wiseplayer
Let Me Be Frank With You
This sounds realistic. 1 other thing I would add. Team chemistry is with the Rams. I’m not seeing that with Philly.
NFC Divisional Round Discussion Thread
- Thread starter VirginiaCavs
- Start date
wiseplayer
Let Me Be Frank With You
I can’t remember a team total being this high. Washington would need to help with quick drives and turnovers I would think.
Loves2kickass
Here to cap the games
Favorites of over a TD (-7.5 or more) have won 18 consecutive playoff games outright dating back to the 2019-20 playoffs – the last loss came with the Ravens against the Titans. That 18-game streak is the longest streak at any point in the Super Bowl era.
This week KC -8, DET -9
This week KC -8, DET -9
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
Straight up but not ats correct?
Loves2kickass
Here to cap the games
Detroit -
Favorites in night games are 48-13 SU (79%) this season, including 6-0 SU from this same Lions team.
Under Dan Campbell, the Lions are 10-0 SU as favorites in primetime, winning by over 10 PPG, and in games starting at 4p ET or later, they are 15-1 SU under Campbell, with their one loss coming to the Bills this season.
Over the last three seasons, the Lions are 39-14-1 (74%) against the first-half spread, the best mark in the NFL, including 19-6 1H ATS against opponents over .500 SU.
Favorites in night games are 48-13 SU (79%) this season, including 6-0 SU from this same Lions team.
Under Dan Campbell, the Lions are 10-0 SU as favorites in primetime, winning by over 10 PPG, and in games starting at 4p ET or later, they are 15-1 SU under Campbell, with their one loss coming to the Bills this season.
Over the last three seasons, the Lions are 39-14-1 (74%) against the first-half spread, the best mark in the NFL, including 19-6 1H ATS against opponents over .500 SU.
Loves2kickass
Here to cap the games
Philadelphia -
In franchise history, the Eagles have never lost at home in the Divisional Round. They are 6-0 SU, covering the spread in 5 of those games.
Jalen Hurts has played three home games in the playoffs and he is 3-0 SU and ATS, covering the spread by 16.8 PPG with Philly’s defense allowing 24 total pts in the three games. The only other QB 3-0 ATS or better at home since 2003 is Kurt Warner, all with the Cardinals.
With a cover against the Rams, Hurts would be the 2nd-most profitable QB ATS at home in the playoffs since 2003 behind just Patrick Mahomes.
In franchise history, the Eagles have never lost at home in the Divisional Round. They are 6-0 SU, covering the spread in 5 of those games.
Jalen Hurts has played three home games in the playoffs and he is 3-0 SU and ATS, covering the spread by 16.8 PPG with Philly’s defense allowing 24 total pts in the three games. The only other QB 3-0 ATS or better at home since 2003 is Kurt Warner, all with the Cardinals.
With a cover against the Rams, Hurts would be the 2nd-most profitable QB ATS at home in the playoffs since 2003 behind just Patrick Mahomes.
The one issue with Washington is they like to kinda slowly move it up field for a bit, then take shots. At least it seems that way to me.
They can be explosive but a few games I saw the clock was just running and running.
Tampa game flew by. That was a very lite possession game overall. Full possessions.
Good numbers.
I would have thought those Warner stats were with STL although 2009 playoff run was special.
bones
Sic Semper Tyrannis!
I agree for most part and it is a gamble. I'm just thinkjing about what I saw week 14 (?) forward. We shall see if my theory holds. I get hunches
Frank Costanza
You are what your record says you are
KC / Detroit / Philly - ML
- Houston and 13 degree weather ? Lulz.
- Lions are on a mission.
- A little pause with Philly given Stafford but he's been abysmal in rain / snow games. It's going to be 30 and snowing.
You always have the outlying concern of Goff turning an ankle in the 1Q or something and that flips the dynamic obviously. I'll take my chances there.
- Houston and 13 degree weather ? Lulz.
- Lions are on a mission.
- A little pause with Philly given Stafford but he's been abysmal in rain / snow games. It's going to be 30 and snowing.
You always have the outlying concern of Goff turning an ankle in the 1Q or something and that flips the dynamic obviously. I'll take my chances there.
Brewers888
Presumptive 2028 Vice Presidential Nominee
If you factor in a QB getting hurt you wouldn't bet any of these games.
Frank Costanza
You are what your record says you are
Luckycharms#7
Member
Parking for Lions games is just about as bad as ticket prices
Prices have dropped...
You can get in upper deck a pair for about 1000 after fees currently.
Luckycharms#7
Member
I know in the past when my kid lived over there we would go to I believe Noto's ?
And take a shuttle bus they offered for Red wings games
**Nemo's offers a shuttle but says just for Tigers games
And take a shuttle bus they offered for Red wings games
**Nemo's offers a shuttle but says just for Tigers games
Last edited:
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Uber prices gotta be through the roof right? Unless they've done something to channel that.
Shuttles are still a thing but not as widespread as say 10 years ago.
Shillelagh still does theirs although no sneaking booze from the bar anymore.
Loves2kickass
Here to cap the games
That's after the price drop? Yikes
skanless13
Fly, Eagles, Fly!
You liking your Chiefs tomorrow?
Capaholic
Proud Member of Chiefs Nation
I do. If KC gets up by 14–17, may be worth a small hedge as you know Andy does not care about the spread one bit.
skanless13
Fly, Eagles, Fly!
Yes. I am liking them as well but could easily see a back door. Will probably just parlay KC moneyline with Detroit and something in ufc.
C-MAN
Grass Observer
B Robinson rushing under should be good again. He went 10-16 last week and Ekeler has looked like the better RB since his return. Ekeler and Robinson about equal carries last week, but Ekeler way more effective and could see Washington having to play catch up here, which favors Ekeler as a receiver.
Capaholic
Proud Member of Chiefs Nation
Back door definitely open. I think if they feel they have the game in control you will see vanilla calls as well as to not show any new packages to Balt/Buff.
twinkie13
In transit, arriving late.
How cold lol
Suck it up buttercup.
Hehe, I'll be honest...
Thanksgiving Day leaving after that game.. temp was high twenties and wind was whipping from the West.
That absolutely sucked! I ran into the casino, hit the bathroom and just ran my hands under hot water.
My guy was down at Vikings game and said the same scenario leaving with a westerly wind.
Either way, even if parking at a pay lot you're walking for a bit after.
Brewers888
Presumptive 2028 Vice Presidential Nominee
Lions 50 Redskins 37 final prediction.
Loves2kickass
Here to cap the games
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
Gibbs CRUSHED
Loves2kickass
Here to cap the games
Outstanding game for Gibbs. He did his part. 105 yds, 7.5 ypc and 70rec yds. Looking back Goff didn't play like he usually does. That's the playoffs. 1 bad game and you're watching at home. I took the points but had no doubt at all the Lions would win.
Loves2kickass
Here to cap the games
Phi now -7. I wonder if bettors think more motivation for the Eagles today now that the 1 seed Lions are out
survive&advance
Nothing but net MFer!
i can assure you that has zero to do with the line movement
Loves2kickass
Here to cap the games
aplous
Donkey Hater
Low winds + snow = points imo
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
To me it comes down to whether you can make a case to bet on either defense. I can not.
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