NCAA Week 7

CapTwo · Oct 7, 2008

YTD= 59-48-1 +1.8u
Last week 15-12-1 (-3.6u)
Should be jumping for joy, as I went 11-2 on sides/teasers Saturday, and managed to hit my 3 biggest plays which I put a lot of stock into (WMU, zona, and Nevada)… and I honestly cant remember the last time that has happened. That was a positive note.
. Unfortunately, went 3-4-1 on totals, and the worst part, started the week w/ my worst slump this year--- a horrendous 0-6 -9u in weekday games, which is just both pathetic and detrimental. fuck weekday games

USF screwed me bad. had em 1H, 1Q, and to complete a ML parlay. lost almost 6u in total on this game. MTSU cover lost by a point. BYU gave up in the 2H, you get the picture. It was ugly
rolling with the obvious solution:
will only be playing 1 weekday game a week, and 1 total all week. thats it. for the rest of the season. no more pissing away profits w/coin flips

this week its wake-i like troy too, but im tired of flipping coins in these small spread weekday games and losing close games. Plus the home team has fared very well in these weeknight games. not trying to go against that trend.

ANYWAYS, onward. i really like the card this week.... <link rel="themeData" href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CDiddy%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_themedata.thmx"><link rel="colorSchemeMapping" href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CDiddy%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_colorschememapping.xml"><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <w:WordDocument> <w:View>Normal</w:View> <w:Zoom>0</w:Zoom> <w:TrackMoves/> <w:TrackFormatting/> <w

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</o> wake -2.5 (1.5u)
UF -4 (-120) (1.5u)
Michigan/Toledo Under 51 (1.5u)
WMU +1.5 (1.2u)
USC -27 (-120) 1u
Arky +19 1u
6.5 Point Teaser Utep +1/Hawaii -1 (1.2u)

TTU -20 (-120) (1.2u)
vandy -2 (0.5u)
Zona -6 (1.2u)
10 point Teaser: WMU +11/Mizzou -3/Wake +8 (1.2u)
Tulsa -24 (-120) (1.2u)

CapTwo · Oct 7, 2008

Ongoing trends: Bama has outscored opponents 88-0 in the 1Q.
LVSC Observations: The books are fed up with bettors fading wazzou and Idaho to the bank.
Fresno is now laying -33 against Idaho, and theyre coming off a SU loss as a 22 point fav, lmao…
and wazzou is a 30 point dog to “the new” tOSU!
Was fun while it lasted, fellas….. but they’ve caught on. Too bad.... really a no play from here on out as i dont have the stomach to back wazzou or idaho ever- no matter how many points the man is giving me.

<link rel="File-List" href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CDiddy%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml"><link rel="themeData" href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CDiddy%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_themedata.thmx"><link rel="colorSchemeMapping" href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CDiddy%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_colorschememapping.xml"><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <w:WordDocument> <w:View>Normal</w:View> <w:Zoom>0</w:Zoom> <w:TrackMoves/> <w:TrackFormatting/> <w

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oNotPromoteQF/> <w:LidThemeOther>EN-US</w:LidThemeOther> <w:LidThemeAsian>X-NONE</w:LidThemeAsian> <w:LidThemeComplexScript>X-NONE</w:LidThemeComplexScript> <w:Compatibility> <w:BreakWrappedTables/> <w:SnapToGridInCell/> <w:WrapTextWithPunct/> <w:UseAsianBreakRules/> <w

ontGrowAutofit/> <w:SplitPgBreakAndParaMark/> <w

ontVertAlignCellWithSp/> <w

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ontVertAlignInTxbx/> <w:Word11KerningPairs/> <w:CachedColBalance/> </w:Compatibility> <m:mathPr> <m:mathFont m:val="Cambria Math"/> <m:brkBin m:val="before"/> <m:brkBinSub m:val="--"/> <m:smallFrac m:val="off"/> <m:dispDef/> <m:lMargin m:val="0"/> <m:rMargin m:val="0"/> <m:defJc m:val="centerGroup"/> <m:wrapIndent m:val="1440"/> <m:intLim m:val="subSup"/> <m:naryLim m:val="undOvr"/> </m:mathPr></w:WordDocument> </xml><![endif]--><style>  </style> <o></o>Tulsa- the story of SMU’s season and margin of loss has been turnovers, mostly by bo Mitchell.
Tulsa defense has forced 13 turnovers this season, and has a +7 turnover margin.
You give Tulsa short fields, they will blow you out of the water before you even realized it.

Turnovers are what gives Tulsa the cover this week . That and SMU’s tendency in the secondary to give up the big play, which they have had problems giving up.
Rush defense also. SMU gives up 211 a game on the ground, and 252 at home.
Tulsa runs for 250+ a game…. And Johnson can easily beat you with the deep ball throwing for 350+ a game too.
Tulsa just has a balanced offense that can kill you both ways and will keep SMU guessing. i woudl not be surprised to see them score on every drive, minus one (when johnson plays with his eyes closed)

TTU- some thoughts scattered around the forum, I know some in the Sunday morning coffee thread. Don’t need to repeat myself. This is a Nebraska defense with a swiss-cheese secondary that allowed chase to pick them apart and allowed mizzou to score on 8 of 10 drives- the only 2 they didn’t score on was a turnover on downs when mizzou brought in the backup QB, and a missed FG.
With Harrell it wont get any better for them.... TTU puts up 48-ish here and gets the cover

scraps@midnight · Oct 7, 2008

i have been going through the same struggle. not one winning night last week in any sport then 19-5 saturday, 10-5 sunday. if i wasn't such a degenerate, i would avoid all the weekday trash....but i am and will most likely be on troy tonight!

love the card and have the majority of those plays on my radar. best of luck.

CapTwo · Oct 7, 2008

scraps@midnight said:
i have been going through the same struggle. not one winning night last week in any sport then 19-5 saturday, 10-5 sunday. if i wasn't such a degenerate, i would avoid all the weekday trash....but i am and will most likely be on troy tonight!

love the card and have the majority of those plays on my radar. best of luck.

thanks bro, and good luck on troy tonight

im leaning that way too, but am gonna show some restraint for once in my damn life and stay off of em!

wake, on the other hand, i may add a 1/2 unit on and make a 2 unit play

i really, really, really like this game, will have some thoughts up tomorrow probably.... trying to get on some early NFL lines too:cheers:

Tito · Oct 8, 2008

bol with 'em cap -:cheers:

B.A.R. · Oct 8, 2008

Good stuff...have always hated weekday betting

gl this week.

nawlins51 · Oct 8, 2008

GL Cap.Looks good buddy.

TarHeel7703 · Oct 8, 2008

GL with the plays this weekend Cap :cheers:

CapTwo · Oct 9, 2008

BAR- funny thing is, my buddy told me he was playing troy, and asked about a total i said i leaned under. he asked for score i told him 27-17 game.... it was 30-17 game.
what does that mean? it means i will probably lose every weekday game i bet on, and cap perfectly every weekday game i dont lol

fuck sharp-lined weekday games, if i want to fuck with sharp lines ill lose my money in the NFL.

nawlins- thanks bro u too

heel - good to see ya around man GL this weekend

put some wake thoughts up in the discussion thread. wake defense wins this one with defense fellas, clemsons going to beat themselves via turnovers. wakes forced 17 this year... clemson has turned it over 9 times in 4 games.
only way i see clemson winning this is if skinner goes INT crazy like he did against navy, but i dont see it happening. if he can be efficient, i think wake defense can hold clemson to under 20 and get it done

prediction. wake 26-clemfucks 17

CapTwo · Oct 9, 2008

for the most part, this is it

might add texas ML and a total.... and a 1H play but thats about it

trying to keep it small this weekend.

Dmoney416 · Oct 9, 2008

GL this week Cap - interested to se what happens in the Wake game. Leaning over there myself.

Marlo · Oct 9, 2008

Good luck Bitch.

CapTwo · Oct 11, 2008

thanks marlo and DMoney, hope everyones having a good day

i got very lucky on WMU im not complaining about anything for awhile after that one.
definitely my biggest suckout of the season.... and i know it was a forum favorite so im happy a lot of you all cashed too. what a comeback that one was.... wow.

harbaugh has now covered against me twice in the last 30 ticks of a game, first SJSU backdoor and now against zona lol..... but i dont really care because i didnt deserve that one anyways. congrats stanford backers

lookin like a good day, see how the 8pms go, glad i hedged .7u off vandy.... did it at noon today because of the line movement, althought hey had a 1/2 point middle on me because i had miss state +1.5
record police can verify even lol... (see below)  Message originally posted by CapTwo on 10-07-2008 at 12:53 PM:

anyways, added a teaser i like to try to push my luck a little.

would have rather had hawaii/UF in there but already have UF -4... so not trying to put too many eggs in one basket, even though it could be a very close game i think some jarret lee turnovers in the swamp will help our case and UF covers....
and i still like UTEP. GL fellas...

CapTwo · Oct 11, 2008

definitely decided its time to be more selective, so much easier and less stressful

people like RJ, dmoney,carolinablue, and BAR, and others have small cards for a reason.... and thats why they consistently win.

fuck playing too many totals and fuck the weekday games too!

CapTwo · Oct 11, 2008

HA! I moved the hawaii line!

literally TWO minutes ago form now just moved a full point to -8.5

i take that as vegas is not happy w/ people teasing to down -1 or -0.5....

florida/hawaii was probably a popular teaser in vegas. im such a square... lol. good thing i threw in UTEP instead

3rd & Long · Oct 11, 2008

:cheers:

NCAA Week 7

CapTwo

Richmond Local TV Legend

CapTwo

Richmond Local TV Legend

scraps@midnight

Pretty much a regular

CapTwo

Richmond Local TV Legend

Tito

The Salty Dog

B.A.R.

CTG Partner

nawlins51

I bet Basketball

TarHeel7703

Pretty much a regular

CapTwo

Richmond Local TV Legend

CapTwo

Richmond Local TV Legend

Dmoney416

Ben Mauk's Counsel

Marlo

Check out my DAD BOD

CapTwo

Richmond Local TV Legend

CapTwo

Richmond Local TV Legend

CapTwo

Richmond Local TV Legend

3rd & Long

Tom Brady is a douchebag

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