NBA Finals Plays...

emkee

The Truth Is Out There
Regular Season: 103-83-2 (+27.92)

Playoffs: 31-24 (+8.68)

Overall: 134-107-2 (+36.60)

Got wrecked by the Bucks last round even though the 'numbers' and ELO had the Raps making the Finals just not in that fashion.

Got handcuffed into making spot plays by that shitty Milwaukee squad. Chokers. Moving on.

Finals are here, basically if the Dubs win this next series they are arguably the greatest NBA team ever.

This will be their 'hardest' series in the dynasty run purely based on not having the homecourt advantage.

Holding a Dubs +200 futures ticket from just after the Cramps to Lakers trade and just before the Boogie trade for 3 racks (mentioned in the 2018 Free Agency thread).

Wasn't allowed to put down anything bigger.

Game 1 play up in a bit...
 
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Have the Raps lined at -4.5 for Game 1.

Has been some weird crazy spreads this particular postseason.

This is another spread that makes little sense.

Home teams 55-17 SU all-time in Game 1 of the Finals.

Last 16 seasons the home team is 14-2 SU (13-3 ATS) in Game 1 but none have been lined at less than -3.

'Vegas' playing games.
 
What were they in the 3 home games Vs Milw... wasnt in -3,+3, -2.5.... u think tor should be -4? Didnt it open GS -1 ? U think tor wants tor money? Cuz at +4 every joe would be on GS......
 
...and what sane book wants all their money depending on Toronto to beat Golden State (by 4 points no less) in any one playoff game?
 
Think you’re kidding yourself if you ever expect a viable sportsbook to voluntarily list the Warriors as 4.5 point game 1 dogs.

Somebody I work with who tracks this stuff a lot more passively was talking to me about how stunned he was to see Toronto as a 1 point favorite against the warriors — that’s the perception this line creates. 4.5 would create a liability books don’t need especially with all the Warriors futures they’re holding relative to Raptors futures.
 
Fair opener would have been Raps -2.5 or -3, imo but understand the Raps Game 1 struggles vs the Dubs Game 1 success.

Opener was perception based. Can live with that but it's not true, that is all.
 
Regular Season: 103-83-2 (+27.92)

Playoffs: 31-24 (+8.68)

Overall: 134-107-2 (+36.60)

Got wrecked by the Bucks last round even though the 'numbers' and ELO had the Raps making the Finals just not in that fashion.

Got handcuffed into making spot plays by that shitty Milwaukee squad. Chokers. Moving on.

Finals are here, basically if the Dubs win this next series they are arguably the greatest NBA team ever.

This will be their 'hardest' series in the dynasty run purely based on not having the homecourt advantage.

Holding a Dubs +200 futures ticket from just after the Cramps to Lakers trade and just before the Boogie trade for 3 racks (mentioned in the 2018 Free Agency thread).

Wasn't allowed to put down anything bigger.

Game 1 play up in a bit...


Better than the C's of the 60's when they won 10 times in 11 years against teams that were stacked
 
Last edited:
Have the Raps lined at -4.5 for Game 1.

Has been some weird crazy spreads this particular postseason.

This is another spread that makes little sense.

Home teams 55-17 SU all-time in Game 1 of the Finals.

Last 16 seasons the home team is 14-2 SU (13-3 ATS) in Game 1 but none have been lined at less than -3.

'Vegas' playing games.

Warriors almost an 80% dog.
 
Dubs make it a game in the 3rd or mail it in for Game 2.

Plus/Minus god Curry not getting the calls he usually gets.

Dude a solid -12 r/n.
 
Bad, bad read in Game 1. Small play so will live with it. Paralysis by analysis in effect.

Even our boy Brandon Lang ate with Toronto with a 150 Dime lay.

Game 1 was a must-win for the Raps and for the league, Dubs with momentum is a dangerous thing.

This postseason has been littered with role players stepping up and owning games.

We've had the DJ Augustin game, the Lopez game, the Van Vleet game and last night was the Siakam game.

As for the Dubs, beginning to side with BAR's theory that KD is a lot worse than they'd have us believe and they aren't disclosing it for FA reasons.

Guy has no damn calves, Twiggy should have been back by now if it was as mild as they said initially.

He's had the 'same' injury before and returned back for duty in a week.

Will attempt to get it right for the rest of these games. I will eat in Game 2.
 
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