NFL 2018

Packers win will close two open parlays for +5.15 overall week 6, so no other play on MNF. Good luck all.
 
Update record later. On vacations so it's no fun posting via mobile.

Werk 7:
ML parlay Jags / Bucs @126 2u to win 2.52u
 
Week 1: 5-2 +3.93 units / Singles 4-0 +5.18 / Parlays 1-2 -1.25
Week 2: 5-9 -6,63 units / Singles: 3-7 -6,86 units / Parlays: 2-2 +0,23 units
Week 3: 2-6 -4,59 units / Singles: 2-3 -0,34 units / Parlays: 0-3 -4,25 units
Week 4: 5-1-1 +10,00 units / Singles: 5-1-1 +10,00 units / Parlays: -
Week 5: 4-5 -2,14 units / Singles: 3-4 -3,92 units / Parlays: 1-1 +1,78 units
Week 6: 8-6 +5,21 units / Singles: 6-4 -0,83 units / Parlays: 2-1 +6,04 units

Overall: 29-29-1 +5,87 units
Open bet: Browns under 5,5 wins: 5 units to win 6,08 units
Browns are 2-3-1 after five games, so they have to win 4 of 10 to beat my bet.
 
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ML parlay Eagles / Pats / Rams @189 1u to win 1.89u

Pats -1.5 @-125 1.25u to win 1u
 
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Titans +6,5 @-105 1,05u to win 1u
Redskins ML @109 3u to win 27u
Dolphins +3,5 @-120 1,2u to win 1u
Ravens -2,5 @-125 2,5u to win 2u
Fun parlay: Jags -4,5 / Bucs over 52,5 / Bears over 45,5 / Colts -5,5 / 49ers +10,5 / Jets +3,5 @3469 0,5u to win 17,85u

I can understand the love for the Bears with the strong defense, but i can't ignore that a one-legged Rodgers needed only one half to lead the Packers to a come-from-behind win six weeks ago. Don't see why a healthy Brady shoudn't do something similiar.
 
Chiefs -0.5 and over 51.5 @100 1u to win 1u
ML parlay Chiefs / Falcons @107 1u to win 1.07u
Chiefs-6 @-111 2.22u to win 2u
Chiefs over 56.5 @-105 1.05u to win 1u
 
Week 1: 5-2 +3.93 units / Singles 4-0 +5.18 / Parlays 1-2 -1.25
Week 2: 5-9 -6,63 units / Singles: 3-7 -6,86 units / Parlays: 2-2 +0,23 units
Week 3: 2-6 -4,59 units / Singles: 2-3 -0,34 units / Parlays: 0-3 -4,25 units
Week 4: 5-1-1 +10,00 units / Singles: 5-1-1 +10,00 units / Parlays: -
Week 5: 4-5 -2,14 units / Singles: 3-4 -3,92 units / Parlays: 1-1 +1,78 units
Week 6: 8-6 +5,21 units / Singles: 6-4 -0,83 units / Parlays: 2-1 +6,04 units
Week 7: 6-6 +3,09 units / Singles: 5-3 +5,52 units / Parlays: 1-3 -2,43 units

Overall: 35-35-1 +8,96 units
Open bet: Browns under 5,5 wins: 5 units to win 6,08 units
Browns are 2-4-1 after seven games, so they have to win 4 of 9 to beat my bet.
 
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ML parlay Chiefs / Steelers / Bengals @132 3u to win 3.96u -> Can't see any of these teams lose at home against a weaker team.
 
Seahawks +2,5 @105 2u to win 2.1u
Fun parlay: Lions over 49,5 / Steelers over 45,5 / Jets +9,5 / Colts TT over 26,5 / Bengals TT over 30,5 / Chiefs TT over 33,5 / Giants over 43,5 @8693 0,25u to win 21,74u

German Bundesliga Soccer: Played Werder Bremen to win against Leverkusen @130 for 2units. Leverkusen with big problems last weeks. Late and lucky equalizer last week against bottom team Hannover and lost Thursday at Europa League against Zürich (Suisse). Coach Herrlich probably with his last chance to save his job against a well-balanced team at home undefeated (2W 2D) and with 4 wins last 5 games. Bremen can grab 2nd place with home win and I think they will win against a struggling opponent.
 
-1.71u so far with Packers TT over pending.

Can't believe the Chiefs and Bengals let their opponents back into the games so that I lost both games by the hook. Anyway. Still a chance to end the day in black figures if the Packers put up points.
 
Week 1: 5-2 +3.93 units / Singles 4-0 +5.18 / Parlays 1-2 -1.25
Week 2: 5-9 -6,63 units / Singles: 3-7 -6,86 units / Parlays: 2-2 +0,23 units
Week 3: 2-6 -4,59 units / Singles: 2-3 -0,34 units / Parlays: 0-3 -4,25 units
Week 4: 5-1-1 +10,00 units / Singles: 5-1-1 +10,00 units / Parlays: -
Week 5: 4-5 -2,14 units / Singles: 3-4 -3,92 units / Parlays: 1-1 +1,78 units
Week 6: 8-6 +5,21 units / Singles: 6-4 -0,83 units / Parlays: 2-1 +6,04 units
Week 7: 6-6 +3,09 units / Singles: 5-3 +5,52 units / Parlays: 1-3 -2,43 units
Week 8: 4-5 +0,41 units / Singles: 3-4 -3,30 units / Parlays: 1-1 +3,71units

Overall: 39-40-1 +9,37 units
Open bet: Browns under 5,5 wins: 5 units to win 6,08 units
Browns are 2-5-1 after eight games, so they have to win 4 of 8 to beat my bet.
 
Panthers -6,5 @-104 3,12u to win 3u
Seawahws-Chargers over 47.5 @-116 2.32u to win 2u
ML parlay Panthers / Vikings @102 1u to win 1.02u
 
System bet 3 of 4 (means 4 3-game-parlays) for 1u (each 0.25u) to win max. 4,7u if all 4 win
Steelers - Ravens under 47,5 / Bears -9,5 / Panthers - Bucs over 54,5 / Broncos ML
 
Saints ML @105 1u to win 1,05u
Steelers ML @105 1u to win 1.05u
Fun parlay Dolphins / Chiefs / Vikings -4,5 / Falcons / Bears TT over 23,5 / Panthers TT over 31,5 @2743 0,5u to win 5,612
 
Still making mistakes converting European decimal odds into your American numbers.

Fun parlay W: 0.25u @2743 for +6.61u
Panthers W: +3u
ML parlay W: +1.02u
Steelers W: +1.05u
System bet : +0.38u if Broncos lose, +4.71u if Broncos win

Open bets: Seahawks over 47.5 and Saints ML risking 3.32u

So worst case +9.74 u if all late games lose.
 
Week 1: 5-2 +3.93 units / Singles 4-0 +5.18 / Parlays 1-2 -1.25
Week 2: 5-9 -6,63 units / Singles: 3-7 -6,86 units / Parlays: 2-2 +0,23 units
Week 3: 2-6 -4,59 units / Singles: 2-3 -0,34 units / Parlays: 0-3 -4,25 units
Week 4: 5-1-1 +10,00 units / Singles: 5-1-1 +10,00 units / Parlays: -
Week 5: 4-5 -2,14 units / Singles: 3-4 -3,92 units / Parlays: 1-1 +1,78 units
Week 6: 8-6 +5,21 units / Singles: 6-4 -0,83 units / Parlays: 2-1 +6,04 units
Week 7: 6-6 +3,09 units / Singles: 5-3 +5,52 units / Parlays: 1-3 -2,43 units
Week 8: 4-5 +0,41 units / Singles: 3-4 -3,30 units / Parlays: 1-1 +3,71units
Week 9: 6-2 +9,74 units / Singles: 3-2 +1,73 units / Parlays: 3-0 +8,01units

Overall: 45-42-1 +19,11 units
Open bet: Browns under 5,5 wins: 5 units to win 6,08 units
Browns are 2-6-1 after nine games, so they have to win 4 of 7 to beat my bet.
 
Chargers TT over 29,5 @-111 2,22u to win 2u
Chargers -8,5 @-109 2.18u to win 2u
Redskins +3,5 @-105 2,1u to win 2u
ML parlay Bears / Falcons @-111 2.22u to win 2u

Think, the Chargers roll against a tanking team, don't worry about a high spread on the road in this matchup. If the Raiders defense is able to stop the Chargers offense, I'll pay to see it.

The team with one of the worst defenses is favored? Don't get it. Of course they want us to think so and to take the dog, but I expect the Redskins to win outright.

More later.
 
Thx.

System bet (3 of 4) Redskins TT over 23.5 / Chiefs TT over 33.5 / Jags ML / Packers -9.5 1u to win 6.3u max.
 
Got a 2.5u risk-free bet from my bookie.

8-game parlay:
Pats -5.5 / Falcons -5.5 / Chiefs -14.5 / Redskins over 2.5 TD / Jags +4.5 / Saints TT over 28.5 / Packers ML / Chargers -9.5 @7135 to win 175.88u
 
Chargers -4 & over 44 @100 2u to win 2u
Seahawks +16 & over 44 @100 2u to win 2u
Packers over 3.5 TD @115 2u to win 2.3u
 
Week 1: 5-2 +3.93 units / Singles 4-0 +5.18 / Parlays 1-2 -1.25
Week 2: 5-9 -6,63 units / Singles: 3-7 -6,86 units / Parlays: 2-2 +0,23 units
Week 3: 2-6 -4,59 units / Singles: 2-3 -0,34 units / Parlays: 0-3 -4,25 units
Week 4: 5-1-1 +10,00 units / Singles: 5-1-1 +10,00 units / Parlays: -
Week 5: 4-5 -2,14 units / Singles: 3-4 -3,92 units / Parlays: 1-1 +1,78 units
Week 6: 8-6 +5,21 units / Singles: 6-4 -0,83 units / Parlays: 2-1 +6,04 units
Week 7: 6-6 +3,09 units / Singles: 5-3 +5,52 units / Parlays: 1-3 -2,43 units
Week 8: 4-5 +0,41 units / Singles: 3-4 -3,30 units / Parlays: 1-1 +3,71units
Week 9: 6-2 +9,74 units / Singles: 3-2 +1,73 units / Parlays: 3-0 +8,01units
Week 10: 6-7 +0,75 units / Singles: 6-3 +4,97 units / Parlays: 0-4 -4,22units

Overall: 51-49-1 +19,86 units
Open bet: Browns under 5,5 wins: 5 units to win 6,08 units
Browns are 3-6-1 after ten games, so they have to win 3 of 6 to beat my bet.
 
Chargers -6,5 @-111 3,33u to win 3u
Falcons -3 @-121 2,41u to win 2u
Chiefs +3,5 @-1115 3,45u to win 3u
Chiefs ML @145 1u to win 1.45u
 
System bet 3 of 5 (ten 3-game parlays)
Benglas +6,5 / Jaguars ML / Titans ML / Lions ML / Giants - Bucs over 53,5 2u for max. win of 19,87u in case of five winners, small profit with three winners, depending on which ones are correct.

ML parlay Falcons / Giants @+148 1u to win 1.48u
Parlay Falcons TT over 26,5 / Jags TT over 20,5 @223 1u to win 2,23u
Falcons TT over 26,5 @-116 2,32u to win 2u
ML parlay Texans / Chargers / Saints @175 1u to win 1,75u
 
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So far 0-5 -6.84. Bad decision to lay that much on the Falcons. Looks like a 0-8 Sunday now. Eagles do not score abd I don't believe in the Saints to score again 50 points. Chargers also a little bit off.

Steelers win cost me ca. 6 units....
 
Vikngs ML +118 1u to win 1.18u
Vikings +2.5 @104 1u to win 1.04u
Vikings +7 & under 50.5 @100 1u to win 1u
 
Week 1: 5-2 +3.93 units / Singles 4-0 +5.18 / Parlays 1-2 -1.25
Week 2: 5-9 -6,63 units / Singles: 3-7 -6,86 units / Parlays: 2-2 +0,23 units
Week 3: 2-6 -4,59 units / Singles: 2-3 -0,34 units / Parlays: 0-3 -4,25 units
Week 4: 5-1-1 +10,00 units / Singles: 5-1-1 +10,00 units / Parlays: -
Week 5: 4-5 -2,14 units / Singles: 3-4 -3,92 units / Parlays: 1-1 +1,78 units
Week 6: 8-6 +5,21 units / Singles: 6-4 -0,83 units / Parlays: 2-1 +6,04 units
Week 7: 6-6 +3,09 units / Singles: 5-3 +5,52 units / Parlays: 1-3 -2,43 units
Week 8: 4-5 +0,41 units / Singles: 3-4 -3,30 units / Parlays: 1-1 +3,71units
Week 9: 6-2 +9,74 units / Singles: 3-2 +1,73 units / Parlays: 3-0 +8,01units
Week 10: 6-7 +0,75 units / Singles: 6-3 +4,97 units / Parlays: 0-4 -4,22units
Week 11: 2-11 -13,20 units / Singles: 2-6 -7,06 units / Parlays: 0-5 -6,11units

Overall: 53-60-1 6,66 units
Open bet: Browns under 5,5 wins: 5 units to win 6,08 units
Browns are 3-6-1 after ten games, so they have to win 3 of 6 to beat my bet.
 
2-0 +2 Thanksgiving. Teasers seem to work fine

Ravens -10,5 @-125 3.75u to win 3u
Jets +16,5 & under 53 @100 1u to 1u
Giants +12,5 & over 40,5 @100 1u to win 1u
Ravens -5 & over 37,5 @100 1u to win 1u
Seahawks +9,5 & over 40,5 @100 1u to win 1u
 
Week 1: 5-2 +3.93 units / Singles 4-0 +5.18 / Parlays 1-2 -1.25
Week 2: 5-9 -6,63 units / Singles: 3-7 -6,86 units / Parlays: 2-2 +0,23 units
Week 3: 2-6 -4,59 units / Singles: 2-3 -0,34 units / Parlays: 0-3 -4,25 units
Week 4: 5-1-1 +10,00 units / Singles: 5-1-1 +10,00 units / Parlays: -
Week 5: 4-5 -2,14 units / Singles: 3-4 -3,92 units / Parlays: 1-1 +1,78 units
Week 6: 8-6 +5,21 units / Singles: 6-4 -0,83 units / Parlays: 2-1 +6,04 units
Week 7: 6-6 +3,09 units / Singles: 5-3 +5,52 units / Parlays: 1-3 -2,43 units
Week 8: 4-5 +0,41 units / Singles: 3-4 -3,30 units / Parlays: 1-1 +3,71units
Week 9: 6-2 +9,74 units / Singles: 3-2 +1,73 units / Parlays: 3-0 +8,01units
Week 10: 6-7 +0,75 units / Singles: 6-3 +4,97 units / Parlays: 0-4 -4,22units
Week 11: 2-11 -13,20 units / Singles: 2-6 -7,06 units / Parlays: 0-5 -6,11units
Week 12: 8-4 +5,68 units / Singles: 8-3 +6,68 units / Parlays: 0-1 -1,00units

Overall: 61-64-1 12,34units
Open bet: Browns under 5,5 wins: 5 units to win 6,08 units
Browns are 4-6-1 after eleven games, so they have to win 2 of 5 to beat my bet.
 
I have that same future bet on Clev U5.5. Feel fortunate to even have a chance considering some of their close losses. Hoping to have a chance to hedge in Week 17.
 
Browns are good. See them win against Carolina and the Bengals. Let's hope Cam will get it done on rhe road. Then we have a chance to hedge in wk 17.
 
Saints -3.5 & under 58.5 @100 1u to win 1u

Cowbows will control the clock with the running game and I don't want to bet against the Saints.
 
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