NFL 24

THX. B.A.R.

ML parlay Dolphins / Packers @118 to win 1.18u
Jets TT over 27.5 @160 to win 1.6u
Jets -7 @-108 to win 1u
Lions -13.5 @104 to win 1.04u
 
Commanders -1.5 @-115 to win 3u
Commanders - Bears over 45.5 @-110 to win 2u
ML parlay Chargers / Bills @100 to win 2u
 
Try to save a bad day with
Steelers -6.5 @-110 to win 2u
Steelers TT over 20.5 @-139 to win 2u

Good defense against bad offense. 24-10 type of game, hoping Wilson's performance last week was not a fluke. Jones somewhat like 1-14 SU in prime time. Don't know about ATS but don't care.
 
Week 8

Vikings TT 1H over 12.5 @-125 to win 1u
Vikings TT over 24.5 @-125 to win 1u
ML parlay Vikings/Packers @140 to win 1.4u
Bengals -2,5 @-120 to win 2u
Bengals TT over 24.5 @-117 to win 2u
ML parlay Lions / Ravens / Jets / Broncos @100 to win 2u
Texans - Colts over 45,5 @-108 to win 2u

Liont TT over 27.5 @-125 to win 2u
Seahawks - Bills over 45 @-115 to win 2u
ML parlay Packers / Bengals @151 to win 1.51u

Colts +5.5 @-115 to win 1u
ML parlay Dolphins / Packers @118 to win 1.18u
Jets TT over 27.5 @160 to win 1.6u
Jets -7 @-108 to win 1u

Lions -13.5 @104 to win 1.04u
Commanders -1.5 @-115 to win 3u

Commanders - Bears over 45.5 @-110 to win 2u
ML parlay Chargers / Bills @100 to win 2u
Steelers -6.5 @-110 to win 2u
Steelers TT over 20.5 @-139 to win 2u


Week 8
8-12 -5.69u

Overall 43-46-1 -2u
 
Week 9
ML parlay Bills / Bengals / Eagles @108 to win 2.16u
Parlay Browns - Chargers over 2.5 fg / Ravens - Broncos over 2.5 fg @111 to win 1.11u

See the three favs winning at home being the superior team.

Thought about a over fg bet in the Browns-Chargers game but did not found a good one, so thx to @BenchCoach coming up with the idea of a parlay. So we have two games with good defenses that shoud be able to stop drives which should lead to field goals.
 
Week 9
ML parlay Bills / Bengals / Eagles @108 to win 2.16u
Parlay Browns - Chargers over 2.5 fg / Ravens - Broncos over 2.5 fg @111 to win 1.11u

See the three favs winning at home being the superior team.

Thought about a over fg bet in the Browns-Chargers game but did not found a good one, so thx to @BenchCoach coming up with the idea of a parlay. So we have two games with good defenses that shoud be able to stop drives which should lead to field goals.
Top field goal parlay each week is 8-0 on the season
 
Cowboys +3.5 @-115 to win 2u
Cowboys ML @155 to win 1.55u
Cowboys TT over 23.5 @-125 to win 2u
Chargers -1.5 @-110 to win 2u
Bills - Dolphins over 49.5 @-118 to win 1u
Bengals - Raiders over 45.5 @-110 to win 1u
Saints TT over 25.5 @-125 to win 2u

Don't buy into Winston after one goog game. Chargers defense is legit and I do think, they will have at least one interception.
Cowboys are rested and the Falcons defense allowed 24+ points in 4 of last games with the lone exception being the Panthers scoring 20.
Speaking of the Panthers I hope Carr will have a day against a defense that allowed 26 points in 7 of 8 games.
 
ML parlay Bills / Bengals / Eagles @108 to win 2.16u
Parlay Browns - Chargers over 2.5 fg / Ravens - Broncos over 2.5 fg @111 to win 1.11u
Cowboys +3.5 @-115 to win 2u
Cowboys ML @155 to win 1.55u
Cowboys TT over 23.5 @-125 to win 2u

Chargers -1.5 @-110 to win 2u
Bills - Dolphins over 49.5 @-118 to win 1u
Bengals - Raiders over 45.5 @-110 to win 1u

Saints TT over 25.5 @-125 to win 2u
Rams -1.5 @-115 to win 3u
Parlay Packers +7.5 / Eagles -3.5 @-110 to win 1u
Cardinals -1.5 @-108 to win 2u
Packers - Lions under 48.5 @-110 to win 1u

Live Lions TT over 29.5/Viking ML @-104 to win 2u
ML parlay Saints / Commanders @-110 to win 1u

ML parlay Ravens / Bills / Bengals @100 to win 2u

8-8 +0.58u

Overall 51-54-1 -1,42u

Lost 5.8u on the Cowboys. Dumb play in hindsight.
 
Week 10
Ravens TT over 30.5 @-115 to win 1u
Bengals TT over 23.5 @100 to win 1u
Ravens - Bengals over 52.5 @-115 to win 1u

Expect a shootout like week 5 (38-41). Both offenses were scoring last week and at least the Ravens had a better defense as opponent. Can't see any reason for a 20-17 type of game.
 
Week 10
Ravens TT over 30.5 @-115 to win 1u
Bengals TT over 23.5 @100 to win 1u
Ravens - Bengals over 52.5 @-115 to win 1u

Expect a shootout like week 5 (38-41). Both offenses were scoring last week and at least the Ravens had a better defense as opponent. Can't see any reason for a 20-17 type of game.

Really feels like a game to go nuts parlaying player props! Just dunno how the hell both teams not scoring here? It doesn’t make any damn sense for either to try and play ball control cause both defenses much weaker in the secondary.
 
3-0 so far after TNF

ML parlay Giants / Bears / Chiefs / Chargers @161 to win 3.22u

I'm pretty sure all of them will win, but not being confident in covering the spread. Giants defense will get to Young and the Panthers allow 30+ points at average. Nabers and Jones will exploit it.

Same reason with the Bears having the better defense and in my opinion the better qb who can get back on track at home against a bad opponent.

Chiefs defense against a rookie qb playing his first game at Arrowhead. But as the Broncos have a good defense as well, they might keep it close. But still think it over and maybe playing the Chiefs ATS.

Chargers also have a strong defense and Will (tornover) Levis starts against them. Also thinking about playing the Chargers ATS if I can get 7.
 
Vikings TT over 24.5 @-125 to win 1u
Jags - Vikings over 43 @-115 to win 1u
Vikings -6.5 @-125 to win 1u
Commanders -2.5 @-109 to win 2u
Bucs - 49ers over 50 @-115 to win 1u
Saints - Falcons over 46.5 @-115 to win 1u
Commanders - Steelers over 45 @-115 to win 1u
ML parlay Bills / Vikings / 49ers @131 to win 1.31u
ML parlay Vikings / Chargers / Chiefs @-109 to win 1u
 
Vikings -7 @-115 to win 2u
ML parlay Vikings / Bears / 49ers @116 to win 2,32u

Make Vikings by adding another unit a 3u play.
 
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Chargers -7.5 @-125 to win 1u
Chargers TT over 27.5 @155 to win 1.55u
Cardinals - Jets over 46 @-115 to win 1u
 
Down 10u and still wondering, how on earth the Vikings did not cover the spread. Box score indicates a blowout win but of course with 0/5 in the red zone it's hard to cover a TD spread.

Would have been a 6.5u swing. Anyway. Try to get a little bit back like last week, when I had the Rams winning at Seattle.

Rams -2.5 @-125 to win 3u
 
Down 10u and still wondering, how on earth the Vikings did not cover the spread. Box score indicates a blowout win but of course with 0/5 in the red zone it's hard to cover a TD spread.

Would have been a 6.5u swing. Anyway. Try to get a little bit back like last week, when I had the Rams winning at Seattle.

Rams -2.5 @-125 to win 3u
I don't like to cry "fixed" but the officiating was so fishy in the Vikings game. The first Darnold interception was pass interference and the second interception clearly hit the ground...how they didn't overturn that call is ridiculous
 
Won't bring the money back. Made much dumber plays last week than the Vikings bet, which I would do every Sunday again given the same circumstances. Update record tomorrow but down around 14u. It's a game of give and take.

Week 11
Hurts to yes @-110 to win 1u
 
Week 10
Ravens TT over 30.5 @-115 to win 1u
Bengals TT over 23.5 @100 to win 1u
Ravens - Bengals over 52.5 @-115 to win 1u

ML parlay Giants / Bears / Chiefs / Chargers @161 to win 3.22u
Parlay td yes: Nabers / Jefferson / McLaurin @917 (boost) to win 4.59u
Vikings TT over 24.5 @-125 to win 1u
Jags - Vikings over 43 @-115 to win 1u
Vikings -6.5 @-125 to win 1u
Commanders -2.5 @-109 to win 2u
Bucs - 49ers over 50 @-115 to win 1u
Saints - Falcons over 46.5 @-115 to win 1u

Commanders - Steelers over 45 @-115 to win 1u
ML parlay Bills / Vikings / 49ers @131 to win 1.31u
ML parlay Vikings / Chargers / Chiefs @-109 to win 1u

Vikings -7 @-115 to win 2u
ML parlay Vikings / Bears / 49ers @116 to win 2,32u

Chargers -7.5 @-125 to win 1u
Chargers TT over 27.5 @155 to win 1.55u
Cardinals - Jets over 46 @-115 to win 1u
Rams -2.5 @-125 to win 3u


Week 10 7-13 -13,52u
Overall 58-67-1 -14,94u
 
Week 11
Worst week in a while, but to take the positive: I got 20u in free bets from a bonus offer by betting 20u last weekend, so maybe forced some plays. I have to bet the free bets until Tuesday and will spend them on NFL betting. So maybe I can come back to green by winning 15u risking basically nothing.

Steelers +3 @100 to win 2u - (would play it with own money)

division rivalry game that was won by the dog more often than by the fav last games.

Bills ML @-137 to win 3u

I simply think the Chiefs are due to lose a game and the Bills will hand it to them. After the blocked field goal against the Broncos I hope the Chiefs have run out of luck. I know the stats of Mahomes as a dog, but will play it nevertheless.

ML parlay Packers / Dolphins / Rams @141 to win 5,64u

Packers rested against the Bears with 10-0 SU last games. Bears offense scored three points against the Pats defense, which is not as goog as the Packers defense. Dolphins seem to find the rythm back and the Rams simply can't afford to lose at Foxboro to keep track in the NFC West.
 
Browns ML @-118 to win 2u (own money, no free bet)

Going with the better defense and don't trust the Sainst after one win.
 
Colts +4 @-115 to win 1.5
Jets - Colts under 43.5 @-115 to win 1u

Fade the Jets based on their performance last games as a favoured team. If AR keeps control of the ball, Colts can keep it close.
 
Packers -6 @-115 to win 1u

For fun:
4System bet 4 of 5: Packers -6 / Rams -4 / Dolphins TT over 27.5 / 49ers -6 / Browns TT over 20.5 with 1u to win max. 10.93u
 
Week 11
Steelers +3 @100 to win 2u - (would play it with own money)
Bills ML @-137 to win 3u
ML parlay Packers / Dolphins / Rams @141 to win 5,64u

Browns ML @-118 to win 2u (own money, no free bet)
Colts +4 @-115 to win 1.5
Jets - Colts under 43.5 @-115 to win 1u
ML Rams / Packers @204 (+50% odds boost) to win 2.04u (own money, no free bet)
Rams -4 @-115 to win 1u

Packers -6 @-115 to win 1u
4System bet 4 of 5: Packers -6 / Rams -4 / Dolphins TT over 27.5 / 49ers -6 / Browns TT over 20.5 with 1u to win max. 10.93u
49ers -6 @-115 to win 2u
Bengals ML @-110 to win 1u


Week 11 6-6 +12,82 (because of free bets - would have been 6-6 +6,12u with own money)
Overall 64-73-1 -2,12u
 
Week 12
ML parlay Steelers / Chiefs / Commanders / Bucs / Dolphins @240 to win 2.40u
Steelers -3.5 @-109 to win 1u
 
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Cancelled the Steelers ATS bet. So probably Steelers win 24-10.....

Talked myself into the bad spot angle and out of the Cleveland sucks angle.
 
Commanders -10 @-115 to win 3u
Commanders TT over 27.5 @-130 to win 2u
Bucs -6 @-115 to win 2u
Chiefs TT over 27.5 @-115 to win 2u

Chiefs and Commanders with good offenses play against bad defenses and should be able to move the ball well and score points. Don't like Chiefs ATS on the road but Commanders at home against Cooper Rush to get back on track after the loss at Philly a lot.

Bucs and Giants with 4 resp. 5 losses in a row coming back from a bye. Bucs better team with a chance to win the NFC South due an easy schedule. Evans back should help and I don't trust DeVito as qb.
 
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Vikings -3.5 @100 to win 1u
Bears TT under 17.5 @-111 to win 1u

Vikings DC Brian Flores leads the league's top defense in DVOA. He's 7-1 as a head coach and coordinator against rookie QB1s. His defenses limited teams to 15.5 points per game in those matchups, averaging more than one takeaway and nearly four sacks per contest. Minnesota blitzes at the second-highest rate in the league, and while Caleb Williams has been a bit better against extra rushers in recent weeks, it's certainly not a strong suit. (from Week 12 NFL picks: Cardinals or Seahawks in NFC West clash? Ravens or Chargers in Harbowl?)
 
Chargers - Ravens over 50.5 @-125 to win 2u
Ravens -2.5 @-120 to win 1.5u
Parlay td yes Henry / Dobbins / Flowers @600 to win 3u
 
Week 12
ML parlay Steelers / Chiefs / Commanders / Bucs / Dolphins @240 to win 2.40u
Commanders -10 @-115 to win 3u
Commanders TT over 27.5 @-130 to win 2u

Bucs -6 @-115 to win 2u
Chiefs TT over 27.5 @-115 to win 2u
ML parlay Bucs / Dolphins / Broncos @140 to win 2.8u

Vikings -3.5 @100 to win 1u
Bears TT under 17.5 @-111 to win 1u

Dolphins -7.5 @-111 to win 1u
Seahawks - Cardinals over 47.5 @-110 to win 1.5u
Broncos TT over 23.5@-125 to win 2u
Packers - 49ers under 45.5 @-108 to win 1u
ML parlay Packers / Eagles @126 to win 1.26u
Chargers - Ravens over 50.5 @-125 to win 2u
Ravens -2.5 @-120 to win 1.5u

Parlay td yes Henry / Dobbins / Flowers @600 to win 3u

Week 12 8-8 +2,17u
Overall 72-81-1 +0,05u
 
Week 13
Restart of the season, after being 0.05u up with 12 weeks of NFL. Ok, could be worse after all this crazy games and endings where I was pretty even being on the wrong and right sides.

Logged into an account where I haven't played for months only to found a 10u birthday free bet from some weeks ago.

Want to play a two-game parlay @250 or similar. Right now have narrowed to

Bills-7 in bad weather against an injured 49ers team,

Seahawks ML or ATS fading a Jets team

Cowboys -3 fading a Giants team

Not ready with research yet.

Any ideas, suggestions or playing devil's advocate?
 
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