NBA Discussion - Week of 12/5/2016 (New Thread)

Will not bet GS over. GS hates over on 0 rest and a day off and then 2 more in a row!!!
 
tuck321 said:
Over in Chicago looks good. Spurs over on 1 days rest last 5. With Bulls on 5 in 7 pedal to metal to wear them out seems goods strategy and Bulls after 3 losses will not be peaceful.
Leaning Memphis with Portland bad rest and looking at GS and then Cleveland twice.
Probably more overs looking at the other games
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Like the over in Chicago too, but 12 of San Antonio's last 17 games when playing Chicago have gone under. Spurs offense has been doing great, but i'm still debating on that one.

I have already pulled the trigger on the Wolves/Raps over though. Wolves overs on the road are money, and the offensive production by the Raps should make this easy.
 
nbafan88 said:
Poor scheduling spot for the warriors. They've been in Cali since November 21st and now go up to high altitude after going on an absolute tear on their home stand. I just cannot take the jazz without george hill and hood available against this pristine offense.

Jazz POY in doubt as well on Saturday. Hoping they lose by 30+ tonight
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Time to consider fading the Dubs is when they play the Wolves on the 10th. That's a bad spot.
 
Would have to think this road streak somewhat means something to the Spurs, lean Bulls but a tough bet.

Missed the Dubs spread, 10+ is a hard lay in their spot.

Minefield card with all the movement, content to just be involved with the NFL tonight.

Next solid spot play is the 10th, then a Dubs fade on the 11th.
 
cogenman said:
utah jazz

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[td]gordon hayward
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[td]derrick favors
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[td]alec burks
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utah jazz ml + 650 !
 
I think that's an extremely telling line tonight in OKC.

OKC on a 6 game winning streak which includes 6 straight covers, playing a home game off 3 days rest.

Houston went on a 5 game western trip, came home for 2 games and now have to play this one road game off 1 day rest (although Wednesday was a stressless blowout). OKC also beat Houston at home a few weeks ago as a 2.5 point favorite.

Understood that Houston has swung the power rankings since these two teams last played, but favoring them in this game kind of tells you what the book expects imo. Btw I don't disagree, I think Houston is the second best team in the West right now and that OKC is a 6-8ish seed. Sometimes when you're on a giant winning streak the last thing you need is 3 days off.
 
Btw I also think you'll profit if you just fade the Knicks on this 5 game western trip. They've been covering a lot lately without really playing THAT well, it's time for the pendulum to swing the other way. They're 12-10 with a bottom 5 defense and the point differential of a 35 win team, their record is due to normalize.
 
I locked in -13.5 with Cavs yesterday and now it just went to -11.5. I hope nobody big is resting for the Cavs.
 
can't back Atlanta tonight.... really poor performances in games before 3+ days rest. Hope they lose to get better value after their 3 days off. They will soon go on a tear ATS. Bud is too good. Their recent decline is almost all due to the schedule. Practice will be big.


Currently leaning Celtics, Minny 1h and kings.

The hou/okc game is very interesting. The line opened a couple points less than the matchup last month. Guessing that's because of houstons recent surge. Need to look at the officiating more to see if Harden will benefit with these guys. Westbrook going for his 7th straight trip dub tonight....
 
Will be interesting to see how Patrick Beverley does guarding RW. Nobody can stop RW right now, but we all know the pass stuff between them. He can take RW out of his game and frustrate him.
 
I haven't been following NBA as closely this year. Is this Rose's first game out as a Knick? If so, wouldn't this be a PLAY ON spot for the Knicks?
 
Gorgolon Lives said:
Ok, so that theory is thrown out the door. Knicks are in a very, very bad spot.
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Rose missed his first game against the Cavs on Wednesday, but I wouldn't get too caught up in the score of that game and tie it directly to his absence. The Knicks were playing their first b2b in a while, and had their bags packed for this western trip. He's been perfectly average, which is an upgrade over last year's PG situation but is not to mistaken for him being objectively good.

I personally have a really hard time capping the Kings because it totally comes down to nights when Boogie feels like being a teammate. With that said, I think with them coming back home with a chance to be more focused and take a game against a team that beat them less than a week ago, I'd expect a moderate level of focus.
 
The Rose absence is noticeable in terms of depth - Jennings can more or less replicate Rose, but there's no other PG that can come off the bench and provide NBA caliber minutes at this stage of the season.
 
raems said:
Rose missed his first game against the Cavs on Wednesday, but I wouldn't get too caught up in the score of that game and tie it directly to his absence. The Knicks were playing their first b2b in a while, and had their bags packed for this western trip. He's been perfectly average, which is an upgrade over last year's PG situation but is not to mistaken for him being objectively good.

I personally have a really hard time capping the Kings because it totally comes down to nights when Boogie feels like being a teammate. With that said, I think with them coming back home with a chance to be more focused and take a game against a team that beat them less than a week ago, I'd expect a moderate level of focus.
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Love this. We are hoping just for average effort tonight from the Kings in order to PLAY ON them. LOL -- That's how pathetic this "franchise" is.
 
Kings tend to start off slow in the first half and they love going for jump shots instead of driving to the hole.
 
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