Well, so far so good on GOY'S. A perfect 2-0. Neither was totally easy but the bottom line is they each won.
This one is special though. I basically have played a 1-5 unit system all season with a couple of 6's and the two 7.5 GOY's. This line for ripe for the pickings. I have it valued 3.5 points higher than it is and expect it to rise quickly.
Detroit -3 -110 10 units
I know the first question I will receive. How can you say that Detroit should be favored by 6.5 over the Spurs? Then people wll say that Detroit was favored by the same amount against the Raptors and failed to cover.
This is a situation where you cannot compare lines. Lets look back to Christmas Day 2005. The Spurs made their annual visit to Detroit to take on the Pistons. That line was a 6 or 6.5 and everyone saw "value" in the Spurs. People were shocked that the Spurs would be getting a TD basically against Detroit. Now, Detroit was off to a great start but this was a Championship Spurs squad who was playing well themselves.A lot of people jumped on the San Antonio bandwagon that day. Not myself. I played Detroit very large. It was situational handicapping at its best. Revenge and a team away from home on a Holiday. Detroit won easily and that was that.
Now, you may ask what the situational handicapping is here? Well, the rodeo trip is coming to a close Wednesday night in Detroit. Another year with an 8 game trip for the Spurs. This also coincides with their last game before the break. Where do you think the Spurs heads will be? They are not going to fight for 48 minutes most likely if they get behind early. The team has been away from family for a long while and knows that its vacation time for all the non-all stars. The all-stars understand they have a long weekend ahead and want to conserve energy.
Lets look at the flip side of the equation. The Stons are playing the best ball in the league right now on both sides of the ball. The offense has been excellent with 84 in the lineup. The bench is much more capable than last year. The key though in my estimation is how well they play defense again. The rejuvenated offense has perked up the defense. Each side of the ball is igniting each other.
Lets look at recent play: The Spurs have gone 2-4 so far on the Rodeo trip. I will asume they have a solid shot at winning tonight at the Meadowlands with no Jason Kidd. I hope they do...that will salvage the trip somewhat. On the flipside, Detroit has been just motoring along with very little stress schedule wise. They know they can basically sweep the games this month and intend to do so or get as close as possible. Translation, spry group in Detroit vs a tired, worn out Spurs squad.
Detroit easily won both games last year. I think Detroit matches up even better now against SA. The Spurs defense is good but a bit slow for the Detroit offense. On defense the Stons have plenty of bodies for Timmay. They also have Lindsey in backcourt to frustarte Parker. Yes Bowen will limit someone but Detroit simply has too many weapons.
Recap: Short line for a healthy, rested team who is surging right now against a team that isn't going to have full minds on game in this authors opinion. This should be pretty easy
Detroit 94
San Antonio 83
Hammer it!
This one is special though. I basically have played a 1-5 unit system all season with a couple of 6's and the two 7.5 GOY's. This line for ripe for the pickings. I have it valued 3.5 points higher than it is and expect it to rise quickly.
Detroit -3 -110 10 units
I know the first question I will receive. How can you say that Detroit should be favored by 6.5 over the Spurs? Then people wll say that Detroit was favored by the same amount against the Raptors and failed to cover.
This is a situation where you cannot compare lines. Lets look back to Christmas Day 2005. The Spurs made their annual visit to Detroit to take on the Pistons. That line was a 6 or 6.5 and everyone saw "value" in the Spurs. People were shocked that the Spurs would be getting a TD basically against Detroit. Now, Detroit was off to a great start but this was a Championship Spurs squad who was playing well themselves.A lot of people jumped on the San Antonio bandwagon that day. Not myself. I played Detroit very large. It was situational handicapping at its best. Revenge and a team away from home on a Holiday. Detroit won easily and that was that.
Now, you may ask what the situational handicapping is here? Well, the rodeo trip is coming to a close Wednesday night in Detroit. Another year with an 8 game trip for the Spurs. This also coincides with their last game before the break. Where do you think the Spurs heads will be? They are not going to fight for 48 minutes most likely if they get behind early. The team has been away from family for a long while and knows that its vacation time for all the non-all stars. The all-stars understand they have a long weekend ahead and want to conserve energy.
Lets look at the flip side of the equation. The Stons are playing the best ball in the league right now on both sides of the ball. The offense has been excellent with 84 in the lineup. The bench is much more capable than last year. The key though in my estimation is how well they play defense again. The rejuvenated offense has perked up the defense. Each side of the ball is igniting each other.
Lets look at recent play: The Spurs have gone 2-4 so far on the Rodeo trip. I will asume they have a solid shot at winning tonight at the Meadowlands with no Jason Kidd. I hope they do...that will salvage the trip somewhat. On the flipside, Detroit has been just motoring along with very little stress schedule wise. They know they can basically sweep the games this month and intend to do so or get as close as possible. Translation, spry group in Detroit vs a tired, worn out Spurs squad.
Detroit easily won both games last year. I think Detroit matches up even better now against SA. The Spurs defense is good but a bit slow for the Detroit offense. On defense the Stons have plenty of bodies for Timmay. They also have Lindsey in backcourt to frustarte Parker. Yes Bowen will limit someone but Detroit simply has too many weapons.
Recap: Short line for a healthy, rested team who is surging right now against a team that isn't going to have full minds on game in this authors opinion. This should be pretty easy
Detroit 94
San Antonio 83
Hammer it!
