NCAA FB WEEK 0 + RSW Plays *LOCKED IN

posting my updated card:



NCAA WEEK 0

Navy +21

San Jose State +30

UTEP+ J-St over 53.5

San Diego st -4 -107

New Mexico State -7 -122



NCAA Week 1:

Nebraska +7.5

UVA +29

Louisiana Tech +14.5

Louisiana Tech +17 -120

Sam Hou St +24

California -9

South Alabama +7.5

Wyoming +14.5 -122

Texas State + Baylor over 58.5

Colorado State +16.5

Utah -7 -138 b1.5



Futures Portfolio

RSW:

*Central Michigan under 5.5 -120

*North Texas under 6.5 -120.

*East Carolina under 5.5 -150

*East Carolina under 6.5 -190. BIG

*South Alabama under 8-130.

*MTSU under 6.5 +100

*San Jose St under 5.5 +120

*Minnesota under 7.5 -160

*UTEP over 5.5 -115 BIG

*Indiana under 3.5 +140

*Vanderbilt over 3.5 -150

*Cal over 4.5 -152

*BYU under 5.5 +113



1u UTEP 22-1 to win CUSA.

1u UTSA +360 to win AAC

1u FAU +950 to win AAC

1u EMU +790 to win MAC

1u San Diego state +650 to win MWC

1.75u Washington +400 win P12



longshots to win their respective conference title



.33u navy 45/1

.125u cal 80/1

.416u NIU 22/1 + .33u 29/1 (local casino)

.125u Texas State 80/1



added Utah as it dropped on bookmaker so I purchased -7 flat for -138.
 
was talking to another forum member about this, but hard to not like iowa team total over 31/32 ish (vegas implied with a spread of 20-21 and a total of 43. with the motivational factors being revamped offense, incentives for the OC for achieving 25 PPG and a chance to pad the average vs a (potentially) bad Utah STate team, time for iowa to drop the hammer, or at least I would be willing to bet they score at least 5 TDs in this one.
 
steponaduck said:
was talking to another forum member about this, but hard to not like iowa team total over 31/32 ish (vegas implied with a spread of 20-21 and a total of 43. with the motivational factors being revamped offense, incentives for the OC for achieving 25 PPG and a chance to pad the average vs a (potentially) bad Utah STate team, time for iowa to drop the hammer, or at least I would be willing to bet they score at least 5 TDs in this one.
Click to expand...
This is actually interesting especially when you consider that the defense might get a score or two as well. The only times Iowa put up those numbers last year was against bad teams and the defense tended to chip in each time, so will be keeping an eye on TT as 33.5 or less might be worth a shot.

On a side note, which books are your go to for cfb team totals? My main books BOL and BM aren’t as deep on TTS usually so wouldn’t mind finding one that has a wider selection. I believe MB was decent last year but not sure about others.
 
Yeah duck think the game plan gotta be to put on a 60 min show .. fans will obvi approve of running it up.. been a while lol .. obvi backup QB would be a concern but seems pretty safe from that, no reason to pull Macnamera maybe only if things are reallllly out of hand but even then then why not keep the fans excited and get him all the reps he can handle w the big game on deck .. they probably do need to figure out what they have behind Mac but W.Mich after the cyhawk game is the better spot for that .. yeah I think they'll be trying to score late in this one the same way they'll be trying to score early .. Brian's job may just depend on it LOLZ!!!!
 
posting my updated card:





NCAA WEEK 0

Navy +21

San Jose State +30

UTEP+ J-St over 53.5

San Diego st -4 -107

New Mexico State -7 -122



NCAA Week 1:

Nebraska +7.5

UVA +29

Louisiana Tech +14.5

Louisiana Tech +17 -120

Sam Hou St +24

California -9

South Alabama +7.5

Wyoming +14.5 -122

Texas State + Baylor over 58.5

Texas State + Baylor over 56.5 (local)

Colorado State +16.5

Utah -7 -138 b1.5

Bowling Green +12.5

Northwestern +7 -121



i don’t care what’s going on at NW, getting a +7 here seems like it’s risen too high. If I don’t like what I see, I paid to see Rutg win a conference game by more than 7.
 
NCAA WEEK 0

Navy +21
San Jose State +30
UTEP+ J-St over 53.5
San Diego st -4 -107
New Mexico State -7 -122

Navy +26 + New Mex St -1 6 pt tease



NCAA Week 1:

Nebraska +7.5
Utah -7 -138 b1.5
UVA +29
Louisiana Tech +14.5
Louisiana Tech +17 -120
Sam Hou St +24
California -9
South Alabama +7.5
Wyoming +14.5 -122
Texas State + Baylor over 58.5
Texas State + Baylor over 56.5 (local)
Colorado State +16.5
Bowling Green +12.5
Northwestern +7 -121
No. Illinois +11.5 -113 .7u


saw Northern Ill. drop quick at BM so jumped on...not afraid of the big card...feel really strong about my research and my positions.

may also add UTSA -1, seems like a strong tell seeing them go from +2.5 to -1 on the road in Hou 1st game as a B12 member.
 
UDML PARLAY/ RR POSSIBILITES: USUALLY play 6-7 teamers...and birdcage in 4s, 5s...hit one or two smaller ones per season...typically break even for couch change on these...

NEBRASKA
GEORGIA TECH
HAWAII
BOWLING GREEN
NIU
AKRON
SOU CAROLINA
TOLEDO
WYOMING
LA TECH
NORTHWESTERN??
 
very interested to watch and learn what hawaii brings in week 0, in anticipation for their "week 1" game at home against Stanford

Stanford is said to he historically bad this season, and they do not have the personnel to run the system Taylor wants to run on the Farm. with the travel involved, and the following week Stanford plays USC AND then Sac State (where their HC came from) certainly he has to have that one circled in red ink on the slate. will be interested to see when Stanford goes out to the island, and their coaching staff's mentality on the game. could definitely see them . seeing what they have on the roster, in prep for week 2 showdown against USC and then home opener against sac state.
 
Last edited:
NCAA WEEK 0

Navy +21
San Jose State +30
UTEP+ J-St over 53.5
San Diego st -4 -107
New Mexico State -7 -122

Navy +26 + New Mex St -1 6 pt tease



NCAA Week 1:

Nebraska +7.5
Utah -7 -138 b1.5
UVA +29
Louisiana Tech +14.5
Louisiana Tech +17 -120
Sam Hou St +24
California -9
South Alabama +7.5
Wyoming +14.5 -122
Texas State + Baylor over 58.5
Texas State + Baylor over 56.5 (local)
Colorado State +16.5
Bowling Green +12.5
Northwestern +7 -121
No. Illinois +11.5 -113 .7u
Hawaii +10 -116 vs Stanford
 
i actually purchased another preview mag this year, it was the "Pick Six" previews 2023 season preview. they only preview the P5 leagues but Brett Ciancia does a really nice job providing valuable content and insight. the preview mag adds a compliment to the phil steele preview and is much more than the bathroom literature that lindy's or athalon put out. I really enjoyed that preview. you can find him online or on blue bird tweet tweet app...

I have found it very refreshing to be able to get some interesting perspective from teams outside of phil steele's perspective. I have also enjoyed the dialog with some forum members here, sharing valuable perspective and insight.


I am also dialed into the following podcasts

--big bets on campus

--VSIN college FB betting podcast

--Hit the Books with Brad powers and joey knish

--the transfer portal

--bet the board



all of this content pertains to college FB betting and has been being produced since april...so if you feel behind in your college FB prep...its on you!!! (jk)

see you in the trenches!
 
NCAA WEEK 0

Navy +21
San Jose State +30
UTEP+ J-St over 53.5
San Diego st -4 -107
New Mexico State -7 -122

Navy +26 + New Mex St -1 6 pt tease



NCAA Week 1:

Nebraska +7.5
Utah -7 -138 b1.5
UVA +29
Louisiana Tech +14.5
Louisiana Tech +17 -120
Sam Hou St +24
California -9
South Alabama +7.5
Wyoming +14.5 -122
Texas State + Baylor over 58.5
Texas State + Baylor over 56.5 (local)
Colorado State +16.5
Colorado State =15.5
Bowling Green +12.5
Northwestern +7 -121
No. Illinois +11.5 -113 .7u
Hawaii +10 -116 vs Stanford
UTSA pk -104 added utsa here.




Futures Portfolio

RSW:

*Central Michigan under 5.5 -120
*North Texas under 6.5 -120.
*East Carolina under 5.5 -150
*East Carolina under 6.5 -190. BIG
*South Alabama under 8-130.
*MTSU under 6.5 +100
*San Jose St under 5.5 +120
*Minnesota under 7.5 -160
*UTEP over 5.5 -115 BIG
*Indiana under 3.5 +140
*Vanderbilt over 3.5 -150
*Cal over 4.5 -152
*BYU under 5.5 +113


1u UTEP 22-1 to win CUSA.
1u UTSA +360 to win AAC
1u FAU +950 to win AAC
1u EMU +790 to win MAC
1u San Diego state +650 to win MWC
1.75u Washington +400 win P12

longshots to win their respective conference title

.33u navy 45/1
.125u cal 80/1
.416u NIU 22/1 + .33u 29/1 (local casino)
.125u Texas State 80/1
 
Futures Portfolio





RSW:

* western Michigan under 4.5 -200

*Central Michigan under 5.5 -120

*North Texas under 6.5 -120.

*East Carolina under 5.5 -150

*East Carolina under 6.5 -190. BIG

*South Alabama under 8-130.

*MTSU under 6.5 +100

*San Jose St under 5.5 +120

*Minnesota under 7.5 -160

*UTEP over 5.5 -115 BIG

*Indiana under 3.5 +140

*Vanderbilt over 3.5 -150

*Cal over 4.5 -152

*BYU under 5.5 +113





1u UTEP 22-1 to win CUSA.

1u UTSA +360 to win AAC

1u FAU +950 to win AAC

1u EMU +790 to win MAC

1u San Diego state +650 to win MWC

1.75u Washington +400 win P12



longshots to win their respective conference title



.33u navy 45/1

.125u cal 80/1

.416u NIU 22/1 + .33u 29/1 (local casino)

.125u Texas State 80/1



added WMU under 4.5 RSW. Looking at the tough slate. No way they win 5 games. A team fallen on hard times. Could be a dog in 11 games. Just don’t see a path to 5 wins.
 
no dae dae hunter this season for liberty...big loss for the flames. he was very explosive at Lib and Hawaii and his production will be hard to replace.

--good news for my BG week 1 bet and my UTEP C-USA Future.
 
steponaduck said:
no dae dae hunter this season for liberty...big loss for the flames. he was very explosive at Lib and Hawaii and his production will be hard to replace.

--good news for my BG week 1 bet and my UTEP C-USA Future.
Click to expand...
Thanks for the note.

That reminds me -- we usually do a suspension, injury etc thread in August to keep updates on camp doings.
 
steponaduck said:
Futures Portfolio





RSW:

* western Michigan under 4.5 -200

*Central Michigan under 5.5 -120

*North Texas under 6.5 -120.

*East Carolina under 5.5 -150

*East Carolina under 6.5 -190. BIG

*South Alabama under 8-130.

*MTSU under 6.5 +100

*San Jose St under 5.5 +120

*Minnesota under 7.5 -160

*UTEP over 5.5 -115 BIG

*Indiana under 3.5 +140

*Vanderbilt over 3.5 -150

*Cal over 4.5 -152

*BYU under 5.5 +113





1u UTEP 22-1 to win CUSA.

1u UTSA +360 to win AAC

1u FAU +950 to win AAC

1u EMU +790 to win MAC

1u San Diego state +650 to win MWC

1.75u Washington +400 win P12



longshots to win their respective conference title



.33u navy 45/1

.125u cal 80/1

.416u NIU 22/1 + .33u 29/1 (local casino)

.125u Texas State 80/1



added WMU under 4.5 RSW. Looking at the tough slate. No way they win 5 games. A team fallen on hard times. Could be a dog in 11 games. Just don’t see a path to 5 wins.
Click to expand...
Good stuff.

I do expect the two "directional" schools in my area to struggle, especially WMU... Not so much EMU...

Tough to think how the Broncos have fallen.

As a few of you talked that IU RSW earlier this summer, I kept having nightmares of how difficult that was last year. Looking at it again, today, I like it more than I thought. I have +135 available. Thoughts on that price?
 
I wo
B.A.R. said:
Good stuff.

I do expect the two "directional" schools in my area to struggle, especially WMU... Not so much EMU...

Tough to think how the Broncos have fallen.

As a few of you talked that IU RSW earlier this summer, I kept having nightmares of how difficult that was last year. Looking at it again, today, I like it more than I thought. I have +135 available. Thoughts on that price
Click to expand...


I would play under at that price.
 
Glad to see your name pop up here, always enjoyed your content on other message boards and recognize the work you put in. Respect

Lets Fucking Go
 
Love the thread....what's the reasoning there on la tech ? Doubling down against the line away from you

I think i have a soft spot for has been qbs ppl hate...bachmeier seemed like a stud his frosh year vs fsu and I thought he was pretty good...but I really like slovis and jt daniels. Way better throwers then ridder. High on byu and rice due to them and makes me think west va coaches last year were flaming incompetent idiots.

I have to see the col state improvement to believe it. To me weak lines ...underrated team under addazios last year. They lost all addazios physical guys. linebackers lost some thumper against the run this year for better pass d maybe....I see lot of same roster but better wideouts.

Not sure what to make of Wyoming. Not the Wyoming of few years ago that were just great defense.....not sure if they can play in space vs tech but I'd take Wyoming side of the two

Mountain west is soft this year imo.
 
EL CAPO said:
Love the thread....what's the reasoning there on la tech ? Doubling down against the line away from you

I think i have a soft spot for has been qbs ppl hate...bachmeier seemed like a stud his frosh year vs fsu and I thought he was pretty good...but I really like slovis and jt daniels. Way better throwers then ridder. High on byu and rice due to them and makes me think west va coaches last year were flaming incompetent idiots.

I have to see the col state improvement to believe it. To me weak lines ...underrated team under addazios last year. They lost all addazios physical guys. linebackers lost some thumper against the run this year for better pass d maybe....I see lot of same roster but better wideouts.

Not sure what to make of Wyoming. Not the Wyoming of few years ago that were just great defense.....not sure if they can play in space vs tech but I'd take Wyoming side of the two

Mountain west is soft this year imo.
Click to expand...
yeah just with everything SMU lost, and their d is not exactly world beaters either. just seems like a TON of points, and typically La Tech gets 19-21 points when they play @ SEC schools and they have had a history of covering those numbers. I think their offense will be improved, D could still be folding chairs but we will certainly find out alot more about it when they play at home VS FIU as the night cap of week 0...if they cannot slow down FIU, we are clearly in trouble in the SMU game.

yes the MWC is perceived to be soft and might be power rated down there with the MAC...

I am not so sure colorado state is soft, per sey, and I dont think adazzio did anything good or bad there, they got blown out by plenty of FCS teams before norvell got there, and couldnt move the ball under steve addazio. with the 180* shift in philosophy, scheme and player type its not surprising that the rams struggled, but it was suprising that the struggled as bad as they did, but their D hung in there. I think over two TDs the rams have to be worth a look as a home dog, which is where I played them, the line has moved with me.

I dont have a strong opinion either way on BYU but i doubt they have the roster depth to run through a P5 schedule week to week, and with sam houston getting back a dozen or so redshirted seniors from last year who sat out last year during the transfer year and are now getting back into it, i think they will suprise against the spread, especially in this week 1 bout.
 
NCAA WEEK 0
Navy +21
San Jose State +30
UTEP+ J-St over 53.5
UTEP ML -111
San Diego st -4 -107
New Mexico State -7 -122

teaser: NMSU -1, Navy +26



Added UTEP as a pick. Should absolutely dominate in the trenches and even if we have a close game at the half UTEP OL/DL should wear down jax state and UTEP can lean into the running game to extend drives and move the chains.

really like UTEP this year in the trenches and on the ground and can see them pulling away in this game. 41-24
 
WEEK 0 CARD UPDATED



Navy +21

San Jose State +30

UTEP+ J-St over 53.5

UTEP pk -111

San Diego st -4 -107

New Mexico State -7 -122

Louisiana Tech Team total over 34.5 -128



Navy +26 + New Mex St -1 6 pt tease



took a play on La Tech Team total over 34.5, I can see them coming out firing against this woeful FIU defense, they are at home, and motivated to avenge the embarrassing loss last year against FIU, I think the bulldogs punch it in 5x or more on this opening night. I could see this high scoring affair landing the bulldogs in the 40s in this game.
 
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Week 0:



Hawaii -27.5 (FD)

New Mexico +7.5 -120 (FD)

Week 1: *Updated*

Hawaii +17 (bet365)

Hawaii + 14.5 (everywhere)

UConn +22.5 (bet365)

North Texas +7.5-117 (FD)

UTEP + Nebraska over 48.5 (FD)

Vanderbilt + VT under 55.5 (bet365)

USC + LSU under 66.5 (bet365)

charlotte +10.5 -114 (bookmaker)

Umass + EMU over 48.5 -112 (heritage)

UTSA -20.5 -115 (heritage) .5u

Jacksonville State -3.5 -108 (heritage) .5u

Syracuse -13.5 -115 (heritage) .5u







Futures Portfolio:
2024 NCAA FOOTBALL REGULAR SEASON WINS PLAYS
Clemson under 9.5 -170
UCLA under 5.5 -110
Kansas State under 9.5 -135
San Diego St under 5.5 -120
Coastal Carolina under 6.5 -110
James Madison under 8.5 -164
Arkansas under 5.5 -200
Ohio U under 6.5 -104
New Mexico State under 4.5 -128
North Carolina under 7.5 -115
Ball State under 4.5 -154
Georgia State under 4.5 +100
Old Dominion under 5 -160
Kennesaw State under 2.5 -110


TEXAS STATE to win SBC +500 .33u
BOWLING GREEN to win MAC +700 .33u
EAST CAROLINA to win AAC +1600 .22u
NC STATE to win ACC +650 .33u
NORTH TEXAS to win AAC +2200 .22u
FIU to win C-USA +10000 .1u
LA TECH to win C-USA +4500 .22u
MARSHALL to win SBC +1800 .22u
AF to win MWC +1400 .33u
WMU to win the MAC +880 .33u


Lottos:
140/1 Texas state + boise State + WMU all conference winners
672/1 ECU + Texas State + NC State
71/1 Bowling Green + Texas State + Liberty

Games of the year plays

septEmber 28th UNC ML -115. @duke (bet 365)
 
Great job snagging those lines at Heritage man! They limited me, so no longer bother with em, but great to see someone take advantage of those lines on Cuse and UTSA! Best of luck this season SOAD!
 
carolinablue said:
Great job snagging those lines at Heritage man! They limited me, so no longer bother with em, but great to see someone take advantage of those lines on Cuse and UTSA! Best of luck this season SOAD!
Click to expand...
Thank you mate. hope you make it a prosperous and successful seasion.
 
steponaduck said:
Thank you mate. hope you make it a prosperous and successful seasion.
Click to expand...
Also just noticed you and I both jumped on that UNC ML 115 that 365 hung out there. I normally don't do many future plays, but that one was all about value given that most places have 3/3.5 on the board. Great eye catching that one as I thought I was the only one who jumped on it!
 
carolinablue said:
Also just noticed you and I both jumped on that UNC ML 115 that 365 hung out there. I normally don't do many future plays, but that one was all about value given that most places have 3/3.5 on the board. Great eye catching that one as I thought I was the only one who jumped on it!
Click to expand...
PM me if you want more information but I am hoping to get $5,000 down on that one...and I will be at the game live if I can get down that much coin...bad spot for the dookies this time around...
 
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