NCAA Lax Sunday (3.1)

BiffTFinancial

Local Heat Tracker
Like a couple of angles today. Albany last week was a max play (5u) so will weight today accordingly. Not posting for record, more want to share what I think is a good value play and put in context. Both lines at DK.

2* Penn +3' (-115)
1* UNC ML (+135)

Rationale: Cuse is favored based more on name than performance year to date, here, and no reason to think they'll win by 4+ at a solid Penn team today (Penn upset Albany and played UNC very well Friday, losing by 2). Lotta talk about the fact that Cuse hasn't won a game outdoors in February since 2003, but that span only included 5 such games, so not much of a sample and the calendar turned to March last night. Bottomline: Cuse beating Penn on the road by 4+ early-season is a tall ask based upon their form so far, so go Quakers.
 
Oops, forgot to come back and wrap this up. Easy winner on Penn, who never trailed in the 2H and led 8-4 in the 3rd before losing in OT. UNC was a bad call, led briefly in the 4th but was generally outplayed on the day. Main takeaway is that Princeton is really good and better than expected. So, 1-1 +1u for the post.
 
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