raysmuckles
Member
I will post these earlier next week.
Baltimore/New Orleans -2
St. Louis/San Diego Over 23 1H
St. Louis +6.5/San Diego 1H
Baltimore/New Orleans -2
I think there are a lot of different ways to look at this game. Both teams are off a bye, so they should be healthy and prepared. I think the best stat for this game is NO 5-1 ATS, but should note they are 1-1 as a fave. I think McNair is done and J. Lewis is apathetic, Baltimore will have to get it done with their defense. The Saints should play conservative (wear down w/ Bush and McAllister) and win by 3, like they have the last two games at home.
Jacksonville +8.5/Philadelphia
This is a value play. I know the Jags are bad on the road (0-3) and this is their second straight road game. I know the Eagles are coming off consecutive road losses and are poised for a come-home win. When this line opened, I thought the play was PHI ML, but was going to lay off since McNabb has been sketchy. Now that the line has taken off, I think there is value in the 8.5 points. Gerrard is a solid backup, and I think the line reacted too aggresively to the news of his start.
Tampa Bay +10/New York Giants
This is another value play, in the same vein as the previous. Gradkowski has been solid in his three starts, underdog of at least 5 pts in all three and covered the spread in each. I certainly think the Giants are capable of winning this game, but they are coming off a short week. I do not think this will be a blowout.
St. Louis +9.5/San Diego
St. Louis/San Diego Over 23 1H
St. Louis +6.5/San Diego 1H
As you can see, I like this game a lot. I've read alot on this board and others about this game and there seems to be a consensus that the Rams are better than this line, and the Chargers are worse than it. The San Diego defense to be a hostile environment right now, with all the legal troubles, steroid accusations and injury woes. I think this will turn into a shootout, and St. Louis will be able to keep up. Another road dog play, I'm starting to see a trend.
Indianapolis/Denver -2.5
Denver has the biggest home field advantage of anyone in the league. I feel safe that they can win by a field goal home. Manning got pretty banged up last week against the Redskins, and the Broncos D will be applying the pressure. I like this as a public fade as well (caught up in the hype of an undefeated team).
New York Jets/Cleveland Over 38
This was an early lean and more of a gut call than anything else. Pennington can put up points on the road and the Browns seem to be looking at a blowout. I think they may have already quit.
Dallas/Carolina -5.5
I've always heard that losing your first start is a right of passage for an nfl qb. Carolina should be able to handle Romo, as they return home after two close road games, going 1-1. The Panthers need this win to stay competitive in their dysfunctional division.
