NFL Plays (Week Seven)...

[emkee]

6-3-1 (+3.66)

Have been tied up sorting personal shit out at the bottom of the world so posting infrequently.

Haven't posted these other than mentioning the angle in last and this week's discussion thread but have playing them to win a unit on the side (not included in record).

Home faves off a loss 2-18 ATS last 20. Began playing it last week, stands at 5-0 ATS (+5 units) with fades on the Pats, Bolts and Rams pending.

Will keep track of it on the side.

Playing the Sunday nighter.

The play...

Seahawks -3 -126 (2.52 to win 2)

Key number juice because it was available.

Road chalk off a bye angle with the division angle thrown in.

:cheers3:

 

[SIGO]

:cheers3:

 

[emkee]

'HFOAL' fade angle now 6-1 ATS (+5.9), overall 19-3 ATS last 22.

1-1 on Sunday with the Bears pending (MNF)...

 

[emkee]

Road chalk off a bye playing a division rival are 34-8 SU (31-11 ATS) since Tom Brady's first start (September 30th, 2001).

That's 73.8% hit rate, have to play it.

 

[emkee]

That was fucked up. Tips hat to the NFL...

 

[emkee]

4th quarter last night was a fucking trip. The errors, playcalling and officiating in that final stanza summed up 2020.

Cards didn't win that game, it was handed to them.

Moving on...

MNF.

The play...

Rams -6 (2 units)

Time to get shit back on track.

Random reasoning up in a bit.

:cheers3:

 

[rambler882]

With you. LEGGO

 

[emkee]

Based on 2020 results the Rams are in a spot to fade (home fav off a loss is 3-19 ATS last 22 occasions) but no games have been on MNF.

Gonna fade the fade here and roll with the good old tried and true 'Circadian Rhythm' fade.

Central time zone teams playing a Monday night game on the road vs an opponent from the Pacific time zone are 1-11-1 ATS the last 13 occasions.

Have this game lined at Rams -3, so the spread is strong or inflated. I'm going with the former.

Very important game for the Rams in terms of the standings as well. Basically a must-win.