NFC Divisional Round: New Orleans @ Minnesota

[Hulu]

I'd figure there is buyback coming on the Saints. Line prolly settles around 4.5 at game time.

Agreed...there will be some late action on NO and 5.5 to 4.5 is only a 12 cent or so move so it won't take much.

 

[KJ]

That's why it's odd, 4.5 and 5.5 is worthless but 4 is interesting

 

[emkee]

4's turning into 5.5's are fake moves and more often than not indicate a play on the dog.

4 not a key number. 3 and 7 are the master numbers with 6 becoming key in recent years.

Example was last season when Dak with a better team around him played Aaron and his beat up Packers in this very round.

Cows went from -4 to -5.5, just sayin'...

 

[KJ]

You don't think 4 is a key number? Seriously?

3,4,7,10,13,14

 

[KJ]

I'll even throw 6 in as a lite key

 

[KJ]

Longer XPs do kinda change things slightly but not much

4 is absolutely and always has been a key number, moreso than 6...not close to the dummy moves between 7.5 and 9.5

 

[rambler882]

This is from a few years ago

 

[emkee]

6 is way more key than 4.

This season 9 games landed on a final margin of 4.

19 games landed on a final margin of 6.

 

[KJ]

6 is way more key than 4.

This season 9 games landed on a final margin of 4.

19 games landed on a final margin of 6.

Actually, it's not

Thanks for playing

 

[KJ]

Again, the longer XP will absolutely be a game changer in the long haul

 

[KJ]

And actually Em I care more about 3 vs 5

And 5 vs 7

Not 4 vs 6 anyway

 

[rambler882]

It all depends on what you consider key I suppose. 3 is king, 7 is queen, 6 is becoming more important due to the longer XP. Then 10 & 4 are next up.

 

[emkee]

Actually, it's not

Thanks for playing

Since 2014, 78 games have landed on a final margin of 6 and 45 games have landed on 4.

So you're telling me 4 is more key than 6 when the numbers say 6 is more key than 4.

But you're basing it on the long XP which actually makes the 6 more key.

 

[KJ]

And this has gone astray to a degree

A spread of 4 compared to 4.5 is a deal

It's a bit of a stance

 

[emkee]

Lang on Minny -5 for 100 Dimes...

 

[B.A.R.]

I seem Scott Sharp buy down to 4.5 once. Team took a safety on final play. Final, 7-2. Almost as though it was scripted.

 

[emkee]

Either way 4 to 5.5 is fake ass news, like lipstick on a fucking pig.

 

[KJ]

Steez won 11-10 one time, only time in history that score, was in SD watching that shit

 

[KJ]

Either way 4 to 5.5 is fake ass news, like lipstick on a fucking pig.

Agree to disagree, it's massive imo

4.5-5.5 is not a move worth shit, 4 is.

 

[rambler882]

Theres more money on Minnesota, that is why it moved. on 5D it makes teasing Saints up to 10 or 11 easy.

 

[B.A.R.]

Steez won 11-10 one time, only time in history that score, was in SD watching that shit

9 years ago, wow. I remember being out on the ole Sunday Funday and seeing that ending like WTF.

 

[emkee]

This line moved because of injuries then money.

 

[emkee]

Agree to disagree, it's massive imo

4.5-5.5 is not a move worth shit, 4 is.

If it ends on 4 today I will come back and sing your praises then.

 

[KJ]

If it ends on 4 today I will come back and sing your praises then.

Again I'm more curious 3 vs 5

4 a push is not relevant

 

[B.A.R.]

This line moved because of injuries then money.

I didn't see much last week of late game.. who got injured during game for nawlins? Thx.

 

[rambler882]

Peat is out, not sure when he was injured but that is really important.

 

[emkee]

Nawlins with injury concerns but they're still the livest dog of the weekend along with Jax.

Peat, McDaniel and Coleman are some big injuries from last week.

:shake:

 

[B.A.R.]

Danks. Didn't know if it was the injuries prior to last week or not.

 

[emkee]

The better QB's have a way to overcome diversity.

I cannot trust Keenam in this game, period.

Playoffs are a different animal.

If I'm the league I do not want Keenam vs Foles as my NFC showcase.

It is a QB driven league btw...

 

[KJ]

So all east coast is what they want?

 

[rambler882]

Tough games to pick today with these spreads that is for certain.

 

[emkee]

I don't know what they want but geez, a battle of back-ups. No thanks.

League is all about the QB, it's pass first. Brees v Brady is more provocative than a Keenam or Nicky Foles vs Brady.

 

[P-Unit]

Lang on Minny -5 for 100 Dimes...

goddammit

 

[P-Unit]

The better QB's have a way to overcome diversity.

I cannot trust Keenam in this game, period.

Playoffs are a different animal.

If I'm the league I do not want Keenam vs Foles as my NFC showcase.

It is a QB driven league btw...

The league may not want Keenum, but the league would love a #1 defense vs. a top offense for the title. Throw in the home team angle, etc. and that's more interesting than Eagles or NO, but I may be a tad biased.

 

[emkee]

Love Zimm, love that defense but Keenum is as marketable as laxatives...

 

[P-Unit]

Keenum is one of the best stories in the league this year. They can (and have been) marketing the hell out of that the last 6-8 weeks.

 

[P-Unit]

Yes, Brees is easy to sell. Everyone gets that. But not much else interesting about that team tbh.

 

[KJ]

Keenum is one of the best stories in the league this year. They can (and have been) marketing the hell out of that the last 6-8 weeks.

We hope he's here next year but keep winning it will be one of the other ones there

 

[KJ]

A bit jaded but Brees and NO are not close to as interesting as Minny possibly playing a home SB

How is that an argument? They are one of the most boring teams to watch in the NFL unless you're a fan

 

[pb278817]

Qb angle might be dead once bortles wins along with Foles

 

[twinkie13]

Peat is out, not sure when he was injured but that is really important.

Last game