NOV 23-24

[mrpickem]

27 years ago today....but classic

https://twitter.com/x/status/1065968373417345027

[130-129-2 -5.18u]

Friday:

• 123 Nebraska/Iowa Under 53 -105
• 133 Central Florida/South Florida Over 69½ -105
• 135 Oregon/Oregon State Under 69½ -105
• 138 Memphis -9 -105
• 139 Virginia -4 -108
• 141 Oklahoma/West Virginia Over 85 -105
• 142 West Virginia +3 -105

I’ve bet 5 OU overs this year and haven't lost one yet. This may legitimately be one of the worst 3 defenses in a power 5 conference. The total is up to 85 for a reason, both teams can easily score in the 40’s, especially West Virginia.

• OU has scored at least 45 points in 7 straight. The last time they didn’t was when Army controlled the clock for ~40 minutes against them on 9/22
• WV has scored a minimum of 41 in their last 4.
• OU is 106th in the country against the pass this year. They have not faced a quarterback even close to the caliber of Will Grier. The closest comparable is Alan Bowman from TTU and he went 21/26 for 227 and 2 TD’s in one half against Oklahoma before getting hurt.
• WV is 89th in the country against the pass. They also have not faced a qb near the caliber of Kyler Murray so far this season.
• Both teams are averaging greater than 6 yards per play this year. Oklahoma is #1 in the country at 8.3 yds per play.
• Big 12 game, so defense is optional

Another tidbit, the B12 has had as many games with totals of 79 or more as the rest of DIV1 and they still go over 65% of the time
View attachment 36011

 

[Coolslaw1]

Good stats I'm gonna bite on a couple today, ty

 

[booksbestfriend]

That average line -2.2 is telling, and amazing at the same time.

 

[mrpickem]

That average line -2.2 is telling, and amazing at the same time.

Good point, it takes a close game with both teams scoring to get over 80. OU opened 1-1.5 and has moved to 3 so that's right there in the wheelhouse

 

[mrpickem]

rough Friday 2-4-1

• 167 Wake Forest +10 -103
• 167 Wake Forest/Duke Under 61 -105
• 171 NC State -7 -115
• 177 Southern Mississippi/UTEP Under 45½ -105
• 187 Wyoming/New Mexico Under 44 -102
• 200 Florida State +8½ -105

 

[mrpickem]

• 162 Ohio State +4 -103
• 162 Ohio State +165 .5u
• 166 Georgia -17 -103

Buckeyes rarely a dog and 12-2ATS last 14 times which goes back 9 years. I hate urban and company but I love money

 

[mrpickem]

• 154 Michigan State -24½ -101
• 164 Northwestern -15 -105
• 195 Tennessee U/Vanderbilt Over 51½ -108
• 217 SMU -2½ -110
• 217 SMU/Tulsa Under 53½ -107

 

[mrpickem]

• 149 Kentucky -17 -105
• 151 South Carolina +26 -107
• 191 Colorado +11 -103
• 197 Oklahoma State -6 -105
• 205 San Jose State +31½ -108
• 207 Kansas State +10½ -105
• 207 Kansas State/Iowa State Under 41 -102
• 209 LSU/Texas A&M Over 46½ -105
• 223 North Texas/Texas San Antonio Under 52 -108