I'm not a big fan of laying this much chalk. After all, who is? But Miami is a sub par team right now, they lack depth, quality, any kind of winning mentality, they're in a perennial knockdown mode and playing the second game of a back to back in one of the least friendly arenas, I don't think they can hang with the Suns, especially after Phoenix dropped the game in Minneapolis.
They are not losing to another sub par team here, Suns' high octane offense will run them out of the gym. This isn't a question of whether Suns will go up by 15 or even more, but whether they keep it in the 4th, whether they even care to win this one by DD. What I think is, Heat old men will have weary legs by the time 4th quarter comes and Suns bench can still score. Once a powerful inside presence now not even a shadow of, Diesel is going to have a lot of problems if he even plays a factor in this one. He looks so lethargic and slow on the court it's painful to watch.
Suns -11,5
People don't seem to "trust" Sactown without Kevin Martin suiting up. Let me break the news, this isn't about "trusting" or not trusting. It's about betting the line. With Martin, this line would be larger, so you already get that factored in the spread. The Kings are still solid at home, they have guys stepping up there and they play this one before going on a 5 game road trip, which they finish off in Wisconsin.
They will get up for this one. They did lose to the Clippers but almost beat the Nuggets in Denver, that 2nd half run was great. The Bucks have the inside covered, but they don't seem to hang with opposition on the road (2-8 away from Milwaukee this season). And did I mention they're playing back to back games after losing a high scoring game in Portland last night?
Kings show up, like the number we're getting them at.
Kings -4,5
Now 900.
