NBA

Fred57

The Star of Nightmare on Elm Street
Looking at spreads and thought I would give this a try. I like ATL and Portland but will tease them. GL!!
ATL +16.5/Portland +11.5 +102 $25 BB to win $25.56
 
0-1 yesterday. My venture into playing with spreads didn't work out so well. Should track for a while before betting. Lesson learned. Full slate today. GL!!
 
My plays for tonight trying a new spread angle. Entertainment Only. Small action bets. Will count. GL!!
Cle +2.5 Winner
Utah +11.5 Winner
Indy +6.5 (I played this earlier +4.5 now) Winner
Bos -9.5 Winner
Hou -2.5 Winner
 
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5-0-night ats and 1-3 night with totals. 6-3 overall. Luck was with me. Be back later with plays GL!!
 
Small slate today and my #'s are tight on all 4 games. Again, small action plays for me. I will be looking at 4Q under in the Den game. They trend under with B2B games in 4Q. GL!!
GSW ML +102 (-2.4)
Den -4 (-6.9)
SAC -5.5 (-4.9) No Play
Min -4.5 (-2.2) lean Dal +4.5 NP
Dal +8.5/Den ML +132
 
Another good night. 3-0 and my lean on Dal also hit. 8-0 last 2 nights using new spread angle. Maybe just got lucky or maybe I'm on to something. It's gambling and only time will tell. Be Back later with my plays. GL!!
 
I like way too much today and that usually sucks. I doubt anyone follows or even reads my threads but if you do follow with caution. Sometimes while capping I come across a # that makes no sense. GSW last night was one of them. Today I have really out of whack #'s with the Nets. My concern is the OT loss last night. Here are my plays and leans GL!!
Nets +12.5 -115 (Nets -6.6) ??? Winner
Nets ML +525 Winner
NY/6ers ML +184 Loser
SAS +12.5 -110 (OKC -8.6) Winner
Port +8.5 -110 (LAC -1.7) Winner
Leans Tor +6.5, Cle ML, 6ers -3.5 Leans 2-1
 
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Had a decent night going 4-1 and hitting the ML with the Nets. 3-0 with totals so overall a 7-1 night. Be back later with picks GL!!
 
Small slate tonight. Been a nice little run but always aware of regression. Overall record 24-9-1, 12-1 ats. Follow with caution. I've been shaving off or adding pts to get to even or + money on games I feel more confident on. If anyone follows, I advise playing the actual #. My goal is to be on the + side, paying the least amount of juice possible when I lose. GL!!
Mem +5.5 +105 (Mem -1)
Hou +5.5 +105 (Hou -1)
Lac +4.5 -105 (Suns pk)
Add a couple $$ on all 3 ML. (Just a suggestion)
 
Playing these for tomorrow. GL!!
6ers ML -105
Tor +8.5 +110
ATL +6.5 +105
Tor +10.5 +110
 
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I found a major flaw in my ats capping while doing tomorrows games. It involves the way I include H2H #'s into the equation. So far it hasn't involved any of my posted plays but, has messed up some of my tracking #'s. I will update record tomorrow. In all fairness I want to post my unofficial record. The posted ats record isn't accurate when I count all plays. The posted is 15-2 at the moment, while in reality it is 24-9 and overall posted is 32-12-1 (72.7) and unofficial is 41-20-1 (67.1). I just want to be as accurate as possible. GL!!
 
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