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NEWSLETTERS NCAA WEEK 5/NFL WEEK 4

THE RED SHEET
SEPTEMBER 28, 2024 VOLUME 56 - NUMBER 5
Byu 38 - BAYLOR 26 - (12:00 EDT) -- Line opened at Baylor minus 2½, and is now +3½. A pair of teams headed in the
opposite direction, with the Cougars perfect both SU & ATS (+215½, +10, & +36½ pt covers), with
an accumulative 90-38 pt margin. Their win over KansasSt, came via the turnover (3-0 advantage),
which overcame a 228-92 RY shortage. The Bears can't seem to get over the hump, which has them
on a downward trend: 12-2 in '21, 6-7 in '22, & 3-9 in '23. Opening wins over Tarelton, Air Force, &
KansasSt, had them as poll also rans, but now by the board. And BU has a pair of revengers up next.
RATING: BYU 89

DUKE 49 - North Carolina 37 - (4:00) -- Line opened at Duke minus 3, and is now minus 2½. Seems illogical that a
team off allowing 70 Points would be installed as such a minuscule underdogs the following week, but
that's what the Boys from Vegas decided, & who are we to complain, especially with a team which has
been a splendid homester, as these 'Devils, who are 25-11 ATS in the homestead. Not only that, but
the Tar Heels are on a 0-8-1 spread run (-125½ pts ATS), while allowing 30 or more pts in 24 of their
last 30 games. Imps have always been a bit streaky, so why not jump on this high-rolling team.
RATING: DUKE 89

BOSTON COLLEGE 31 - Western Kentucky 30 - (12:00) -- Line opened at BostonCollege minus 11, and is now minus
12½. This selection is "by the book" as the Eagles of BC are one of the most successful underdogs in
the land year-by-year. Not only that, but the accompanying "visitor" label has been firmly attached to
the guest in Eagle contests, which now stands at 10-1 ATS. The Hilltoppers have been overhead
giants, with this year's 1,177 PYs the norm. WKy is in off posting 16-0 windup, to nail win vs Toledo.
RATING: WESTERN KENTUCKY 88

JAMES MADISON 56 - Ball State 17 - (1:30) -- Line opened at James Madison minus 19, and is now minus 20½. Yet
another Red Sheet large line chalk. For those weak of heart, laying 3 TDs is cause for worry. But not
with a team which is coming in after waxing North Carolina for 70 pts, along with 611 yds. That one
may have turned a few heads when the 'Heels were pegged as 10½ chalks. But UNC has been a
defensive pawn over the last half dozen years which is exactly what JMadison is not. Lay the 3 TDs.
RATING: JAMES MADISON 88

PENN STATE 30 - Illinois 24 - (7:30) -- Line opened at Penn State minus 17½, and is still minus 17½. One peek at the
spread placed on this one may have more than a few questions, as 9th-rated Nittanys seem to have it
over the Illini, in just about ever category, such as last week's 56-0 drubbing of hapless Kent St, with
.40-6 FD, 309-49 RY, & 718-67 TY edges. Simply awesome. However, the Illini are a sticky team as
8 of last 9 games have been decided SU by 3, 4, 1, 3, 2, 2, 26,& 2 (OT), with QB Altmyer is at 10/0.
RATING: ILLINOIS 88

Minnesota Vikings 30 - GREEN BAY 17 - (1:00 - CBS) -- Line opened at Green Bay minus 2½, and is still minus 2½.
Our earlier Pointwise writeup on this game has stood the test, with little to add, except for its inclusion
on the Red Sheet. Three straight with 160+ RYs for the Packers (first time since 2003. That's a
pretty notable stat, which makes this one all the more important. Minny got a career high 4 TD passes
from Darnold in upset of San Fran, making it six straight wins & covers for Vikes, including preseason.
RATING: MINNESOTA VIKINGS 88

NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Ohio St, Iowa St, SMU, Kansas St, -- NFL: Pittsburgh, Chicago, Arizona, Miami
 
Thanks for the efforts on this thread every week MM......hope you don't mind me popping this in here, as I love looking at these plays

Circa Football Invitational - BY GAME​

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 12:00 PM ET - BYU at Baylor
Pete Wilder : Baylor (-3) vs BYU * BEST BET
Alex White : Baylor (-3) vs BYU
Kelly Stewart : Baylor (-3) vs BYU
Chris Macero : Baylor (-3) vs BYU

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 12:00 PM ET - W Kentucky at Boston College
Kelly Stewart : W Kentucky (+8) at Boston College

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 12:00 PM ET - Maryland at Indiana
Rob Brandt : Indiana (-7) vs Maryland
Chris Fallica : Maryland (+7) at Indiana
Vinny Castillo : Indiana (-7) vs Maryland

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 12:00 PM ET - Oklahoma ST at Kansas ST
Steve Fezzik : Kansas ST (-5) vs Oklahoma ST
Randy McKay : Kansas ST (-5) vs Oklahoma ST
Jason Jarvis : Kansas ST (-5) vs Oklahoma ST
Kelly Stewart : Kansas ST (-5) vs Oklahoma ST

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 12:00 PM ET - Minnesota at Michigan
Chris Fallica : Minnesota (+11) at Michigan
Kelly Stewart : Minnesota (+11) at Michigan
Paul Bovi : Minnesota (+11) at Michigan

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 12:00 PM ET - Kentucky at Ole Miss
Chris Macero : Kentucky at Ole Miss - UNDER (51.5) * BEST BET
Marc Lawrence : Kentucky (+16) at Ole Miss
Randy McKay : Kentucky (+16) at Ole Miss
Brett McMurphy : Kentucky (+16) at Ole Miss

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 12:00 PM ET - N Illinois at NC State
Kelly Stewart : N Illinois (+7.5) at NC State * BEST BET

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 12:00 PM ET - Nebraska at Purdue
Rob Brandt : Nebraska (-10) at Purdue
Scott Pritchard : Nebraska at Purdue - UNDER (48)
Chuck Edel : Nebraska at Purdue - UNDER (48)
Chris Fallica : Purdue (+10) vs Nebraska
Pete Wilder : Nebraska (-10) at Purdue

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 12:00 PM ET - Navy at UAB
Chris Piper : Navy (-3.5) at UAB
Kelly Stewart : UAB (+3.5) vs Navy

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 1:30 PM ET - Ball ST at James Madison
John Accorsi : Ball ST (+21.5) at James Madison

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 3:30 PM ET - Oklahoma at Auburn
Doug Kezirian : Oklahoma at Auburn - UNDER (44.5)
Brett McMurphy : Auburn (-1.5) vs Oklahoma
Chuck Edel : Auburn (-1.5) vs Oklahoma

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 3:30 PM ET - Colorado at UCF
Brett McMurphy : UCF (-14) vs Colorado * BEST BET
Randy McKay : UCF (-14) vs Colorado
Alex White : Colorado (+14) at UCF
Vinny Castillo : UCF (-14) vs Colorado

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 3:30 PM ET - San Diego ST at C Michigan
Scott Pritchard : San Diego ST at C Michigan - UNDER (52) * BEST BET
Pete Wilder : San Diego ST at C Michigan - UNDER (52)
Randy McKay : San Diego ST at C Michigan - UNDER (52)

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 3:30 PM ET - TCU at Kansas
Alex White : Kansas (-2) vs TCU

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 3:30 PM ET - W Michigan at Marshall
Brett McMurphy : W Michigan (+4.5) at Marshall

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 3:30 PM ET - Massachusetts at Miami OH
Scott Pritchard : Massachusetts (+17.5) at Miami OH

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 3:30 PM ET - Louisville at Notre Dame
Chris Macero : Louisville (+7) at Notre Dame
Sean Higgs : Notre Dame (-7) vs Louisville
Chuck Edel : Louisville at Notre Dame - UNDER (46.5)

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 3:30 PM ET - Arkansas vs Texas A&M
Marc Lawrence : Arkansas (+6) vs Texas A&M
Sean Higgs : Arkansas (+6) vs Texas A&M
Alex White : Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas
Cris Zeniuk : Arkansas (+6) vs Texas A&M

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 3:30 PM ET - Fresno ST at UNLV
Pete Wilder : UNLV (-2.5) vs Fresno ST
Jason Jarvis : UNLV (-2.5) vs Fresno ST

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 3:30 PM ET - Louisiana at Wake Forest
Chuck Edel : Louisiana (+3.5) at Wake Forest

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 3:30 PM ET - Georgia Southern at Georgia ST
Alex White : Georgia Southern (+3) at Georgia ST
Chuck Edel : Georgia ST (-3) vs Georgia Southern
Cris Zeniuk : Georgia ST (-3) vs Georgia Southern

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 4:00 PM ET - North Carolina at Duke
Marc Lawrence : North Carolina (+2.5) at Duke
Chris Piper : North Carolina at Duke - OVER (56)

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 4:00 PM ET - Texas-San Antonio at East Carolina
Brett McMurphy : Texas-San Antonio at East Carolina - OVER (54.5)

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 5:00 PM ET - Old Dominion at Bowling Green
Brett McMurphy : Old Dominion (+10.5) at Bowling Green
Scott Pritchard : Old Dominion at Bowling Green - UNDER (52)

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 7:00 PM ET - Stanford at Clemson
Scott Pritchard : Clemson (-21.5) vs Stanford
Steve Fezzik : Clemson (-21.5) vs Stanford
John Accorsi : Clemson (-21.5) vs Stanford

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 7:00 PM ET - Tulsa at North Texas
Alex White : North Texas (-6.5) vs Tulsa
Steve Fezzik : North Texas (-6.5) vs Tulsa

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 7:00 PM ET - LA Monroe at Troy
Chuck Edel : LA Monroe (+6.5) at Troy

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 7:30 PM ET - Georgia at Alabama
Chris Fallica : Georgia (PK) at Alabama
Pete Wilder : Georgia (PK) at Alabama
Steve Fezzik : Georgia at Alabama - UNDER (50)
Cris Zeniuk : Georgia (PK) at Alabama
Chris Piper : Georgia at Alabama - UNDER (50)
Weston Stradtman : Georgia at Alabama - UNDER (50)
Sean Higgs : Georgia at Alabama - UNDER (50)

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 7:30 PM ET - Ohio ST at Michigan ST
Scott Pritchard : Ohio ST at Michigan ST - UNDER (48.5)

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 7:30 PM ET - Illinois at Penn ST
Rob Brandt : Illinois (+18.5) at Penn ST
Marc Lawrence : Illinois (+18.5) at Penn ST
Chris Fallica : Penn ST (-18.5) vs Illinois
Pete Wilder : Illinois at Penn ST - UNDER (48)

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 7:45 PM ET - S Alabama at LSU
Doug Kezirian : S Alabama at LSU - OVER (65)

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 8:00 PM ET - New Mexico at New Mexico ST
Brett McMurphy : New Mexico (-9) at New Mexico ST
Paul Bovi : New Mexico (-9) at New Mexico ST

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 8:00 PM ET - Cincinnati at Texas Tech
Chuck Edel : Texas Tech (-3.5) vs Cincinnati * BEST BET
John Accorsi : Cincinnati (+3.5) at Texas Tech

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 10:00 PM ET - Washington ST at Boise ST
Alex White : Boise ST (-6.5) vs Washington ST * BEST BET
John Accorsi : Boise ST (-6.5) vs Washington ST
Chris Piper : Boise ST (-6.5) vs Washington ST
Chris Piper : Washington ST at Boise ST - OVER (65)

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 10:15 PM ET - Arizona at Utah
Kelly Stewart : Arizona (+8.5) at Utah
Pete Wilder : Utah (-8.5) vs Arizona
Randy McKay : Utah (-8.5) vs Arizona
Weston Stradtman : Utah (-8.5) vs Arizona

CFB - Sat, Sep 28 at 11:00 PM ET - Oregon at UCLA
Doug Kezirian : Oregon (-25.5) at UCLA
Chris Macero : Oregon (-25.5) at UCLA

NFL - Sun, Sep 29 at 1:00 PM ET - Broncos at Jets
Sean Higgs : Broncos (+7.5) at Jets
Cris Zeniuk : Broncos (+7.5) at Jets
Vinny Castillo : Jets (-7.5) vs Broncos
James Salinas : Jets (-7.5) vs Broncos
Jason Jarvis : Jets (-7.5) vs Broncos
Matt Ste. Marie : Jets (-7.5) vs Broncos

NFL - Sun, Sep 29 at 1:00 PM ET - Jaguars at Texans
Chris Piper : Texans (-6) vs Jaguars
James Salinas : Jaguars (+6) at Texans

NFL - Sun, Sep 29 at 1:00 PM ET - Steelers at Colts
Jason Jarvis : Colts (+2) vs Steelers * BEST BET
Paul Bovi : Steelers at Colts - OVER (40) * BEST BET
James Salinas : Steelers (-2) at Colts
Jeff Petch : Steelers (-2) at Colts
Marc Lawrence : Colts (+2) vs Steelers

NFL - Sun, Sep 29 at 1:00 PM ET - Rams at Bears
Paul Bovi : Bears (-3) vs Rams
Vinny Castillo : Rams (+3) at Bears
Jason Jarvis : Bears (-3) vs Rams
Paul Bovi : Rams at Bears - OVER (40)
Matt Ste. Marie : Bears (-3) vs Rams
Tony Gordon : Bears (-3) vs Rams
Jeff Petch : Rams (+3) at Bears

NFL - Sun, Sep 29 at 1:00 PM ET - Saints at Falcons
Tony Gordon : Falcons (-2.5) vs Saints * BEST BET
Matt Ste. Marie : Falcons (-2.5) vs Saints * BEST BET
Steve Fezzik : Falcons (-2.5) vs Saints * BEST BET
Randy McKay : Falcons (-2.5) vs Saints * BEST BET
John Accorsi : Falcons (-2.5) vs Saints * BEST BET
Sean Higgs : Falcons (-2.5) vs Saints * BEST BET
James Salinas : Saints at Falcons - UNDER (42) * BEST BET
Jeff Petch : Falcons (-2.5) vs Saints
Weston Stradtman : Falcons (-2.5) vs Saints
Steve Fezzik : Saints at Falcons - UNDER (42)
Jason Jarvis : Falcons (-2.5) vs Saints

NFL - Sun, Sep 29 at 1:00 PM ET - Bengals at Panthers
Cris Zeniuk : Bengals (-4.5) at Panthers
Weston Stradtman : Bengals (-4.5) at Panthers
Matt Ste. Marie : Bengals at Panthers - OVER (47.5)
Jeff Petch : Bengals (-4.5) at Panthers
Chris Macero : Bengals (-4.5) at Panthers
Matt Ste. Marie : Bengals (-4.5) at Panthers

NFL - Sun, Sep 29 at 1:00 PM ET - Eagles at Buccaneers
Cris Zeniuk : Eagles (-1) at Buccaneers * BEST BET
Chris Macero : Buccaneers (+1) vs Eagles
Paul Bovi : Buccaneers (+1) vs Eagles
James Salinas : Eagles at Buccaneers - UNDER (43)

NFL - Sun, Sep 29 at 4:05 PM ET - Commanders at Cardinals
Chris Fallica : Cardinals (-3.5) vs Commanders * BEST BET
Tony Gordon : Commanders (+3.5) at Cardinals
Doug Kezirian : Commanders at Cardinals - OVER (49)
Rob Brandt : Cardinals (-3.5) vs Commanders
Jeff Petch : Cardinals (-3.5) vs Commanders

NFL - Sun, Sep 29 at 4:05 PM ET - Patriots at 49ers
John Accorsi : Patriots (+11) at 49ers
James Salinas : Patriots (+11) at 49ers
Tony Gordon : Patriots at 49ers - OVER (40.5)
Chris Fallica : 49ers (-11) vs Patriots
Doug Kezirian : 49ers (-11) vs Patriots

NFL - Sun, Sep 29 at 4:25 PM ET - Browns at Raiders
John Accorsi : Browns (PK) at Raiders
Weston Stradtman : Browns (PK) at Raiders
Steve Fezzik : Browns (PK) at Raiders
Paul Bovi : Browns (PK) at Raiders
Jeff Petch : Raiders (PK) vs Browns
Randy McKay : Browns (PK) at Raiders
Marc Lawrence : Browns (PK) at Raiders
Scott Pritchard : Browns (PK) at Raiders

NFL - Sun, Sep 29 at 4:25 PM ET - Chiefs at Chargers
Doug Kezirian : Chiefs (-7) at Chargers * BEST BET
Jeff Petch : Chiefs (-7) at Chargers * BEST BET
Weston Stradtman : Chiefs (-7) at Chargers * BEST BET
Matt Ste. Marie : Chiefs (-7) at Chargers
Vinny Castillo : Chiefs (-7) at Chargers
Rob Brandt : Chiefs (-7) at Chargers

NFL - Sun, Sep 29 at 8:20 PM ET - Bills at Ravens
Marc Lawrence : Ravens (-2.5) vs Bills * BEST BET
Rob Brandt : Bills at Ravens - OVER (46.5) * BEST BET
Jason Jarvis : Ravens (-2.5) vs Bills
Tony Gordon : Ravens (-2.5) vs Bills
Cris Zeniuk : Bills (+2.5) at Ravens
Vinny Castillo : Ravens (-2.5) vs Bills
Rob Brandt : Bills (+2.5) at Ravens
Matt Ste. Marie : Bills at Ravens - OVER (46.5)
James Salinas : Bills (+2.5) at Ravens

NFL - Mon, Sep 30 at 7:30 PM ET - Titans at Dolphins
Sean Higgs : Dolphins (-1) vs Titans
Doug Kezirian : Dolphins (-1) vs Titans
Tony Gordon : Dolphins (-1) vs Titans

NFL - Mon, Sep 30 at 8:15 PM ET - Seahawks at Lions
Chris Piper : Lions (-3.5) vs Seahawks * BEST BET
Vinny Castillo : Lions (-3.5) vs Seahawks * BEST BET
Chris Macero : Lions (-3.5) vs Seahawks
Sean Higgs : Seahawks (+3.5) at Lions
Tony Gordon : Seahawks (+3.5) at Lions
Weston Stradtman : Lions (-3.5) vs Seahawks
 
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