NFL Playoffs Wildcard Round Discussion

D-Woww said:
interesting. they are both teams that beat the teams they should have beat and lost to teams who are elite. I think thats just what these teams are right now, good but not great teams. Winner of this one doesnt make it another game.
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indy beat some good teams
 
D-Woww said:
so Seattle is now +200 to win the SB. If you think they are unbeatable at home, why not take that and then take the dog in the SB (im assuming Seattle would be favored vs anyone) and guarantee yourself $
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i like this…don't see seatt losing…hfa and super fast d…the whole team is on the juice…lol
 
i don't see how we can use andy reid as a reason to bet kc…he has fucked up more games than he has won….ask any philly fan what they think of reid….the only stat i can think of with reid that lends to his coaching ability is his record out of a bye….one game a year….to me he is a reason to bet indy….i do not think i will (but i might) but i will not bet kc because of reid and their strength of schedule….imo
 
the NFL is unpredictable.. new orleans road woes have been obvious which is now all people are talking about in main stream media.. watch em go into Philly and play lights out fuckers... I bet all favs and all unders every year same shit ..
my local had indy -1 -115, eagles -2.5, and SF-3EV, CINNCI -7EV
 
BJPLAYER said:
i don't see how we can use andy reid as a reason to bet kc…he has fucked up more games than he has won….ask any philly fan what they think of reid….the only stat i can think of with reid that lends to his coaching ability is his record out of a bye….one game a year….to me he is a reason to bet indy….i do not think i will (but i might) but i will not bet kc because of reid and their strength of schedule….imo
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It's a reason I haven't bet KC yet. And I might not. He can't make in-game adjustments and he seems to get flustered in crucial games when the pressure is greater. McNabb saved his ass a few times in Philly, but Alex Smith won't do that this year.

I feel KC is better than Indy, but buyer beware if you back a Reid team in the playoffs.
 
Refs have been released...

Kansas City at Indianapolis – Walt Anderson

New Orleans at Philadelphia – Bill Vinovich

San Diego at Cincinnati – Jeff Triplette

San Francisco at Green Bay – Ed Hochuli
 
KC has steamed to a pick 'em. Was always going to given the opening line.

Indy +1 a likely line come Saturday.
 
emkee said:
KC has steamed to a pick 'em. Was always going to given the opening line.

Indy +1 a likely line come Saturday.
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Yup, had to grab the 2.5 +106 early and leaves plenty of options. Still leaning on keeping the game. I do have that 'this game stinks' feeling about me though as well.
 
Can't believe Indy line going down like that.....I figured with KC's woes against good teams this year people would line up to bet Luck at -3.
 
3 cold weather games, and the 1 indoor game is reffed by Walt Anderson

Sounds like a bunch of unders to me, but it's awfully painful betting unders in this league. Walt's crew should be good for calling back a couple big plays though if there are any.
 
these 2.5 spreads suck... at least one of them is going to have the favorite win by 1 or 2 points
 
I love Cincy now that it -6.5.. Chargers have 1 of the worst defenses in the league allowing 6.3 yards per play, sure they mask it well using ball control on offense but that not easy task against bungals d. They have played the last 2 years in sd and Cincy won both by a Td out rushing them by a ton. Healthy packers team was only team to stay inside a Td in Cincy, pats lost by 7, everyone else got trounced by double digits, not sure what ppl see in sd to bet this down? I woulda laid the -7 as I made it -10 but ill happily take -6.5. Think this gm sets up perfect for Cincy to take out 30 years of frustration..
 
2daBank said:
I love Cincy now that it -6.5.. Chargers have 1 of the worst defenses in the league allowing 6.3 yards per play, sure they mask it well using ball control on offense but that not easy task against bungals d. They have played the last 2 years in sd and Cincy won both by a Td out rushing them by a ton. Healthy packers team was only team to stay inside a Td in Cincy, pats lost by 7, everyone else got trounced by double digits, not sure what ppl see in sd to bet this down? I woulda laid the -7 as I made it -10 but ill happily take -6.5. Think this gm sets up perfect for Cincy to take out 30 years of frustration..
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I think the main thing they see is Andy Dalton in a big game...that has to be a concern? Best of luck.
 
bones said:
I think the main thing they see is Andy Dalton in a big game...that has to be a concern? Best of luck.
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Yea I understand that but minus the ginger pussy this the best team in the afc IMO and I just don't see a terrible chargers d exposing him when the run gm should dominate and green should be running free all dat. Then u flip it and Cincy pass rush should eat chargers suspect oline up.
 
Luck completed 136 of 224 passes for 1,574 yards, 10 touchdowns and three picks in the seven games, and 207 of 346 attempts for 2,248 yards, 13 touchdowns and six picks in the nine games since Reggie got injured. His completion percentage (60.7 to 59.8) and yards per attempt (7.02 to 6.49) have gone down a bit, but nowhere near as badly as some might have you believe.

Anyone concerned with the steadily declining Chiefs' D ? Line somewhat says KC.
 
emkee said:
Anyone concerned with the steadily declining Chiefs' D ? Line somewhat says KC.
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It's one of the reasons I'm on Indy. Every offense with a pulse was able to score on KC.... Year after year there is a team that starts out hot and coasts into the playoffs only to get ousted.
 
I find it tough to argue against either side of kc/Indy, valid arguments for both IMO. Prob means I should pass..lean over but I mean barely, I had pretty big range of numbers, 47 seems right but that not much room. What a degen to do?
 
2daBank said:
I find it tough to argue against either side of kc/Indy, valid arguments for both IMO. Prob means I should pass..lean over but I mean barely, I had pretty big range of numbers, 47 seems right but that not much room. What a degen to do?
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Would have taken KC plus points but missed it. Don't have a good enough feel on a side, I took KC TT O 23.5. Charles could break one, defense could score, or ST could score. I like that play the best.

2daBank said:
I love Cincy now that it -6.5.. Chargers have 1 of the worst defenses in the league allowing 6.3 yards per play, sure they mask it well using ball control on offense but that not easy task against bungals d. They have played the last 2 years in sd and Cincy won both by a Td out rushing them by a ton. Healthy packers team was only team to stay inside a Td in Cincy, pats lost by 7, everyone else got trounced by double digits, not sure what ppl see in sd to bet this down? I woulda laid the -7 as I made it -10 but ill happily take -6.5. Think this gm sets up perfect for Cincy to take out 30 years of frustration..
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Agreed. Cincy has been a machine at home even with Dalton f'ing up drives and turning the ball over. Cincy better on both sides of the ball.
 
emkee said:
Anyone concerned with the steadily declining Chiefs' D ?.
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1/04

4:35 PM


101 Kansas City Chiefs
102 Indianapolis Colts
​
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct"] 44%
56%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct"] 49%
51%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct"] 68%
32%
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook"] 46
-2.5
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook"] -2.5-113
46o-104
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook"] -2.5-115
46
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook"] -2.5
46
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook"] -2.5
46
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook_full"] -2.5-107/+103
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[TD="class: sportsbook"] -1.5
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46
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1/04

8:10 PM


103 New Orleans Saints
104 Philadelphia Eagles
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[TD="class: pct"] 52%
48%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct"] 65%
35%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct"] 58%
42%
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook"] 54.5
-2.5
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook"] 53.5o-102
-3-123
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook"] 53.5
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[TD="class: sportsbook"] 53.5
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[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook"] 53.5
-3-125
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook_full"] 53.5o-101/+100
-3-118/-118
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook"] 54
-3
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook"] 53.5
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[TD="class: sportsbook"] 53.5
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1/05

1:05 PM


105 San Diego Chargers
106 Cincinnati Bengals
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[/TD]
[TD="class: pct"] 38%
62%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct"] 59%
41%
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[TD="class: pct"] 71%
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[TD="class: sportsbook"] 46.5
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[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook"] 45.5u-108
-7+112
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[TD="class: sportsbook"] 45
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[TD="class: sportsbook"] 45.5
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1/05

4:40 PM


107 San Francisco 49ers
108 Green Bay Packers
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[TD="class: pct"] 68%
32%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct"] 54%
46%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct"] 46%
54%
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook"] -2.5
48
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook"] -2.5-106
45.5u-108
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook"] -2.5-115
45
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook"] -2.5
45.5
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook"] -2.5
45.5
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[TD="class: sportsbook_full"] -2.5+102/-103

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The forecast for Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati is calling for an 80-90 percent chance of precipitation throughout Sunday's Chargers-Bengals game.

The game has a 1:05PM ET start. Weather.com anticipates rain and eventually snow for the entirety of the Wild Card tilt, with winds in the 10-14 MPH range. Temperatures will be relatively mild at 36-38 degrees, but the National Weather Service has issued a winter storm warning during the game. 4-8 inches of snow are expected. So there's a chance that most of the contest could be played in a snowstorm. It's a concern for Cincy's passing attack in particular due to Andy Dalton's limited arm strength.
 
Fuck you KC - 2.5 this it ridiculous. Lining up for some bullshit happening in this game
no self respecting gambler can take KC now right ? I hope colts roll
BOL all
 
The public has their perception of the Eagles - they are coming off back-to-back prime time victories over Chicago and Dallas on NBC. Tonight will be the first time that a team has been featured by the same network - nationally in prime time - for three weeks in a row.
 
austinhous said:
The public has their perception of the Eagles - they are coming off back-to-back prime time victories over Chicago and Dallas on NBC. Tonight will be the first time that a team has been featured by the same network - nationally in prime time - for three weeks in a row.
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this has merit...but I am a member of public that cannot get perception of N.O.'s road losses out of my mind.

IMO if there is bad weather it may actually benefit Saints' Defense.....crazy thought?
 
bones said:
this has merit...but I am a member of public that cannot get perception of N.O.'s road losses out of my mind.

IMO if there is bad weather it may actually benefit Saints' Defense.....crazy thought?
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Hasn't the media been selling this pretty hard?
 
bones said:
this has merit...but I am a member of public that cannot get perception of N.O.'s road losses out of my mind.

IMO if there is bad weather it may actually benefit Saints' Defense.....crazy thought?
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mid 20's, 5 to 10 mph wind, no rain
 
Gorgolon Lives said:
Chargers ML looks good considering the past 4 superbowl winners have played Philly in Philly's home opener. Chargers fit that bill this year.
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I don't understand this line of thinking at all and not a way to cap games IMO. Complete fluke number.
 
Jamaal Charles and I have the same birthday, 12/27/86. That's good enough reason for me to bet them.. But on a serious note I've seen many people talk about this RLM but in reality I don't believe this is the case. If you just look at consensus sites it will show slight majority on the colts. However, if you check sbrodds consensus section it shows a much different picture. Still has the slight majority of plays on indy but the dollar value of those plays is HUGELY skewed. Actually over 80% of money in these offshore online books is on the chiefs, hence the line movement is what it is. Still not sure if or how I would play this game. you don't have to take my word for it and you can even say that site is all bull shit but I'm just giving my perspective.
 
Saints D without the rookie FS Vaccaro is not nice.....Shady and co going to move it well. If they can rush Brees they will win.
 
Nothing's really changed my mind, giving or getting 2.5. Straight up winner will be your ATS winner. Still like the Colts. KC is fugazi.
 
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