Well I am going to make an effort to do a few things from now on. First have patience its become to much like a game to me to get lines before they move and it always seems that by tip I dont like the play anymore and usually ride it out as a loss..going to trust my instincts much more and be patient....
Philly @ NJ
Holy shit the Nets had 2 days off bewteen games!! Sounds crazy but they havent had two days off since there Nov 8th game!! They will be playing there 14th game in 25 days here (so there last was 13 in 22 days). Its a huge problem IMO when you factor they had a West Coast trip and some injuries which resulted in a thin bench. In Boston I had a feeling Hassan Adams was gonna play a big role cause they needed minutes and he had played well in limited spurts. There bench is Adams , Williams , Nachbar , Moore , and Wright. Philly is w/o Webber and lost his replacement Randolph the other day in pratice. The total seems high considering (@196) Philly has basically scored around 95 pts past 6 away and J just hit 100 for the 1st time in 7 seven games..Philly is on 3 days rest and is 4-1 L5 ATS with 3 days rest (2-0 this yr) while NJ is 3-13 -1 ATS past 17 with teams who have losing away records...at 5 or better Philly has my interest here...as well as the under...Dog & away team have covered last 4.
Miami @ Memphis
One can expect to see Miami get bet down here. Interesting trend is Miami 1-5 ATS on 1 days rest while Memphis is 3-1 ATS on 2 days rest. Series has seen 6 unders staright but that dates back to 03. Memphis been on the road ever since the 1st 2 games playing 10 of 14 away. All season in 6 home games they have scored at least 95 pts except in the 86-80 loss to Houston. They havent been favored since the opening games home Vs NYK and Charlotte...in 4 of 6 at home they held teams to about 85ppg..Miami offense was clicking before the Piston game though with 3 straight off a 100 pts...Heat have been dogged to Char & Atl recently but won SU. The key with Miami is Wade he was awful versus DET and they lost by 2......Heat were alos dogged @ NO w/o West by 4.5 and lost badly due to the 4th Q.....so I guess Miami can hang for a half but will fade since no one else is stepping up in Miami offensively....if this drops will look at Memphis and thinking about the over if Grizz get to 96 Heat should see 86...
Toronto @ NYK
First thing is we have Raptors flying under the radar with a 4th in 5 spot... @ NO , @ Dal , day off and back home to host Boston tonite now back down to NY / MSG......seems like alot of travel ...Raps just 1-8 away..and beat the DEPLETED Hornets....It appears to me the raptors let it all hangout at home with 4 players going at least 35 minutes while Ny had just 4 top 30 minutes and most did barely. Guys like Francis (33min), Crawford(33min) and Marbury(36min) havent seen this many lately so its not a concern and Curry played 31 minutes. I tend to believe NYK , Bo , Tor all are basically neutral teams so when they play its basically home team is favored by 3. Which we have here just NY is so damn inconsistent. Raps also playing 9th inn 11 games away....if lineholds or drops I would be interested in NYK.....but like the over...teams are 6-1 OVER in b to B. Tor allowed 117 in their's(only 2 ) and NYK allowed 107 in 5 ocassions..
Kings @ Spurs
Artest could be joining Manu on the bench since his back flared up tonite. Spurs on days rest off consecutive losses get the unimpressive Kings who were recently catching 6.5 in Seattle...SA already won in Sac so revenge could be an issue as well as the playoffs...I just dont see value unless the lien goes higher though. Kings played a similar elite squad in dallas and got smoked......Spurs are 24-17-1 ATS on 2 Days rest!!!!! plus consecutive losses.....strong lean towards SA here....despiet being 5-16-1 L22 as home chalk....great team equals inflated lines...but Kings caught 7 in Dallas and werent close...thinking over as well...
Wiz @ Chi
If you can allow NO to get 100 your D has issues so interested in a total here when it comes out...think +5 is attractive though....think these teams arevery equal and 3 pts is more accurate.. For all the Wiz away troubles the highest they have been as a dog is +7 which they covered vs Houston , they were +6 in Cle covered , +5 in Dallas got smoked, +3.5 in Orl covered , Pistons were +4.5 only but lost by 9 and 0-2 as chalk in NYK & Mem. Scary part is Bulls just played 4 athome losing the opener by 1 whne they choked late and blowing out Milw and beat Indy and NY as as about 6.5 or 7 pt favs....so gonna wait thinking dog and over.....
Cle @ houston
This looks absurd but Houston 3 days rest versus Cavs on B to B who are 1-3 ATS in these spots. Dog is 4-1 L5 in the series , Rockets just 3-13 AT as home favs and Cavs were only +5.5 in SA and won SU...seems way off here....Total seems low but HOU at home has been real low scoring of late...
Ind @ Denver
pacers playing 4th in 5 nites away but this looks fat...+7 to a solid team...Nuggets won all 4 SU last year....both playing B to B and Indy is 4-2 ATS this yr in that spot and the 212 total seems a bit steep IMO...think again they are over shading the fav in a situational play....
Seattle @ Utah
Crazy line ....revenge minded Sea who was 4.5 pt favs when Utaj came to town last week is now +8. Sonics are 8-1-1 ATS away past 10 games..this shouldntbe higher then 6 IMO...jazz have dropped 3 of and are embarrassing effort in LAL. Since they just allowed 132 you would expect a low scoring game here I owuld think...Sea 8-2-1 ATS off a SU win...
LAL @LAC
Both teams are home but the total was adjusted from the 1st meeting to 198. Kobe off a fifty spot and LAL 132.....however I lean to the under since I wold guess LAL regresses offensively here. Hopeing we see 200 in LAC's revenge game. Personally I think its crazy that LAC lost as -1.5 favs but come backs as 2.5 pt favs,,,,,,revenge worked out well tonite for Cle and Denver so maybe its worth the price to lay it....
Milw @ GS
As much as I hate Bucks off a game in PHO this again seems fat....thought -5 was more accurate. Would say generally Indy and Milw are about neutral and Indy catching 6 just won SU and Richardson is questionable here........curious at thetotal expect 220 something..and will play under.....if so........
Philly @ NJ
Holy shit the Nets had 2 days off bewteen games!! Sounds crazy but they havent had two days off since there Nov 8th game!! They will be playing there 14th game in 25 days here (so there last was 13 in 22 days). Its a huge problem IMO when you factor they had a West Coast trip and some injuries which resulted in a thin bench. In Boston I had a feeling Hassan Adams was gonna play a big role cause they needed minutes and he had played well in limited spurts. There bench is Adams , Williams , Nachbar , Moore , and Wright. Philly is w/o Webber and lost his replacement Randolph the other day in pratice. The total seems high considering (@196) Philly has basically scored around 95 pts past 6 away and J just hit 100 for the 1st time in 7 seven games..Philly is on 3 days rest and is 4-1 L5 ATS with 3 days rest (2-0 this yr) while NJ is 3-13 -1 ATS past 17 with teams who have losing away records...at 5 or better Philly has my interest here...as well as the under...Dog & away team have covered last 4.
Miami @ Memphis
One can expect to see Miami get bet down here. Interesting trend is Miami 1-5 ATS on 1 days rest while Memphis is 3-1 ATS on 2 days rest. Series has seen 6 unders staright but that dates back to 03. Memphis been on the road ever since the 1st 2 games playing 10 of 14 away. All season in 6 home games they have scored at least 95 pts except in the 86-80 loss to Houston. They havent been favored since the opening games home Vs NYK and Charlotte...in 4 of 6 at home they held teams to about 85ppg..Miami offense was clicking before the Piston game though with 3 straight off a 100 pts...Heat have been dogged to Char & Atl recently but won SU. The key with Miami is Wade he was awful versus DET and they lost by 2......Heat were alos dogged @ NO w/o West by 4.5 and lost badly due to the 4th Q.....so I guess Miami can hang for a half but will fade since no one else is stepping up in Miami offensively....if this drops will look at Memphis and thinking about the over if Grizz get to 96 Heat should see 86...
Toronto @ NYK
First thing is we have Raptors flying under the radar with a 4th in 5 spot... @ NO , @ Dal , day off and back home to host Boston tonite now back down to NY / MSG......seems like alot of travel ...Raps just 1-8 away..and beat the DEPLETED Hornets....It appears to me the raptors let it all hangout at home with 4 players going at least 35 minutes while Ny had just 4 top 30 minutes and most did barely. Guys like Francis (33min), Crawford(33min) and Marbury(36min) havent seen this many lately so its not a concern and Curry played 31 minutes. I tend to believe NYK , Bo , Tor all are basically neutral teams so when they play its basically home team is favored by 3. Which we have here just NY is so damn inconsistent. Raps also playing 9th inn 11 games away....if lineholds or drops I would be interested in NYK.....but like the over...teams are 6-1 OVER in b to B. Tor allowed 117 in their's(only 2 ) and NYK allowed 107 in 5 ocassions..
Kings @ Spurs
Artest could be joining Manu on the bench since his back flared up tonite. Spurs on days rest off consecutive losses get the unimpressive Kings who were recently catching 6.5 in Seattle...SA already won in Sac so revenge could be an issue as well as the playoffs...I just dont see value unless the lien goes higher though. Kings played a similar elite squad in dallas and got smoked......Spurs are 24-17-1 ATS on 2 Days rest!!!!! plus consecutive losses.....strong lean towards SA here....despiet being 5-16-1 L22 as home chalk....great team equals inflated lines...but Kings caught 7 in Dallas and werent close...thinking over as well...
Wiz @ Chi
If you can allow NO to get 100 your D has issues so interested in a total here when it comes out...think +5 is attractive though....think these teams arevery equal and 3 pts is more accurate.. For all the Wiz away troubles the highest they have been as a dog is +7 which they covered vs Houston , they were +6 in Cle covered , +5 in Dallas got smoked, +3.5 in Orl covered , Pistons were +4.5 only but lost by 9 and 0-2 as chalk in NYK & Mem. Scary part is Bulls just played 4 athome losing the opener by 1 whne they choked late and blowing out Milw and beat Indy and NY as as about 6.5 or 7 pt favs....so gonna wait thinking dog and over.....
Cle @ houston
This looks absurd but Houston 3 days rest versus Cavs on B to B who are 1-3 ATS in these spots. Dog is 4-1 L5 in the series , Rockets just 3-13 AT as home favs and Cavs were only +5.5 in SA and won SU...seems way off here....Total seems low but HOU at home has been real low scoring of late...
Ind @ Denver
pacers playing 4th in 5 nites away but this looks fat...+7 to a solid team...Nuggets won all 4 SU last year....both playing B to B and Indy is 4-2 ATS this yr in that spot and the 212 total seems a bit steep IMO...think again they are over shading the fav in a situational play....
Seattle @ Utah
Crazy line ....revenge minded Sea who was 4.5 pt favs when Utaj came to town last week is now +8. Sonics are 8-1-1 ATS away past 10 games..this shouldntbe higher then 6 IMO...jazz have dropped 3 of and are embarrassing effort in LAL. Since they just allowed 132 you would expect a low scoring game here I owuld think...Sea 8-2-1 ATS off a SU win...
LAL @LAC
Both teams are home but the total was adjusted from the 1st meeting to 198. Kobe off a fifty spot and LAL 132.....however I lean to the under since I wold guess LAL regresses offensively here. Hopeing we see 200 in LAC's revenge game. Personally I think its crazy that LAC lost as -1.5 favs but come backs as 2.5 pt favs,,,,,,revenge worked out well tonite for Cle and Denver so maybe its worth the price to lay it....
Milw @ GS
As much as I hate Bucks off a game in PHO this again seems fat....thought -5 was more accurate. Would say generally Indy and Milw are about neutral and Indy catching 6 just won SU and Richardson is questionable here........curious at thetotal expect 220 something..and will play under.....if so........
