they already have some numbers up.. jimmy g passing yards at 226.5 real interesting, he hasnt hit that number in any his 5 playoff games, closest he came was in his only loss to kc in the SB where he threw for 219, if memory serves me right niners played with a lead for much of that game tho? is that correct? he did throw for over 300 when they had to come back from 17 down against rams to end the season. think it really comes down to if ya feel this stays close? As long this a 1 score game you have to believe shanny will limit how much he throwing, in the 1st meeting this season niners played with the lead he didnt reach 200 yards. obviously if rams once again get out to a sizable lead all bets are off as he will have to throw more. even then will he be able to put up a lot of yardage if rams know they in passing mode and pinning their ears back? im not so sure.
mitchell number is only 71.5 which is crazy low compared to what his total been the last 2 months. i know rams run d is solid, tampa had big rush lanes early but not sure that applicable seeing how rams were surely much more focused on brady/passing game which surely wont be the case here. i do think if you like mitchell earlier ya grab the number the better, no chance do i see that going anywhere but up! He had over 20 carries in both the previous games vs LA, even in the game niners got down early he still had 21 attempts for 85 yards, hard to envision any game script where shanny abandons him short of rams going up something crazy like 3 tds early!! not impossible but i dont think real likely either.. @
survive&advance kept me from being heavy on mitchell in GB, packers run d was excellent but have to think some of that was conditions being such jimmy g was very little threat in the passing game!!
the very last run by Debo got me the over by a half yard last week(only time i recall the number being crucial this season), now they opening him at 41.5 which about where he closed last week i believe, again same situation where it was incredibly tough sledding for niners on the ground with no threat of being beaten by wrs on outside or down the field! gotta think rams will have to respect the pass in this game, i would bet niners come out much like they did against dallas and look to throw off play action in the early going to try and open up the run game.. debo had 8 rushes for 45 yards and a score in the week 18 matchup, 5 carries for 36 and a score in the 1st meeting, as we discussed with debo i think the chances he gets closer to 10 carries in these win or go home games much more likely than in reg season where im sure shanny didnt want to overuse him. the only question for me here is how healthy is he after the beating he took in last weeks game? gotta believe no matter his condition he gonna tough it out and get the touches, just a matter of how effective he will be imo.. last week was only the 2nd time he been held under 4.6 ypc this season. gotta believe if he gets the 10 carries he has in both playoff games it incredibly likely he hits this number! maybe better to wait on info from practices/injury reports to come out but dont wanna have to play a worse number either..
on rams side Kupp is once again over 100 yards for his number which he usually hits and has twice vs niners this year, talked last week about how much niners have struggled with 1s, i hate playing over such a big number with #1 wrs but i certainly couldnt blame anyone for being on kupp (interesting dk still has up most playoff receiving yards, i think kupp has a solid 40 yard lead on the hill, kelce, and chase's of the world, if you like rams to make the SB that prob a pretty safe bet at -120 for kupp!).
obj number is 50.5 and i once again lean to the over as it seems to me he gets more comfy in the offense every week. if niners do attempt to limit kupp obj should hit this rather easy..
i think higbee over is a really good bet at 39.5, he has went over this number 6 weeks straight i believe. he has also scored 3tds in the 2 games vs the niners so that def something to keep in mind later in the week!
