NFL 25

Week 9
49ers -2.5 @-120 to win 3u
Rams -14 @-120 to win 4u
Lions -8,5 @-115 to win 3u
Texans ML @112 (20% odds boost) to win 3.36u
TD yes parlay: Jeanty (LV) / Jacobs (GB) / Odunze (CHI) / Williams (LAR) / McConkey (LAC) / Gibbs (DET) @4180 to win 20.9u
Parlay: Rams -14 / PAckers over 43.5 / Titans over 44 / Pats over 45.5 @1185 to win 11.85u

Week 9: 2-4 -0,95u
Overall: 31-52-1 -50,63u
 
Week 10
Td yes: Taylor / Robinson @250 (boost) 0.5 to win 1.25u
Colts - Falcons over 48 @-115 to win 2u

The Colts scored 29+ in every win so far. In the losses @Rams and @Steelers they scored 20 points. Last week six turnovers. I think the Colts win and will take control of the ball. Taylor and Robinson can score at every 1st & goal situation and I expect some of them. After London had three td last week and Taylor and Robinson none they will get a lot of action, which might shorten the game, but both offenses have enough power to score 24 points.

Not sure about ATS. Lean to the Colts in a 31-24 type of win but probably will stay away.
 
Brutal day so far. Looks like 0-4 for the afternoon.

Lions -7.5 @-120 to win 2u
Lions TT over 29.5 @-107 to win 2u
 
Week 10
Colts - Falcons over 48 @-115 to win 2u
Texans ML @-107 to win 2u
Lions -7.5 @-120 to win 2u
Lions TT over 29.5 @-107 to win 2u
49ers +6 @-115 to win 2u
Td yes: Taylor / Robinson @250 (boost) 0.5 to win 1.25u
MLparlay Colts / Bears / Texans / Lions / Bucs @605 to win 6.05u
Bucs -2.5 @-125 to win 3u
Bears - Giants over 45.5 @-109 to win 2u
Bills -8 @-108 to win 2u
Week 10: 4-6 -3,89u
Overall: 35-58-1 -54,52u

Week 11
ML parlay: Dolphins / Falcons / Chargers @382 (25% odds boost) 1.5u to win 5.73u

I take the Dolphins are the better of the bad teams. The Commanders lost five in a row by an average of 16 points. The had good opponents playing Chiefs, Cowboys and Lions in a row, but I don't trust them to stop Achane.

Falcons have circled this game after losing 30-0 against the Panthers and if they can keep Dowdle in check they will win using Robinson and London.

Chargers before their bye, Jags meltdown against the Texans and despite the early game for a west coast team, I see the better quarterback and the better overall team win.
 
Last edited:
TD yes parlay: Achane (MIA) / Robinson (ATL) / Cook (BUF) / Jacobs (BG) / Chase (CIN) / Williams (LAR) @1983 (25% boost) 0.5u to win 9.91u

Dolphins -2.5 @178 (50% odds boost) - 1.5u to win 2.66u
Tailing Lexington125 as I had similar thoughts adn feel confirmed by his reasoning. Hope both of us cash in.
 
Last edited:
Week 11
Dolphins -2.5 @178 (50% odds boost) - 1.5u to win 2.66u
ML parlay: Dolphins / Falcons / Chargers @382 (25% odds boost) 1.5u to win 5.73u
TD yes parlay: Achane (MIA) / Robinson (ATL) / Cook (BUF) / Jacobs (BG) / Chase (CIN) / Williams (LAR) @1983 (25% boost) 0.5u to win 9.91u
Chargers -3 @100 to win 3u
Vikings -3 @100 to win 3u
Ravens TT over 23.5 @-110 to win 4u
1-5 -9,74u
Overall: 36-63-1 -64,26u

Should fade myself from now on. The leans played lost, the leans not played won. Anyway.

Traveling on short rest after a six td performance by Allen against the best defense. Of course huge advantage at qb. Mills and the Texans barely beat the Titans, but it is still a week-to-week NFL and I doubt you can read much into last weeks results. Allen probably won't perform on that level again and the Texans are not that bad, even with Mills. The Bills defense allows 153 rushing yards per game and the Texans are 4-0 when rushing for 125+ yards. Game could be run, run, run with Mills at qb, shorten the clock and maybe get a narrow win 23-20. I lean Texans plus the points, hope to get 6, so probably the Bills win a blowout 27 - 10. Forgot: Allen is 8-0 SU on TNF.

Other leans:
Packers - Vikings over 41
Lions -10
Bears - Steelers over 45.5
Titans +13
Saints ML
Cowboys - Eagles under 47.5
49ers -7
Browns +4

Will try to cut it down to 3 or 4.
 
Chiefs -3.5 @-107 to win 1u
Ravens -14 @-110 to win 1u
Ravens TT over 29.5 @-113 to win 1u
Lions -13 @-120 to win 1u
Lions TT over 31.5 @-113 to win 1u
Cardinals ML @115 to win 1.15u
Parlay: Lions -6.5 / Seahawks -5.5 / Ravens -6.5 @111 (boost) to win 2.23u

Expect blowouts in Baltimore and Detroit against inferior opponents to get right at offense. Jackson healthier from week to week an Lions scored only 9 point at Philly. Chiefs in a must-win against a struggling Jones at Arrowhead. Take the better qb, home adavantage and better defense. Not so sure about the Seahawks blowout at 7.p.m. east coast but a td-win seems to be in reach.
 
Add:

Steelers +2.5 @-109 to win 1u
Bengals - Pats over 50 @-115 to win 1u

Worst defense against one of the best offenses. Pats might score at will 30+ but the Bengals can 20+ too.
Don't believe in the Bears. 6-1 SU L7 but five of their six wins were within one score and this will even out so that they will lose one of those close games, which I expect today.
 
HappyThanksgiving!

Week 12
Texans +5.5 @-115 to win 1u
49ers -7 @-119 to win 2u
Lions TT over 31.5 @-113 to win 1u
Parlay: Lions -6.5 / Seahawks -5.5 / Ravens -6.5 @111 (boost) to win 2.23u
Chiefs -3.5 @-107 to win 1u
Ravens -14 @-110 to win 1u
Ravens TT over 29.5 @-113 to win 1u
Lions -13 @-120 to win 1u
Cardinals ML @115 to win 1.15u
Steelers +2.5 @-109 to win 1u
Bengals - Pats over 50 @-115 to win 1u

Week 12: 4-7 -1,51u
Overall: 40-70-1 -65,77u

Pending Week12/13
Parlay 49ers -2.5 (wk12) / Seahawks -3.5 (wk13) /Pats -2.5 (wk13) @114 to win 2.28u

Week 13
Packers +3 @-115 to win 1u
Lions - Packers under 48 @-115 to win 1u
Packers +7.5 & under 54,5 @-120 to win 1u

GB defense > DET defense
GB offense < DET offense

Expect a tight game with lots of time consuming runs and a walk off-win field goal either way. Not based by numbers as that didn't work well last weeks.

Will try a parlay around +5000 for half a unit the last six weeks to reduce the loss hitting at least one. If not another 3u loss.

Week 13: Eagles -7.5 / Chargers -9.5 / Texans ML / Commanders ML / Titans +6.5 @5576 to win 27.88
 
1-4 -5,01u on TNF
I don't trust the Bears. Faded them against the Steelers last week and will do so again tonight. Philly after the Dallas meltdown will have something to prove.

Eagles -7 @-120 to win 3u
 
Week 13
Week12/13 Parlay 49ers -2.5 (wk12) / Seahawks -3.5 (wk13) /Pats -2.5 (wk13) @114 to win 2.28u
Packers +3 @-115 to win 1u
Texans ML @140 to win 2.1u
Chargers TT over 25.5 @-115 to win 1u
Seahawks -11.5 @-111 to win 1u
Dolphins -5.5 @-115 to win 1u
Lions - Packers under 48 @-115 to win 1u
Packers +7.5 & under 54,5 @-120 to win 1u
Chiefs -3 @-125 to win 2u
Chiefs TT over 29.5 @-108 to win 1u
Parlay Eagles -7.5 / Chargers -9.5 / Texans ML / Commanders ML / Titans +6.5 @5576 to win 27.88

5-6 -0,2 u

Overall: 45-76-1 -65,79u
 
Week 14
Free bet parlay: Cowboys +3.5 / Seahawks-5.5 / Bengals +5.5 / Browns -3.5 @964 to win 9.64u
Free bet parlay: Ravens - Steelers under 43.5 / Bengals +5.5 / Colts ML / Jets +3.5 @945 to win 3,15u

Bills - Bengals over 53.5 @-120 to win 2u
ML parlay: Seahawks / Packers / Rams @-110 to win 2u
System 3 of 4: (Saints +8.5 / Vikings ML / Jets +2.5 / Rams -9.5) 1u to win max. 5.56u and min. 0,65u if 1 of 4 is wrong.
 
Parlay td yes: Henry / Taylor / von Achane / JSN / Chase / Williams @2610 to win 13.04u
Parlay Jags - Colts over 40.5 / Cook td / Jets - Dolphins over 36.5 / Falcons - Seahawks over 40.5 / Browns ML / Aaron Jones td @1310 to win 6.55 u
 
Week 15
Parlay TT Packers over 23.5 / Rams TT over 27.5 @148 to win 2.22
Bills - Bengals over 53.5 @-120 to win 2u
ML parlay: Seahawks / Packers / Rams @-110 to win 2u
System 3 of 4: (Saints +8.5 / Vikings ML / Jets +2.5 / Rams -9.5) 1u -> won 0.62u

Free bet parlay: Cowboys +3.5 / Seahawks-5.5 / Bengals +5.5 / Browns -3.5 @964 to win 9.64u
Free bet parlay: Ravens - Steelers under 43.5 / Bengals +5.5 / Colts ML / Jets +3.5 @945 to win 3,15u
Parlay td yes: Henry / Taylor / von Achane / JSN / Chase / Williams @2610 to win 13.04u
Parlay Jags - Colts over 40.5 / Cook td / Jets - Dolphins over 36.5 / Falcons - Seahawks over 40.5 / Browns ML / Aaron Jones td @1310 to win 6.55 u

4-4 +5.84u

Overall: 49-80-1 -59.95u
 
Week 15
Jags -14 @-109 to win 2u
Bengals +3 @-115 to win 1.5u
Seahawks -13.5 @-115 to win 1u
Pats - Bills over 49.5 @-117 to win 2u
ML parlay Giants / Rams @124 to win 2.48u

Trebles (3/5) Browns +7.5 / Cardinals +10.5 / Chargers +6.5 / Raiders +13.5 / Benglas ML 1u to win 5.7u max.

The Jets have ruled out Fields and Taylor and I don't trust Brady Cook to keep this close. Jags with the division title in reach will take care of business.

Division matchup and I take the points with the rigt now better quarterback.

Rivers against the Seahawks defense? Maybe Taylor can make some time conusming runs but this won't be close.

Except the Jets and the Colts I can see the other dogs keep it close and put them in a parlay for fun.
 
Add Seahawks -13.5 to win 1.5u -> to win 2.5u
Doubles 2/3 Packers ML / 49ers -12.5 / Panthers -2.5 for 1.5u to win max 3.24u
 
MNF:
Dolphins TT over 19.5 @-115 to win 1.5u
TD yes: Metcalf / von Achane @330 to win 1.65u
Dolphins ML @150 to win 1.5u
 
Week 15
Jags -14 @-109 to win 2u
Pats - Bills over 49.5 @-117 to win 2u
Bengals +3 @-115 to win 1.5u
Seahawks -13.5 @-115 to win 1u
Seahawks -13.5 to win 1.5u -> to win 2.5u total
ML parlay Giants / Rams @124 to win 2.48u
Dolphins TT over 19.5 @-115 to win 1.5u
TD yes: Metcalf / von Achane @330 to win 1.65u
Dolphins ML @150 to win 1.5u
Doubles 2/3 Packers ML / 49ers -12.5 / Panthers -2.5 for 1.5u to win max 3.24u
Trebles (3/5) Browns +7.5 / Cardinals +10.5 / Chargers +6.5 / Raiders +13.5 / Benglas ML 1u to win 5.7u max.

2-8 -6,6u
Overall: 51-86-1 -66,55u
 
Week 16
1-0 +3u so far
Free bet: parlay Commanders +7.5 / Packers over 1.5 fg / Saints - Jets over 40.5 / Panthers -Bucs over 45.5 / Dolphins - Bengals over 48.5 @2089 to win 20.89u
 
ML parlay Bills / Saints / Lions @103 to win 1.03u
Parlay Bills -10.5 / Saints -6.5 / Lions -7 @600 to win 3u
Panthers - Bucs over 45.5 @-115 to win 1u

4 of 5: Vikings / Panthers / Chiefs / Cowboys / Pats (all ML) 1u to win max. 12.64u
 
caboto13 said:
ML parlay Bills / Saints / Lions @103 to win 1.03u
Parlay Bills -10.5 / Saints -6.5 / Lions -7 @600 to win 3u
Panthers - Bucs over 45.5 @-115 to win 1u

4 of 5: Vikings / Panthers / Chiefs / Cowboys / Pats (all ML) 1u to win max. 12.64u
Click to expand...
GL today Cab
 
Week 16
Seahawks ML @-125 to win 3u
Jags ML @145 to win 1.45u
Pats +3.5 @-115 to win 1u
Pats ML @160 to win 0.8u

Cardinals - Falcons over 48.5 @-115 to win 1u
Panthers - Bucs over 45.5 @-115 to win 1u

ML parlay Bills / Saints / Lions @103 to win 1.03u
Parlay Bills -10.5 / Saints -6.5 / Lions -7 @600 to win 3u
4 of 5: Vikings / Panthers / Chiefs / Cowboys / Pats (all ML) 1u to win max. 12.64u
Free bet: parlay Commanders +7.5 / Packers over 1.5 fg / Saints - Jets over 40.5 / Panthers -Bucs over 45.5 / Dolphins - Bengals over 48.5 @2089 to win 20.89u
Td yes parlay: Cook / Shough / Dowdle / St. Brown / Collins / Chase @6923 to win 17.30u.

Week 16: 4-7 +1.2u
Overall: 55-93-1 -65,35u
 
Week 17
ML Parlay Jags / Steelers / Pats @113 to win 1.13u

Division frontrunners with a chance to clinch the division title (PIT) or to keep control in own hands.
 
PIT clinches the AFC North division title with
PIT win/tie OR
BAL loss/tie

So if the Ravens lose Saturday night at Lambeau Field, it's a meaningless game unless the Steelers have a H2H breaker over the Jaguars in the improbable scenario where the Steelers and Jags end with an 11-6 record, when PIT win out and the Jags lose out.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top