No Beer World Cup 2022 with Marsski

Marsski

Marsski

MAC Marvel
Coming out firing, I basically don't bet soccer except these big Cup tournies so feel free to fade my squareness. I usually root for Italy but I think Denmark might be my horse this year.
Will keep the record in this window.

Record: 4-15, -6.4 units

To win the World Cup:
Denmark half unit bet +2950
Uruguay half unit bet +4000 L

To qualify for knockouts:
Ecuador -105 to win 1 unit

To win Group
Morocco +900 half unit bet to win 4.5
Germany -110 to win half unit L

9 points in first round:
Argentina +215 1 unit bet

Top goal scorer:
Memphis Depay (Netherlands) half unit bet +2500

Total tournament goals:
Morocco Over 3.5 to win 1 unit -104
Argentina Over 9.5 to win half unit -105

First round matches:
11.20 QatarUnder/Ecuador 2 -110 to win half unit PUSH
11.21 USA Team Total Over 1 to win half unit -115 PUSH
11.21 Senegal/Dutch first half draw +114 half unit bet
11.21 England/Iran under 2.25 to win 1 unit -116
11.22 France/Australia first half under 1.25 -137 1 unit bet
11.22 Poland PK -103 to win half unit PUSH
11.22 & 11.24 ML Parlay: Denmark/Brazil +114 1 unit bet
11.23 Morocco PK +175 .58 unit bet to win 1.01
11.24 Brazil Team Total Over 2 +104 1 unit bet
11.26 parlay: Germany ML/Canada +1 goal +180 1 unit bet
11.26 parlay: Germany ML/Draw Belgium/Canada game .6 unit bet to win 3.14 +523
11.24 Portugal to win to nil -108 (to win half unit)
11.29 Ecuador/Senegal under 2.25 to win 1 unit -125
11.24 Uruguay ML -128 to win 1 unit
11.24 & 11.26 ML parlay: Brazil/Argentina +115 1 unit bet
11.25 USA Team Total Over 0.5 goals to win 1 unit -120

11.26 Denmark PK +175 1 unit bet
 
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Starting off the tourney with a good old fashioned under.

11.20 Pick: Qatar/Ecuador under 2 -110 to win half unit
 
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I do like Ecuador to qualify...basically a fade of Senegal here with Mane out.

Ecuador to qualify -105 to win 1 unit
 
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Argentina seems to have the weakest overall group of the heavyweights in my estimation and they are just pounding teams.

Argentina to score 9 points in first round +215 (betting 1 unit to win 2.15)
 
Most likely winners of the opening matches other than Argentina are Denmark and Brazil in my opinion...

11.22 & 11.24 ML Parlay: Denmark/Brazil +114 1 unit bet
 
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Slightly homerish here but I think Pulisic gets at least one vs Wales.

11.21 USA Team Total Over 1 to win half unit -115
 
Iran will be parking the bus and looking to counter. I wouldn't be surprised if they do better than anticipated.

11.21 England/Iran under 2.25 to win 1 unit -116
 
Top goal scorer Memphis Depay for Clockwork Orange Half unit bet to win 12.5 +2500. See Teed thread for write up.
 
Like the matchup for Morocco's offense against Belgium and Croatia and this is a pretty low total for a team with a decent offense especially with Ziyech back.

Morocco over 3.5 goals in WC to win 1 unit -104
 
Mexico has their weakest team in years. Poland always seems to underachieve but maybe they squeak one out to get on the good foot.

11.22 Poland PK -103 to win half unit
 
I think the Atlas Lions are a little underrated...best African team in my opinion with Mane out. I liked how they looked in African Cup even though they went home early...

11.23 Morocco PK +175 .58 unit bet to win 1.01 unit
 
To hoist the cup and cut down the nets, taking a stab with a few medium shots that I think could make deep runs to the semis or finals...

Denmark half unit bet +2950
Uruguay half unit bet +4000
 
Ghana has one of the worst offenses in the tourney, I can't see Portugal not getting on the board....

11.24 Portugal to win to nil -108 (to win half unit)
 
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Marsski said:
Ghana has one of the worst offenses in the tourney, I can't see Portugal not getting on the board....

11.24 Portugal to win to nil -108 (to win half unit)
Click to expand...
They've just got to get past CR7's shenanigans
 
Marsski said:
Yeah, he's a diva....they still have a lot of attacking talent...
Click to expand...
Oh I get it, I'm a City fan...not sure why he's getting in Cancelo's grill but I don't like it. We have three very capable players on Portugal, I watch them when I can. They can score, just don't need the distraction. I've got them winning the group.
 
Marsski said:
Talk to me about Canada, I see your betting them ATS...
Click to expand...
Quietly moving up the ranks very quickly, plenty of firepower. That they tied Mexico and finished ahead of the US in qualifying standings, not to mention they're pretty entertaining. I think they've got the confidence to score some goals and contend to get out of the group
 
11.22 France/Australia first half under 1.25 -137 1 unit bet

36 of 48 first round matches had 0 or 1 total goals in the first half in 2018.
 
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11.26 parlay: Germany ML/Canada +1 goal +180 1 unit bet

11.26 parlay: Germany ML/Draw Belgium/Canada game .6 unit bet to win 3.14 +523
 
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