NBA ML dogs Friday & Saturday

redbearde

redbearde

Pretty much a regular
Trailblazers +223.44

because the Jazz are chumps on the road, Channing Frye is better than lemarcus aldridge, and Portland is going to be even better when Roy sprains his ankle and has to leave the game.

:shake:
 
I have a little time...

On Saturday, I'll be looking for ML dogs.

I expect Atlanta to be a fave at home to the woeful Bobcats. If they aren't, then I'll play the Hawks. I know they're a joke, but when two jokes play each other, it's good to get odds.

Memphis? ya right.

Sacramento is a significant dog at Washington. at 3:1, I think that's worthwhile for a shot. Bullets have been playing well. Let's see if they can handle being at home with rest versus a team traveling on a 3rd in 4. Tough situation, that one.
 
76ers off a loss might well be worth a go after this tough loss the Cavs endured because I bet their chalk yesterday. They must feel awfully screwed and disjointed.

Cleveland's only won 4 of the last 5. 76ers at 3.5:1 might seem like a pipe dream with how they've been playing, but they're on the road now, and perhaps I'll see it or better...who knows? They did just lose as 8.5pt dogs a couple days ago.....at home.

definitely the kind of team I should bet.
 
Indiana at 2:1 at Miami is definitely worth a try. it's at 4.5 now. I'd love to see +200. More is better.
 
Indiana leads the league in rebounds at 45.5.
Miami has the third worst rebounds in the league at 39.5.

Indiana allows the third least field goal percentage against in the league at 44.0.
 
SACTOWN @ 3:1. R U kidding me ? Why, cause they beat the Heat on ESPN two night ago. Im with u, Fo Show.
 
Nets and Knicks.

Nets will probably be the fave. I will probably play the Knicks with sufficient Value. Total letdown after the big win over Lebron. hahahahha.......

......play the knicks.........intentionally..........................only if Starbury doesn't play.

New Jersey is the worst offensive team in the league averaging just 90.1 points per game.
New Jersey is second last in the league in field goal percentage at just 42.1.

New York has the third worst free throw percentage in the league at 70.1.
New York has the worst field goal percentage against in the league at 48.1.
 
redbearde said:
76ers off a loss might well be worth a go after this tough loss the Cavs endured because I bet their chalk yesterday. They must feel awfully screwed and disjointed.

Cleveland's only won 4 of the last 5. 76ers at 3.5:1 might seem like a pipe dream with how they've been playing, but they're on the road now, and perhaps I'll see it or better...who knows? They did just lose as 8.5pt dogs a couple days ago.....at home.

definitely the kind of team I should bet.
Click to expand...


Boy oh Boy, would love 3.5:1 but I doubt it. I'm guessing more like 2.5:1.
 
Mavericks at Rockettes

I think maybe JJ Berea comes out of his slump. Mavs at 160ish might be worth a look.....
 
oh, record after Friday.

ML dogs: 23-26, 46.94%, +18.59units

don't be impressed. I've given most of it back by going for a remarkable 39.66% in spreads.
 
t'wolves @ bucks

I won't EVEN fuck that shit.

Seattle @ Utah

I don't think Seattle can win at Utah, but the Jazz have been playing some pedestrian ball lately.....for sufficient value, I might have to play that.

Seattle is second in rebounds in the league at 44.8.
Seattle has given up the second most points in the league at 106.4 per game.

Utah has the second best field goal percentage at 49.2.
Utah is last in the league scoring three points made with 4.0 per game.
Utah is second in rebounds allowed in the league at 38.3.

Boozer will get his - no way to stop that

But the Jazz have now lost 5 in a row SU, and they only covered as 7.5pt dogs at Phoenix.

Should they be 12.5pt dogs after just losing as 14pt dogs? Doubt it. Still....this'll be one of those monster upsets if it hits.

by the way

last year, Seattle beat Utah in Utah, and Utah squeaked by 103-101 on November 9 as a 7 pt fave. Again........12.5 pts? first game home off a long road trip?

it is truth that

Jazz are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 home games.

but

it is also truth that

Jazz are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 0 days rest.
Jazz are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
SuperSonics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Utah.
SuperSonics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

recent utah schedule:

12/03/2007 vs Miami W 110 - 101 L (-10)
12/04/2007 at Sacramento L 117 - 107 L (-2½)
12/07/2007 at San Antonio L 104 - 98 L (1)
12/08/2007 at Dallas L 125 - 117 L (6)
12/11/2007 vs Portland L 97 - 89 L (-13½)
12/12/2007 at Phoenix L 103 - 98 W (-2)
12/14/2007 at Portland L 99 - 91 L (-14)

and now they go home on the 4th in 5, losing their asses, and they're 12.5pt faves?

geeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeezzzzz...................
 
Great call with Portland.

I actually parlayed Sac, Sea, and Clipps ML's with LAL ML. Got the first 3 and hedged with GSW ML for a nice payout. I fuck with these dog ML's, I usually just throw together a bullshit parlay for shits and giggles, fading bad teams that are medium chalks. I'm really surprised you didn't hit any or all of Sac, Sea, and Clipps. Or did you?

GL tomorrow. If I was a ML dog player, for tomorrow, I think Dallas would be the only one I'd consider right now. Maybe a tiny flyer on Seattle? Why not at that price.
 
you DO have a hard-on for the Mavs......

best available right now is 138. not really what I think of as value for a road team in texas.

........Houston hasn't exactly been playing spectacular recently, the Pistons win notwithstanding.

I did consider those yesterday, but I was driving all day and couldn't really get at a computer to make most of those wagers. Nor could I study them as much as I'd like.

I don't understand the Utah number. That's insane high. Only thing is how likely a Seattle win actually is. I wish Delonte wasn't injured right now...he's a great energy scorer coming off the bench.
 
Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Utah is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Utah is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Seattle
Utah is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
Utah is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Seattle
Utah is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle

13 pts now?

can I get 10:1 on this crap?
 
good work with the Blazers sir. :shake: :cheers:

I'm looking at the Pacers and the Kings, but I think I'll pass tonight's card alltogether.

GL
 
I too am looking at the Pacers. here's an article you might find entertaining:

http://www.miamiherald.com/594/story/345717.html

Riley issues challenge to Heat
Posted on Sat, Dec. 15, 2007
Digg del.icio.us AIM reprint print email

Trying to shake his team from its inconsistent play, coach Pat Riley drew an imaginary line in the middle of the floor before Friday's practice.

Then, he left the players with two choices.

''Coach said there's a fine line with this team right now,'' guard Dwyane Wade said. ``We can either take a step to the right and be a great team. Or, we can step to the left and be one of the worst teams in the league.''

Either way, the message was clear. The Heat (6-16) is at a pivotal moment in its season as it carries the Eastern Conference's worst record into Friday's game against the visiting Pacers.

Two confidence-building road wins against the Clippers and Suns were followed by Thursday's demoralizing home loss to the Wizards, which led Riley to take inventory of his team's confidence and faith on Friday.

''I'm fighting the fight of faith -- that the locker room is going to be OK, that the guys are going to play hard every night, that they're not going to lose their confidence,'' Riley said. ``The guys feel absolutely horrible that they're losing. They all have pride. . . . You just have to find a way to dig yourself out of it.''

• Riley said Jason Williams would remain the starting point guard, despite his inconsistency and the recent improved play of Chris Quinn.
Click to expand...

they're 6 and 16, and how many times has he tried to spark this bunch of fuckin fucks this year? There are a couple hustle players on this team, and Wade does a great job getting the benefit of the call....AND Shaq is still a break wall. but they're quite rightfully 6-16.....not sure why they think they're championship calibre.......just..bizarre.
 
still considering the Knicks and the Mavs on the ML...I'm also trying to figure out at what number I want to play them.............
 
regarding Dallas....first off, the Rockets have rafer alston OUT (sore pussy).

Coach had this to say a few days ago:

"He's the best ballhandler we have," Adelman said. "He gets down the court. He gets the ball in the right spot the easiest of all of our guards, understands what we're trying to do. And he's one of our better team defenders, too. He's just a solid player. We really missed him in those two games he didn't play."
Click to expand...

Steve Francis had this to say about his recent minutes:

"Just trying to keep some maintenance," Francis said about his recent trip to a Houston rehabilitation specialist. "I don't want to break down at all. That Toronto game, I was beat. That was my first game starting. I was pretty sore the next day."
Click to expand...

also...the Rockets are sitting like this:

Houston is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Dallas has won 9 out of the last 10 meetings straight up.

Mavs are 5-7 SU on the road.
Houston is 6-3 SU at home.

Mavericks are 38-15 ATS in their last 53 games as an underdog.
Mavericks are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games as a road underdog.
Rockets are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.
Rockets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 2 days rest.

only thing I can see is that the Mavs are on a B2B and Houston finally won a game against a quality opponent at home. We'll see how they do, but I think this line ought to be reversed.
 
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