Since I wont be posting any play for it (to clarify, that means I considered Under but have passed on it), and I've nowhere else to put it, I'll post it here. I did some work on the CHA-MIN total, and of note I found the following...
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This season, CHA has 4 regulation totals fall between 192 & 204 points.
Conversely, they have had
- 13 reg totals fall between 179-191 (the 13 point zone before the 192-204 13 point zone)
- 8 reg totals climb 205 or higher.
- 5 reg totals at 178 or less (yes, they've actually had more totals less than 179, than they've had between 192-204).
So only 13.3% of their results are delivered between 192-204 pts, while 43.3% of their results are delivered between 179-191 points. Related to this opening line of 190.0, its clear which way a close result leans towards being.
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coinciding with CHA's recent Over run (7-3 last 10, but 1 needed OT to become an Over result) is Wallace's purple patch of form.
Over this latest stretch of results, hes averaged 22.6 points in games he's played 20+ mins in. In all games this season prior to this stretch where he played 20+ mins, he averaged 11.3 points. Thats an exact doubling of his output.
CHA over that initial stretch of his lesser form, were 13-6-1 to Under. Over his increased form period, 6-4 to Over. And now he is out injured.