Red Sheet
Oregon 60 - WASHINGTON 49 - (3:30) -- Line opened at Washington minus 3, and is now minus 21/2. Right, we almost look foolish predicting such an outlandish score, but we just cannot see either of these teams backing off from riding their ways to the Top 8 teams in the land in this week's polls, with the 2 standing at #1 & #2 in the nation in total offense, behind UW's Penix at 1,999 PYs & 16/2, while OU's Nix is at 1,459 PYs & 15/1. Sixth-ranked Wash is at 45.6 ppg over its last 17 games, as well as 46.0 ppg in this year's early going, thus a true extension of it seemingly unstoppable "O". Eighth ranked OU is currently at 51.6 ppg, while on a 10-2 ATS run in regular season play. As noted on Pointwise, the main difference between the 2 has to be 'Ducks' 6th-ranking on defense, compared to Huskies' 62nd place. The better "D" in role of dog certainly justifies this selection, despite scoreboard busting "O"s.
RATING: OREGON 89
DUKE 38 - North Carolina State 24 - (9:00) -- Line opened at Duke minus 31/2, and is still minus 31/2. 'Devils have made it to the 17th-spot in the land on this week's polls, & rightly so, as they are only a play away from being unbeaten, with that setback coming on a 30-yd TD run in the final 0:31 vs Notre Dame. Duke is allowing only 12 ppg in lined affairs, while ranking 4th in the nation in scoring defense, while holding their last 4 foes 119 RYpg. The Wolfpack are on a 5-13 spread run (could just as easily be 3-15 with 2 of their 5 covers coming by 1/2 & 1/2 pt), as well as 7-22 as the visitor, while ranking 92nd in total offense. Oh, and the 'Devils are on a 6-0 spread run when pegged with the home chalk label. Throw in a bit of Duke revenge for the tight loss in last match ('20). Until Wolfpack "O" can be trusted, lay it.
RATING: DUKE 89
OREGON STATE 34 - Ucla 17 - (8:00) -- Line opened at OregonSt minus 5, and is now minus 4. Oh, how the defense of the Ucla Bruins smothered the highly potent offense of WashingtonSt, holding the Cougars to 11 FDs, 12 RYs, & only 216 total yds in that 111/2-pt cover. So why repeat such an impressive showing this week? For starters, note that WashSt was a one dimensional-offensive team (2nd in the land in passing, but 99th overland. Also, the Coogs were ranked 80th in total defense. This Beaver squad ranks 17th in rushing, with a defense that comes in at 30th. Also, Bruins were home last week, & away here, with the Beavs highly profitable 9-1 ATS as HFs. OregonSt, despite the Bruins' solid "D"..
RATING: OREGON STATE 88
MICHIGAN 62 - Indiana 7 - (12:00)-- Line opened at Michigan minus 34, and is now minus 331/2. Will that 1/2 pt play a part in this game? Highly improbable, but you never know. As expected, the 2nd-ranked Wolves were sailing through the patsy month, with HC Harbaugh serving out his suspension. But come BigTen action, and scoring edge of 97-17, with a season-long 224-40 pt advantage, beginning last week's 52-10 drubbing of Minnesota with a 'pick-6' TD on the games first play. UM now ranks 3rd, 12th, 2nd, & 1st in total, rushing, passing, & scoring "D". Hoosiers a losing proposition past 21/2 years: 8-23 ATS. As long as Vegas is still posting a number, we'll be on this dedicated squad. No other choice.
RATING: MICHIGAN 88
FLORIDA STATE 45 - Syracuse 17 - (12:00) -- Line opened at FloridaSt minus 171/2, and is still minus 171/2. One of this year's mysteries is why hasn't the 79th-ranked "D" of the Seminoles, kept them from reaching the 4th spot in the polls? Obviously an overwhelming "O", right? No, that isn't it, as it comes in at 42nd, managing 282 RYs vs VaTech, after being held to 22 by Clemson the previous week. No, the reason for this selections lies with the thin Orange, who've lost the majority of quality players, laying any possibility of success at the feet of QB Shrader, who has not been himself since head butt concussion vs Clemson. Last year's 5-gm losing skein seen lurking. 'Look for 'Noles taking full advantge in this.
RATING: FLORIDA STATE 88
MIAMI DOLPHINS 39 - Carolina 17 - (1:00 - CBS) -- Line opened at Miami minus 14, and is now minus 131/2. Well, it didn't take long for the Dolphins to shake the dust from their horrible showing at Buffalo, by piling up 22 FDs, 222 RYs, & 302 PYs in a 524-268 yd edge, making easy work of the lacking Giants, with the smoking Fish setting an NFL record with the most total yards (2,568) through 5 games in the history of the game. And now Tua has the most passing yards (1,614) thru 5 games in Dolphin history. Carolina comes to town in search of its initial win (first 0-5 franchise start since 2010). Miami just 26th in the NFL in total "D", which may seem important, but the Panthers check in with with the 25th ranked offense
RATING: MIAMI DOLPHINS 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87):
CFB West Virginia, Buffalo, Maryland, Navy
NFL: Baltimore, Cincinnati, Buffalo
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