71-69-3 (5.87 units)
Alright, got the split last night and posted an actual positive day. I'll take it after how Detroit stunk up the joint. They needed that game but they showed the lack of spark tonight. It happens. Looking back, it woulda been easier to lay off if Jersey just had not been stinking it up as of late. NoLa hung on late despite blowing a double-digit lead and covered late. I'll take it and move on to Thursday...
BeLIEve made a thread earlier and I'll take the one key point from that people should realize. The 5th seed is and should be a very big goal for the Sixers right now. Granted, Miami as well but this game here is a focus on the Sixers. They are tied right now and have tiebreaker I believe. Like beLIEve said earlier, a win in the first round would be big for the organization and show a total turnaround from the first few months and the big Elton contract.
Two previous meetings this year. Philly won both. They covered both as well. They were 3.5 chalk back when they sucked in December at home. They were catching 7.5 on road at Milwaukee and won outright. Both wins were by 5 points.
Scheduling. The Sixers have been going every other day since they got back from their WC swing on the 25th. They beat Atlanta easily on Tuesday night in the possible playoff preview. They have a matinee against Detroit on Saturday in a revenge game from last Sunday night. They blew a 4th qtr lead and in all honesty were dominating that game imo early on. Now, the Bucks. They played a very interesting 4 game swing in their own conference. It went Toronto, the sunshine swing and up to New Jersey. They had one day off and came home to play the Lakers tonight. They led in 4th but ended up losing by 6 although covering. I woulda faded them tonight but last leg of Lakers 7 game trip and the waning interest made it a no play on that game either way due to the scheduling. This isn't the exact scenario of the 5 games+ opposite coast swing with day off/game/then b2b road game that I love so much but with the intangibles it comes right to it imo.
The Bucks played hard on Wednesday night. Even though their season is soon to be done its still one of the elite teams in your building. They just couldn't finish. I am hoping and expecting they have a flat performance after that(much like Det after Cleveland in weird parallel ways). They have a homestand after and the season is winding down. I think they get down and get blown out in 2nd half. We have a team playing for a favorable seed against one in a tough scheduling spot off a tough loss playing out the string.
Sign me up.
Philadelphia -8.5 -110 5 units
Win this and I'll be up a tad on season overall and close to even on posted plays. I think this is a very good play. Cap it yourself though. And if you don't cap it yourself feel free to make an alias and post in this thread tomorrow night at about 8 est.
GL
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Now, I want to talk about something SF Capper brought up in Wednesday Discussion thread regarding a possible Orlando/Detroit first round tilt. It may happen, it may not. Detroit is either 7th, 8th or 9th. Orlando is 2nd or 3rd. Seems like they are trying to avoid them losing to Raps(just kidding t-dot).
First of all, a few weeks ago the Orlando papers came out and some players/coaches/media basically said they feared playing Detroit in first round. I mean, understandable. I want to say its 22 of 26 or 24 of 28 lately Detroit has won. They swept them this year and have won two consecutive playoff series against them. Now, Dwight came out the other day and said he wants Detroit. He wants to get past that mental stage and beat big brother to use a term. Rasheed is kinda like his mentor in some facets and its fitting.
First point, is the guard play. It used to be that Detroit bigger guards would pick on Jameer and whoever lined up next to him. This was true. Things are a bit different now, as Orlando has more size and Detroit has chemistry issues. We shall see here.
Second is that Detroit doesn't have to double Howard. Rasheed still gets up for these matchups and while Dwight will get say 22-14, the other players don't get their usual looks. This is a big difference and why Orlando has so many problems with Detroit. Rasheed didn't even play in last meeting after first few minutes and Detroit still won. The big thing in that game was Dwight barely touched ball late in game.
If this series happens, and I hope it does I expect that Orlando wins in all honesty. I think it will be a helluva battle and go 7 games though. It will mark the end of an era of sorts in this rivalry. It may also be too appeasing to the Magic and set them up for a short-series loss to Boston in say 5 in the next round(provided KG is healthy).
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:shake:
Alright, got the split last night and posted an actual positive day. I'll take it after how Detroit stunk up the joint. They needed that game but they showed the lack of spark tonight. It happens. Looking back, it woulda been easier to lay off if Jersey just had not been stinking it up as of late. NoLa hung on late despite blowing a double-digit lead and covered late. I'll take it and move on to Thursday...
BeLIEve made a thread earlier and I'll take the one key point from that people should realize. The 5th seed is and should be a very big goal for the Sixers right now. Granted, Miami as well but this game here is a focus on the Sixers. They are tied right now and have tiebreaker I believe. Like beLIEve said earlier, a win in the first round would be big for the organization and show a total turnaround from the first few months and the big Elton contract.
Two previous meetings this year. Philly won both. They covered both as well. They were 3.5 chalk back when they sucked in December at home. They were catching 7.5 on road at Milwaukee and won outright. Both wins were by 5 points.
Scheduling. The Sixers have been going every other day since they got back from their WC swing on the 25th. They beat Atlanta easily on Tuesday night in the possible playoff preview. They have a matinee against Detroit on Saturday in a revenge game from last Sunday night. They blew a 4th qtr lead and in all honesty were dominating that game imo early on. Now, the Bucks. They played a very interesting 4 game swing in their own conference. It went Toronto, the sunshine swing and up to New Jersey. They had one day off and came home to play the Lakers tonight. They led in 4th but ended up losing by 6 although covering. I woulda faded them tonight but last leg of Lakers 7 game trip and the waning interest made it a no play on that game either way due to the scheduling. This isn't the exact scenario of the 5 games+ opposite coast swing with day off/game/then b2b road game that I love so much but with the intangibles it comes right to it imo.
The Bucks played hard on Wednesday night. Even though their season is soon to be done its still one of the elite teams in your building. They just couldn't finish. I am hoping and expecting they have a flat performance after that(much like Det after Cleveland in weird parallel ways). They have a homestand after and the season is winding down. I think they get down and get blown out in 2nd half. We have a team playing for a favorable seed against one in a tough scheduling spot off a tough loss playing out the string.
Sign me up.
Philadelphia -8.5 -110 5 units
Win this and I'll be up a tad on season overall and close to even on posted plays. I think this is a very good play. Cap it yourself though. And if you don't cap it yourself feel free to make an alias and post in this thread tomorrow night at about 8 est.
GL
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Now, I want to talk about something SF Capper brought up in Wednesday Discussion thread regarding a possible Orlando/Detroit first round tilt. It may happen, it may not. Detroit is either 7th, 8th or 9th. Orlando is 2nd or 3rd. Seems like they are trying to avoid them losing to Raps(just kidding t-dot).
First of all, a few weeks ago the Orlando papers came out and some players/coaches/media basically said they feared playing Detroit in first round. I mean, understandable. I want to say its 22 of 26 or 24 of 28 lately Detroit has won. They swept them this year and have won two consecutive playoff series against them. Now, Dwight came out the other day and said he wants Detroit. He wants to get past that mental stage and beat big brother to use a term. Rasheed is kinda like his mentor in some facets and its fitting.
First point, is the guard play. It used to be that Detroit bigger guards would pick on Jameer and whoever lined up next to him. This was true. Things are a bit different now, as Orlando has more size and Detroit has chemistry issues. We shall see here.
Second is that Detroit doesn't have to double Howard. Rasheed still gets up for these matchups and while Dwight will get say 22-14, the other players don't get their usual looks. This is a big difference and why Orlando has so many problems with Detroit. Rasheed didn't even play in last meeting after first few minutes and Detroit still won. The big thing in that game was Dwight barely touched ball late in game.
If this series happens, and I hope it does I expect that Orlando wins in all honesty. I think it will be a helluva battle and go 7 games though. It will mark the end of an era of sorts in this rivalry. It may also be too appeasing to the Magic and set them up for a short-series loss to Boston in say 5 in the next round(provided KG is healthy).
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:shake:
