spottie2935
Read Lines, Not Books
I bet 95% dogs but not tonight. I just cant understand why this line is so high. I mean Navy comes in covering 3 in row and 11 of 15 dating back to last season. Navy even covered their last spread by 37 points.
SMU has failed to cash 4 in a row. Has given up over 110 points in its last 3 games. How could I like this team tonight?
1) History and past lines, and past performance are important to me:
SMU:
Week 3 @ Maryland +3 7 point loss and they had a 7 point lead after the 3rd Q. Over 400 yards of offense and over 150 return yards.
week 4 Home vs TCU, SMU+3 This game was a terrible start down 28-7 but they came back and made a game of it. Close to 500 yards of offense. Only allowing 3 sacks.
week 5 bye
week 6: @ UCF, SMU +3. This game was a disappointment off a bye they really played horrible. Down 41-13 until a last second TD made this game look closer. They still came close to 500 yards of offense, and 90 return yards.
All 3 of these lines are indicators why this line is what it is.
Can they handle Navy's rush attack ? I would say not really. NAVY has scored 30 or more points against SMU the last 5 meetings (playing them every year, I will post a history of their meetings.) The only time avy failed to score 30 points was last seasons 24-31 loss.
This is the 3rd season in a row Nave has been more than a 10 point dog in this series. Navy was home last season and that line was Navy +13.
Okay thats all the head to head.
Here is what teams do on Friday in this situation.
SMU has failed to cash 4 in a row. Has given up over 110 points in its last 3 games. How could I like this team tonight?
1) History and past lines, and past performance are important to me:
SMU:
Week 3 @ Maryland +3 7 point loss and they had a 7 point lead after the 3rd Q. Over 400 yards of offense and over 150 return yards.
week 4 Home vs TCU, SMU+3 This game was a terrible start down 28-7 but they came back and made a game of it. Close to 500 yards of offense. Only allowing 3 sacks.
week 5 bye
week 6: @ UCF, SMU +3. This game was a disappointment off a bye they really played horrible. Down 41-13 until a last second TD made this game look closer. They still came close to 500 yards of offense, and 90 return yards.
All 3 of these lines are indicators why this line is what it is.
Can they handle Navy's rush attack ? I would say not really. NAVY has scored 30 or more points against SMU the last 5 meetings (playing them every year, I will post a history of their meetings.) The only time avy failed to score 30 points was last seasons 24-31 loss.
This is the 3rd season in a row Nave has been more than a 10 point dog in this series. Navy was home last season and that line was Navy +13.
Okay thats all the head to head.
Here is what teams do on Friday in this situation.
