Cup Soccer 141 Lyon (UCL)/Dinamo Zagreb (UCL)* Over 2½ -119
11/22/2016 2:45 PM England Soccer 413 Bury (ENG-One)/Sheffield United (ENG-One)* Over 2½,3 -132

11/22/2016 2:45 PM England Soccer 414 Sheffield United (ENG-One)* -1,-1½ -124 vs Bury (ENG-One)
11/22/2016 2:45 PM England Soccer 463 Barnet (ENG-Two)/Plymouth (ENG-Two)* Over 2½ -136
11/22/2016 2:45 PM England Soccer 504 Woking (ENG-Nat)/Dover (ENG-Nat)* Over 3 -108

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MTD: 57-34-7, +12.89

Adding:

Parlay: 1.31 To Win 1.00

11/22/2016 8:00 PM USA MLS Soccer 301 Toronto (USA-MLS)/Montreal Impact (USA-MLS)* Under 3½ -260
11/22/2016 10:00 PM USA MLS Soccer 321 Colorado (USA-MLS)/Seattle (USA-MLS)* Under 3½ -362

*First legs tend to be cautious affairs, regardless of the league, so I did some backtracking, and here's what I found. Since the 2012 season when MLS introduced two legged ties for both the conference semi finals and conference finals, the O/U 3.5 is 0-4 this season, 1-5 in 2015, 1-5 in 2014, 2-4 in 2013, and 1-5 in 2012. And regarding the teams tonight, here are their Over 3.5 numbers on the season:

Toronto 11-26 (5-13 on the road), Montreal 14-23 (10-8 at home)
Colorado 6-30 (5-13 on the road), Seattle 7-30 (2-17 at home)

The obvious concern is TFC/Montreal (although watch that be a scoreless draw and the Rapids game be the high scoring one...), but this looks like a high percentage bet, so let's see what happens...

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Thanks kj, teeed and Monger.
 
MTD: 57-35-7, +11.58

Wednesday:

11/23/2016 10:00 AM Portugal Soccer 1404 Sporting Lisboa II (POR-2)/Uniao de Madeira (POR-2)* Over 2½ +120

*Sheffield came into last night's game with nine straight overs, and Bury with thirteen in its last sixteen and, of course, it goes under. Red card notwithstanding, uncanny how these runs always manage to come to a screeching halt the moment I bet them. And speaking of which...

Uniao's 3-12 O/U 2.5 on the season (2-5 at home), which isn't really much of a shocker when you consider the average number of goals per game in Portugal B is 2.28. What is surprising, however, is the fact that Sporting B's managed to go 11-3 O/U 2.5 on the season (4-3 on the road), with the league's 2nd best offense, and third worst defense. In a clash of contrasting styles, I'll take my chances at plus money that Sporting can force Uniao's hand and dictate the pace in this one (with Uniao having given up 7 goals in their last 4 games, think it's safe to assume their defense can be opened up when the pace and finishing is there).

Not a slam dunk by any stretch of the imagination, but these anomalous sides tend to stick out like a sore thumb (low scoring team in high scoring league, high yielding team in low scoring league, etc...), so let's see what happens...

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