• PICK CLUB Starts WEEK 2. Please pick ALL games for this year's contest!

NFL Week 2

TreyDawg

TreyDawg

Pretty much a regular
Sides: 2-4 -5.3u
Totals: 0-0 +0.00u
ML: 2-2 +1.05u
Teaser: 3-0 +4.2u
UDMLP: 0-1 -0.50u
ML Parlay: 1-0 +1.81u
Longshot: 0-1 -0.50u
TD Player Prop: 1-5 -6.0u
Straight Player Prop: 1-0 +1.25u
Player Prop Parlay: 1-2 +0.00u
Team Total: 0-0 +0.00u

Total Overall: 11-15 -3.99u

So just stick to ML parlays/teasers and leave the TD props alone, got it. 😂 We all know that ain't gonna happen but week 1 was no bueno. Seriously bailed out by the Bills to save what would've been an epically bad start to the year. Hopefully learned some stuff for week 2. Up from here hopefully.

Sides
Packers -3 -116 (2.9/2.5)
Pats +1.5 -103 (2.06/2)
Titans +5.5 -113 (2.26/2)
Cardinals -6.5 -120 (2.4/2)
Eagles pk -118 (2.36/2)
Bucs +3 -125 (2.5/2)
Raiders +3.5 -119 (2.38/2)

ML
Broncos -121 (2.42/2)
Bucs +135 (1/1.35)
Raiders +157 (1/1.57)
Texans ML -145 (7.25/5)
Chargers ML -190 (3.8/2)

7 pt Teaser
Pats +9/Jags +10/Seahawks +10 +123 (1/1.23)
Cardinals pk/Bucs +9.5/Raiders +10.5 +127 (1/1.27)

UDMLP
Pats/Falcons/Raiders +1241 (.5/6.21)

ML Parlay
Packers/Lions +118 (1.5/1.77)
Packers/Cardinals +109 (1.5/1.63)
Packers/Cowboys +122 (1.5/1.83)

Longshot
Pats ML/Lions ML/Bills ML/Seahawks ML/Falcons +3.5/Bucs ML +3984 (0.5/19.92)

TD Player Prop
CeeDee Lamb anytime TD -112 (1.12/1)
Marvin Harrison Jr anytime TD +129 (1/1.29)
Mike Evans anytime TD +140 (1/1.4)

Straight Player Prop
Drake Maye 2+ TD passes +127 (1/1.27)
Marvin Harrison Jr 66+ rec yds +125 (1/1.25)

Player Prop Parlay
CeeDee Lamb 7+ rec/81+ yds +116 (1/1.16)

Team Total
Bills TT o26.5 -120 (2.4/2)
 
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Packers/Redskins

If my Skins go on the road and win this one I may have to change my tune. The Giants aren't good, Russ has cooked and needs to step away from the stove, and Nabers was being a diva on the sidelines. Feel like we shoulda won that one by more than we did. JD missed McLaurin down the left sideline on what would've been a long TD and he was wiiiiide open. Gonna take a couple of week for them to get back into form. Liked how they've involved Deebo and JCM will be the main back soon potentially. Last year it was the 4th down conversion success and thankfully they didn't have to make that decision last week. However, hopefully this isn't a trend but Wash was in 2nd & 11+ 7 times against the Giants (2 sacks/3 penalties, 1 doesn't really count cause they were kneeling at the end). On 2 of their TD drives they converted 3 of those 2nd & Long situations to 1st downs. If that happens again against GB I think we'll see a little different outcome and I think they'll see more than several of those situations. Can they keep GB out of the backfield? Not sure they can. Don't like 11 JD rush attempts, that's asking for trouble.

I think we'll see the GB weapons be too much for the Wash secondary tonight. Still have questions on that side of the ball and even though they bottled up the run game in week 1 that was again against the Giants. Can they pressure JLove without blitzing? Not sure they can and when they do they'll get burned tonight. If they can stop this run game and keep this offense in check I'll consider changing my stance on my boys. Until then I'm not overacting to week 1 and sticking to my thought that the Skins defense is still a little suspect and will struggle creating pressure without gambling and it'll burn em. Don't think they can keep up in a shootout either. GB looked good all around last week against Detroit and think they'll confuse JD a little tonight. Parsons another week of conditioning and might get a sack or two, but at least create some chaos in the backfield.

GB 27 Skins 17
 
Easy money to start the week. All we need is a Skins garbage time TD to nail the exact score. Hate it when I nail a read on my team like that though.

First thought is this is closer to what the Redskins are than what we saw against the Giants. Unfortunately
 
TreyDawg said:
Easy money to start the week. All we need is a Skins garbage time TD to nail the exact score. Hate it when I nail a read on my team like that though.

First thought is this is closer to what the Redskins are than what we saw against the Giants. Unfortunately
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Nicely done.

Appreciate the objectivity. Always hard for all of us.

Both are teams were handled pretty well by GB. This is a team that will start 7-1 or 6-2 at worst.
 
B.A.R. said:
Nicely done.

Appreciate the objectivity. Always hard for all of us.

Both are teams were handled pretty well by GB. This is a team that will start 7-1 or 6-2 at worst.
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Appreciate it!

I'm probably a little harder on my team than most. lol And oh boy do I have some thoughts for next week.

Pack (barring injury) I'm seeing 7-1 through 8. Let down game week 5 vs Cincy following the hoopla in Jerry World?
 
TreyDawg said:
Appreciate it!

I'm probably a little harder on my team than most. lol And oh boy do I have some thoughts for next week.

Pack (barring injury) I'm seeing 7-1 through 8. Let down game week 5 vs Cincy following the hoopla in Jerry World?
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Maybe a letdown but that DL vs OL mismatch is something else.
 
B.A.R. said:
Maybe a letdown but that DL vs OL mismatch is something else.
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True dat. But you're probably going to be able to say that about every week from the looks of it. Might only be a couple weeks where the other OL can semi handle this group. And they aren't going undefeated. Their bye week is before the Cincy game so maybe not as much of a let down candidate off a short week. That Cowboys game everybody gonna be amped up on both sides
 
Short on time this week but will get some thoughts if I get time later.

Adds:

Sides:
Pats +1.5 -103 (2.06/2))
Titans +5.5 -113 (2.26/2))
Cardinals -6.5 -120 (2.4/2)
Eagles pk -118 (2.36/2)
Bucs +3 -125 (2.5/2)
Raiders +3.5 -119 (2.38/2)

ML
Broncos -121 (2.42/2)
Bucs +135 (1/1.35)
Raiders +157 (1/1.57)

Props:
Bills TT o26.5 -120 (2.4/2)
Drake Maye 2+ TD passes +127
CeeDee Lamb anytime TD -112
CeeDee Lamb 7+ rec/81+ yds +116
Marvin Harrison Jr anytime TD +129
Marvin Harrison Jr 66+ rec yds +125
Mike Evans anytime TD +140
 
TreyDawg said:
Still have both of these alive for tomorrow night. To hedge or not to hedge. Feel like one of the two wins SU but could lock in profit on both. 🤔

Thoughts?
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I'm taking a piece on that 2nd one for sure.

My quick thought is take 25% on the first one and at least 33% on the 2nd
.
THEN live bet and perhaps catch nice middles/good MLs or just coast home.
 
B.A.R. said:
I'm taking a piece on that 2nd one for sure.

My quick thought is take 25% on the first one and at least 33% on the 2nd
.
THEN live bet and perhaps catch nice middles/good MLs or just coast home.
Click to expand...
My live betting needs a little work. lol But will take a piece of each and hope the dogs score first and hope for a + on the other side for a middle.

Have 5u risk on TB for 24.5u if they win, and 4.88u risk on LV for 11u if they win. So we'll start with this....

Adds:
Texans ML -145 (7.25/5)
Chargers ML -190 (3.8/2)
 
Week 2 recap:

Sides: 4-3 +1.46u
Totals:
ML: 2-3 -7.32u
Teaser: 1-1 +0.23u
UDMLP: 0-1 -0.5u
ML Parlay: 3-0 +5.23
Longshot: 1-0 +19.92u
TD Player Prop: 0-3 -3.12u
Straight Player Prop: 1-1 +0.27u
Player Prop Parlay: 1-0 +1.16u
Team Total: 1-0 +2.0u

Total Overall: 14-12 +19.33u

Raiders laid an egg, kinda iffy on that one anyway. Woulda been a huge week had they won but good to see the Bucs bring home the longshot, never in doubt. Should've laid the absolute wood with GB since it was my most confident play of the week. Feel like we got robbed for anyone who backed Denver. Gross. Ah well, on to the next.

Stay away from the TD props you big dummy. We all know that won't happen cause I have to hit one eventually right? lol
 
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